Endpoints in the design of clinical trials for primary sclerosing cholangitis

Primary sclerosing cholangitis is an enigmatic disease affecting the bile ducts, eventually leading to liver failure necessitating liver transplantation in many cases. There is currently no therapy that has proven to halt disease progression. One of the reasons for this is the lack of proper endpoints to measure the effect of medical intervention on the course of the disease. Relevant clinical endpoints such as death or liver transplantation occur too infrequently in this orphan disease to be used as endpoints in phase 2 or 3 trials. It is therefore of utmost importance to identify appropriate surrogate endpoints that are reasonably likely to measure true clinical benefit. This article will discuss a number of surrogate endpoints that are likely candidates to serve this role. This article is part of a Special Issue entitled: Cholangiocytes in Health and Diseaseedited by Jesus Banales, Marco Marzioni, Nicholas LaRusso and Peter Jansen.     

Proteomics and biomarkers in clinical trials for drug development

Proteomics allows characterization of protein structure and function, protein-protein interactions, and peptide modifications. It has given us insight into the perturbations of signaling pathways within tumor cells and has improved the discovery of new therapeutic targets and possible indicators of response to and duration of therapy. The discovery, verification, and validation of novel biomarkers are critical in streamlining clinical development of targeted compounds, and directing rational treatments for patients whose tumors are dependent upon select signaling pathways. Studies are now underway in many diseases to examine the immune or inflammatory proteome, vascular proteome, cancer or disease proteome, and other subsets of the specific pathology microenvironment. Successful assay verification and biological validation of such biomarkers will speed development of potential agents to targetable dominant pathways and lead to selection of individuals most likely to benefit. Reconsideration of analytical and clinical trials methods for acquisition, examination, and translation of proteomics data must occur before we march further into future of drug development.     

International clinical trials of vaccines

Modern principles of organization and planning of international clinical trials of vaccines and stages of development of domestic vaccines are presented. Factors that determine the success of large-scale clinical trials are thoroughly described. Differences between domestic registration trials and international multicenter randomized clinical trials are discussed. It has been recommended how national regulatory acts that legitimate conducting of clinical trials of both national and foreign vaccines should be harmonized.     

Continual reassessment method: a practical design for phase 1 clinical trials in cancer

This paper looks at a new approach to the design and analysis of Phase 1 clinical trials in cancer. The basic idea and motivation behind the approach stem from an attempt to reconcile the needs of dose-finding experimentation with the ethical demands of established medical practice. It is argued that for these trials the particular shape of the dose toxicity curve is of little interest. Attention focuses rather on identifying a dose with a given targeted toxicity level and on concentrating experimentation at that which all current available evidence indicates to be the best estimate of this level. Such an approach not only makes an explicit attempt to meet ethical requirements but also enables the use of models whose only requirements are that locally (i.e., around the dose corresponding to the targeted toxicity level) they reasonably well approximate the true probability of toxic response. Although a large number of models could be contemplated, we look at a particularly simple one. Extensive simulations show the model to have real promise.     

结核灭活疫苗的临床研究进展

分枝杆菌灭活疫苗(inactivated mycobacterium vaccines)是一种最原始、简单制备方法的产物,但在结核疫苗史上始终拥有一席之地。从早期的旧结核菌素和死卡介苗以及中期唯一的分枝杆菌疫苗,到如今逐个出现的新疫苗,分枝杆菌灭活疫苗仍受到研究者的重视,其用途也从结核病患者的免疫治疗,扩大到潜伏感染人群的预防和卡介苗(Bacillus Calmette-Guérin, BCG)初免后的加强免疫。现就分枝杆菌灭活疫苗的临床研究历史和现状作一综述,为新疫苗的研制提供参考。     

Schistosomes: the road from host-parasite interactions to vaccines in clinical trials

Insights over recent years into the interactions between helminths, including schistosomes, and the immune system have generated new concepts in immunology and significant advances in vaccine strategies. Here, we report recent advances that substantially increase our understanding of the nature of the host innate and adaptive responses to schistosomes and on strategies elaborated by the parasite to manipulate such responses. We also describe the long road that has allowed us to move from the identification of an anti-schistosome vaccine candidate, a 28kDa glutathione-S-transferase, to its recent evaluation in human clinical trials.     

Optimal multiple testing and design in clinical trials

A central goal in designing clinical trials is to find the test that maximizes power (or equivalently minimizes required sample size) for finding a false null hypothesis subject to the constraint of type I error. When there is more than one test, such as in clinical trials with multiple endpoints, the issues of optimal design and optimal procedures become more complex. In this paper, we address the question of how such optimal tests should be defined and how they can be found. We review different notions of power and how they relate to study goals, and also consider the requirements of type I error control and the nature of the procedures. This leads us to an explicit optimization problem with objective and constraints that describe its specific desiderata. We present a complete solution for deriving optimal procedures for two hypotheses, which have desired monotonicity properties, and are computationally simple. For some of the optimization formulations this yields optimal procedures that are identical to existing procedures, such as Hommel's procedure or the procedure of Bittman et al. (2009), while for other cases it yields completely novel and more powerful procedures than existing ones. We demonstrate the nature of our novel procedures and their improved power extensively in a simulation and on the APEX study (Cohen et al., 2016).     

Analysis of patient reported outcomes included in the registrational clinical trials of nivolumab for advanced non-small cell lung cancer

In the era of value-based oncology care, stakeholders are increasingly using patient reported outcomes (PROs) to guide clinical and regulatory decisions. PROs are also included in health technology assessments to guide patient access, drug reimbursement and pricing. We reviewed PROs collected in the United States Food and Drug Administration approved indications of nivolumab in advanced NSCLC. We analyzed the PRO data reported in the CheckMate 9LA (NCT03215706), CheckMate 227 (NCT02477826), CheckMate 057 (NCT01673867), and CheckMate 017 (NCT01642004) registrational clinical trials, and concluded that nivolumab alleviated symptom burden and improved health status of patients in this setting. However, inability of the included PRO instruments to measure immune-related adverse events, differences in the timing of PRO evaluation between treatment groups, incomplete patient participation at all time points, limited patient participation in the later time points, and interpretation of the longitudinal data are key challenges that impede accurate analysis and validation of PROs.     

Overview of recent clinical trials of acellular pertussis vaccines.

The evidence from pre-licensure studies does not suggest that there are clinically important differences in reactogenicity between acellular vaccines. The merits of different acellular products will therefore have to be compared on efficacy criteria. Ideally, acellular vaccines with the minimum antigen content necessary to ensure optimum protection should be used in order to avoid administration of superfluous antigens to children and to simplify licensing and batch release procedures.On the basis of the evidence so far available it seems unlikely that monocomponent pertussis toxin (PT) vaccines provide optimal protection and that multicomponent vaccines are needed to achieve a level of disease control that approaches that of a good whole-cell vaccine. It is unclear whether all two component vaccines containing PT and filamentous haemagglutinin (FHA) have similar efficacy but on the available evidence the safest option for policy makers would seem to be to use a vaccine with at least three components, PT+FHA+pertactin. There is now good evidence that the five component vaccine which contains agglutinogens 2 and 3 in addition to PT/FHA and pertactin provides the best protection and is the only acellular vaccine whose efficacy matches that of a good whole cell vaccine. However, the public health advantage of the five component vaccine over other acellular vaccines may not become apparent until they have been in routine use for some decades and their ability to protect against transmission as well as clinical pertussis has emerged.The decision to replace an effective whole-cell vaccine by an acellular vaccine for primary immunisation needs careful consideration. Apart from the probable sacrifice of efficacy for reduced reactogenicity (at least for vaccines which do not contain agglutinogens 2 and 3) there is the question of value for money and the ease with which acellular DTP vaccines can be combined with conjugate polysaccharide vaccines such as Haemophilus influenzae type b.Whatever the decision of policy makers, the need for continued follow up of trial cohorts and active surveillance of the efficacy and safety of those acellular vaccines that are introduced into routine use must be accorded a high priority.     

A Bayesian analysis of the two-period crossover design for clinical trials

Statisticians have been critical of the use of the two-period crossover designs for clinical trials because the estimate of the treatment difference is biased when the carryover effects of the two treatments are not equal. In the standard approach, if the null hypothesis of equal carryover effects is not rejected, data from both periods are used to estimate and test for treatment differences; if the null hypothesis is rejected, data from the first period alone are used. A Bayesian analysis based on the Bayes factor against unequal carryover effects is given. Although this Bayesian approach avoids the "all-or-nothing" decision inherent in the standard approach, it recognizes that with small trials it is difficult to provide unequivocal evidence that the carryover effects of the two treatments are equal, and thus that the interpretation of the difference between treatment effects is highly dependent on a subjective assessment of the reality or not of equal carryover effects.     

Current issues in the design and interpretation of clinical trials.

Though there have been considerable improvements in the use of statistical methods for clinical trials in recent years, there remain major practical difficulties in the design and interpretation of many trials. This paper concentrates on problems relating to randomisation, the overemphasis on significance testing, and the inadequate size of many trials. Each topic is illustrated by examples from recent trials.