Review of dengue virus and the development of a vaccine

Dengue viral infection has become an increasing global health concern with over two-fifths of the world's population at risk of infection. It is the most rapidly spreading vector borne disease, attributed to changing demographics, urbanization, environment, and global travel. It continues to be a threat in over 100 tropical and sub-tropical countries, affecting predominantly children. Dengue also carries a hefty financial burden on the health care systems in affected areas, as those infected seek care for their symptoms. The search for a suitable vaccine for dengue has been ongoing for the last sixty years, yet any effective treatment or vaccine remains elusive. A vaccine must be protective for all four serotypes of dengue and be cost-effective. Many approaches to developing candidate vaccines have been employed. The candidates include live attenuated tetravalent vaccines, chimeric tetravalent vaccines based on attenuated dengue virus or Yellow Fever 17D, and recombinant DNA vaccines based on flavivirus and non-flavivirus vectors. This review outlines the challenges involved in dengue vaccine development and presents the current stages of proposed vaccine candidate development.     

A two-age-classes dengue transmission model

In this paper, we discuss a two-age-classes dengue transmission model with vaccination. The reason to divide the human population into two age classes is for practical purpose, as vaccination is usually concentrated in one age class. We assume that a constant rate of individuals in the child-class is vaccinated. We analyze a threshold number which is equivalent to the basic reproduction number. If there is an undeliberate vaccination to infectious children, which worsens their condition as the time span of being infectious increases, then paradoxically, vaccination can be counter productive. The paradox, stating that vaccination makes the basic reproduction number even bigger, can occur if the worsening effect is greater than a certain threshold, a function of the human demographic and epidemiological parameters, which is independent of the level of vaccination. However, if the worsening effect is to increase virulence so that one will develop symptoms, then the vaccination is always productive. In both situations, screening should take place before vaccination. In general, the presence of class division has obscured the known rule of thumb for vaccination.     

Analysis of a dengue disease transmission model

A model for the transmission of dengue fever in a constant human population and variable vector population is discussed. A complete global analysis is given, which uses the results of the theory of competitive systems and stability of periodic orbits, to establish the global stability of the endemic equilibrium. The control measures of the vector population are discussed in terms of the threshold condition, which governs the existence and stability of the endemic equilibrium.     

Equilibria in systems of interacting structured populations

The existence of a stable positive equilibrium density for a community of k interacting structured species is studied as a bifurcation problem. Under the assumption that a subcommunity of k–1 species has a positive equilibrium and under only very mild restrictions on the density dependent vital growth rates, it is shown that a global continuum of equilibria for the full community bifurcates from the subcommunity equilibrium at a unique critical value of a certain inherent birth modulus for the kth species. Local stability is shown to depend upon the direction of bifurcation. The direction of bifurcation is studied in more detail for the case when vital per unity birth and death rates depend on population density through positive linear functionals of density and for the important case of two interacting species. Some examples involving competition, predation and epidemics are given.     

On the dynamics of dengue epidemics from large-scale information

A model for the spatial and temporal dynamics of dengue fever is proposed in this article. The vector population dynamics is derived from a diffusion equation that is based on environmental parameters at the scale of a remote-sensing image. Vectors and hosts populations are then classically divided into compartments corresponding to their respective disease status. The transmission processes between hosts and vectors are described by a set of differential equations. The link between the vector population diffusion model and the compartmental model enables one to describe both the spatial and temporal dynamics of the disease. Simulations in artificial and actual landscapes show the advantage of using remotely sensed and complementary meteorological data for modelling in a realistic way the geographic spread of a vector-borne disease such as dengue fever.     

一类具有饱和发生率的SEIS模型的全局稳定性

建立并分析了一类具有饱和发生率、在潜伏期具有传染性的SEIS模型.得到了模型的基本再生数R_0和无病平衡点与地方病平衡点全局渐近稳定的充分条件.     

A note on heroin epidemics

We show that the steady states of the White and Comiskey [E. White, C. Comiskey, Heroin epidemics, treatment and ODE modelling, Math. Biosci. 208 (2007) 312-324.] model of heroin epidemics are stable.     

Stochastic eco-epidemiological model of dengue disease transmission by Aedes aegypti mosquito

We present a stochastic dynamical model for the transmission of dengue that takes into account seasonal and spatial dynamics of the vector Aedes aegypti. It describes disease dynamics triggered by the arrival of infected people in a city. We show that the probability of an epidemic outbreak depends on seasonal variation in temperature and on the availability of breeding sites. We also show that the arrival date of an infected human in a susceptible population dramatically affects the distribution of the final size of epidemics and that early outbreaks have a low probability. However, early outbreaks are likely to produce large epidemics because they have a longer time to evolve before the winter extinction of vectors. Our model could be used to estimate the risk and final size of epidemic outbreaks in regions with seasonal climatic variations.     

Role of interleukin-12 in patients with dengue hemorrhagic fever

Interleukin (IL)-12 has a broad range of activities including regulation of cytokine synthesis and selective promotion of Th1-type cell development. A shift from a Th1-type response to Th2-type has been suggested to be important in the pathogenesis of dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF). This study was undertaken to investigate the possible role of IL-12 in this shift. A total of 76 patients with various grades of dengue illness and 21 normal healthy controls were tested for IL-12 levels in serum samples and IL-12 mRNA in their peripheral blood mononuclear cells. The results showed that the levels of IL-12 were the highest in patients with dengue fever (270+/-102 pg ml(-1)) followed by decreasing levels in the patients with DHF grade I (198+/-86 pg ml(-1); P<0.05) and DHF grade II (84+/-52 pg ml(-1); P<0.001). Neither IL-12 nor its mRNA could be detected in the patients with DHF grades III and IV. The cytokine appeared and reached peak levels during the first 4 days of illness, started to decline by day 5-8 and disappeared by day 9 onwards. The absence of IL-12 during severe illness and late phases of the disease may be responsible for the shift to a Th2-type response and thus for the pathogenesis of DHF.     

登革病毒疫苗研究进展

登革病毒属黄病毒属,可通过蚊虫传播,感染人体后可引发一系列临床症状,从轻微发热到严重的并发症,称为登革热、登革出血热以及登革休克综合征。过去50年,全球登革热感染病例增加了约30倍。目前,全球热带、亚热带地区约占世界2/5的人口存在感染风险。由于缺乏有效的治疗药物,疫苗研究已成为登革热疾病防控的重心。然而,由于缺乏对病毒致病机理及病毒感染免疫应答深入的了解,候选疫苗的研发受到阻碍。但经过几十年的努力,疫苗研究取得了明显进展。目前正在研究的登革病毒疫苗依托各种技术平台,种类多样,对正处于临床前研究及临床试验阶段的不同类型疫苗进行阐述。     

Elevated levels of plasma VEGF in patients with dengue hemorrhagic fever

Vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) can be produced by monocytes and endothelial cells. It plays important role in angiogenesis and vascular permeability. The phenomenon of extensive plasma leakage into various serous cavities of the body is a cardinal symptom of dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF). This study was performed to investigate the role of VEGF in patients with DHF. Plasma samples collected from the 53 dengue fever (DF) patients (including 14 patients with DHF), and 5 additional subjects with non-dengue febrile illness as controls were tested for VEGF levels using commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) kits. The results showed that median plasma levels of VEGF in the patients with DHF (54.6 pg ml(-1)) were significantly higher than those of DF (14.6 pg ml(-1)) and control group (27.1 pg ml(-1)) (P<0.05). In addition, VEGF levels in DF patients were not significantly different from those of control patients with non-dengue febrile illness (P=0.17). Multiple regression analysis was used to analyze the clinical variables independently associated with VEGF levels. The data showed that D-dimer levels were significantly associated with VEGF levels. In this study, plasma VEGF levels in patients with DHF were significantly higher than values from DF patients. The association between increased plasma VEGF levels and increased plasma D-dimer levels in the patients with dengue illness suggests that activation of the fibrinolytic system may play a role in VEGF production in the patients with DF.     

Population dynamics of prey exhibiting inducible defenses: the role of associated costs and density-dependence

The effect of antipredator behavior on the dynamics of a resource-consumer model was analyzed in relation to the magnitude of associated costs, and the strength of density-dependence. For this purpose, I present a deterministic continuous resource-consumer model that exhibits biomass conversion, structural homogeneity, and competition for renewable and fixed resources as separate processes. Antipredator behavior is incorporated as an inducible response to consumer density, and has metabolic and feeding costs. By means of numerical methods, I show: (1) that antipredator behavior is stabilizing for certain parameter ranges, where other stabilizing forces do not dominate the dynamics; (2) intraspecific competition for both fixed and renewable resources have a stabilizing role; (3) metabolic cost is always stabilizing, and feeding cost can be stabilizing or destabilizing, depending on the relative strength of the two competition forces.     

Role of cognitive parameters in dengue hemorrhagic fever and dengue shock syndrome

Dengue is becoming recognized as one of the most important vector-borne human diseases. It is predominant in tropical and subtropical zones but its geographical distribution is progressively expanding, making it an escalating global health problem of today. Dengue presents with spectrum of clinical manifestations, ranging from asymptomatic, undifferentiated mild fever, dengue fever (DF), to dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) with or without shock (DSS), a life-threatening illness characterized by plasma leakage due to increased vascular permeability. Currently, there are no antiviral modalities or vaccines available to treat and prevent dengue. Supportive care with close monitoring is the standard clinical practice. The mechanisms leading to DHF/DSS remains poorly understood. Multiple factors have been attributed to the pathological mechanism, but only a couple of these hypotheses are popular in scientific circles. The current discussion focuses on underappreciated factors, temperature, natural IgM, and endotoxin, which may be critical components playing roles in dengue pathogenesis.     

Role of cathepsin B in dengue virus-mediated apoptosis

Dengue virus (DENV) infection is one of the most important mosquito-borne viral diseases, which is endemic in the tropical and sub-tropical regions. Patients with dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) generally present hemorrhagic tendencies, plasma leakage, thrombocytopenia, and hemoconcentration. Hepatic dysfunction is also a crucial feature of DENV infection. Hepatic biopsy specimens obtained from fatal cases of DENV infection show cellular apoptosis, which apparently relate to the pathogenesis. Cathepsins, which are cysteine proteases inside the lysosome, were previously reported to be up-regulated in patients with DHF. However, their functions during DENV infection have not been thoroughly investigated. We show for the first time that DENV induces lysosomal membrane permeabilization. The resulting cytosolic cathepsin B and S contributed to apoptosis via caspase activation. The activity of caspase 3 was significantly reduced in DENV-infected HepG2 cells treatedwith cathepsin B or S inhibitors. Treatment with cathepsin B inhibitor also reduced the activity of caspase 9, suggesting that cathepsin B activates both caspase-9 and caspase-3. Reduced cathepsin B expression, effected by RNA interference, mimicked pharmacological inhibition of the enzyme and confirmed the contribution of cathepsin B to apoptotic events induced by DENV in HepG2 cells.     

Modeling dengue outbreaks

We introduce a dengue model (SEIR) where the human individuals are treated on an individual basis (IBM) while the mosquito population, produced by an independent model, is treated by compartments (SEI). We study the spread of epidemics by the sole action of the mosquito. Exponential, deterministic and experimental distributions for the (human) exposed period are considered in two weather scenarios, one corresponding to temperate climate and the other to tropical climate. Virus circulation, final epidemic size and duration of outbreaks are considered showing that the results present little sensitivity to the statistics followed by the exposed period provided the median of the distributions are in coincidence. Only the time between an introduced (imported) case and the appearance of the first symptomatic secondary case is sensitive to this distribution. We finally show that the IBM model introduced is precisely a realization of a compartmental model, and that at least in this case, the choice between compartmental models or IBM is only a matter of convenience.     

Cytotoxic factor-autoantibodies: possible role in the pathogenesis of dengue haemorrhagic fever

During dengue virus infection a unique cytokine, cytotoxic factor (hCF), is produced that is pathogenesis-related and plays a key role in the development of dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF). However, what regulates the adverse effects of hCF is not known. We have previously shown that anti-hCF antibodies raised in mice, neutralise the pathogenic effects of hCF. In this study we have investigated the presence and levels of hCF-autoantibodies in sera of patients with various severity of dengue illness (n=136) and normal healthy controls (n=50). The highest levels of hCF-autoantibodies (mean+/-S.D.=36+/-20 U ml(-1)) were seen in patients with mild illness, the dengue fever (DF), and 48 out of 50 (96%) of the sera were positive. On the other hand the hCF-autoantibody levels declined sharply with the development of DHF and the levels were lowest in patients with DHF grade IV (mean+/-S.D.=5+/-2 U ml(-1); P=<0.001 as compared to DF). Only one of the 13 DHF grade IV patients had an antibody level above the 'cut-off' value (mean plus 3 S.D. of the control sera). The analysis of data with respect to different days of illness further showed that the highest levels of hCF-autoantibodies were present in DF patients at >9 days of illness. Moreover, the DF patients at all time points, i.e. 1-4, 5-8 and >9 days of illness had significantly higher levels of hCF-autoantibodies (P<0.001) than patients with DHF grade I, II, III and IV. In addition DHF grade I and grade II patients had significantly more positive specimens than DHF grade III and grade IV patients at all time points. These results suggest that elevated levels of hCF-autoantibodies protect the patients against the development of severe forms of DHF and, therefore, it may be useful as a prognostic indicator.     

带有年龄结构的捕食者-食饵模型研究

研究带有年龄结构的捕食者-食饵模型的渐近行为.本文所研究的模型假定捕食者从幼年阶段到成年阶段的转变率依赖于幼年种群的密度,还假定幼年捕食者捕食食饵.本文最终给出了有年龄结构的捕食者-食饵模型的捕食者持久和灭绝的若干条件.