关于巢县人铀系测年争议的两点说明

关于巢县人铀系测年争议的两点说明陈铁梅（北京大学考古系,北京１００８７１）读本期沈冠军、房迎三先生关于巢县人年代文章,我认为争议对我国古人类年代学研究、对争议者本人均是有益的。鉴于我的基本观点在《人类学学报》１４卷２期中已阐明,而不少分歧点由争议者面...     

多维球面模型应用于草原监测数据分析的探讨

 提出分析归纳草原监测多元数据的新数学方法,多维球面模型。M个物种所组成的草原的状态可以用M元向量来表示,向量的长度用来表示草原的量值,向量的方向表示草原组成。从草原监测的角度,草原的相对组成是更重要的,成份变化的比率更能说明问题。在处理草原监测数据中使用向量等比系列和向量等差系列是可行的。等比系列比较能反映生物几何增长的本质。为了纠正中间过程被忽略的弱点,要坚持逐年监测,逐步分析,或使用滑动平均。二阶趋势值可尝试用于解决时间滞后问题,卡门滤波用于降低预报误差。因为草原监测需要使用分种数据,必须以人工监测记录为主,再辅以其它高科技手段,如遥感。     

Disorders of the Menstrual Cycle in Elite Female Ice Hockey Players and Figure Skaters

The purpose of this study was to assess and compare the incidence of delayed menarche and menstrual dysfunction among elite ice hockey players and figure skaters. Forty-three ice hockey players (23.5 ± 4.8 years, 68.2 ± 1.2 kg, 1.68 ± 0.01 m) and 39 figure skaters (17.5 ± 3.4 years, 53.7 ± 5.8 kg, 1.64 ± 0.05 m) completed a self-administered questionnaire on their menstrual status and history, training regimens and lifestyle. Age at menarche did not differ significantly between ice hockey players (13.3 ± 1.3 years) and figure skaters (13.7 ± 1.4 years). Menarche was unrelated to nationality, vigorous training premenarche or age at which the athlete began her sport, but was correlated with the age at menarche of the athletes’ mothers (r = 0.39, p < 0.05). Hormonal contraceptives were used by 35% of ice hockey players and 15% of the figure skaters. Amenorrhea and oligomenorrhea were experienced by 7.1% and 38.7% of postmenarcheal, ice hockey players and figure skaters respectively not using hormonal contraceptives. Menstrual dysfunction was associated with both age and age at menarche in the ice hockey players only. Training factors, and psychological pressure were perceived by the athletes to contribute to menstrual dysfunction. A greater training volume, younger age at commencing sport, lower body mass, greater subjective body image pressure and younger biological and gynaecological age were reported among the figure skaters, and were proposed to explain the higher incidence of menstrual dysfunction among the figure skaters compared with the ice hockey players. Figure skaters appear at increased risk of amenorrhea and oligomenorrhea compared with ice hockey players, which may be linked to training and physical characteristics of the sports.     

时间序列的相似性测度

时间序列（time series）是指按时间顺序排列的观测值集合,在生物信息学研究领域中,DNA序列和基因表达数据都可以视为时间序列数据。时间序列分析中很重要的环节就是刻划两个时间序列或者时间子序列的相似性,用于序列比对等。时间序列的相似性测度是时间序列研究中的基础和重点,直接影响查询、聚类等后续计算的效率和精度,在高通量基因芯片数据分析、基因网络构建等研究中,具有重要的应用,目前已引起了众多研究人员的关注,在欧氏距离的基础上进行了大量的研究,本文综述了基于欧式距离和时间弯曲的时间序列相似性测度及其相关领域的研究进展,可作为进一步研究的参考。     

Perspective: Emerging strategies for determining atomic-resolution structures of macromolecular complexes within cells

In principle, electron cryo-tomography (cryo-ET) of thin portions of cells provides high-resolution images of the three-dimensional spatial arrangement of all members of the proteome. In practice, however, radiation damage creates a tension between recording images at many different tilt angles, but at correspondingly reduced exposure levels, versus limiting the number of tilt angles in order to improve the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). Either way, it is challenging to read the available information out at the level of atomic structure. Here, we first review work that explores the optimal strategy for data collection, which currently seems to favor the use of a limited angular range for tilting the sample or even the use of a single image to record the high-resolution information. Looking then to the future, we point to the alternative of so-called “deconvolution microscopy”, which may be applied to tilt-series or optically-sectioned, focal series data. Recording data as a focal series has the advantage that little or no translational alignment of frames might be needed, and a three-dimensional reconstruction might require only 2/3 the number of images as does standard tomography. We also point to the unexploited potential of phase plates to increase the contrast, and thus to reduce the electron exposure levels while retaining the ability align and merge the data. In turn, using much lower exposures per image could have the advantage that high-resolution information is retained throughout the full data-set, whether recorded as a tilt series or a focal series of images.     

Application Fields of the Empirical Regression - A Case Study

Empirical regression is defined as conditional expected value based on an estimation of a twodimensional density. It is a modelfree mathematical means for a first evaluation of measured data of an unknown stochastical relation between two quantities. The numerical procedures may be applied for calculation of the mean course of an unknown relation hidden in the measured data. Disregarding the statistical background an other aspect of application is the analyzing of time series, especially smoothing of time series and modelfree recording of the trend component in non-stationary time series. The calculated regression curve provides an objective basis for comparing of different measured courses as well as for a further evaluation, e. g. in respect of a suitable choice of an analytical expression. The possibility of interpolation and the smoothing properties of empirical regression give essential advantages for internal regression as one step in the process of model construction.     

Equidirection: A Measure of Similarity Among Time Series

In the present paper we investigate the concept of equidirection, i.e. similarity in the direction of variation, or parallelism in the broader sense, among m (m ≧ 2) times series, especially under the assumption that the time series are realizations of processes with independent increments. However, the processes need not be stationary. Furthermore, the probabilities for the direction of variation may be unstable, in which case only upper and lower bounds are known. A measure based on the concept of equidirection was developed that enables identification of clusters of similar time series and analysis of relationships among variables.     

Fractal dimension of birds population sizes time series

Information about fractal dimension is collected so that it can be applied to time series interpreting Hurst coefficient. The population size of a species is modelled as a dynamic system. The Hurst coefficient is calculated for these times series. A computer programme has been elaborated to compute the Hurst exponent of time series using the algorithms of range increment, second order moment increment and local second order moment increment. It has been applied to time series of birds' populations.     

Does the level of infant mortality affect the rate of decline?: Time series data from 21 countries

Some scholars have suggested that an inverse care law holds for infant mortality--that infant mortality reductions are more rapid in regions with lower infant mortality. This theory has not been subjected to proper quantitative analysis. This paper examines time series data on infant mortality from 21 countries to test whether percentage reductions in infant mortality are larger when infant mortality is lower. We apply the Dickey-Fuller generalized least squares (DFGLS) unit root test to infant mortality rate (IMR) time series data from 21 mostly European nations for 1870-1988 to test the statistical significance of beta in a regression analysis of Deltaln IMR(t)=alpha+beta ln IMR(t-1)+epsilon(t). Evidence that beta is significant and negative would support the claim that infant mortality declines more rapidly when substantial mortality reductions have already been achieved. With the preferred specification, the DFGLS unit root test rejected the inverse benefit hypothesis in all countries except the Netherlands at the 5% and 10% cutoffs and Australia at the 10% cutoff. The rejection of the inverse benefit hypothesis was robust to alternative specifications of the lag structure of IMR and to transformations of IMR other than logarithmic. Based on late 19th and 20th century data from countries in Europe and Latin America, there is scarce evidence that percentage reductions in infant mortality are generally smaller in higher mortality countries. These findings suggest that large percentage reductions in infant mortality are possible for countries at any stage in economic development and are reflective of durable advances in human knowledge, social institutions and physical capital.     

EEG的信息熵分析

用非线性动力学观点来分析ＥＥＧ认为它可能是一个不稳定混沌态,并提出了用信息熵的方法来分析这一混沌态的结构特征。临床观察发现在不同功能下其特征是不一样的,并发现精神病人中信息传递特征参数有“倒置“现象,这对ＥＥＧ分析和临床脑电诊断都是有很大意义的。     

The Statistical Analysis for Incomplete Diallel Cross Series. Fixed Model Analysis of Variance

This paper presents modern statistical methods used for quantitative genetics and plant breeding. It contains biometrioal analysis principles of fixed model for an identical, incomplete diallel cross series. The theory of vector space is used for estimation of parameters assumed in the model and for performance of the analysis of variance. As a result, the estimation of all groups of parameters treated in the model, is independent. Theoretical results are illustrated by numerical examples from winter wheat breeding.     

单离子通道电信号的依赖性

运用时间序列关于信号依赖性的基本理论,讨论了单离子通道电信号的依赖性,得到关于依赖性的简明判别准则．