Risk factors for perinatal mortality in dairy cattle: Cow and foetal factors, calving process

It was the aim of this study to identify risk factors of perinatal mortality (PM) on a large dairy farm in Germany. Four hundred and sixty-three cows were observed continuously around calving. Data such as the lactation number, body condition score, pelvic measurements, duration of second stage of labour (SSL), degree of abdominal press (AP), presentation/position/posture of the calf, calving classification, various measurements of the calves and every action of the barn staff were documented. Calves born dead and those that died within 24 h were classified as cases of PM. Logistic regression was performed to identify risk factors for the dependent variables PM, SSL and AP. 9.7% of all calves born (n = 483) were classified as PM. In the logistic regression model, only SSL and presentation/position/posture of the foetus remained as significant effects for PM. The odds ratio for PM was 0.20, when SSL was ≤120 min, and 0.33, when the calves were born in anterior presentation, upper position and normal posture. With regard to SSL, primipara, insufficient AP, assisted calvings and as a trend, work shift changeover, these were risk factors for a prolonged SSL beyond 120 min. The risk for insufficient AP was lower when the calves were born spontaneously, in anterior presentation and as single calves. In conclusion, the duration of SSL and presentation/position/posture of the calf seemed to be key risk factors for PM. Interventions should be considered when SSL lasts longer than 2 h. Insufficient monitoring around parturition had a negative effect on the duration of SSL and thereby, indirectly on PM.     

Classification of perinatal mortality

A classification based upon pathophysiological mechanisms has been applied to perinatal mortality. The approximate relevance of each group was: fetal insufficiency 40%, respiratory failure 30%, developmental abnormality 20%, and the specific mechanisms 10%. Secondary subclassification of each category according to the maturity of the gestation emphasizes the importance of prematurity in the total perinatal mortality (66%) and the relevance of each pathophysiological mechanism in each phase of maturity. The principal mechanism in the mature group is fetal insufficiency and in the premature group, particularly between 20 and 28 weeks, it is neonatal respiratory failure. Perinatal death due to developmental abnormalities occurs most frequently in the mature infant and due to specific mechanisms in the premature infant, particularly between 29 and 36 weeks. It is suggested that greater emphasis should be placed on perinatal mortality rather than the separate consideration of stillbirth and neonatal mortality.     

Specialized perinatal care: impact on perinatal mortality.

A neonatal intensive care unit was established at one hospital in 1972 when the neonatal mortality was 7.6 and the perinatal mortality 20.9 per 1000 deliveries. In 1973, with full operation of that unit and partial introduction of a high-risk pregnancy unit for fetal monitoring, the rates decreased to 6.4 and 14.9, respectively. With full operation of both units the rates decreased further, to 3.4 and 9.0 in 1974 and 3.8 and 8.9 in 1975. The frequency of cesarean section was 10.1% in 1972-73 and 11.6% in 1974-75. It is concluded that the centralization of obstetric and neonatal care, together with the development of qualified medical and nursing teams, had a major impact in reducing perinatal mortality, and that the frequency of cesarean section was not affected by the introduction of fetal monitoring, although the indications for this precedure became more specific.     

Mormon mortality rates in Canada

Abstract

In the United States, Mormons have been shown to have lower incidence and mortality rates of cancer and other diseases than the general population, a fact which has been attributed to the life style prescribed by the Mormon Church, including abstinence from tobacco, alcohol, coffee, and tea. This study examines Mormon cause‐specific mortality rates in Alberta, Canada, compared to rates for the general population of Alberta and of all Canada. Mormon death rates for most causes were lower than those for Alberta, which are themselves lower than Canadian rates. Mormon death rates for males were higher than for females for most causes, but male and female death rates were more similar among Mormons than in the general population. Causes of death for which Mormons have an average or higher than average risk are either less frequent causes or are less clearly related to dietary habits. Mormons have disproportionately low death rates for many causes which are not clearly related to the use of tobacco, alcohol, coffee, or tea. Further research is needed on the specific effects of different life‐style components and on the possible biological selectivity of the group.     

The Scottish perinatal mortality survey.

Perinatal deaths in single births that occurred in Scotland during 1977 were investigated by case-record analysis. Causes of death were divided into nine categories, an extended version of the Aberdeen classification being used. Out of 1012 single perinatal deaths, 265 were due to fetal abnormality, which in 140 cases was malformation of the central nervous system. Of the 747 normally formed infants, 446 weighed 1500 g or more, of whom 82 died intra partum and 154 were born alive. The largest single cause of death was low birth weight in normally formed babies whose mothers had no complications of pregnancy (302 cases). Of these babies, 103 (34%) were growth-retarded. Rhesus incompatibility (16 deaths) and maternal diabetes (seven deaths) were not major causes of perinatal loss. These results were thought to be valuable in illustrating the main causes of perinatal mortality and directing attention to important issues. Hence a modified version of the study is being continued to see whether yearly audit by regional assessors is a feasible and practical way of monitoring trends in perinatal mortality.     

Cardiovascular disease mortality in Canada.

During the past two decades approximately one half of all deaths in Canada were due to cardiovascular diseases. Ischemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease caused more than 60% and 20% of those deaths respectively. The mortality rates for ischemic heart disease in males increased slightly until 1965 and then dropped substantially, whereas the rates for females, which were declining at least since the early 1960s, accelerated in their decline. As a consequence, the rates for males remain almost twice as high as those for females. The reductions were initially observed in males 25 to 34 years old and in all age groups of females, but became apparent in a wider range of ages in the second period reviewed (1969 through 1977). The mortality of cerebrovascular disease has gradually diminished for both sexes since the 1950s, but the decline has been more pronounced among females, who originally had the higher rate. Marked geographic differences in mortality rates still exist in Canada despite the decline in death rates for both ischemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease in all regions of the country. Surprising regional differences in times of onset of these declines have been demonstrated. For ischemic heart disease Ontario maintains the highest and the Prairies the lowest mortality rates. Quebec, despite a sustained decline, still ranks third, while the Pacific region shows the second-lowest rates in the country. The Atlantic region showed the lowest rates of decline in the period reviewed. The reduction in the mortality of ischemic heart disease in Canada (16.4% between 1969 and 1977) must be considered real for a variety of reasons. Direct evidence is not available to elucidate whether the reduction is the consequence of reduced incidence, increased survival or a combination of the two factors. The potential role of various factors that may have contributed to this decline is briefly discussed in this article.     

Risk factors for mortality in end-stage kidney disease patients under online-hemodiafiltration: three-year follow-up study

The aim of this work was to evaluate the predictors of mortality in a group of end-stage kidney disease (ESRD) patients under dialysis, by performing a three-year follow-up study. From the 236 patients included in this study, 54 patients died during the three-year follow-up period. Our data showed that the risk of death was higher in patients presenting lower levels of mean cell hemoglobin concentration, transferrin, and albumin. Our study showed that poor nutritional status and an inflammatory-induced iron depleted erythropoiesis are important factors for mortality in these patients.     

Prevalence of, and risk factors associated with, perinatal calf mortality in pasture-based Holstein-Friesian cows

Recent publications indicate that the prevalence of perinatal mortality has increased in some dairy industries and an increased proportion of this loss is not associated with the traditional risk factors for perinatal mortality. The objectives of this study were to establish the prevalence of perinatal mortality (calf death within 24 h of calving) in Irish dairy herds and to determine the current significance of putative risk factors in pasture-based management systems. A total of 182 026 records of full-term calvings from Holstein-Friesian dams served by artificial insemination (AI) sires of seven breeds in herds of 20 calvings or more per year were available from the Irish national breeding database over 4 years (2002 to 2005). The prevalence of perinatal mortality was 4.29% (7.7% in primiparae and 3.5% in pluriparae). The likelihood of perinatal mortality increased between 2002 and 2005 and was greatest in June and in winter. There was an interaction (P < 0.001) between the effect of calving assistance and parity with the effect of dystocia on perinatal mortality being greater in primiparae. The odds of perinatal mortality were greater in male (OR = 1.12; P < 0.001) and in twin calves (OR = 5.70-13.36; P < 0.001) and in dams that had perinatal mortality at the previous calving (OR = 4.21; P < 0.001). The logit of the probability of perinatal mortality increased by 0.099 per unit increase in sire predicted transmitting ability (PTA) for direct perinatal mortality. The probability of perinatal mortality increased at an increasing rate in primiparae as animals calved at a younger age relative to the median age at first calving. The only herd-level factor examined, herd size did not affect the odds of perinatal mortality. These data indicate that the prevalence of perinatal mortality in this cattle population is similar to that in other pasture-based dairy systems worldwide. The putative exposures and attributes traditionally associated with perinatal mortality were associated with perinatal mortality in this pasture-based dairy cow population. The practical implication of these results is that as many of the significant risk factors are largely not under management control (year of calving, month of calving, twin calving, primiparity, previous perinatal mortality and foetal gender), herd owners must focus on the significant determinants under their control (age at first calving, sire genetic merit for direct perinatal mortality and both the extent of calving supervision and the degree of assistance), in order to reduce the prevalence of perinatal mortality and improve perinatal welfare.     

Risk factors for pre-treatment mortality among HIV-infected children in rural Zambia: a cohort study

Background

Many HIV-infected children in sub-Saharan Africa enter care at a late stage of disease. As preparation of the child and family for antiretroviral therapy (ART) can take several clinic visits, some children die prior to ART initiation. This study was undertaken to determine mortality rates and clinical predictors of mortality during the period prior to ART initiation.

Methods

A prospective cohort study of HIV-infected treatment-naïve children was conducted between September 2007 and September 2010 at the HIV clinic at Macha Hospital in rural Southern Province, Zambia. HIV-infected children younger than 16 years of age who were treatment-naïve at study enrollment were eligible for analysis. Mortality rates prior to ART initiation were calculated and risk factors for mortality were evaluated.

Results

351 children were included in the study, of whom 210 (59.8%) were eligible for ART at study enrollment. Among children ineligible for ART at enrollment, 6 children died (mortality rate: 0.33; 95% CI:0.15, 0.74). Among children eligible at enrollment, 21 children died before initiation of ART and their mortality rate (2.73 per 100 person-years; 95% CI:1.78, 4.18) was significantly higher than among children ineligible for ART (incidence rate ratio: 8.20; 95% CI:3.20, 24.83). In both groups, mortality was highest in the first three months of follow-up. Factors associated with mortality included younger age, anemia and lower weight-for-age z-score at study enrollment.

Conclusions

These results underscore the need to increase efforts to identify HIV-infected children at an earlier age and stage of disease progression so they can enroll in HIV care and treatment programs prior to becoming eligible for ART and these deaths can be prevented.     

Trends in Extinction Risk for Imperiled Species in Canada

Protecting and promoting recovery of species at risk of extinction is a critical component of biodiversity conservation. In Canada, the Committee on the Status of Endangered Wildlife in Canada (COSEWIC) determines whether species are at risk of extinction or extirpation, and has conducted these assessments since 1977. We examined trends in COSEWIC assessments to identify whether at-risk species that have been assessed more than once tended to improve, remain constant, or deteriorate in status, as a way of assessing the effectiveness of biodiversity conservation in Canada. Of 369 species that met our criteria for examination, 115 deteriorated, 202 remained unchanged, and 52 improved in status. Only 20 species (5.4%) improved to the point where they were ‘not at risk’, and five of those were due to increased sampling efforts rather than an increase in population size. Species outcomes were also dependent on the severity of their initial assessment; for example, 47% of species that were initially listed as special concern deteriorated between assessments. After receiving an at-risk assessment by COSEWIC, a species is considered for listing under the federal Species at Risk Act (SARA), which is the primary national tool that mandates protection for at-risk species. We examined whether SARA-listing was associated with improved COSEWIC assessment outcomes relative to unlisted species. Of 305 species that had multiple assessments and were SARA-listed, 221 were listed at a level that required identification and protection of critical habitat; however, critical habitat was fully identified for only 56 of these species. We suggest that the Canadian government should formally identify and protect critical habitat, as is required by existing legislation. In addition, our finding that at-risk species in Canada rarely recover leads us to recommend that every effort be made to actively prevent species from becoming at-risk in the first place.     

Sex differentials in perinatal mortality in china and Finland

Abstract

This study describes patterns of sex differentials in perinatal mortality in China and Finland. The analysis is based on three population‐based one‐year birth cohorts, one from Qingdao, China, in 1992 and two from Northern Finland in 1966 and 1985–86, comprised of 9,219, 11,422 and 9,207 singletons with at least 28 gestational weeks and 1000 g in birthweight, respectively. Both Finnish cohorts had an excess of male over female perinatal deaths, but in the Chinese cohort girls were more likely to die than boys. The adjusted odds ratio (OR) of perinatal mortality for boys was 1.31 (95 per cent confidence interval [CI] 0.98,1.78) and 1.57 (95 per cent CI 0.89, 2.78) in the Finnish 1966 and 1985–86 cohorts, respectively, and 0.82 (95 per cent CI 0.55,1.20) in the Chinese cohort. The corresponding figure for stillbirths in the Chinese was 0.57 (95 per cent CI 0.33, 0.98), which could explain the total excess of female deaths during the perinatal period. Our results suggest that the role of different social and cultural environments on the existing sex differentials in perinatal mortality between the countries needs further evaluation.     

Risk factors for cardiovascular mortality in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus,a prospective cohort study

Introduction

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a chronic autoimmune disease. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is common and a major cause of mortality. Studies on cardiovascular morbidity are abundant, whereas mortality studies focusing on cardiovascular outcomes are scarce. The aim of this study was to investigate causes of death and baseline predictors of overall (OM), non-vascular (N-VM), and specifically cardiovascular (CVM) mortality in SLE, and to evaluate systematic coronary risk evaluation (SCORE).

Methods

208 SLE patients were included 1995-1999 and followed up after 12 years. Clinical evaluation, CVD risk factors, and biomarkers were recorded at inclusion. Death certificates and autopsy protocols were collected. Causes of death were divided into CVM (ischemic vascular and general atherosclerotic diseases), N-VM and death due to pulmonary hypertension. Predictors of mortality were investigated using multivariable Cox regression. SCORE and standardized mortality ratio (SMR) were calculated.

Results

During follow-up 42 patients died at mean age of 62 years. SMR 2.4 (CI 1.7-3.0). 48% of deaths were caused by CVM. SCORE underestimated CVM but not to a significant level. Age, high cystatin C levels and established arterial disease were the strongest predictors for all- cause mortality. After adjusting for these in multivariable analyses, only smoking among traditional risk factors, and high soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (sVCAM-1), high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), anti-beta2 glycoprotein-1 (abeta2GP1) and any antiphospholipid antibody (aPL) among biomarkers, remained predictive of CVM.

Conclusion

With the exception of smoking, traditional risk factors do not capture the main underlying risk factors for CVM in SLE. Rather, cystatin C levels, inflammatory and endothelial markers, and antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL) differentiate patients with favorable versus severe cardiovascular prognosis. Our results suggest that these new biomarkers are useful in evaluating the future risk of cardiovascular mortality in SLE patients.