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闽北地区四代三化螟发生动态Fuzzy预测模型研究
引用本文:倪炳卿,林永俊.闽北地区四代三化螟发生动态Fuzzy预测模型研究[J].昆虫知识,1996(5).
作者姓名:倪炳卿  林永俊
作者单位:福建省将乐县农业局!353300(倪炳卿),福建省将乐一中!353300(林永俊)
摘    要:根据Fuzzy数学原理和三化螟生物学特性,组建了四代三化螟发生动态综合预测模型经对福建省将乐县16年四代三化螟发生期、发生量回报及1995年的预报,拟合率及正确率均达100%。

关 键 词:Fuzzy  综合预测模型  三化螟  发生动态

Fuzzy forecasting models on population dynamics of the fourth generation of Scirpophaga incertulas(Walker) in northern area of Fujian Province
Ni Bing-Qing.Fuzzy forecasting models on population dynamics of the fourth generation of Scirpophaga incertulas(Walker) in northern area of Fujian Province[J].Entomological Knowledge,1996(5).
Authors:Ni Bing-Qing
Abstract:Based on Fuzzy mathematical methods and biological charecteristics of Scirpophaga incertulas (Walker)the population forecasting models of the forth generation of this pest are proposed. The predicting results including interpolation and extrapolation are reached 100%.
Keywords:Fuzzy  population forecasting models  Scirpophaga incertulas (Walker)  population dynamics  
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