近56年来科尔沁沙地气候变化特征 |
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基金项目: | 国家科技支撑项目,国家自然科学基金 |
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摘 要: | 根据1951-2006年的气温和降水资料,研究了干旱少雨、生态环境脆弱、土地荒漠化严重的科尔沁沙地近56年的气候变化特征.结果表明:1951-2006年,科尔沁沙地的气温以0.28℃·10 a~(-1)的速度上升,远大于全球近50年来0.13℃·10 a~(-1)的平均增温速率;各季节气温都呈上升趋势,冬、春季增温速率极显著(P<0.001),增温速率分别为0.46和0.39℃·10 a~(-1);年最高气温(0.17℃·10 a~(-1))与年最低气温(0.42℃·10 a~(-1))均呈极显著地增加趋势(P<0.01);降水量年际间波动较大,无明显的变化趋势,各季节降水量也没有明显的变化规律;年降水日数呈显著减少趋势(1.3 d·10 a~(-1)),各季的降水日数虽都有逐年减少趋势,但没有达到显著水平;年降水强度和各季降水强度都没有明显的变化规律;年总小雨日数呈显著的减少趋势(P<0.05),减少速率为1.0 d·10 a~(-1).Abstract:Based on the 1951-2006 air temperature and precipitation data from seven meteoro-logical stations in Horqin Sandy Land, the past 56-year climate change characteristics in this semi-arid area with vulnerable eco-environment and severe land desertification were analyzed. From 1951 to 2006, the mean annual air temperature in this area increased by 0. 28℃·10 a~(-1), much higher than the global average value of 0.13℃·10 a~(-1) in recent 50 years. The increasing trend of the temperature appeared in all four seasons, but was only significant in winter and spring (P<0.01), with an increasing rate of 0. 46℃·10 a~(-1) and 0.39℃·10 a~(-1), respec-tively. Both the maximum and the minimum mean annual temperatures increased significantly (P <0. 01), and the increasing rate was about 0.17℃·10 a~(-1) and 0.42℃·10 a~(-1), respec-tively. The annual precipitation fluctuated among years, with no obvious change trend at yearly and seasonal scales, while the precipitation days decreased significantly at yearly scale (1.3 d·10 a~(-1)) but not at seasonal scale. No obvious change patterns were observed in the precipitation intensity both in yearly and seasonal scales. The annual light-rain days decreased significant (P <0.05) in a rate of 1.0 d·10 a~(-1).
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关 键 词: | 科尔沁沙地 气候变化 气候倾向率 气温 降水量 |
Characteristics of climate change in Horqin Sandy Land in past 56 years |
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Authors: | JU Cui-Beng GUANDe-Xin WANGAn-Zhi JINChang-Jie YUAN Feng-Hui TUN Jia-Bing NI Pan |
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Abstract: | Based on the 1951-2006 air temperature and precipitation data from seven meteoro-logical stations in Horqin Sandy Land, the past 56-year climate change characteristics in this semi-arid area with vulnerable eco-environment and severe land desertification were analyzed. From 1951 to 2006, the mean annual air temperature in this area increased by 0. 28℃·10 a~(-1), much higher than the global average value of 0.13℃·10 a~(-1) in recent 50 years. The increasing trend of the temperature appeared in all four seasons, but was only significant in winter and spring (P<0.01), with an increasing rate of 0. 46℃·10 a~(-1) and 0.39℃·10 a~(-1), respec-tively. Both the maximum and the minimum mean annual temperatures increased significantly (P <0. 01), and the increasing rate was about 0.17℃·10 a~(-1) and 0.42℃·10 a~(-1), respec-tively. The annual precipitation fluctuated among years, with no obvious change trend at yearly and seasonal scales, while the precipitation days decreased significantly at yearly scale (1.3 d·10 a~(-1)) but not at seasonal scale. No obvious change patterns were observed in the precipitation intensity both in yearly and seasonal scales. The annual light-rain days decreased significant (P <0.05) in a rate of 1.0 d·10 a~(-1). |
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Keywords: | Horqin Sandy Land climate change climatic trend air temperature preclpltation |
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