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Influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on grass pollen counts in Europe
Authors:Matt Smith  Jean Emberlin  Alicja Stach  Auli Rantio-Lehtimäki  Eric Caulton  Michel Thibaudon  Charlotte Sindt  Siegfried Jäger  Regula Gehrig  Giuseppe Frenguelli  Victoria Jato  F Javier Rodríguez Rajo  Purificación Alcázar  Carmen Galán
Institution:1. National Pollen and Aerobiology Research Unit, University of Worcester, Worcester, UK
2. Laboratory of Aeropalynology, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznan, Poland
3. Aerobiology Unit, University of Turku, Turku, Finland
4. Scottish Centre for Pollen Studies, Napier University, Edinburgh, UK
5. Réseau National de Surveillance Aerobiologique, Montpellier, France
6. HNO Klinik, Wien, Austria
7. Swiss Pollen Network, Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology (MeteoSwiss), Zurich, Switzerland
8. Department of Plant Biology, University of Perugia, Perugia, Italy
9. Department of Plant Biology and Soil Sciences, University of Vigo, Ourense, Spain
10. Department of Plant Biology, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain
Abstract:Relationships between temporal variations in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and grass pollen counts at 13 sites in Europe, ranging from Córdoba in the south-west and Turku in the north-east, were studied in order to determine spatial differences in the amount of influence exerted by the NAO on the timing and magnitude of grass pollen seasons. There were a number of significant (P < 0.05) relationships between the NAO and start dates of the grass pollen season at the 13 pollen-monitoring sites. The strongest associations were generally recorded near to the Atlantic coast. Several significant correlations also existed between winter averages of the NAO and grass pollen season severity. Traditional methods for predicting the start or magnitude of grass pollen seasons have centred on the use of local meteorological observations, but this study has shown the importance of considering large-scale patterns of climate variability like the NAO.
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