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Delinking indicators on regional industry development and carbon emissions: Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei economic band case
Institution:1. School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, 100081 Beijing, China;2. Center for Energy & Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, 100081 Beijing, China;1. College of Economics and Management, Hebei University of Engineering, Handan, 056038, China;2. Centre for Computational Intelligence, De Montfort University, Leicester, LE1 9BH, UK;1. School of Geographic and Oceanographic Sciences, Nanjing University, 163 Xianlin Street, Jiangsu Province 210023, China;2. CEES, Department of Bioscience, University of Oslo, Box 1066 Blindern, NO-0316, Nslo, Norway;3. Institute of Advanced Studies in Humanities and Social Sciences, Nanjing University, 163 Xianlin Street, Jiangsu Province 210023, China;1. School of Finance and Economics, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, 212013, China;2. School of Management, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, 212013, China;3. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China;4. College of Economics and Management, Chungnam National University, Daejeon 305764, Republic of Korea
Abstract:Based on the two-level Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) method and Tapio index, this paper constructed an expanded decomposition model for decoupling elasticity and effort index of industrial carbon emissions, and further quantitatively analyzed the delinking indicators on industry growth and environmental pressures in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) economic band from 1996 to 2010. The results indicate that: (1) together with the rapid economic growth, industrial energy-related carbon emissions in BTH region rose from 44477.43 × 104 t in 1996 to 105602.33 × 104 t in 2006 and then declined to 64426.71 × 104 t in 2010, with an average annual growth rate of 2.94%. Our results also show that carbon emissions in BTH region were dominated by the secondary industry, which accounted for about 80% of total carbon emissions. (2) “Weak decoupling” was the main characteristic during the 9th Five-Year Plan period (1996–2000) and 11th Five-Year Plan period (2006–2010), particularly “strong decoupling” in 2007; while “weak coupling” was the main characteristic during the 10th Five-Year Plan period (2001–2005). (3) The rapid economic growth was the main factor responsible for industrial decoupling blocking. The energy structure and energy intensity made significant contributions to the industrial decoupling progress. The industrial structure effect had varied considerably over the years without showing a clear trend.
Keywords:Industrial development  Carbon emissions  Decoupling  BTH economic band
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