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生态保护政策对岷江上游地区土地利用/覆被的影响
引用本文:刘淼,胡远满,常禹,布仁仓,贺红士,陈宏伟,韩文权.生态保护政策对岷江上游地区土地利用/覆被的影响[J].应用生态学报,2010,21(6):1351-1358.
作者姓名:刘淼  胡远满  常禹  布仁仓  贺红士  陈宏伟  韩文权
作者单位:1.中国科学院沈阳应用生态研究所,沈阳 110016;2. 重庆市地质环境监测总站,重庆 400015
摘    要:采用CLUE-S模型模拟方法,对基于历史发展趋势以及“天然林保护工程”和“退耕还林还草工程”政策下2000-2020年间岷江上游地区土地利用/覆被变化进行了预案分析.结果表明:2000-2020年间,按历史发展趋势,作为研究区景观基质的林地面积将不断减少,而灌木林地和草地面积将不断增加,景观破碎化程度将不断加剧;“天然林保护工程”和“退耕还林还草工程”能够有效增加研究区林地面积,并使草地面积不断下降,同时能够扭转景观破碎化趋势,使景观格局向着更加优化的方向发展.

关 键 词:生态保护政策  景观动态  CLUE-S模型  岷江上游地区      大麦    毒性阈值    淋洗因子    预测模型  

Effects of eco-protection policy on land use/cover in upper reaches of Minjiang River
LIU Miao,HU Yuan-man,CHANG Yu,BU Ren-cang,HE Hong-shi,CHEN Hong-wei,HAN Wen-quan.Effects of eco-protection policy on land use/cover in upper reaches of Minjiang River[J].Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2010,21(6):1351-1358.
Authors:LIU Miao  HU Yuan-man  CHANG Yu  BU Ren-cang  HE Hong-shi  CHEN Hong-wei  HAN Wen-quan
Institution:1.Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang 110016, China;2.Chongqing Geo-Environment Monitoring Station, Chongqing 400015, China
Abstract:By using CLUE-S model,a scenario analysis was made on the land use/cover change in the upper reaches of Minjiang River from 2000 to 2020,based on the historic development trend and the regulations of policies natural forest protection and grain for green. In 2000-2020,according to the historic development trend,the forestland area (landscape matrix) in the study region would have a continual decrease while the shrub land and grassland areas would be increased,and the landscape pattern would be more fragment...
Keywords:eco-protection policy  landscape dynamics  CLUE-S model  upper reaches of Minjiang River    
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