在矿山废弃地上发展可再生能源的潜力——以辽宁省为例

在国内外碳减排压力和我国能源结构调整需求下,我国可再生能源的开发压力较大.矿山具有丰富的废弃土地,发展可再生能源的潜力巨大,在矿山废弃地上开发可再生能源对我国的能源战略具有重要意义.本研究以辽宁省矿山废弃地为例,提出矿山废弃地的生物质能与太阳能发展预案,估算辽宁省矿山废弃地的可再生能源发展潜力.结果表明:辽宁省1227.6 km2的矿山废弃地面积发展可再生能源的潜力较大,不同预案的潜力差异显著.预案1以光伏发电最大化为目标模式,总计可发电量为79.4 TWh,折标煤量32.1 Mt,碳减排量为79.1Mt CO2.预案2以生物质能源利用最大化为目标模式,光伏与生物质能总的发电量可达到31.2~33.1 TWh,折标煤量12.7~13.4 Mt,碳减排量为31.1~33.0 Mt CO2.预案3以矿山能源综合利用最大化为目标并兼顾生态修复的发展模式,光伏与生物质能总的发电量可达到62.3~63.7 TWh,折标煤量25.1~25.7 Mt,碳减排量为62.1~63.5 Mt CO2.3种预案的发电量在31.2~79.4 TWh,占辽宁省2016年总电力消费量的15.3%~38.9%,折标煤量12.7~32.1 Mt,碳减排量为31.1~79.1 Mt CO2.本研究对在矿山废弃地上发展可再生能源潜力及其替代化石能源能力的评估,对于碳减排、能源结构的调整以及矿山废弃地的生态修复具有重要的研究意义.

Potential of renewable energy development on abandoned mine areas: A case study in Liao-ning Province,Norheast China

Under the background of domestic and international pressure of carbon emission reduction and the requirement of energy structure adjustment, renewable energy development is under great pressure in China. Renewable energy development on abandoned mine areas has great potential due to its large area. It has great significance to develop renewable energy on abandoned mine areas for China’s energy strategy. This study proposed the development scenarios of biomass energy and solar energy and estimated the development potential of renewable energy on abandoned mine areas in Liaoning Province. The results showed that the area of abandoned mine areas in Liaoning Pro-vince is 1227.6 km², the potential of renewable energy development is large, and the potential of renewable energy in each scenario is quite different. In scenario 1, with the goal mode of maximizing the generation of photovoltaic power, the total generating capacity is 79.4 TWh, the total coal discount is 32.1 Mt standard coal, and the carbon reduction is 79.1 Mt CO₂. In scenario 2, with the goal mode of maximizing biomass energy utilization, the total power generation from photovoltaic and biomass energy is 31.2-33.1 TWh, the total coal discount is 12.7-13.4 Mt standard coal, and the carbon emission reduction is 31.1-33.0 Mt CO₂. In scenario 3, with the goal mode of maximizing comprehensive utilization of mine energy and consideration of ecological restoration, the total gene-rating capacity from photovoltaic and biomass energy is 62.3-63.7 TWh, the total coal discount is 25.1-25.7 Mt standard coal, and the carbon emission reduction is 62.1-63.5 Mt CO₂. Under the three scenarios, the generation capacity range of is 31.2-79.4 TWh, accounting for 15.3%-38.9% of the total power consumption in Liaoning Province in 2016, which could be converted into 12.7-32.1 Mt standard coal, and contribute to a reduction of 31.1-79.1 Mt CO₂ emission. The calculations of new energy development potential on abandoned mine areas and quantification of its capacity of alternatives to fossil energy will be helpful for carbon emission reduction, energy structure adjustment, and the recovery of the mining ecosystem.