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Regional environmental simulation of African cattle herding societies
Authors:J R Krummel  R V O'Neill  J B Mankin
Institution:(1) Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee;(2) Computer Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA;(3) Present address: Energy and Environmental Systems Division, Argonne National Laboratory, 60439 Argonne, Illinois
Abstract:Regional analyses of the interaction between human populations and natural resources must integrate landscape scale environmental problems. An approach that considers human culture, environmental processes, and resource needs offers an appropriate methodology. With this methodology, we analyze problems of food availability in African cattle-keeping societies. The analysis interrelates cattle biomass, forage availability, milk and blood production, crop yields, gathering, food subsidies, population, and variable precipitation. While an excess of cattle leads to overgrazing, cattle also serve as valuable food storage mechanisms during low rainfall periods. Food subsidies support higher population levels but do not alter drought-induced population fluctuations. Variable precipitation patterns require solutions that stabilize year-to-year food production and also address problems of overpopulation.
Keywords:regional  East Africa  cattle  simulation  food supply
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