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Remote sensing and geographic information systems in the spatial temporal dynamics modeling of infectious diseases
Authors:Peng Gong  Bing Xu  Song Liang
Institution:(1) State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Jointly Sponsored by the Institute of Remote Sensing Applications, Chinese Academy of Sciences and Beijing Normal University, Box 9718, Beijing, 100101, China;(2) Department of Geography, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112, USA;(3) School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
Abstract:Similar to species immigration or exotic species invasion,infectious disease transmis-sion is strengthened due to the globalization of human activities. Using schistosomiasis as an exam-ple,we propose a conceptual model simulating the spatio-temporal dynamics of infectious diseases. We base the model on the knowledge of the interrelationship among the source,media,and the hosts of the disease. With the endemics data of schistosomiasis in Xichang,China,we demonstrate that the conceptual model is feasible; we introduce how remote sensing and geographic information systems techniques can be used in support of spatio-temporal modeling; we compare the different effects caused to the entire population when selecting different groups of people for schistosomiasis control. Our work illustrates the importance of such a modeling tool in supporting spatial decisions. Our mod-eling method can be directly applied to such infectious diseases as the plague,lyme disease,and hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome. The application of remote sensing and geographic informa-tion systems can shed light on the modeling of other infectious disease and invasive species studies.
Keywords:spatio-temporal modeling  spatial connectivity  prevention and control of infectious diseases  biological invasion  
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