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Linear analysis solves two puzzles in population dynamics: the route to extinction and extinction in coloured environments
Authors:Ripa,&   Heino
Affiliation:Department of Theoretical Ecology, Ecology Building, Lund University, S-223 62 Lund, Sweden,;Division of Population Biology, Box 17, FIN-00014 University of Helsinki, Finland
Abstract:In this paper, we give simple explanations to two unsolved puzzles that have emerged in recent theoretical studies in population dynamics. First, the tendency of some model populations to go extinct from high population densities, and second, the positive effect of autocorrelated environments on extinction risks for some model populations. Both phenomena are given general explanations by simple, linear, sto-chastic models. We emphasize the predictive and explanatory power of such models.
Keywords:Autocorrelation    environmental stochasticity    extinction risk    linear models    stochastic population dynamics
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