Asymptotic behavior of some stochastic difference equation population models

We consider a general class of Markov population models formulated as stochastic difference equations. The population density is shown to converge either to 0, to +, or to a unique stationary distribution concentrated on (0, +), depending on the signs of the mean log growth rates near 0 and +. These results are applied to the Watkinson-MacDonald bottleneck model of annual plants with a seedbank, extended to allow for random environmental fluctuations and competition among co-occurring species. We obtain criteria for long-term persistence of single-species populations, and for coexistence of two competing species, and the biological significance of the criteria is discussed. The lamentably few applications to the problem at hand of classical limit-theory for Markov chains are surveyed.