首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     


Seasonality and Outbreaks in West Nile Virus Infection
Authors:Gustavo Cruz-Pacheco  Lourdes Esteva  Cristobal Vargas
Affiliation:(1) IIMAS, UNAM, Mexico City, 04510, Mexico;(2) Departamento de Matemáticas, Facultad de Ciencias, UNAM, Mexico City, 04510, Mexico;(3) Departamento de Control Automático, CINVESTAV–IPN, A.P. 14-740, Mexico City, 07000, Mexico
Abstract:
In this paper we analyze the impact of seasonal variations on the dynamics of West Nile Virus infection. We are interested in the generation of new epidemic peaks starting from an endemic state. In many cases, the oscillations generated by seasonality in the dynamics of the infection are too small to be observable. The interplay of this seasonality with the epidemic oscillations can generate new outbreaks starting from the endemic state through a mechanism of parametric resonance. Using experimental data we present specific cases where this phenomenon is numerically observed.
Keywords:Arbovirus  West Nile Virus  Seasonality  Outbreak  Oscillations  Parametric resonance
本文献已被 SpringerLink 等数据库收录!
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号