A new traffic congestion prediction strategy (TCPS) based on edge computing

Real-time accurate traffic congestion prediction can enable Intelligent traffic management systems (ITMSs) that replace traditional systems to improve the efficiency of traffic and reduce traffic congestion. The ITMS consists of three main layers, which are: Internet of Things (IoT), edge, and cloud layers. Edge can collect real-time data from different routes through IoT devices such as wireless sensors, and then it can compute and store this collected data before transmitting them to the cloud for further processing. Thus, an edge is an intermediate layer between IoT and cloud layers that can receive the transmitted data through IoT to overcome cloud challenges such as high latency. In this paper, a novel real-time traffic congestion prediction strategy (TCPS) is proposed based on the collected data in the edge’s cache server at the edge layer. The proposed TCPS contains three stages, which are: (i) real-time congestion prediction (RCP) stage, (ii) congestion direction detection (CD²) stage, and (iii) width change decision (WCD) stage. The RCP aims to predict traffic congestion based on the causes of congestion in the hotspot using a fuzzy inference system. If there is congestion, the CD² stage is used to detect the congestion direction based on the predictions from the RCP by using the Optimal Weighted Naïve Bayes (OWNB) method. The WCD stage aims to prevent the congestion occurrence in which it is used to change the width of changeable routes (CR) after detecting the direction of congestion in CD². The experimental results have shown that the proposed TCPS outperforms other recent methodologies. TCPS provides the highest accuracy, precision, and recall. Besides, it provides the lowest error, with values equal to 95%, 74%, 75%, and 5% respectively.