| 我国洪涝灾害受灾及成灾面积的预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 温书,陈平,达庆利.我国洪涝灾害受灾及成灾面积的预测分析[J].生物数学学报,2000,15(4):452-456. |
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| 作者姓名： | 温书 陈平 达庆利 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 淮阴工学院基础部,江苏淮阴,223001
2. 东南大学数学系和管理学院,江苏南京,210096 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家重点科技项目之专题资助(96-908-03-04) |
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| 摘 要： | 运用ＳＡＳ软件的非线性回归，并结合马尔可夫链方法建立了因洪涝灾害造成的我国农田受灾及成灾面积的２个预测模型，结果表明本文所作的预测效果较好，为我国的灾害预测提供了一种方便实用的方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 洪涝灾害 预测 非线性回归 马尔可夫链 农田 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-9626(2000)04-0452-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 1999年9月30日 |
Prediction and Analysis for the Disaster Area Caused by Flood and Waterlogging in Our Country |
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| WEN Shu,CHEN Ping,DA Qing-Li.Prediction and Analysis for the Disaster Area Caused by Flood and Waterlogging in Our Country[J].Journal of Biomathematics,2000,15(4):452-456. |
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| Authors: | WEN Shu CHEN Ping DA Qing-Li |
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| Abstract: | By NLIN procedure of SAS software and the method of Markov chain, we propose two predictive models for disaster area and destroyed area caused by flood and waterlogging in our country. It is shown that the prediction is fairly good. Which affords a useful method for the disaster prediction in our country. |
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| Keywords: | Flood and waterlogging disaster Software Prediction Nonlinear regression Markov chain |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
