Model analysis of circadian rhythms in mouse epidermal basal cell proliferation

Computer simulations were made of circadian variations in six observed cell kinetic variables in the basal cell layer of hairless mouse epidermis. Different mathematical models were used and simultaneously fitted to all observed variables by an automatic method. The analysis shows that the origin of the circadian variations in cell kinetics in hairless mouse epidermis is not in the G₁ phase or at the $\text{G}{}_1\text{S}$ transition alone as concluded from other studies, but must result from circadian variations in the duration of S and G₂ phases. The results show that the data are compatible with the existence of circadian variations in the G₁- and M-phase durations, although such variations, unlike the S and G₂ variations, was not necessary to obtain a good fit of the model to the data. The results also indicate that the data are compatible with the existence of transient resting states of limited duration in S- and G₂-phases.