FEV1 Is a Better Predictor of Mortality than FVC: The PLATINO Cohort Study

Objective

To determine whether the presence of chronic obstructive lung disease (COPD) and reduction of lung function parameters were predictors of mortality in a cohort.

Materials/Patients and Methods

Population based cohorts were followed in Montevideo, Santiago and Sao Paulo during 5, 6 and 9 years, respectively. Outcomes included all-cause, cardiovascular, respiratory and cancer mortality; exposures were COPD, forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV₁) and forced vital capacity (FVC). Cox regression was used for analyses. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, receiver operator characteristics curves and Youden''s index were calculated.

Results

Main causes of death were cardiovascular, respiratory and cancer. Baseline COPD was associated with overall mortality (HR = 1.43 for FEV₁/FVC1/FEV₆ 1 was risk for overall and respiratory mortality (both genders combined). FVC was not associated with overall mortality. For most COPD criteria sensitivity was low and specificity high. The area under the curve for FEV₁ was greater than for FVC for overall and cardiovascular mortality.

Answer to the Question

COPD and low FEV₁ are important predictors for overall and cardiovascular mortality in Latin America.