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Integrated Analysis of Environment,Cattle and Human Serological Data: Risks and Mechanisms of Transmission of Rift Valley Fever in Madagascar
Authors:Marie-Marie Olive  Véronique Chevalier  Vladimir Grosbois  Annelise Tran  Soa-Fy Andriamandimby  Benoit Durand  Jean-Pierre Ravalohery  Seta Andriamamonjy  Fanjasoa Rakotomanana  Christophe Rogier  Jean-Michel Heraud
Abstract:BackgroundRift Valley fever (RVF) is a vector-borne disease affecting ruminants and humans. Madagascar was heavily affected by RVF in 2008–2009, with evidence of a large and heterogeneous spread of the disease. The identification of at-risk environments is essential to optimize the available resources by targeting RVF surveillance in Madagascar. Herein, the objectives of our study were: (i) to identify the environmental factors and areas favorable to RVF transmission to both cattle and human and (ii) to identify human behaviors favoring human infections in Malagasy contexts.Conclusions/SignificanceOur integrated approach analyzing environmental, cattle and human datasets allow us to bring new insight on RVF transmission patterns in Madagascar. The association between cattle seroprevalence, humid environments and high cattle density suggests that concomitant vectorial and direct transmissions are critical to maintain RVF enzootic transmission. Additionally, in the at-risk humid environment of the western, north-western and the eastern-coast areas, suitable to Culex and Anopheles mosquitoes, vectorial transmission probably occurs in both cattle and human. The relative contribution of vectorial or direct transmissions could be further assessed by mathematic modelling.
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