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Competing risks analysis in mountain pine beetle dynamics
Authors:Walter E Cole
Institution:1. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, 84401, Ogden, Utah, U.S.A.
Abstract:This paper presents an application and evaluation of competing risks analysis (Chiang , 1968) of mountain pine beetle life tables. Three known and one group of unknown risks are used. Interpretation of the results imply that only the crude probability of death from a specific cause is applicable to this situation; net and partial crude probabilities are yet incomplete. None of the risks (factors of mortality) exerted sufficient influence upon the population to be considered factors of regulation or reduction. Evidence remains that the mountain pine beetle is food-regulated at optimum temperature conditions and temperature-regulated at optimum food conditions.
Keywords:Life Table  Beetle Population  Unknown Risk  Brood Production  Compete Risk Analysis
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