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Background gamma radiation and childhood cancer in Germany: an ecological study
Authors:Email authorEmail author  Bernd?Grosche  Martin?Bleher  Peter?Kaatsch  Peter?Scholz-Kreisel  Maria?Blettner
Institution:1.German Childhood Cancer Registry at the Institute for Medical Biometry, Epidemiology and Informatics,University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz,Mainz,Germany;2.Federal Office for Radiation Protection,Oberschleissheim,Germany;3.Institute for Medical Biometry, Epidemiology and Informatics,University Medical center of the Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz,Mainz,Germany
Abstract:The relationship of low-dose background gamma radiation and childhood leukaemia was investigated in a number of studies. Results from these studies are inconclusive. Therefore, in the present study 25 years of German childhood cancer data were analyzed using interpolated background annual gamma dose rate per community in an ecological study. The main question was leukaemia; as exploratory questions we investigate central nervous system (CNS) tumours, thyroid carcinomas and diagnoses less likely to be related to radiation. A Poisson regression model was applied and a fractional polynomial model building procedure. As the main sensitivity analysis a community deprivation index was included as a potential confounder. It was found that outdoor background gamma annual dose rates in Germany range roughly from 0.5–1.5 mSv/a with an average of 0.817 mSv/a. No association of annual ambient gamma dose rates with leukaemia incidence was found. Amongst the exploratory analyses, a strong association was found with CNS tumour incidence rate ratio for 1.5 vs 0.5 mSv/a: 1.35; 95% confidence interval (1.17, 1.57)]. The community level deprivation index was not a confounder. It is concluded that the present study did not confirm an association of annual outdoor ambient gamma dose rate and childhood leukaemia, corresponding to some studies and contrasting others. An association with CNS incidence was found in the exploratory analyses. As this is an ecological study no causal interpretation is possible.
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