Who was the infector—probabilities in the presence of variability in latent and infectious times |
| |
Authors: | Åke Svensson |
| |
Institution: | 1. Department of Mathematics, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
|
| |
Abstract: | The probability that an observed infection has been transmitted from a particular member of a set of potential infectors is calculated. The calculations only use knowledge of the times of infection. It is shown that the probabilities depend on individual variability in latent and infectious times. The analysis are based on different background information and different assumptions on the progress of infectivity. The results are illustrated by numerical calculations and simulations. |
| |
Keywords: | |
本文献已被 SpringerLink 等数据库收录! |
|