Bayesian Estimation of the Number of Species using Noninformative Priors

Consider a sample of animal abundances collected from one sampling occasion. Our focus is in estimating the number of species in a closed population. In order to conduct a noninformative Bayesian inference when modeling this data, we derive Jeffreys and reference priors from the full likelihood. We assume that the species' abundances are randomly distributed according to a distribution indexed by a finite‐dimensional parameter. We consider two specific cases which assume that the mean abundances are constant or exponentially distributed. The Jeffreys and reference priors are functions of the Fisher information for the model parameters; the information is calculated in part using the linear difference score for integer parameter models (Lindsay & Roeder 1987). The Jeffreys and reference priors perform similarly in a data example we consider. The posteriors based on the Jeffreys and reference priors are proper. (© 2008 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)