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Stochastic models for the spread of HIV in a mobile heterosexual population
Authors:Sani A  Kroese D P  Pollett P K
Affiliation:Department of Mathematics, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia. asani@maths.uq.edu.au
Abstract:
An important factor in the dynamic transmission of HIV is the mobility of the population. We formulate various stochastic models for the spread of HIV in a heterosexual mobile population, under the assumptions of constant and varying population sizes. We also derive deterministic and diffusion analogues for these models, using a convenient rescaling technique, and analyze their stability conditions and equilibrium behavior. We illustrate the dynamic behavior of the models and their approximations via a range of numerical experiments.
Keywords:HIV/AIDS   Mobility   Multiple patches   Epidemiology   Density dependent Markov process   Diffusion approximation
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