| 昆虫种群动态非线性建模理论与应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵中华,沈佐锐. 昆虫种群动态非线性建模理论与应用[J]. 生物数学学报, 2001, 16(4): 439-447 |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵中华 沈佐锐 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国农业大学IPMIST实验室,北京,100094 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(39870493) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文以非线性动力学为基础，对自然界中昆虫种群动态的复杂性、不确定性进行了建模方法的探讨，在讨论了昆虫种群动态的混沌与非线性时间序列预测方法的前提下，以山东省玉米螟等种群动态资料进行了实例分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 昆虫 种群动态 非线性建模 混沌 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-9626(2001)04-0439-09 |
| 修稿时间： | 1999-10-20 |
Non-Linear Modelling of Insect Population Dynamics with Theoretical and Case-Apllied Discussion |
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| ZHAO Zhong-hua,SHEN Zuo-rui. Non-Linear Modelling of Insect Population Dynamics with Theoretical and Case-Apllied Discussion[J]. Journal of Biomathematics, 2001, 16(4): 439-447 |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Zhong-hua SHEN Zuo-rui |
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| Abstract: | In this paper we use the theory of non-linear dynamics in discussion of how to modelling the complexity and uncertainty which are inherent in insect population dynamics. Focusing on the chaotic and non-linear time series forecasting methods, the discussion deals with recorded data of Ostrinia furnacalis population dynamics that were collected in Shandong Province as a case study to give a statement on the theory in its application to agricultural pest forecasting. |
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| Keywords: | Insect Population dynamics Non-linear modelling Chaos |
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