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Beyond Our Original Horizons: the Tropicalization of Beverton and Holt
Authors:Daniel Pauly
Affiliation:(1) Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia, 2204 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC, Canada, V6T 1Z4
Abstract:
The extension into tropical areas of Beverton and Holt's yield per recruit approach for stock assessment represents a straightforward case of lsquonormal sciencersquo, the common Kuhnian counterpart to his much rarer lsquoparadigm shiftsrsquo. It is shown that the normal science which, in recent decades, has led to new methods for estimating growth, mortality and other statistics required for yield per recruit analyses in data-sparse environments, has not only enriched fisheries science and aquatic biology as a whole, but has also contributed to identify the limitations of the single-species research programme originally defined by Beverton and Holt. The most likely prospect for that programme, in the tropics and elsewhere, is to become a component of the lsquomultispeciesrsquo, or rather lsquoecosystemrsquo approach that is emerging, and to which Beverton and Holt will have contributed many of the concepts, and much of the rigour.
Keywords:Beverton  gear selection  growth  Holt  mortality  multispecies modelling  Y/R analysis
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