Beyond “beyond GDP indicators:” The need for reflexivity in science for governance

“Beyond GDP” initiatives flag the limits of the quantitative indicators of progress currently used for governance. Focusing on the quality assessment of quantitative information used for governance, we use some of the conceptual tools of theoretical ecology and evolutionary biology in order to identify the pre-analytical choices that determine the usefulness and pertinence of a model. Starting from the definition of a model as a formal representation of a specific and necessarily subjective observation, we show that the production of indicators is the final result of a series of decisions on what to observe and how. These choices, in turn, depend on the narrative, or set of narratives, adopted. Narratives provide causality and context to knowledge claims and are needed to select the indicators to be used for policy. Moving beyond the GDP debate requires reflexivity, that is, awareness of the key role that pre-analytical choices play in the definition of both the relevance of the chosen perceptions and narratives (determined by the normative stands of different actors – who defines wellbeing?), and the usefulness of the chosen models and data (determined by the pertinence of the resulting representation – how to measure wellbeing?). Reflexivity is essential in order to take into account the purposes for which different indicators were created and to define new purposes for the “beyond GDP” indicators.     

Alterations in peripheral joint muscle force control in adults with musculoskeletal disease,injury, surgery,or arthroplasty: A systematic review and meta-analysis

PurposeTo systematically review and analyse whether musculoskeletal conditions affect peripheral joint muscle force control (i.e. magnitude and/or complexity of force fluctuations).MethodsA literature search was conducted using MEDLINE, CINAHL and SPORTDiscus databases (from inception-8th April 2021) for studies involving: 1) participants with musculoskeletal disease, injury, surgery, or arthroplasty in the peripheral joints of the upper/lower limb; 2) comparison with an unaffected control group or unaffected contralateral limb; and 3) measures of the magnitude and/or complexity of force fluctuations during targeted isometric contractions. The methodological quality of studies was evaluated using a modified Downs and Black Quality Index. Studies were combined using the standardized mean difference (SMD) in a random-effects model.Results14 studies (investigating 694 participants) were included in the meta-analysis. There was a significant effect of musculoskeletal conditions on peripheral joint muscle force coefficient of variation (CV; SMD = 0.19 [95 % CI 0.06, 0.32]), whereby individuals with musculoskeletal conditions exhibited greater CV than controls. Subgroup analyses revealed that CV was only greater: 1) when comparison was made between symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals (rather than between affected and contralateral limbs; SMD = 0.22 [95 % CI 0.07, 0.38]); 2) for conditions of the knee (SMD = 0.29 [95 % CI 0.14, 0.44]); and 3) for ACL injury post-surgery (SMD = 0.56 [95 % CI 0.36, 0.75]).ConclusionMusculoskeletal conditions result in an increase in peripheral joint muscle force CV, with this effect dependent on study design, peripheral joint, and surgical status. The greater force CV is indicative of decreased force steadiness and could have implications for long-term tissue health/day-to-day function.     

Morphostructural constraints and phylogenetic overprint on sutural frilling in Late Jurassic ammonites

The functional significance of frilled septa and complex sutures in ammonoids has generated ongoing debate. The 'classic' hypothesis envisages ammonoid shells and septa as designed for resisting ambient hydrostatic pressure, complex sutures being the evidence of strength in shells for colonization of deep habitats. Here we address the 'suture problem', focusing on the analysis and interpretation of variables in our database of Late Jurassic ammonites not included in previous studies, such as whorl height ( W h ), whorl shape ( S ), shell coiling ( WD ), taxonomic grouping and basic planispiral shell shape. The results indicate that sutural complexity, as measured by the fractal dimension ( D f ) value of the suture line, is positively correlated with W h , and that the sutures of oceanic shells tend to provide, for a given W h value, lower D f estimates than do those of neritic shells. No general trend of increase in sutural complexity was noted for specimens recovered from swell areas belonging to oceanic fringes with respect to those that inhabited epicontinental shelves. In fact, Perisphinctoidea, the clade best represented in the database analysed, shows a higher D f mean value in neritic species than in epioceanic ones. Significant differences in sutural complexity were detected for groups of ammonites classified according to shell shapes ( WD , S ). Oxycones and discocones, streamlined potential swimmers, show the highest D f mean values, while spherocones and cadicones, which were presumably vertical vagrants, present the lowest ones. This indicates that sutural complexity was more related to shell geometry than to bathymetry.     

Correlation between interaction strengths drives stability in large ecological networks

Food webs have markedly non‐random network structure. Ecologists maintain that this non‐random structure is key for stability, since large random ecological networks would invariably be unstable and thus should not be observed empirically. Here we show that a simple yet overlooked feature of natural food webs, the correlation between the effects of consumers on resources and those of resources on consumers, substantially accounts for their stability. Remarkably, random food webs built by preserving just the distribution and correlation of interaction strengths have stability properties similar to those of the corresponding empirical systems. Surprisingly, we find that the effect of topological network structure on stability, which has been the focus of countless studies, is small compared to that of correlation. Hence, any study of the effects of network structure on stability must first take into account the distribution and correlation of interaction strengths.     

基于复杂性度量的心率变异信号非线性分析

假设心率变异信号是累积－发放模型（Ｉｎｔｅｇｒａｔｅ－ｆｉｒｅ）与非线性动力学系统耦合产生的峰电位链（ＳｐｉｋｅＴｒａｉｎ）。以符号动力学为基础,提出利用峰电位间隔（ｉｎｔｅｒｓｐｉｋｅｉｎｔｅｒｖａｌ,ＩＳＩ）及其随机替代数据的Ｃ１、Ｃ２复杂度来定量刻划非线性动力学系统特性。结果表明：确定性驱动产生的峰电位间隔序列可以与随机性驱动产生的峰电位间隔序列区分开。因此,在噪声干扰较强的生理信号中,尤其是在不清楚非线性动力系统变量和峰电位间隔序列之间是否存在微分同胚的情况下,以复杂性度量来代替以Ｔａｋｅｎｓ嵌入定理为基础的关联维数、Ｌｙａｐｎｏｖ指数等描述动力系统特征的方法是合适的。最后通过２类共３７个个体,每个个体的心电数据为１０００个Ｒ－Ｒ间期的微分序列检验心率变异信号的非线性结构。     

Approximations, idealizations and 'experiments' at the physics-biology interface

This paper, which is based on recent empirical research at the University of Leeds, the University of Edinburgh, and the University of Bristol, presents two difficulties which arise when condensed matter physicists interact with molecular biologists: (1) the former use models which appear to be too coarse-grained, approximate and/or idealized to serve a useful scientific purpose to the latter; and (2) the latter have a rather narrower view of what counts as an experiment, particularly when it comes to computer simulations, than the former. It argues that these findings are related; that computer simulations are considered to be undeserving of experimental status, by molecular biologists, precisely because of the idealizations and approximations that they involve. The complexity of biological systems is a key factor. The paper concludes by critically examining whether the new research programme of 'systems biology' offers a genuine alternative to the modelling strategies used by physicists. It argues that it does not.     

Trophic theory of island biogeography

MacArthur and Wilson's Theory of Island Biogeography (TIB) is among the most well-known process-based explanations for the distribution of species richness. It helps understand the species-area relationship, a fundamental pattern in ecology and an essential tool for conservation. The classic TIB does not, however, account for the complex structure of ecological systems. We extend the TIB to take into account trophic interactions and derive a species-specific model for occurrence probability. We find that the properties of the regional food web influence the species-area relationship, and that, in return, immigration and extinction dynamics affect local food web properties. We compare the accuracy of the classic TIB to our trophic TIB to predict community composition of real food webs and find strong support for our trophic extension of the TIB. Our approach provides a parsimonious explanation to species distributions and open new perspectives to integrate the complexity of ecological interactions into simple species distribution models.     

Food-web complexity emerging from ecological dynamics on adaptive networks

Food webs are complex networks describing trophic interactions in ecological communities. Since Robert May's seminal work on random structured food webs, the complexity-stability debate is a central issue in ecology: does network complexity increase or decrease food-web persistence? A multi-species predator-prey model incorporating adaptive predation shows that the action of ecological dynamics on the topology of a food web (whose initial configuration is generated either by the cascade model or by the niche model) render, when a significant fraction of adaptive predators is present, similar hyperbolic complexity-persistence relationships as those observed in empirical food webs. It is also shown that the apparent positive relation between complexity and persistence in food webs generated under the cascade model, which has been pointed out in previous papers, disappears when the final connection is used instead of the initial one to explain species persistence.