Nipah virus (NiV) is a zoonotic virus that can pose a serious threat to human and livestock health. Old-world fruit bats (Pteropus spp.) are the natural reservoir hosts for NiV, and Pteropus lylei, Lyle’s flying fox, is an important host of NiV in mainland Southeast Asia. NiV can be transmitted from bats to humans directly via bat-contaminated foods (i.e., date palm sap or fruit) or indirectly via livestock or other intermediate animal hosts. Here we construct risk maps for NiV spillover and transmission by combining ecological niche models for the P. lylei bat reservoir with other spatial data related to direct or indirect NiV transmission (livestock density, foodborne sources including fruit production, and human population). We predict the current and future (2050 and 2070) distribution of P. lylei across Thailand, Cambodia, and Vietnam. Our best-fit model predicted that central and western regions of Thailand and small areas in Cambodia are currently the most suitable habitats for P. lylei. However, due to climate change, the species range is predicted to expand to include lower northern, northeastern, eastern, and upper southern Thailand and almost all of Cambodia and lower southern Vietnam. This expansion will create additional risk areas for human infection from P. lylei in Thailand. Our combined predictive risk maps showed that central Thailand, inhabited by 2.3 million people, is considered highly suitable for the zoonotic transmission of NiV from P. lylei. These current and future NiV transmission risk maps can be used to prioritize sites for active virus surveillance and developing awareness and prevention programs to reduce the risk of NiV spillover and spread in Thailand.
相似文献In total, 160 ticks infesting cattle in the northeast region of Thailand were collected and used for molecular investigation. Three tick species—Rhipicephalus microplus Canestrini, Rhipicephalus haemaphysaloides Supino and Haemaphysalis bispinosa Neumann—were identified based on morphology and DNA sequences of mitochondrial cytochrome c oxidase subunit 1 (CO1) and 16S ribosomal RNA (16S rRNA). In total, 26 and seven unique haplotypes of the CO1 and 16S rRNA genes, respectively, were recovered. Phylogenetic analysis using the CO1 sequence revealed that the R. microplus from northeastern Thailand were grouped into the previously described clades A and C, whereas the 16S rRNA phylogenetic tree assigned all isolates of R. microplus from Northeast Thailand into the previously described clade B. Clade C of the CO1 phylogenetic tree is a new genetic assemblage recently discovered from India and Malaysia, which has now been detected in our study. The haplotype network also demonstrated that R. microplus is divided into two haplogroups corresponding to the assemblage of the CO1 phylogenetic tree. Our findings strongly support the previous genetic assemblage classification and evidence that R. microplus from Northeast Thailand is a species complex comprising at least two genetic assemblages, i.e., clades A and C. However, further investigation is needed and should involve more comprehensive genetic and morphological analyses and cover a larger part of their distributional range throughout Southeast Asia.
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