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1.
Identifying which introduced species have the greatest potential for establishment, spread and impact is critical for prioritizing pre‐ and post‐border control. Using species distribution modelling and existing species locations we assessed the establishment risk based on the climatic suitability areas of 25 plant species listed as eradication targets under South African regulations. To improve confidence, three bioclimatic models were used to predict the potential distribution of each species. This information was combined with the number of localities and the “eradication feasibility syndromes” in a scoring‐categorical system to rank the species. Three management groups were identified. Group “A” includes species with medium‐high establishment risk and higher likelihood to be eradicated, these species should be a priority for eradication. Group “B” includes species with a medium‐low establishment risk but given the low number of known population and the species characteristics, eradication is likely to be feasible. Finally species in group “C” scored a medium‐high establishment risk but the eradication would be difficult due to the high number of known localities. This ranking provides a rapid method to prioritize the management towards the eradication of new potential invasive plant species in the country combining the establishment risk, known number of localities and the inferred eradication success.  相似文献   
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目的:评价口温蜡在软腭缺损修复中制取缺损腔功能印模的应用效果。方法:对11例硬软腭缺损患者分别采用口温蜡和藻酸盐制取缺损腔印模,制作阻塞器,使用两种阻塞器各1个月后,比较其戴口温蜡取模制作的阻塞器时(甲组)、戴藻酸盐取模制作的阻塞器时(乙组)和不戴阻塞器时(丙组)三种情况下,患者口鼻漏情况的主观满意度、语音清晰度(Speech Inteligibility,SI)以及单韵母频谱分析值,分别对其进行比较。结果:甲组的口鼻漏满意度、语音清晰度及单韵母[i]音F1、F2、[u]音F2、[ü]音F2的频率值均显著高于其余两组(P0.05)。结论:口温蜡取模制作的阻塞器能够明显改善患者因腭咽闭合功能不全造成的口鼻漏、言语障碍等状况。  相似文献   
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This study reports the state and causes of eutrophication in the Portuguese continental Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ), during a 14-year period (1995–2008), following the European Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD) and using the trophic index TRIX for an integrated evaluation of indicators of eutrophication, and identifies areas where monitoring is needed to improve the eutrophication assessment. A non-continuous dataset for the 8 indicators specified by the MSFD for eutrophication assessment was used, including published and grey data. Eutrophication indicators were validated and thresholds reviewed, considering regional differences. The diatom:flagellate ratio was found a poor indicator of eutrophication as shifts in the diatom:flagellate ratio naturally occur associated with alternating water column turbulence and upwelling, and stratification, and therefore, could not be associated with anthropogenic nutrient enrichment effects. Assessment areas were, as a whole, classified as non-problem areas concerning eutrophication. Although nutrient enrichment was observed in coastal waters, related to river plume influence, nutrient enrichment direct and indirect effects were generally not detectable, possibly due to water column dispersion and mixing processes. Only occasionally, mild eutrophication was found in specific areas under the influence of major river (Douro, Vouga and Guadiana) plumes, associated with high nutrient and phytoplankton biomass levels and seagrass decline, which indicates the need for directed monitoring on eutrophication in those areas.  相似文献   
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“Beyond GDP” initiatives flag the limits of the quantitative indicators of progress currently used for governance. Focusing on the quality assessment of quantitative information used for governance, we use some of the conceptual tools of theoretical ecology and evolutionary biology in order to identify the pre-analytical choices that determine the usefulness and pertinence of a model. Starting from the definition of a model as a formal representation of a specific and necessarily subjective observation, we show that the production of indicators is the final result of a series of decisions on what to observe and how. These choices, in turn, depend on the narrative, or set of narratives, adopted. Narratives provide causality and context to knowledge claims and are needed to select the indicators to be used for policy. Moving beyond the GDP debate requires reflexivity, that is, awareness of the key role that pre-analytical choices play in the definition of both the relevance of the chosen perceptions and narratives (determined by the normative stands of different actors – who defines wellbeing?), and the usefulness of the chosen models and data (determined by the pertinence of the resulting representation – how to measure wellbeing?). Reflexivity is essential in order to take into account the purposes for which different indicators were created and to define new purposes for the “beyond GDP” indicators.  相似文献   
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豫东平原聚落景观格局变化   总被引:4,自引:1,他引:3  
杨慧敏  娄帆  李小建  白燕飞 《生态学报》2017,37(16):5313-5323
中国的快速城镇化必然导致聚落景观格局的变化,但目前相关研究对平原地区关注相对较少。文中选取豫东平原地区的开封、商丘、周口市,运用GIS空间分析方法和ENVI遥感影像处理技术,对该地区1972、2015年市域中观尺度上的聚落规模、聚落景观空间变化特征进行分析。结果显示:(1)在聚落发展过程中,1972—2015年聚落斑块数量有所减少,聚落规模逐渐扩张,市域内最大聚落斑块扩张相对更为明显;对聚落斑块扩张强度的分析发现,城市市辖区及周边乡镇聚落扩张强度相对较高。(2)地区内聚落斑块空间分布表现出聚集分布特征,但该时期聚集程度有所减弱;两个年份聚落核密度分布格局大致相似,局部地区存在多核扩散现象,市域尺度上的核密度分布存在地区差异。(3)对斑块形状指数的分析发现,研究区狭长或曲折聚落斑块在空间上分散布局,整体上区域内聚落形状趋于规则。(4)随着距河流、道路距离的增加,聚落斑块总面积和数量有所减少,且道路对聚落分布仅在一定范围内存在较大影响,距中心城市0—6km范围内聚落受中心城区发展辐射影响较大。本文的分析可为平原地区聚落景观的优化布局和聚落用地的集约化发展提供一定的参考。  相似文献   
8.
松嫩平原苏打盐渍化旱田土壤表观电导率空间变异   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
在松嫩平原西部吉林省大安市乐胜乡,于2013年4月20日选择盐碱程度不均一的典型盐渍化旱田地块,面积为4.8 hm~2作为研究样地。利用EM38大地电导率仪测定结合田间定点采样,并通过经典统计和地统计相结合的方法研究了盐渍化旱田土壤表观电导率空间变异特征,分析了土壤表观电导率与土壤盐碱指标之间的关系。结果表明,盐渍化旱田土壤水平方向表观电导率(EC_h)经对数转换后具有强空间自相关,其变异特征主要是与地形地貌和水文状况等结构性因素有关。垂直方向表观电导率(EC_v)经对数转换后具有中等空间自相关性,其变异特征受结构性因素和随机因素共同作用。EC_h和EC_v半方差模拟的最优模型分别为球状模型和指数模型。Pearson分析表明土壤表观电导率(EC_h和EC_v)与土壤盐碱指标EC_(1∶5)、pH_(1∶5)、SAR、SC、Na~+、CO_3~(2-)、HCO_3~-呈正相关关系(P0.05),EC_h与土壤盐碱指标相关系数均大于EC_v。在实际应用中可以用EC_h来指示土壤的盐碱程度。回归分析表明土壤表观电导率(EC_h和EC_v)与土壤盐碱指标呈线性相关,且EC_h回归模型的决定系数均大于EC_v回归模型的决定系数,可用水平方向土壤表观电导率(EC_h)来计算土壤盐碱指标,进行土壤盐渍化的快速评估。  相似文献   
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In this research, ecological risks for eight individual polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and ∑PAH8 in surface sediments from middle and lower reaches of Yellow River are evaluated using overlapping areas of probability density curves and margin of safety (MOS), based on the toxicity data and the exposure concentrations of PAHs in sediments collected from 23 sites. In the overlapping areas of probability density curves, the risk of Ant and Pyr are the highest, then the risk level is in the order of Flua > Nap > Phe > BaP > Flu > Ace. The values of MOS10 present that Pyr (4.62 × 10?4), Ant (5.60 × 10?3), and Flua (6.4 × 10?3) have a significantly high ecological risk level, while Nap and Phe have middle-level ecological risk. As for Ace, BaP, and Flu, they pose limited risk to the ecological system with MOS10 greater than 1.0. The ∑PAH8 (2.66 × 10?5) is a higher risk level than that of any individual PAHs, where the probabilities of ∑PAH8 in excess of the 10th percentile of the toxicity data were 86%.  相似文献   
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