Penalized survival models for the analysis of alternating recurrent event data

Recurrent event data are widely encountered in clinical and observational studies. Most methods for recurrent events treat the outcome as a point process and, as such, neglect any associated event duration. This generally leads to a less informative and potentially biased analysis. We propose a joint model for the recurrent event rate (of incidence) and duration. The two processes are linked through a bivariate normal frailty. For example, when the event is hospitalization, we can treat the time to admission and length-of-stay as two alternating recurrent events. In our method, the regression parameters are estimated through a penalized partial likelihood, and the variance-covariance matrix of the frailty is estimated through a recursive estimating formula. Moreover, we develop a likelihood ratio test to assess the dependence between the incidence and duration processes. Simulation results demonstrate that our method provides accurate parameter estimation, with a relatively fast computation time. We illustrate the methods through an analysis of hospitalizations among end-stage renal disease patients.     

Studies on the Pathogenic Potential and Life Cycle of Reniform Nematode on Broccoli

The significant reduction in the plant growth was observed at an initial inoculum level of 2 immature females of Rotylenchulus reniformis/g soil and hence this inoculum level was considered as the minimum damaging threshold level for broccoli. The population of reniform nematode increased with the increasing levels of inoculum. Though, the maximum nematode population was recorded at the highest level of inoculum, the rate of reproduction of nematode was found to be highest at the lowest level of initial inoculum. Symptoms like chlorosis, stunted growth, shedding of leaves, early sprouting of inflorescence and sparsely developed roots were found during the experimental studies. Rotylenchulus reniformis required 30 days to complete the life cycle on broccoli.     

Effects of climate warming on host–parasitoid interactions

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Seasonal plasticity of Ludwigia grandiflora under light and water depth gradients: An outdoor mesocosm experiment

Abiotic factors in the introduced area can limit the establishment of exotic species. Adaptation to new abiotic parameters through plastic responses is important for their establishment and distribution pattern. Survival and growth of exotic hydrophytes are related to their plasticity and their ability to adapt to local conditions. Light and water depth are two of the predominant factors determining survival, growth, distribution and abundance of aquatic plants. Although many studies have been carried out on the effect of water level and light on plant performance, their potential interactions are poorly understood. Here, we carried out an outdoor mesocosm experiment, in order to test the role of water depth, light intensity and their potential interactions on the growth and vigour of the invasive macrophyte species Ludwigia grandiflora. Three light intensities (100%, 70% and 50% of sunlight) and three water depths (30, 50 and 80 cm) were tested over a 6-week period, in spring, summer and autumn 2011. We showed that the mortality, biomass, apical and lateral growth of L. grandiflora, as well as its biomass allocation, varied according to the season and responded to both light intensity and water depth. Interactions between water depth and light intensity can have an amplifying effect on the growth of L. grandiflora. Similarities between shade and deep water adaptation responses were observed. A higher biomass and a high morphological plasticity in response to these factors were found particularly at the beginning of the life cycle. Although the invasive amphibious L. grandiflora shows a high tolerance to different water levels and light intensities, the optimal growth conditions for L. grandiflora in our experiment seem to be under full sunlight and in 30 cm of water. Colonization of light or low shade aquatic habitats, as well as shallow environments, can occur due to the high plasticity of L. grandiflora. These results may be important relative to increasing level of water bodies under climatic changes.     

Critical events in the evolutionary history of calcareous Nannoplankton

Calcareous nannofossil diversity, and rates of speciation and extinction are calculated for five million year intervals from their first appearance in the Late Triassic through to the Present Day. Important evolutionary events are as follows: first appearance in the Late Triassic, Triassic‐Jurassic boundary extinctions, Tithonian radiation (and the first occurrence of nannofossil carbonates), Late Cretaceous diversity maximum, Cretaceous‐Tertiary boundary extinctions, Palaeocene radiation, mid Eocene to Oligocene diversity decline, and early Miocene diversity rise. These events are related to possible causal factors of which climate appears to be the most fundamental. Other factors may include biogeographical isolation, sea level change, and the configuration of Mesozoic oceans.     

Blue Moon Approach to Rare Events

The "Blue Moon" ensemble is a computationally efficient molecular dynamics method to estimate the rate constants of rare activated events when the process can be described by a reaction coordinate ξ(r), a well-defined function in configuration space. By means of holonomic constraints a number of values of ξ(r) can be prescribed along the relevant path to identify the "bottleneck" region first and to sample an ensemble of starting conditions to generate activated trajectories. These MD trajectories sample phase space according to a biased configurational distribution. With a suitable re-weighting of averages from such ensemble of trajectories one can characterize completely rare events.     

藏鹀的自然历史、威胁和保护

藏鹀(Emberiza koslowi)是我国青藏高原东部的特有珍稀鸟种,目前关于它的资料非常匮乏.为了解藏鹀的分布、数量和基本生活史特征,促进对于该物种的有效保护,自2005年起以青海省果洛州久治县白玉乡为中心对藏鹀进行了持续6年的观察,并针对其面临的威胁采取了相应的保护措施.结果显示,藏鹀主要分布在青海的玉树、果洛和四川的阿坝一带海拔3 500～4 700 m范围内的适宜栖息地,该分布区比原有认知更靠东北,更为狭小且海拔更高.用样线法开展的藏鹀数量监测,在7.4 km2的调查范围内记录到一个18 ～33只的稳定种群.此外,还对藏鹀的筑巢、育雏和争斗等行为进行了详细描述.食肉动物的捕食、冬季食物缺乏和牲畜踩踏鸟卵是藏鹀面临的最直接威胁.通过持续监测、与当地牧民协商、建立保护小区并开展有针对性的保护,藏鹀种群趋于稳定.     

EXTINCTION SPACE—A METHOD FOR THE QUANTIFICATION AND CLASSIFICATION OF CHANGES IN MORPHOSPACE ACROSS EXTINCTION BOUNDARIES

Three main modes of extinction are responsible for reductions in morphological disparity: (1) random (caused by a nonselective extinction event); (2) marginal (a symmetric, selective extinction event trimming the margin of morphospace); and (3) lateral (an asymmetric, selective extinction event eliminating one side of the morphospace). These three types of extinction event can be distinguished from one another by comparing changes in three measures of morphospace occupation: (1) the sum of range along the main axes; (2) the sum of variance; and (3) the position of the centroid. Computer simulations of various extinction events demonstrate that the pre‐extinction distribution of taxa (random or normal) in the morphospace has little influence on the quantification of disparity changes, whereas the modes of the extinction events play the major role. Together, the three disparity metrics define an “extinction‐space” in which different extinction events can be directly compared with one another. Application of this method to selected extinction events (Frasnian‐Famennian, Devonian‐Carboniferous, and Permian‐Triassic) of the Ammonoidea demonstrate the similarity of the Devonian events (selective extinctions) but the striking difference from the end‐Permian event (nonselective extinction). These events differ in their mode of extinction despite decreases in taxonomic diversity of similar magnitude.     

Insights into the carboxyltransferase reaction of pyruvate carboxylase from the structures of bound product and intermediate analogs

Pyruvate carboxylase (PC) is a biotin-dependent enzyme that catalyzes the MgATP- and bicarbonate-dependent carboxylation of pyruvate to oxaloacetate, an important anaplerotic reaction in central metabolism. The carboxyltransferase (CT) domain of PC catalyzes the transfer of a carboxyl group from carboxybiotin to the accepting substrate, pyruvate. It has been hypothesized that the reactive enolpyruvate intermediate is stabilized through a bidentate interaction with the metal ion in the CT domain active site. Whereas bidentate ligands are commonly observed in enzymes catalyzing reactions proceeding through an enolpyruvate intermediate, no bidentate interaction has yet been observed in the CT domain of PC. Here, we report three X-ray crystal structures of the Rhizobium etli PC CT domain with the bound inhibitors oxalate, 3-hydroxypyruvate, and 3-bromopyruvate. Oxalate, a stereoelectronic mimic of the enolpyruvate intermediate, does not interact directly with the metal ion. Instead, oxalate is buried in a pocket formed by several positively charged amino acid residues and the metal ion. Furthermore, both 3-hydroxypyruvate and 3-bromopyruvate, analogs of the reaction product oxaloacetate, bind in an identical manner to oxalate suggesting that the substrate maintains its orientation in the active site throughout catalysis. Together, these structures indicate that the substrates, products and intermediates in the PC-catalyzed reaction are not oriented in the active site as previously assumed. The absence of a bidentate interaction with the active site metal appears to be a unique mechanistic feature among the small group of biotin-dependent enzymes that act on α-keto acid substrates.