Modelled effects of precipitation on ecosystem carbon and water dynamics in different climatic zones

The ongoing changes in the global climate expose the world's ecosystems not only to increasing CO₂ concentrations and temperatures but also to altered precipitation (P) regimes. Using four well-established process-based ecosystem models (LPJ, DayCent, ORCHIDEE, TECO), we explored effects of potential P changes on water limitation and net primary production (NPP) in seven terrestrial ecosystems with distinctive vegetation types in different hydroclimatic zones. We found that NPP responses to P changes differed not only among sites but also within a year at a given site. The magnitudes of NPP change were basically determined by the degree of ecosystem water limitation, which was quantified here using the ratio between atmospheric transpirational demand and soil water supply. Humid sites and/or periods were least responsive to any change in P as compared with moderately humid or dry sites/periods. We also found that NPP responded more strongly to doubling or halving of P amount and a seasonal shift in P occurrence than that to altered P frequency and intensity at constant annual amounts. The findings were highly robust across the four models especially in terms of the direction of changes and largely consistent with earlier P manipulation experiments and modelling results. Overall, this study underscores the widespread importance of P as a driver of change in ecosystems, although the ultimate response of a particular site will depend on the detailed nature and seasonal timing of P change.     

Probing behaviour and sporozoite delivery by Anopheles stephensi infected with Plasmodium berghei

We observed that Plasmodium berghei sporozoite-infected Anopheles stephensi was not impaired in its ability to locate blood on a host. When probing rats, infected mosquitoes took as long as non-infected mosquitoes to locate blood. Contrary to previous suggestions, infective mosquitoes delivered sporozoites into mineral oil even after extensively probing a vertebrate host. We observed that, in mosquitoes having probed a host, both the mean number of sporozoites ejected over 3 min into oil (35.9 v. 31.7 sporozoites) and the proportion of mosquitoes delivering sporozoites (60% v. 50%) were similar to mosquitoes not having probed. We then developed a model of sporozoite delivery, taking into account observations that sporozoites are clumped in the lumen of the glands as well as upon delivery, and that output is uneven and inconsistent. We conclude that clumping optimizes transmission, if a threshold of infection exists and the mean number of sporozoites per clump is greater than the threshold.