Improving predictions of tropical forest response to climate change through integration of field studies and ecosystem modeling

Tropical forests play a critical role in carbon and water cycles at a global scale. Rapid climate change is anticipated in tropical regions over the coming decades and, under a warmer and drier climate, tropical forests are likely to be net sources of carbon rather than sinks. However, our understanding of tropical forest response and feedback to climate change is very limited. Efforts to model climate change impacts on carbon fluxes in tropical forests have not reached a consensus. Here, we use the Ecosystem Demography model (ED2) to predict carbon fluxes of a Puerto Rican tropical forest under realistic climate change scenarios. We parameterized ED2 with species‐specific tree physiological data using the Predictive Ecosystem Analyzer workflow and projected the fate of this ecosystem under five future climate scenarios. The model successfully captured interannual variability in the dynamics of this tropical forest. Model predictions closely followed observed values across a wide range of metrics including aboveground biomass, tree diameter growth, tree size class distributions, and leaf area index. Under a future warming and drying climate scenario, the model predicted reductions in carbon storage and tree growth, together with large shifts in forest community composition and structure. Such rapid changes in climate led the forest to transition from a sink to a source of carbon. Growth respiration and root allocation parameters were responsible for the highest fraction of predictive uncertainty in modeled biomass, highlighting the need to target these processes in future data collection. Our study is the first effort to rely on Bayesian model calibration and synthesis to elucidate the key physiological parameters that drive uncertainty in tropical forests responses to climatic change. We propose a new path forward for model‐data synthesis that can substantially reduce uncertainty in our ability to model tropical forest responses to future climate.     

Oral Antibiotic Treatment of Mice Exacerbates the Disease Severity of Multiple Flavivirus Infections

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PlexinA2 Forward Signaling through Rap1 GTPases Regulates Dentate Gyrus Development and Schizophrenia-like Behaviors

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Fatty acid uptake in diabetic rat adipocytes

The effect of diabetic status and insulin on adipocyte plasma membrane properties and fatty acid uptake was examined. Studies with inhibitors and isolated adipocyte ghost plasma membranes indicated 9Z, 11E, 13E, 15Z-octatetraenoic acid (cis-parinaric acid) uptake was protein mediated. Cis-parinaric acid uptake was inhibited by trypsin treatment or incubation with phloretin, and competed with stearic acid. The initial rate, but not maximal uptake, of cis-parinaric acid uptake was enhanced two-fold in adipocytes from diabetic rats. Concomitantly, the structure and lipid composition of adipocyte ghost membranes was dramatically altered. However, the increased initial rate of cis-parinaric acid uptake in the diabetic adipocytes was not explained by membrane alterations or by a two-fold decrease in cytosolic adipocyte fatty acid binding protein (ALBP), unless ALBP stimulated fatty acid efflux. Thus, diabetic status dramatically altered adipocyte fatty acid uptake, plasma membrane structu re, lipid composition, and cytosolic fatty acid binding protein. (Mol Cell Biochem 167: 51-60, 1997)     

Two-Locus Admixture Linkage Analysis of Bipolar and Unipolar Affective Disorder Supports the Presence of Susceptibility Loci on Chromosomes 11p15 and 21q22

Following a report of a linkage study that yielded evidence for a susceptibility locus for bipolar affective disorder on the long arm of chromosome 21, we studied 23 multiply affected pedigrees collected from Iceland and the UK, using the markers PFKL, D21S171, and D21S49. Counting only bipolar cases as affected, a two-point LOD of 1.28 was obtained using D21S171 (θ = 0.01, α = 0.35), with three Icelandic families producing LODs of 0.63, 0.62, and 1.74 (all at θ = 0.0). Affected sib pair analysis demonstrated increased allele sharing at D21S171 (P= 0.001) when unipolar cases were also considered affected. The same set of pedigrees had previously been typed for a tyrosine hydroxylase gene (TH) polymorphism at 11p15 and had shown some moderate evidence for linkage. When information from TH and the 21q markers was combined in a two-locus admixture analysis, an overall admixture LOD of 3.87 was obtained using the bipolar affection model. Thus the data are compatible with the hypothesis that a locus at or near TH influences susceptibility in some pedigrees, while a locus near D21S171 is active in others. Similar analyses in other datasets should be carried out to confirm or refute our tentative finding.     

Oleosins prevent oil-body coalescence during seed imbibition as suggested by a low-temperature scanning electron microscope study of desiccation-tolerant and -sensitive oilseeds

In order to clarify further the physiological role of oleosins in seed development, we characterized the oil-body proteins of several oilseeds exhibiting a range of desiccation sensitivities from the recalcitrant (Theobroma cacao L., Quercus rubra L.), intermediate (Coffea arabica L., Azadirachta indica A. Juss.) and orthodox categories (Sterculia setigera Del., Brassica napus L.). The estimated ratio of putative oleosins to lipid in oil bodies of Q. rubra was less than 5% of the equivalent values for rapeseed oil bodies. No oleosin was detected in T. cacao oil bodies. In A. indica cotyledons, oil bodies contained very low amounts of putative oleosins. Oil bodies both from C. arabica and S. setigera exhibited a similar ratio of putative oleosins to lipid as found in rapeseed. In C. arabica seeds, the central domain of an oleosin was partially sequenced. Using a low temperature field-emission scanning electron microscope, the structural stability of oil bodies was investigated in seeds after drying, storage in cold conditions and rehydration. Despite the absence or relative dearth of oleosins in desiccation-sensitive, recalcitrant oilseeds, oil bodies remained relatively stable after slow or fast drying. In A. indica seeds exposed to a lethal cold storage treatment, no significant change in oil-body sizes was observed. In contrast, during imbibition of artificially dried seeds containing low amounts of putative oleosins, the oil bodies fused to form large droplets, resulting in the loss of cellular integrity. No damage to the oil bodies occurred in imbibed seeds of Q. rubra, C. arabica and S. setigera. Thus the rehydration phase appears to be detrimental to the stability of oil bodies when these are present in large amounts and are lacking oleosins. We therefore suggest that one of the functions of oleosins in oilseed development may be to stabilize oil bodies during seed imbibition prior to germination. Received: 22 April 1997 / Accepted: 5 June 1997     

Assessment of viability and mitochondrial function of equine spermatozoa using double staining and flow cytometry

An objective double-staining method was developed to evaluate viability and mitochondrial function of stallion spermatozoa using flow cytometry. Sperm viability was assessed by propidium iodide (PI) exclusion, and mitochondrial function was measured by the intensity of rhodamine 123 (R123) fluorescence. Flow cytometry estimates of sperm viability measured by PI were equivalent (P > 0.05) to estimates made using Hoechst 33258 stain and fluorescent microscopy (% dead: 25 +/- 2.4 vs 21.5 +/- 3.5). The use of both PI and R123 was validated by addition of various proportions of freeze-shocked (membrane damaged) cells to viable spermatozoa. There was a high correlation (r(2) = 0.996) between increased PI positivestained (dead) cells and the number of membrane-damaged spermatozoa added (% dead: 29 +/- 0.4, 44 +/- 1.4, 58 +/- 0.9, 75 +/- 0.7 and 91+/- 0.25 vs 0, 25, 50, 75 and 100% damaged cells, respectively). Optimal mitochondrial activity (OMA), as assessed by R123 uptake, was also reduced proportionally (r(2) = 0.976) by the percentage of membrane-damaged cells added (% OMA: 48 +/- 0.6, 37 +/- 1.7, 29 +/- 0.5, 16 +/- 1, 3.8 +/- 1.3 vs 0, 25, 50, 75 and 100% damaged cells, respectively). The mitochondrial inhibitors rotenone and monensin significantly depressed optimal mitochondrial activity (P < 0.001), and there was a significant positive correlation (r(2) = 0.959) between the dose of inhibitors added and the population of sperm cells exhibiting minimal R123 staining (4 -/+ 0.9, 12 -/+ 1.6, 14 -/+ 0.1 and 28 -/+ 2% for treatments with 0, 0.5, 1 and 2 x 10(-5) M rotenone and 0, 0.5, 1, and 2 x 10(-4) M monensin, respectively). Finally, it was shown that treatments containing identical proportions of membrane-damaged cells yielded similar results in terms of viability and mitochondrial activity, irrespective of whether the staining procedure was single or double (P > 0.05). The results of the double-staining method revealed that the percentage of spermatozoa with optimally functioning mitochondria was significantly correlated with the percentage of viable (PI negative) sperm cells (r(2) = 0.998). Flow cytometric analyses using this staining procedure provides reliable and rapid (10,000 cells/min) qualitative assessment of stallion semen.     

Intrapopulation variation in reproduction by female eastern kingbirds Tyrannus tyrannus: the impacts of age, individual performance, and breeding site

I used data from a 13-year study of eastern kingbirds Tyrannus tyrannus from central New York, USA, to evaluate the relative impact of female age and body size on reproduction. I also calculated repeatabilities of reproductive traits for both females and the sites where they bred in an attempt to evaluate the relative contribution of each to intrapopulation variation in reproduction. Female age had a strong influence on timing of breeding (breeding date advanced by one day for each year of life), but was not a significant source of variation for clutch size, egg mass, number of young to hatch or fledge, or total seasonal production. Repeatabilities of breeding date for females and sites were both significant (0.284 and 0.181, respectively), but the only other significant repeatabilities were for female clutch size (0.282) and female egg mass (0.746). Among-year repeatabilities of breeding date for females who bred at two or more sites over their lifetime were as high as those for females that were site faithful. Thus, breeding date was probably affected independently by the female and site. No measure of productivity exhibited a repeatable pattern in comparisons made among females or sites. All reproductive traits were entered as dependent variables in a series of stepwise multiple regression analyses in an attempt to identify female properties (size, lifespan and condition) that might be linked proximately to differences in breeding statistics. I found that (a) large birds tended to breed the earliest, (b) clutch size was independent of female size, condition and lifespan, (c) female body size and egg size were correlated positively, but (d) production of young was independent of all measured female properties. Reproduction appears to be linked more closely to the female than to the site. Body size accounts for a portion of the repeatable portion of breeding date and egg mass, but most of the intrapopulation variation in these and other traits remained unexplained.