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Network theory and SARS: predicting outbreak diversity   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
Many infectious diseases spread through populations via the networks formed by physical contacts among individuals. The patterns of these contacts tend to be highly heterogeneous. Traditional "compartmental" modeling in epidemiology, however, assumes that population groups are fully mixed, that is, every individual has an equal chance of spreading the disease to every other. Applications of compartmental models to Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) resulted in estimates of the fundamental quantity called the basic reproductive number R0--the number of new cases of SARS resulting from a single initial case--above one, implying that, without public health intervention, most outbreaks should spark large-scale epidemics. Here we compare these predictions to the early epidemiology of SARS. We apply the methods of contact network epidemiology to illustrate that for a single value of R0, any two outbreaks, even in the same setting, may have very different epidemiological outcomes. We offer quantitative insight into the heterogeneity of SARS outbreaks worldwide, and illustrate the utility of this approach for assessing public health strategies.  相似文献   
75.
A novel locus for extreme resistance to Potato virus Y (PVY), Ry-fsto, was identified on potato chromosome XII. The gene Ry-fsto has been introgressed from the wild potato species Solanum stoloniferum. Inheritance of Ry-fsto in the tetraploid potato population Rysto was consistent with the model of a single, dominant gene. Bulked segregant analysis identified an ISSR (inter-simple sequence repeat) marker UBC 857980 linked to Ry-fsto. This marker mapped to linkage group XII of a reference potato RFLP (restriction fragment length polymorphism) map. Chromosome XII specific RFLP markers were converted into PCR-based STS and CAPS markers and tested for linkage with Ry-fsto in the population Rysto. CAPS marker GP122718 was tightly linked to the resistance gene and was successfully used to identify Polish and German cultivars expressing extreme resistance to PVY. This indicates that the source of Ry-fsto has been widely utilized in various potato breeding programs and can be monitored by a diagnostic marker in marker-assisted selection.  相似文献   
76.
The diploid Mexican species S. bulbocastanum (blb) was used as a source of late blight resistance in somatic hybridization with the potato (S. tuberosum, tbr) dihaploid H-8105. The produced 2x blb (+) 2x tbr H-8105 somatic hybrids did not retain the blb parent's characteristic high resistance to P. infestans. The revealed aneuploidy of blb (+) tbr H-8105 hybrids indicated a possible loss of individual blb chromosome(s) carrying the resistance genes. Four hybrid clones differing in terms of their ploidy, morphology and growth potential were analysed for the presence of all twelve blb chromosomes (linkage groups). The RAPD markers assigned to particular chromosomes were selected on the basis of the linkage map of S. bulbocastanum constructed by Naess et al., Mol. Gen. Genom. 265 (2001) 694-704. Of the 86 markers analysed, twelve (14%) were common for blb and H-8105, while 34 (40%) and 40 (46%) markers were specific for the blb and H-8105 genome, respectively; this confirms the differences between the nuclear genomes of the two species. Seventeen markers (20%) present in one or the other parent were absent in the hybrids, and only one new marker was found in the hybrids. The poorly growing, aneuploid and chimeric hybrids had the same band profiles as the well growing, morphologically normal hybrids, except for two bands that were present only in normal hybrids. The presence of eleven blb linkage groups in the blb (+) tbr H-8105 hybrids was confirmed. The markers specific for the second linkage group (chromosome 2) of blb were not present in the RAPD patterns of the somatic hybrids analysed, suggesting a loss or rearrangement of this chromosome in the combined nuclear genome of the hybrids.  相似文献   
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The rate of tumour growth is dependent on the balance between proliferation and apoptosis at all stages of carcinogenesis. Apoptosis inhibition, in turn, depends partly on the balance between expression of two cell death regulatory genes, Bcl-2 and Bax. Colon cancer has long been associated with disturbances in apoptosis regulation. The aim of our study was to determine the expression levels of Bcl-2 and Bax mRNAs in 1 microg sample of total RNA obtained from normal colon and colon adenocarcinoma. This study was intended to evaluate possible differences in Bcl-2 and Bax mRNA levels at particular stages of colon adenocarcinoma classified according to Duke's system. The apoptotic frequency (represented by Bax mRNA copy number) was inversely proportional to the decrease of Bcl-2 gene expression. Terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated dUTP nick-end labeling (TUNEL) was performed to confirm apoptosis.  相似文献   
78.
The influence of the genetic deletion polymorphism of glutathione S-transferase micro 1 (GSTM1 *0/*0) on levels of anti (+/-)-r-7,t-8-dihydroxy-t-9,10-oxy-7,8,9,10-tetrahydrobenzo[a]pyrene (anti-BPDE-DNA) adduct in the peripheral blood lymphocyte plus monocyte fraction (LMF) of coke-oven workers was investigated. A total of 95 male Polish coke-oven workers (60% current smokers) from two different plants comprised the sample population. Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) exposure was assessed by means of the individual post-shift urinary excretion of 1-pyrenol (mean +/- S.D.: 6.93 +/- 7.20 micromol/mol creatinine; 70% of the subjects exceeded the proposed biological exposure index (BEI) 2.28 micromol/mol creatinine). Anti-BPDE-DNA adduct levels were detected by high performance liquid chromatography (HPLC)/fluorescence analysis of the anti-BPDE tetrol I-1 released after acid hydrolysis of DNA samples. Genotypes were determined by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) on the genomic DNA of each subject. Coke-oven workers without active GSTM1 (GSTM1 *0/*0, 33%) had significantly higher adduct levels than those with active GSTM1 (GSTM1*1/*1 and *1/*0) (5.90 +/- 5.59 versus 3.25 +/- 2.01 adducts/10(8) bases, Mann-Whitney U-test, z = 2.53, P = 0.011), PAH exposure in the two subgroups being similar (7.06 +/- 6.83 versus 6.67 +/- 8.00 1-pyrenol micromol/mol creatinine). The highest number of GSTM1 null subjects (12/23, 39%) belonged to the quartile with the highest adduct levels (i.e., >4.67 adducts/10(8) nucleotides). That is, coke-oven workers with GSTM1 *0/*0 genotype had a significantly higher risk of having high adduct levels than individuals with active GSTM1 genotype (Fisher exact test P = 0.0355; odds ratio (OR) = 4.145, 95% CI 1.0-18.8). Multiple linear regression analysis showed that the increase in anti-BPDE-DNA adduct levels in LMF was significantly related to the high occupational exposure to PAHs (benzo[a]pyrene (BaP)) of coke-oven workers (t = 3.087, P < 0.01) and to the lack of GSTM1 activity (t = 3.512, P < 0.001), rather than to the two other confounding factors of PAH intake, i.e. charcoal-broiled meat consumption and smoking habits. In conclusion, our results indicate the clear influence of the GSTM1 detoxifying genotype on anti-BPDE-DNA adduct formation in the LMF of coke-oven workers. This is invaluable for future environmental-occupational studies using this biomarker of PAH exposure.  相似文献   
79.
We compared three methods used microbial culturing for detection of ureaplasmas in endotracheal aspirate from 500 prematurely born neonates with respiratory disturbances: BioMerieux test, PCR and microbial culturing. Ureaplasmas were detected in respiratory tracts of 79 (16%) newborns. Correlation of the results of culture with those obtained with the BioMerieux kit, culture with PCR and BioMerieux kit with PCR was 97%, 89% and 90%, respectively. Sensitivity and specificity of PCR in comparison with culture was 86% and 98%, respectively, and of the BioMerieux kit 96% and 98%. PCR can be recommended in rapid diagnostics of respiratory infections in newborns suffering from respiratory disorders. It allows the detection of ureaplasmas in case of parallel infections and identification of their species.  相似文献   
80.
Human BCRP and OATP1B1 have recently been identified as important transporters in the absorption, distribution, and elimination of clinically significant drugs. In this report, we illustrate the use of modified baculoviruses, termed BacMam viruses for the expression of functional BCRP and OATP1B1 in mammalian cells. We show a variety of host cells efficiently transduced to express BCRP including HEK 293, LLC-PK, and U-2 OS, where protein levels on the cell-surface were modulated by titrating different amounts of viral inoculum. In addition, using the BODIPY-prazosin efflux assay and the BacMam reagent we illustrate inhibition of BCRP activity with GF120918 or Fumitremorgin C. Furthermore, we present data demonstrating simultaneous expression of BCRP and OATP1B1 in BacMam transduced mammalian cells by simply adding viral inoculum of each transporter. Thus these results indicate that BacMam mediated gene delivery provides a novel and efficient research tool for the investigation of single or multiple transporters in vitro.  相似文献   
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