Asthma mortality in Birmingham 1975-7: 53 deaths.

Out of 83 patients studied 72 were certified as dying from asthma, and 11 aged under 45 as dying from chronic bronchitis and pneumonia. Fifty-three deaths were thought to be due to asthma. There were avoidable factors associated with several of these deaths from asthma. Recent discharge from hospital (16%), non-availability of aerosol bronchodilators (45%), underuse of corticosteroids (66%), and lack of objective measurements of airflow obstruction (100%) were found in deaths outside hospital. Inadequate initial assessment including baseline spirometry and blood gases (50%), significant underusage of corticosteroids (93%) and intravenous and nebulised bronchodilators (100%), and failure to monitor treatment objectively (100%) were found in deaths in hospital. "False-positive" and "false-negative" certifications of asthma were studied, and the findings suggest that these may lead to appreciable inaccuracy in the reporting of deaths from asthma.     

Transactions of the House of Delegates

Aspiration of vomitus is one of the leading causes of anesthetic deaths. These deaths can be prevented only by proper evaluation of the patient preoperatively and assuming that any patient dealt with in emergency has a full stomach until proven otherwise. Preliminary observations on the incidence of "silent regurgitation and aspiration" in a series of patients anesthetized for elective operation indicated that by obtaining a smooth induction and preventing any respiratory obstruction during anesthesia, regurgitation and aspiration can be minimized.     

Surgical Aspects of Bacterial Endocarditis

Forty patients with a previous history of bacterial endocarditis were treated surgically between December 1967 and August 1971. Of 28 patients who had elective valve replacements there were four hospital deaths and one late death. Seven patients underwent emergency operation for intractable heart failure before completion of antibiotic treatment, six survived operation and there was one late death. Six patients had operations for infection on pre-existing valve substitutes, of whom three were treated as emergencies. There were two hospital and no late deaths. 78% of all patients were alive and well four years to nine months after operation.These results confirm that in addition to elective valve replacement surgery has an important role both in the treatment of intractable heart failure during the infective stage of bacterial endocarditis and in the eradication of infection on cardiac prostheses.     

"I" becomes "L": modification of vertical mammaplasty

The problems of the vertical mammaplasty by Lejour (i.e., gathering the skin envelope in one vertical suture, frequent secondary healing problems, and later sagging of the inferior glandular part in the case of large and very large breasts) are well known. A simple modification of the Lejour technique, that is, adding a lateral inframammary scar to shorten the vertical scar length, is presented. The modified L technique was used in 45 patients (90 breasts) between October of 1999 and August of 2001. With an average follow-up of 13 months, the jugular notch-to-nipple distance was 21 cm, the vertical scar length was 8.4 cm, the lateral inframammary scar length was 11 cm, and the average resection weight was 625 g per breast (range, 200 g to 2080 g). Even among patients who had very large glandular bases and resection weights it was possible to achieve a breast base reduction, modeling the glandular corpus to a harmonic, well-projecting, and youthful shape. Slight wound-healing problems with spontaneous cicatrization within 2 weeks occurred in six patients. In two patients who exhibited gigantomastia up to 2080 g per breast, partial mamilla necrosis occurred on one side. Ninety-one percent of the patients reported being "very satisfied" with the outcome, and 9 percent reporting being "satisfied." The authors' modification of the vertical mammaplasty to an L-shaped scar technique enables the surgeon to apply the principles of the Lejour technique for higher resection weights and diminishes wound-healing problems, and it is still a scar-minimizing technique that results in a scar-free cleavage. It is easy to learn and an ideal standard technique for a teaching hospital.     

Can Community Health Workers Report Accurately on Births and Deaths? Results of Field Assessments in Ethiopia,Malawi and Mali

Introduction

Most low-income countries lack complete and accurate vital registration systems. As a result, measures of under-five mortality rates rely mostly on household surveys. In collaboration with partners in Ethiopia, Ghana, Malawi, and Mali, we assessed the completeness and accuracy of reporting of births and deaths by community-based health workers, and the accuracy of annualized under-five mortality rate estimates derived from these data. Here we report on results from Ethiopia, Malawi and Mali.

Method

In all three countries, community health workers (CHWs) were trained, equipped and supported to report pregnancies, births and deaths within defined geographic areas over a period of at least fifteen months. In-country institutions collected these data every month. At each study site, we administered a full birth history (FBH) or full pregnancy history (FPH), to women of reproductive age via a census of households in Mali and via household surveys in Ethiopia and Malawi. Using these FBHs/FPHs as a validation data source, we assessed the completeness of the counts of births and deaths and the accuracy of under-five, infant, and neonatal mortality rates from the community-based method against the retrospective FBH/FPH for rolling twelve-month periods. For each method we calculated total cost, average annual cost per 1,000 population, and average cost per vital event reported.

Results

On average, CHWs submitted monthly vital event reports for over 95 percent of catchment areas in Ethiopia and Malawi, and for 100 percent of catchment areas in Mali. The completeness of vital events reporting by CHWs varied: we estimated that 30%-90% of annualized expected births (i.e. the number of births estimated using a FPH) were documented by CHWs and 22%-91% of annualized expected under-five deaths were documented by CHWs. Resulting annualized under-five mortality rates based on the CHW vital events reporting were, on average, under-estimated by 28% in Ethiopia, 32% in Malawi, and 9% in Mali relative to comparable FPHs. Costs per vital event reported ranged from $21 in Malawi to $149 in Mali.

Discussion

Our findings in Mali suggest that CHWs can collect complete and high-quality vital events data useful for monitoring annual changes in under-five mortality rates. Both the supervision of CHWs in Mali and the rigor of the associated field-based data quality checks were of a high standard, and the size of the pilot area in Mali was small (comprising of approximately 53,205 residents in 4,200 households). Hence, there are remaining questions about whether this level of vital events reporting completeness and data quality could be maintained if the approach was implemented at scale. Our experience in Malawi and Ethiopia suggests that, in some settings, establishing and maintaining the completeness and quality of vital events reporting by CHWs over time is challenging. In this sense, our evaluation in Mali falls closer to that of an efficacy study, whereas our evaluations in Ethiopia and Malawi are more akin to an effectiveness study. Our overall findings suggest that no one-size-fits-all approach will be successful in guaranteeing complete and accurate reporting of vital events by CHWs.     

Community study of the causes of "natural" sudden death.

Three hundred and fifty cases of "natural" sudden death within six hours of onset of symptoms in people ranging in age from 18 to 69 years in Wandsworth were studied using a detailed necropsy protocol to determine the cause of death. Sudden death occurred in 28 (8%) Asians and blacks, but because of the small number they were excluded from the study, leaving 322 cases. Ischaemic heart disease accounted for 189 (59%) of the 322 sudden deaths (155 (65%) men; 34 (41%) women) and no proportional increase in instantaneous compared with non-instantaneous sudden death was found. Non-ischaemic cardiac disease was the cause of sudden death in 24 cases (7.5%). Non-cardiac disease included pulmonary emboli, aortic aneurysms, and intracerebral haemorrhage and caused 89 (27.6%) deaths. Alcohol was the cause of nine deaths (2.8%) and in 11 (3.4%) cases (six men and five women) no cause of death was found. This study shows that although ischaemic heart disease is the single largest cause of sudden natural death there are other major causes.     

A proteomics study of the response of North Ronaldsay sheep to copper challenge

Background

The accuracy of predicting disease occurrence using epidemic models relies on an understanding of the system or population under investigation. At the time of the Foot and Mouth disease (FMD) outbreak of 2001, there were limited reports in the literature as to the cattle population structure in Britain. In this paper we examine the temporal patterns of cattle births, deaths, imports and movements occurring within Britain, reported to the Department for the Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) through the British Cattle Movement service (BCMS) during the period 1^st January 2002 to 28^th February 2005.

Results

In Britain, the number of reported cattle births exhibit strong seasonality characterised by a large spring peak followed by a smaller autumn peak. Other event types also exhibit strong seasonal trends; both the reported number of cattle slaughtered and "on-farm" cattle deaths increase during the final part of the year. After allowing for seasonal components by smoothing the data, we illustrate that there is very little remaining non-seasonal trend in the number of cattle births, "on-farm" deaths, slaughterhouse deaths, on- and off-movements. However after allowing for seasonal fluctuations the number of cattle imports has been decreasing since 2002. Reporting of movements, births and deaths was more frequent on certain days of the week. For instance, greater numbers of cattle were slaughtered on Tuesdays, Wednesdays and Thursdays. Evidence for digit preference was found in the reporting of births and "on-farm" deaths with particular bias towards over reporting on the 1^st, 10^th and 20^th of each month.

Conclusion

This study provides insight into the population and movement dynamics of the British cattle population. Although the population is in constant flux, seasonal and long term trends can be identified in the number of reported births, deaths and movements of cattle. Incorporating this temporal variation in epidemic disease modelling may result in more accurate model predictions and may usefully inform future surveillance strategies.     

Using death certificates to estimate the completeness of AIDS case reporting in Ontario in 1985-87.

The completeness of AIDS (acquired immune deficiency syndrome) case reporting in Ontario was assessed by reviewing all AIDS death certificates compiled by the Registrar General between Jan. 1, 1985, and Dec. 31, 1987. Several demographic variables were used to match death certificates with cases reported to the provincial AIDS registry. The completeness of case reporting was then estimated by examining the ratio of reported deaths of patients with AIDS to the total number of deaths reviewed. The estimated completeness of case reporting was 81.1% in 1985, 71.5% in 1986 and 75.4% in 1987; the overall rate for 1985-87 was 75.2%. The difference in the completeness of case reporting from year to year was not statistically significant. There was a significant increase from 1985 to 1986 in the proportion of unreported cases in people who had never been married (p less than 0.02). Reporting was not associated with the patient''s age, sex, occupation or place of residence. The deficiency in AIDS case reporting could adversely affect the long-term planning of health care resources and the development of programs to prevent and control the spread of AIDS.     

Causes of Mortality for Indonesian Hajj Pilgrims: Comparison between Routine Death Certificate and Verbal Autopsy Findings

Background

Indonesia provides the largest single source of pilgrims for the Hajj (10%). In the last two decades, mortality rates for Indonesian pilgrims ranged between 200–380 deaths per 100,000 pilgrims over the 10-week Hajj period. Reasons for high mortality are not well understood. In 2008, verbal autopsy was introduced to complement routine death certificates to explore cause of death diagnoses. This study presents the patterns and causes of death for Indonesian pilgrims, and compares routine death certificates to verbal autopsy findings.

Methods

Public health surveillance was conducted by Indonesian public health authorities accompanying pilgrims to Saudi Arabia, with daily reporting of hospitalizations and deaths. Surveillance data from 2008 were analyzed for timing, geographic location and site of death. Percentages for each cause of death category from death certificates were compared to that from verbal autopsy.

Results

In 2008, 206,831 Indonesian undertook the Hajj. There were 446 deaths, equivalent to 1,968 deaths per 100,000 pilgrim years. Most pilgrims died in Mecca (68%) and Medinah (24%). There was no statistically discernible difference in the total mortality risk for the two pilgrimage routes (Mecca or Medinah first), but the number of deaths peaked earlier for those traveling to Mecca first (p=0.002). Most deaths were due to cardiovascular (66%) and respiratory (28%) diseases. A greater proportion of deaths were attributed to cardiovascular disease by death certificate compared to the verbal autopsy method (p<0.001). Significantly more deaths had ill-defined cause based on verbal autopsy method (p<0.001).

Conclusions

Despite pre-departure health screening and other medical services, Indonesian pilgrim mortality rates were very high. Correct classification of cause of death is critical for the development of risk mitigation strategies. Since verbal autopsy classified causes of death differently to death certificates, further studies are needed to assess the method’s utility in this setting.     

Saphenous vein bypass grafting for coronary atherosclerosis: clinical experience

Saphenous vein bypass grafting is a recent and important procedure in the management of atherosclerotic coronary artery disease. A review of the first 150 patients operated on to July 1971 at the Toronto General Hospital is presented. Many had multiple bypass grafts and some had additional procedures including internal mammary artery implantation, valve replacement and scar tissue resection. There were five operative deaths (3%) and an additional five hospital deaths; the majority were related to myocardial infarction.A clinical review of the results six months to three years after operation indicates marked improvement in over 80% of the survivors. Postoperative hemodynamic studies were performed in many. It is suggested that patients with poor myocardial function presenting in failure may not benefit from the operation.     

Evaluation of Spontaneous Reports of Adverse Reactions to Drugs

An adverse drug-reaction monitoring system based on spontaneous reporting to a central register of adverse reactions has been in operation for eight years. As a test of the validity of the reports and of the probability of causal relationship between drug and reaction a random sample of 82 cases were followed up in detail. The sample included 17 deaths, 26 serious reactions, and 39 reactions of moderate or only minor severity. Altogether 78% of the reactions were considered to be “probably” drug related and 13% “possibly” drug related. It is concluded that the reports are of value in the detection and evaluation of drug safety.     

O-2"ARTISTIC" TRIAL: BASELINE DATA

Recent reviews of glandular reports have confirmed a wide variation in specificity.^1–3 We have reviewed our performance over the last 10 years and evaluated the effect of conversion to Liquid Based Cytology (LBC) on our reporting rates and accuracy. Audit revealed an upward trend in ability to accurately detect glandular lesions, with particular improvement in identification of Cervical Glandular Intraepithelial Neoplasia (CGIN).
 

     

Patient-Safety-Related Hospital Deaths in England: Thematic Analysis of Incidents Reported to a National Database, 2010–2012

Background

Hospital mortality is increasingly being regarded as a key indicator of patient safety, yet methodologies for assessing mortality are frequently contested and seldom point directly to areas of risk and solutions. The aim of our study was to classify reports of deaths due to unsafe care into broad areas of systemic failure capable of being addressed by stronger policies, procedures, and practices. The deaths were reported to a patient safety incident reporting system after mandatory reporting of such incidents was introduced.

Methods and Findings

The UK National Health Service database was searched for incidents resulting in a reported death of an adult over the period of the study. The study population comprised 2,010 incidents involving patients aged 16 y and over in acute hospital settings. Each incident report was reviewed by two of the authors, and, by scrutinising the structured information together with the free text, a main reason for the harm was identified and recorded as one of 18 incident types. These incident types were then aggregated into six areas of apparent systemic failure: mismanagement of deterioration (35%), failure of prevention (26%), deficient checking and oversight (11%), dysfunctional patient flow (10%), equipment-related errors (6%), and other (12%). The most common incident types were failure to act on or recognise deterioration (23%), inpatient falls (10%), healthcare-associated infections (10%), unexpected per-operative death (6%), and poor or inadequate handover (5%). Analysis of these 2,010 fatal incidents reveals patterns of issues that point to actionable areas for improvement.

Conclusions

Our approach demonstrates the potential utility of patient safety incident reports in identifying areas of service failure and highlights opportunities for corrective action to save lives. Please see later in the article for the Editors'' Summary     

"U"字缝合止血法对前置胎盘剖宫产患者术中出血量的影响

目的:探讨"U"字缝合止血法对前置胎盘剖宫产患者术中出血量的影响。方法:将2015年9月至2017年9月在西北妇女院儿童医院行前置胎盘剖宫产术的产妇96例作为研究对象,将其随机分组为两组,每组各48例患者。两组均给予常规止血处理,对照组采用"8"字缝合止血法,观察组为"U"字缝合止血法,比较两组手术指标及止血效果。结果:观察组手术时间、止血时间、术中出血量均显著少(短)于对照组(P0.05),凝血酶时间(TT)、血浆凝血酶还原时间(PT)、D-二聚体(D-D)、血小板(PLT)以及活化部分凝血活化酶时间(APTT)水平均明显低于对照组(P0.05),血红蛋白(HGB)、纤维蛋白原(FIB)水平均显著高于对照组(P0.05);止血有效率[97.92%(47/48)]显著高于对照组[85.42%(41/48)](P0.05),患者下床活动时间、住院治疗时间均显著短于对照组(P0.05)。结论:在前置胎盘剖宫产术中,实施"U"字缝合止血法可快速止血,且操作简单,确保降低出血量,降低对患者的损害,保证产妇健康和安全。     

Historical Epidemics Cartography Generated by Spatial Analysis: Mapping the Heterogeneity of Three Medieval "Plagues" in Dijon

Objectives

This work was designed to adapt Geographical Information System-based spatial analysis to the study of historical epidemics. We mapped "plague" deaths during three epidemics of the early 15th century, analyzed spatial distributions by applying the Kulldorff''s method, and determined their relationships with the distribution of socio-professional categories in the city of Dijon.

Materials and Methods

Our study was based on a database including 50 annual tax registers (established from 1376 to 1447) indicating deaths and survivors among the heads of households, their home location, tax level and profession. The households of the deceased and survivors during 6 years with excess mortality were individually located on a georeferenced medieval map, established by taking advantage of the preserved geography of the historical center of Dijon. We searched for clusters of heads of households characterized by shared tax levels (high-tax payers, the upper decile; low-tax payers, the half charged at the minimum level) or professional activities and for clusters of differential mortality.

Results

High-tax payers were preferentially in the northern intramural part, as well as most wealthy or specialized professionals, whereas low-tax payers were preferentially in the southern part. During two epidemics, in 1400–1401 and 1428, areas of higher mortality were found in the northern part whereas areas of lower mortality were in the southern one. A high concentration of housing and the proximity to food stocks were common features of the most affected areas, creating suitable conditions for rats to pullulate. A third epidemic, lasting from 1438 to 1440 had a different and evolving geography: cases were initially concentrated around the southern gate, at the confluence of three rivers, they were then diffuse, and ended with residual foci of deaths in the northern suburb.

Conclusion

Using a selected historical source, we designed an approach allowing spatial analysis of urban medieval epidemics. Our results fit with the view that the 1400–1401 epidemic was a Black Death recurrence. They suggest that this was also the case in 1428, whereas in 1438–1440 a different, possibly waterborne, disease was involved.     

OPERATING ROOM DEATHS—An Analysis of Mortality in a Veterans Administration Hospital Over a Ten-Year Period

A study of operating room and recovery room deaths which occurred during a ten-year period from 1948 through 1957 at one hospital revealed that there were 59 deaths associated with 57,132 surgical procedures.Factors which directly influenced the rate of operating room and recovery room death were the age of the patient and the length of operating time. Seventy-five per cent of the deaths occurred in cases in which the operation took longer than one hour. Combined anesthesia techniques may have indirectly contributed to death in some cases.Complications of operation requiring another surgical procedure sometimes occur. In this series, reoperation proved to be more hazardous in terms of mortality rate than did single operations. This is not surprising for most complications occur in the poorer risk patients.The operating room death rate steadily increased during the ten-year period studied. This increasing death rate can largely be attributed to the more intricate operations which are being done on poorer risk patients. The use of the curariform drugs had no influence on the increasing death rate.     

Operating room deaths; an analysis of mortality in a Veterans Administration hospital over a ten-year period

A study of operating room and recovery room deaths which occurred during a ten-year period from 1948 through 1957 at one hospital revealed that there were 59 deaths associated with 57,132 surgical procedures. Factors which directly influenced the rate of operating room and recovery room death were the age of the patient and the length of operating time. Seventy-five per cent of the deaths occurred in cases in which the operation took longer than one hour. Combined anesthesia techniques may have indirectly contributed to death in some cases. Complications of operation requiring another surgical procedure sometimes occur. In this series, reoperation proved to be more hazardous in terms of mortality rate than did single operations. This is not surprising for most complications occur in the poorer risk patients. The operating room death rate steadily increased during the ten-year period studied. This increasing death rate can largely be attributed to the more intricate operations which are being done on poorer risk patients. The use of the curariform drugs had no influence on the increasing death rate.     

Snakebite mortality in India: a nationally representative mortality survey

Background

India has long been thought to have more snakebites than any other country. However, inadequate hospital-based reporting has resulted in estimates of total annual snakebite mortality ranging widely from about 1,300 to 50,000. We calculated direct estimates of snakebite mortality from a national mortality survey.

Methods and Findings

We conducted a nationally representative study of 123,000 deaths from 6,671 randomly selected areas in 2001–03. Full-time, non-medical field workers interviewed living respondents about all deaths. The underlying causes were independently coded by two of 130 trained physicians. Discrepancies were resolved by anonymous reconciliation or, failing that, by adjudication.A total of 562 deaths (0.47% of total deaths) were assigned to snakebites. Snakebite deaths occurred mostly in rural areas (97%), were more common in males (59%) than females (41%), and peaked at ages 15–29 years (25%) and during the monsoon months of June to September. This proportion represents about 45,900 annual snakebite deaths nationally (99% CI 40,900 to 50,900) or an annual age-standardised rate of 4.1/100,000 (99% CI 3.6–4.5), with higher rates in rural areas (5.4/100,000; 99% CI 4.8–6.0), and with the highest state rate in Andhra Pradesh (6.2). Annual snakebite deaths were greatest in the states of Uttar Pradesh (8,700), Andhra Pradesh (5,200), and Bihar (4,500).

Conclusions

Snakebite remains an underestimated cause of accidental death in modern India. Because a large proportion of global totals of snakebites arise from India, global snakebite totals might also be underestimated. Community education, appropriate training of medical staff and better distribution of antivenom, especially to the 13 states with the highest prevalence, could reduce snakebite deaths in India.