The positive net radiative greenhouse gas forcing of increasing methane emissions from a thawing boreal forest‐wetland landscape

At the southern margin of permafrost in North America, climate change causes widespread permafrost thaw. In boreal lowlands, thawing forested permafrost peat plateaus (‘forest’) lead to expansion of permafrost‐free wetlands (‘wetland’). Expanding wetland area with saturated and warmer organic soils is expected to increase landscape methane (CH₄) emissions. Here, we quantify the thaw‐induced increase in CH₄ emissions for a boreal forest‐wetland landscape in the southern Taiga Plains, Canada, and evaluate its impact on net radiative forcing relative to potential long‐term net carbon dioxide (CO₂) exchange. Using nested wetland and landscape eddy covariance net CH₄ flux measurements in combination with flux footprint modeling, we find that landscape CH₄ emissions increase with increasing wetland‐to‐forest ratio. Landscape CH₄ emissions are most sensitive to this ratio during peak emission periods, when wetland soils are up to 10 °C warmer than forest soils. The cumulative growing season (May–October) wetland CH₄ emission of ~13 g CH₄ m^?2 is the dominating contribution to the landscape CH₄ emission of ~7 g CH₄ m^?2. In contrast, forest contributions to landscape CH₄ emissions appear to be negligible. The rapid wetland expansion of 0.26 ± 0.05% yr^?1 in this region causes an estimated growing season increase of 0.034 ± 0.007 g CH₄ m^?2 yr^?1 in landscape CH₄ emissions. A long‐term net CO₂ uptake of >200 g CO₂ m^?2 yr^?1 is required to offset the positive radiative forcing of increasing CH₄ emissions until the end of the 21st century as indicated by an atmospheric CH₄ and CO₂ concentration model. However, long‐term apparent carbon accumulation rates in similar boreal forest‐wetland landscapes and eddy covariance landscape net CO₂ flux measurements suggest a long‐term net CO₂ uptake between 49 and 157 g CO₂ m^?2 yr^?1. Thus, thaw‐induced CH₄ emission increases likely exert a positive net radiative greenhouse gas forcing through the 21st century.     

Ecosystem carbon response of an Arctic peatland to simulated permafrost thaw

Permafrost peatlands are biogeochemical hot spots in the Arctic as they store vast amounts of carbon. Permafrost thaw could release part of these long‐term immobile carbon stocks as the greenhouse gases (GHGs) carbon dioxide (CO₂) and methane (CH₄) to the atmosphere, but how much, at which time‐span and as which gaseous carbon species is still highly uncertain. Here we assess the effect of permafrost thaw on GHG dynamics under different moisture and vegetation scenarios in a permafrost peatland. A novel experimental approach using intact plant–soil systems (mesocosms) allowed us to simulate permafrost thaw under near‐natural conditions. We monitored GHG flux dynamics via high‐resolution flow‐through gas measurements, combined with detailed monitoring of soil GHG concentration dynamics, yielding insights into GHG production and consumption potential of individual soil layers. Thawing the upper 10–15 cm of permafrost under dry conditions increased CO₂ emissions to the atmosphere (without vegetation: 0.74 ± 0.49 vs. 0.84 ± 0.60 g CO₂–C m^?2 day^?1; with vegetation: 1.20 ± 0.50 vs. 1.32 ± 0.60 g CO₂–C m^?2 day^?1, mean ± SD, pre‐ and post‐thaw, respectively). Radiocarbon dating (¹⁴C) of respired CO₂, supported by an independent curve‐fitting approach, showed a clear contribution (9%–27%) of old carbon to this enhanced post‐thaw CO₂ flux. Elevated concentrations of CO₂, CH₄, and dissolved organic carbon at depth indicated not just pulse emissions during the thawing process, but sustained decomposition and GHG production from thawed permafrost. Oxidation of CH₄ in the peat column, however, prevented CH₄ release to the atmosphere. Importantly, we show here that, under dry conditions, peatlands strengthen the permafrost–carbon feedback by adding to the atmospheric CO₂ burden post‐thaw. However, as long as the water table remains low, our results reveal a strong CH₄ sink capacity in these types of Arctic ecosystems pre‐ and post‐thaw, with the potential to compensate part of the permafrost CO₂ losses over longer timescales.     

Isotopic insights into methane production,oxidation, and emissions in Arctic polygon tundra

Arctic wetlands are currently net sources of atmospheric CH₄. Due to their complex biogeochemical controls and high spatial and temporal variability, current net CH₄ emissions and gross CH₄ processes have been difficult to quantify, and their predicted responses to climate change remain uncertain. We investigated CH₄ production, oxidation, and surface emissions in Arctic polygon tundra, across a wet‐to‐dry permafrost degradation gradient from low‐centered (intact) to flat‐ and high‐centered (degraded) polygons. From 3 microtopographic positions (polygon centers, rims, and troughs) along the permafrost degradation gradient, we measured surface CH₄ and CO₂ fluxes, concentrations and stable isotope compositions of CH₄ and DIC at three depths in the soil, and soil moisture and temperature. More degraded sites had lower CH₄ emissions, a different primary methanogenic pathway, and greater CH₄ oxidation than did intact permafrost sites, to a greater degree than soil moisture or temperature could explain. Surface CH₄ flux decreased from 64 nmol m^?2 s^?1 in intact polygons to 7 nmol m^?2 s^?1 in degraded polygons, and stable isotope signatures of CH₄ and DIC showed that acetate cleavage dominated CH₄ production in low‐centered polygons, while CO₂ reduction was the primary pathway in degraded polygons. We see evidence that differences in water flow and vegetation between intact and degraded polygons contributed to these observations. In contrast to many previous studies, these findings document a mechanism whereby permafrost degradation can lead to local decreases in tundra CH₄ emissions.     

Methane oxidation in contrasting soil types: responses to experimental warming with implication for landscape‐integrated CH4 budget

Arctic ecosystems are characterized by a wide range of soil moisture conditions and thermal regimes and contribute differently to the net methane (CH₄) budget. Yet, it is unclear how climate change will affect the capacity of those systems to act as a net source or sink of CH₄. Here, we present results of in situ CH₄ flux measurements made during the growing season 2014 on Disko Island (west Greenland) and quantify the contribution of contrasting soil and landscape types to the net CH₄ budget and responses to summer warming. We compared gas flux measurements from a bare soil and a dry heath, at ambient conditions and increased air temperature, using open‐top chambers (OTCs). Throughout the growing season, bare soil consumed 0.22 ± 0.03 g CH₄‐C m^?2 (8.1 ± 1.2 g CO₂‐eq m^?2) at ambient conditions, while the dry heath consumed 0.10 ± 0.02 g CH₄‐C m^?2 (3.9 ± 0.6 g CO₂‐eq m^?2). These uptake rates were subsequently scaled to the entire study area of 0.15 km², a landscape also consisting of wetlands with a seasonally integrated methane release of 0.10 ± 0.01 g CH₄‐C m^?2 (3.7 ± 1.2 g CO₂‐eq m^?2). The result was a net landscape sink of 12.71 kg CH₄‐C (0.48 tonne CO₂‐eq) during the growing season. A nonsignificant trend was noticed in seasonal CH₄ uptake rates with experimental warming, corresponding to a 2% reduction at the bare soil, and 33% increase at the dry heath. This was due to the indirect effect of OTCs on soil moisture, which exerted the main control on CH₄ fluxes. Overall, the net landscape sink of CH₄ tended to increase by 20% with OTCs. Bare and dry tundra ecosystems should be considered in the net CH₄ budget of the Arctic due to their potential role in counterbalancing CH₄ emissions from wetlands – not the least when taking the future climatic scenarios of the Arctic into account.     

Environmental and physical controls on northern terrestrial methane emissions across permafrost zones

Methane (CH₄) emissions from the northern high‐latitude region represent potentially significant biogeochemical feedbacks to the climate system. We compiled a database of growing‐season CH₄ emissions from terrestrial ecosystems located across permafrost zones, including 303 sites described in 65 studies. Data on environmental and physical variables, including permafrost conditions, were used to assess controls on CH₄ emissions. Water table position, soil temperature, and vegetation composition strongly influenced emissions and had interacting effects. Sites with a dense sedge cover had higher emissions than other sites at comparable water table positions, and this was an effect that was more pronounced at low soil temperatures. Sensitivity analysis suggested that CH₄ emissions from ecosystems where the water table on average is at or above the soil surface (wet tundra, fen underlain by permafrost, and littoral ecosystems) are more sensitive to variability in soil temperature than drier ecosystems (palsa dry tundra, bog, and fen), whereas the latter ecosystems conversely are relatively more sensitive to changes of the water table position. Sites with near‐surface permafrost had lower CH₄ fluxes than sites without permafrost at comparable water table positions, a difference that was explained by lower soil temperatures. Neither the active layer depth nor the organic soil layer depth was related to CH₄ emissions. Permafrost thaw in lowland regions is often associated with increased soil moisture, higher soil temperatures, and increased sedge cover. In our database, lowland thermokarst sites generally had higher emissions than adjacent sites with intact permafrost, but emissions from thermokarst sites were not statistically higher than emissions from permafrost‐free sites with comparable environmental conditions. Overall, these results suggest that future changes to terrestrial high‐latitude CH₄ emissions will be more proximately related to changes in moisture, soil temperature, and vegetation composition than to increased availability of organic matter following permafrost thaw.     

A pan‐Arctic synthesis of CH4 and CO2 production from anoxic soil incubations

Permafrost thaw can alter the soil environment through changes in soil moisture, frequently resulting in soil saturation, a shift to anaerobic decomposition, and changes in the plant community. These changes, along with thawing of previously frozen organic material, can alter the form and magnitude of greenhouse gas production from permafrost ecosystems. We synthesized existing methane (CH₄) and carbon dioxide (CO₂) production measurements from anaerobic incubations of boreal and tundra soils from the geographic permafrost region to evaluate large‐scale controls of anaerobic CO₂ and CH₄ production and compare the relative importance of landscape‐level factors (e.g., vegetation type and landscape position), soil properties (e.g., pH, depth, and soil type), and soil environmental conditions (e.g., temperature and relative water table position). We found fivefold higher maximum CH₄ production per gram soil carbon from organic soils than mineral soils. Maximum CH₄ production from soils in the active layer (ground that thaws and refreezes annually) was nearly four times that of permafrost per gram soil carbon, and CH₄ production per gram soil carbon was two times greater from sites without permafrost than sites with permafrost. Maximum CH₄ and median anaerobic CO₂ production decreased with depth, while CO₂:CH₄ production increased with depth. Maximum CH₄ production was highest in soils with herbaceous vegetation and soils that were either consistently or periodically inundated. This synthesis identifies the need to consider biome, landscape position, and vascular/moss vegetation types when modeling CH₄ production in permafrost ecosystems and suggests the need for longer‐term anaerobic incubations to fully capture CH₄ dynamics. Our results demonstrate that as climate warms in arctic and boreal regions, rates of anaerobic CO₂ and CH₄ production will increase, not only as a result of increased temperature, but also from shifts in vegetation and increased ground saturation that will accompany permafrost thaw.     

Predicting long‐term carbon mineralization and trace gas production from thawing permafrost of Northeast Siberia

The currently observed Arctic warming will increase permafrost degradation followed by mineralization of formerly frozen organic matter to carbon dioxide (CO₂) and methane (CH₄). Despite increasing awareness of permafrost carbon vulnerability, the potential long‐term formation of trace gases from thawing permafrost remains unclear. The objective of the current study is to quantify the potential long‐term release of trace gases from permafrost organic matter. Therefore, Holocene and Pleistocene permafrost deposits were sampled in the Lena River Delta, Northeast Siberia. The sampled permafrost contained between 0.6% and 12.4% organic carbon. CO₂ and CH₄ production was measured for 1200 days in aerobic and anaerobic incubations at 4 °C. The derived fluxes were used to estimate parameters of a two pool carbon degradation model. Total CO₂ production was similar in Holocene permafrost (1.3 ± 0.8 mg CO₂‐C gdw^?1 aerobically, 0.25 ± 0.13 mg CO₂‐C gdw^?1 anaerobically) as in 34 000–42 000‐year‐old Pleistocene permafrost (1.6 ± 1.2 mg CO₂‐C gdw^?1 aerobically, 0.26 ± 0.10 mg CO₂‐C gdw^?1 anaerobically). The main predictor for carbon mineralization was the content of organic matter. Anaerobic conditions strongly reduced carbon mineralization since only 25% of aerobically mineralized carbon was released as CO₂ and CH₄ in the absence of oxygen. CH₄ production was low or absent in most of the Pleistocene permafrost and always started after a significant delay. After 1200 days on average 3.1% of initial carbon was mineralized to CO₂ under aerobic conditions while without oxygen 0.55% were released as CO₂ and 0.28% as CH₄. The calibrated carbon degradation model predicted cumulative CO₂ production over a period of 100 years accounting for 15.1% (aerobic) and 1.8% (anaerobic) of initial organic carbon, which is significantly less than recent estimates. The multiyear time series from the incubation experiments helps to more reliably constrain projections of future trace gas fluxes from thawing permafrost landscapes.     

Molecular mechanisms of water table lowering and nitrogen deposition in affecting greenhouse gas emissions from a Tibetan alpine wetland

Rapid climate change and intensified human activities have resulted in water table lowering (WTL) and enhanced nitrogen (N) deposition in Tibetan alpine wetlands. These changes may alter the magnitude and direction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, affecting the climate impact of these fragile ecosystems. We conducted a mesocosm experiment combined with a metagenomics approach (GeoChip 5.0) to elucidate the effects of WTL (?20 cm relative to control) and N deposition (30 kg N ha^?1 yr^?1) on carbon dioxide (CO₂), methane (CH₄) and nitrous oxide (N₂O) fluxes as well as the underlying mechanisms. Our results showed that WTL reduced CH₄ emissions by 57.4% averaged over three growing seasons compared with no‐WTL plots, but had no significant effect on net CO₂ uptake or N₂O flux. N deposition increased net CO₂ uptake by 25.2% in comparison with no‐N deposition plots and turned the mesocosms from N₂O sinks to N₂O sources, but had little influence on CH₄ emissions. The interactions between WTL and N deposition were not detected in all GHG emissions. As a result, WTL and N deposition both reduced the global warming potential (GWP) of growing season GHG budgets on a 100‐year time horizon, but via different mechanisms. WTL reduced GWP from 337.3 to ?480.1 g CO₂‐eq m^?2 mostly because of decreased CH₄ emissions, while N deposition reduced GWP from 21.0 to ?163.8 g CO₂‐eq m^?2, mainly owing to increased net CO₂ uptake. GeoChip analysis revealed that decreased CH₄ production potential, rather than increased CH₄ oxidation potential, may lead to the reduction in net CH₄ emissions, and decreased nitrification potential and increased denitrification potential affected N₂O fluxes under WTL conditions. Our study highlights the importance of microbial mechanisms in regulating ecosystem‐scale GHG responses to environmental changes.     

Plants,microorganisms, and soil temperatures contribute to a decrease in methane fluxes on a drained Arctic floodplain

As surface temperatures are expected to rise in the future, ice‐rich permafrost may thaw, altering soil topography and hydrology and creating a mosaic of wet and dry soil surfaces in the Arctic. Arctic wetlands are large sources of CH₄, and investigating effects of soil hydrology on CH₄ fluxes is of great importance for predicting ecosystem feedback in response to climate change. In this study, we investigate how a decade‐long drying manipulation on an Arctic floodplain influences CH₄‐associated microorganisms, soil thermal regimes, and plant communities. Moreover, we examine how these drainage‐induced changes may then modify CH₄ fluxes in the growing and nongrowing seasons. This study shows that drainage substantially lowered the abundance of methanogens along with methanotrophic bacteria, which may have reduced CH₄ cycling. Soil temperatures of the drained areas were lower in deep, anoxic soil layers (below 30 cm), but higher in oxic topsoil layers (0–15 cm) compared to the control wet areas. This pattern of soil temperatures may have reduced the rates of methanogenesis while elevating those of CH₄ oxidation, thereby decreasing net CH₄ fluxes. The abundance of Eriophorum angustifolium, an aerenchymatous plant species, diminished significantly in the drained areas. Due to this decrease, a higher fraction of CH₄ was alternatively emitted to the atmosphere by diffusion, possibly increasing the potential for CH₄ oxidation and leading to a decrease in net CH₄ fluxes compared to a control site. Drainage lowered CH₄ fluxes by a factor of 20 during the growing season, with postdrainage changes in microbial communities, soil temperatures, and plant communities also contributing to this reduction. In contrast, we observed CH₄ emissions increased by 10% in the drained areas during the nongrowing season, although this difference was insignificant given the small magnitudes of fluxes. This study showed that long‐term drainage considerably reduced CH₄ fluxes through modified ecosystem properties.     

Snow melt stimulates ecosystem respiration in Arctic ecosystems

Cold seasons in Arctic ecosystems are increasingly important to the annual carbon balance of these vulnerable ecosystems. Arctic winters are largely harsh and inaccessible leading historic data gaps during that time. Until recently, cold seasons have been assumed to have negligible impacts on the annual carbon balance but as data coverage increases and the Arctic warms, the cold season has been shown to account for over half of annual methane (CH₄) emissions and can offset summer photosynthetic carbon dioxide (CO₂) uptake. Freeze–thaw cycle dynamics play a critical role in controlling cold season CO₂ and CH₄ loss, but the relationship has not been extensively studied. Here, we analyze freeze–thaw processes through in situ CO₂ and CH₄ fluxes in conjunction with soil cores for physical structure and porewater samples for redox biogeochemistry. We find a movement of water toward freezing fronts in soil cores, leaving air spaces in soils, which allows for rapid infiltration of oxygen‐rich snow melt in spring as shown by oxidized iron in porewater. The snow melt period coincides with rising ecosystem respiration and can offset up to 41% of the summer CO₂ uptake. Our study highlights this important seasonal process and shows spring greenhouse gas emissions are largely due to production from respiration instead of only bursts of stored gases. Further warming is projected to result in increases of snowpack and deeper thaws, which could increase this ecosystem respiration dominate snow melt period causing larger greenhouse gas losses during spring.     

Long-Term Release of Carbon Dioxide from Arctic Tundra Ecosystems in Alaska

Releases of the greenhouse gases carbon dioxide (CO₂) and methane (CH₄) from thawing permafrost are expected to be among the largest feedbacks to climate from arctic ecosystems. However, the current net carbon (C) balance of terrestrial arctic ecosystems is unknown. Recent studies suggest that these ecosystems are sources, sinks, or approximately in balance at present. This uncertainty arises because there are few long-term continuous measurements of arctic tundra CO₂ fluxes over the full annual cycle. Here, we describe a pattern of CO₂ loss based on the longest continuous record of direct measurements of CO₂ fluxes in the Alaskan Arctic, from two representative tundra ecosystems, wet sedge and heath tundra. We also report on a shorter time series of continuous measurements from a third ecosystem, tussock tundra. The amount of CO₂ loss from both heath and wet sedge ecosystems was related to the timing of freeze-up of the soil active layer in the fall. Wet sedge tundra lost the most CO₂ during the anomalously warm autumn periods of September–December 2013–2015, with CH₄ emissions contributing little to the overall C budget. Losses of C translated to approximately 4.1 and 1.4% of the total soil C stocks in active layer of the wet sedge and heath tundra, respectively, from 2008 to 2015. Increases in air temperature and soil temperatures at all depths may trigger a new trajectory of CO₂ release, which will be a significant feedback to further warming if it is representative of larger areas of the Arctic.     

The rate of permafrost carbon release under aerobic and anaerobic conditions and its potential effects on climate

Recent observations suggest that permafrost thaw may create two completely different soil environments: aerobic in relatively well‐drained uplands and anaerobic in poorly drained wetlands. The soil oxygen availability will dictate the rate of permafrost carbon release as carbon dioxide (CO₂) and as methane (CH₄), and the overall effects of these emitted greenhouse gases on climate. The objective of this study was to quantify CO₂ and CH₄ release over a 500‐day period from permafrost soil under aerobic and anaerobic conditions in the laboratory and to compare the potential effects of these emissions on future climate by estimating their relative climate forcing. We used permafrost soils collected from Alaska and Siberia with varying organic matter characteristics and simultaneously incubated them under aerobic and anaerobic conditions to determine rates of CO₂ and CH₄ production. Over 500 days of soil incubation at 15 °C, we observed that carbon released under aerobic conditions was 3.9–10.0 times greater than anaerobic conditions. When scaled by greenhouse warming potential to account for differences between CO₂ and CH₄, relative climate forcing ranged between 1.5 and 7.1. Carbon release in organic soils was nearly 20 times greater than mineral soils on a per gram soil basis, but when compared on a per gram carbon basis, deep permafrost mineral soils showed carbon release rates similar to organic soils for some soil types. This suggests that permafrost carbon may be very labile, but that there are significant differences across soil types depending on the processes that controlled initial permafrost carbon accumulation within a particular landscape. Overall, our study showed that, independent of soil type, permafrost carbon in a relatively aerobic upland ecosystems may have a greater effect on climate when compared with a similar amount of permafrost carbon thawing in an anaerobic environment, despite the release of CH₄ that occurs in anaerobic conditions.     

Temperature and peat type control CO2 and CH4 production in Alaskan permafrost peats

Controls on the fate of ~277 Pg of soil organic carbon (C) stored in permafrost peatland soils remain poorly understood despite the potential for a significant positive feedback to climate change. Our objective was to quantify the temperature, moisture, organic matter, and microbial controls on soil organic carbon (SOC) losses following permafrost thaw in peat soils across Alaska. We compared the carbon dioxide (CO₂) and methane (CH₄) emissions from peat samples collected at active layer and permafrost depths when incubated aerobically and anaerobically at ?5, ?0.5, +4, and +20 °C. Temperature had a strong, positive effect on C emissions; global warming potential (GWP) was >3× larger at 20 °C than at 4 °C. Anaerobic conditions significantly reduced CO₂ emissions and GWP by 47% at 20 °C but did not have a significant effect at ?0.5 °C. Net anaerobic CH₄ production over 30 days was 7.1 ± 2.8 μg CH₄‐C gC^?1 at 20 °C. Cumulative CO₂ emissions were related to organic matter chemistry and best predicted by the relative abundance of polysaccharides and proteins (R² = 0.81) in SOC. Carbon emissions (CO₂‐C + CH₄‐C) from the active layer depth peat ranged from 77% larger to not significantly different than permafrost depths and varied depending on the peat type and peat decomposition stage rather than thermal state. Potential SOC losses with warming depend not only on the magnitude of temperature increase and hydrology but also organic matter quality, permafrost history, and vegetation dynamics, which will ultimately determine net radiative forcing due to permafrost thaw.     

Species interactions and distinct microbial communities in high Arctic permafrost affected cryosols are associated with the CH4 and CO2 gas fluxes

Microbial metabolism of the thawing organic carbon stores in permafrost results in a positive feedback loop of greenhouse gas emissions. CO₂ and CH₄ fluxes and the associated microbial communities in Arctic cryosols are important in predicting future warming potential of the Arctic. We demonstrate that topography had an impact on CH₄ and CO₂ flux at a high Arctic ice-wedge polygon terrain site, with higher CO₂ emissions and lower CH₄ uptake at troughs compared to polygon interior soils. The pmoA sequencing suggested that USCα cluster of uncultured methanotrophs is likely responsible for observed methane sink. Community profiling revealed distinct assemblages across the terrain at different depths. Deeper soils contained higher abundances of Verrucomicrobia and Gemmatimonadetes, whereas the polygon interior had higher Acidobacteria and lower Betaproteobacteria and Deltaproteobacteria abundances. Genome sequencing of isolates from the terrain revealed presence of carbon cycling genes including ones involved in serine and ribulose monophosphate pathways. A novel hybrid network analysis identified key members that had positive and negative impacts on other species. Operational Taxonomic Units (OTUs) with numerous positive interactions corresponded to Proteobacteria, Candidatus Rokubacteria and Actinobacteria phyla, while Verrucomicrobia and Acidobacteria members had negative impacts on other species. Results indicate that topography and microbial interactions impact community composition.     

A spatially explicit analysis to extrapolate carbon fluxes in upland tundra where permafrost is thawing

One of the most important changes in high‐latitude ecosystems in response to climatic warming may be the thawing of permafrost soil. In upland tundra, the thawing of ice‐rich permafrost can create localized surface subsidence called thermokarst, which may change the soil environment and influence ecosystem carbon release and uptake. We established an intermediate scale (a scale in between point chamber measurements and eddy covariance footprint) ecosystem carbon flux study in Alaskan tundra where permafrost thaw and thermokarst development had been occurring for several decades. The main goal of our study was to examine how dynamic ecosystem carbon fluxes [gross primary production (GPP), ecosystem respiration (R_eco), and net ecosystem exchange (NEE)] relate to ecosystem variables that incorporate the structural and edaphic changes that co‐occur with permafrost thaw and thermokarst development. We then examined how these measured ecosystem carbon fluxes responded to upscaling. For both spatially extensive measurements made intermittently during the peak growing season and intensive measurements made over the entire growing season, ecosystem variables including degree of surface subsidence, thaw depth, and aboveground biomass were selected in a mixed model selection procedure as the ‘best’ predictors of GPP, R_eco, and NEE. Variables left out of the model (often as a result of autocorrelation) included soil temperature, moisture, and normalized difference vegetation index. These results suggest that the structural changes (surface subsidence, thaw depth, aboveground biomass) that integrate multiple effects of permafrost thaw can be useful components of models used to estimate ecosystem carbon exchange across thermokarst affected landscapes.     

Arctic browning: Impacts of extreme climatic events on heathland ecosystem CO2 fluxes

Extreme climatic events are among the drivers of recent declines in plant biomass and productivity observed across Arctic ecosystems, known as “Arctic browning.” These events can cause landscape‐scale vegetation damage and so are likely to have major impacts on ecosystem CO₂ balance. However, there is little understanding of the impacts on CO₂ fluxes, especially across the growing season. Furthermore, while widespread shoot mortality is commonly observed with browning events, recent observations show that shoot stress responses are also common, and manifest as high levels of persistent anthocyanin pigmentation. Whether or how this response impacts ecosystem CO₂ fluxes is not known. To address these research needs, a growing season assessment of browning impacts following frost drought and extreme winter warming (both extreme climatic events) on the key ecosystem CO₂ fluxes Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE), Gross Primary Productivity (GPP), ecosystem respiration (R_eco) and soil respiration (R_soil) was carried out in widespread sub‐Arctic dwarf shrub heathland, incorporating both mortality and stress responses. Browning (mortality and stress responses combined) caused considerable site‐level reductions in GPP and NEE (of up to 44%), with greatest impacts occurring at early and late season. Furthermore, impacts on CO₂ fluxes associated with stress often equalled or exceeded those resulting from vegetation mortality. This demonstrates that extreme events can have major impacts on ecosystem CO₂ balance, considerably reducing the carbon sink capacity of the ecosystem, even where vegetation is not killed. Structural Equation Modelling and additional measurements, including decomposition rates and leaf respiration, provided further insight into mechanisms underlying impacts of mortality and stress on CO₂ fluxes. The scale of reductions in ecosystem CO₂ uptake highlights the need for a process‐based understanding of Arctic browning in order to predict how vegetation and CO₂ balance will respond to continuing climate change.     

Nongrowing season methane emissions–a significant component of annual emissions across northern ecosystems

Wetlands are the single largest natural source of atmospheric methane (CH₄), a greenhouse gas, and occur extensively in the northern hemisphere. Large discrepancies remain between “bottom‐up” and “top‐down” estimates of northern CH₄ emissions. To explore whether these discrepancies are due to poor representation of nongrowing season CH₄ emissions, we synthesized nongrowing season and annual CH₄ flux measurements from temperate, boreal, and tundra wetlands and uplands. Median nongrowing season wetland emissions ranged from 0.9 g/m² in bogs to 5.2 g/m² in marshes and were dependent on moisture, vegetation, and permafrost. Annual wetland emissions ranged from 0.9 g m^?2 year^?1 in tundra bogs to 78 g m^?2 year^?1 in temperate marshes. Uplands varied from CH₄ sinks to CH₄ sources with a median annual flux of 0.0 ± 0.2 g m^?2 year^?1. The measured fraction of annual CH₄ emissions during the nongrowing season (observed: 13% to 47%) was significantly larger than that was predicted by two process‐based model ensembles, especially between 40° and 60°N (modeled: 4% to 17%). Constraining the model ensembles with the measured nongrowing fraction increased total nongrowing season and annual CH₄ emissions. Using this constraint, the modeled nongrowing season wetland CH₄ flux from >40° north was 6.1 ± 1.5 Tg/year, three times greater than the nongrowing season emissions of the unconstrained model ensemble. The annual wetland CH₄ flux was 37 ± 7 Tg/year from the data‐constrained model ensemble, 25% larger than the unconstrained ensemble. Considering nongrowing season processes is critical for accurately estimating CH₄ emissions from high‐latitude ecosystems, and necessary for constraining the role of wetland emissions in a warming climate.     

Land‐atmosphere exchange of methane from soil thawing to soil freezing in a high‐Arctic wet tundra ecosystem

The land‐atmosphere exchange of methane (CH₄) and carbon dioxide (CO₂) in a high‐Arctic wet tundra ecosystem (Rylekærene) in Zackenberg, north‐eastern Greenland, was studied over the full growing season and until early winter in 2008 and from before snow melt until early winter in 2009. The eddy covariance technique was used to estimate CO₂ fluxes and a combination of the gradient and eddy covariance methods was used to estimate CH₄ fluxes. Small CH₄ bursts were observed during spring thawing 2009, but these existed during short periods and would not have any significant effect on the annual budget. Growing season CH₄ fluxes were well correlated with soil temperature, gross primary production, and active layer thickness. The CH₄ fluxes remained low during the entire autumn, and until early winter. No increase in CH₄ fluxes were seen as the soil started to freeze. However, in autumn 2008 there were two CH₄ burst events that were highly correlated with atmospheric turbulence. They were likely associated with the release of stored CH₄ from soil and vegetation cavities. Over the measurement period, 7.6 and 6.5 g C m^?2 was emitted as CH₄ in 2008 and in 2009, respectively. Rylekærene acted as a C source during the warmer and wetter measurement period 2008, whereas it was a C sink for the colder and drier period of 2009. Wet tundra ecosystems, such as Rylekærene may thus play a more significant role for the climate in the future, as temperature and precipitation are predicted to increase in the high‐Arctic.     

Soil Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Response to Corn Stover Removal and Tillage Management Across the US Corn Belt

In-field measurements of direct soil greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions provide critical data for quantifying the net energy efficiency and economic feasibility of crop residue-based bioenergy production systems. A major challenge to such assessments has been the paucity of field studies addressing the effects of crop residue removal and associated best practices for soil management (i.e., conservation tillage) on soil emissions of carbon dioxide (CO₂), nitrous oxide (N₂O), and methane (CH₄). This regional survey summarizes soil GHG emissions from nine maize production systems evaluating different levels of corn stover removal under conventional or conservation tillage management across the US Corn Belt. Cumulative growing season soil emissions of CO₂, N₂O, and/or CH₄ were measured for 2–5 years (2008–2012) at these various sites using a standardized static vented chamber technique as part of the USDA-ARS’s Resilient Economic Agricultural Practices (REAP) regional partnership. Cumulative soil GHG emissions during the growing season varied widely across sites, by management, and by year. Overall, corn stover removal decreased soil total CO₂ and N₂O emissions by -4 and -7 %, respectively, relative to no removal. No management treatments affected soil CH₄ fluxes. When aggregated to total GHG emissions (Mg CO₂?eq ha^?1) across all sites and years, corn stover removal decreased growing season soil emissions by ?5?±?1 % (mean?±?se) and ranged from -36 % to 54 % (n?=?50). Lower GHG emissions in stover removal treatments were attributed to decreased C and N inputs into soils, as well as possible microclimatic differences associated with changes in soil cover. High levels of spatial and temporal variabilities in direct GHG emissions highlighted the importance of site-specific management and environmental conditions on the dynamics of GHG emissions from agricultural soils.