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1.
中国北方农牧交错带土地利用/覆盖变化研究综述   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
土地利用/覆盖变化(LUCC)是人类活动行为与自然生态系统相互作用最为直接的表现形式.近年来由于人类活动的日益加剧使区域生态环境发生了剧烈变化,中国北方农牧交错带作为人类活动的强烈影响区和生态环境敏感区,是土地利用/覆盖变化研究的“热点区域”.本综述基于众多学者对于北方农牧交错带LUCC的研究成果,梳理了关于北方农牧交错带范围界定的进展,总结了当前有关本地区LUCC的研究手段、研究内容以及环境效应与应对措施等方面的最新进展,最后指出了本地区LUCC研究中存在的综合性模拟研究较少、生态环境效应不足等问题,并提出了未来研究中应多手段、多学科、多尺度研究的发展方向.  相似文献   

2.
黄河流域在中国社会经济发展和生态安全方面的地位十分重要,过去几十年的自然演变和人类活动对其造成了深远影响,系统科学地认识黄河流域的环境格局变化是实现黄河流域高质量发展的重要前提。基于Google Earth Engine平台和复杂网络分析方法,解译并分析了1986年至2018年黄河流域的连续年度土地利用/覆被变化(LUCC)。基于1000个独立验证点进行的评估显示解译的覆盖黄河流域33年的年度土地利用/覆被数据集的7个一级类的总体准确率为82.6%,15个二级类的总体准确率为74.7%。分析结果显示黄河流域的土地系统在整个研究期间呈现出复杂的时空变化,主要的LUCC模式包括:不变或很小的变化、伴随耕地流失的城市扩张、草地恢复、果园和梯田扩张和森林增加。基于复杂网络方法对黄河流域土地系统的分析表明,土地利用/覆被转移网络中的高覆盖草地、低植被覆盖地表和落叶常绿混交林与其他地类的转移较频繁,地类节点的中介中心性和度值较高,是黄河流域土地系统中的关键地类。另外与人类活动关系密切的果园和梯田、谷物耕地和城市及建设用地节点组成了较为活跃的网络社区结构,它们都有较高的结构多样性、接近中心性,这些地...  相似文献   

3.
采用1991、1996、2001、2006、2011、2016和2021年7期Landsat系列遥感影像为数据源,在ENVI和ArcGIS支持下构建黄河三角洲景观类型图,运用土地利用动态度、人类活动强度模型、皮尔逊相关系数等方法对近30年黄河三角洲滨海湿地土地利用类型时空变化、人类活动强度及二者的关系进行评价。研究表明:(1)近30年现代黄河三角洲面积呈小幅度波动变化特征,自然湿地、人工湿地和非湿地面积的年均变化率分别为-1.52%、15.17%和1.95%。(2)黄河三角洲土地利用类型由单一逐渐多样,综合土地利用动态度在2011—2016年最大(3.28%)。(3)研究时段内现代黄河三角洲建设用地当量面积和人类活动强度指数均呈现上升趋势,30年期间建设用地当量面积由212.33 km2增至501.26 km2,人类活动强度由7.93%升高至18.84%。(4)研究期内现代黄河三角洲土地利用/覆被时空变化与人类活动强度变化具有一致性、同步性和显著相关性,说明人类活动与研究区土地利用变化关系密切。  相似文献   

4.
基于智能体模型的土地利用动态模拟研究进展   总被引:10,自引:1,他引:10  
田光进  邬建国 《生态学报》2008,28(9):4451-4459
土地利用动态变化是全球变化和可持续发展研究的基础,对区域水循环、大气循环、环境质量、气候变化及陆地生态系统生产力等具有重要影响,也是造成生物多样性衰减的最主要原因.目前,建立于复杂性科学基础上的的智能体模型(ABM)成为土地利用动态模拟的重要方法.智能体模型能模拟个体或群体的行为及决策模式,从而能将政府、城市规划、房地产开发商、住户等社会群体及个人对土地利用产生的影响进行模拟,同时能对不同社会经济政策对土地动态影响进行模拟.智能体模型在元胞自动机基础上,加入了人为因素的智能体概念,从而能更好地模拟土地动态.在分析总结了智能体模型的相关概念和组织结构,并分析了其在土地利用动态、城市动态模拟及生态过程模拟等方面的应用与元胞自动机的关系,比较了常用的智能体模型的主要软件,最后概括了智能体模型优点、发展趋势及存在的主要问题.  相似文献   

5.
黄宝荣  张慧智  王学志 《生态学报》2014,34(22):6756-6766
城乡结合部自然和农业生态系统是确保城市生态安全的重要基础。研究快速城市化背景下城乡结合部自然和农业景观的时空演变规律和驱动因素,能够为相关规划的编制和保护政策的制定提供科学支撑。以北京市三个典型的城乡结合部乡镇为例,通过对1999、2004和2010年三期SPOT遥感影像的解译,获取三镇三个时期土地利用/覆盖(Land Use/Land Cover,LULC)数据。在此基础上,借助Arc GIS空间叠加功能和土地利用转移矩阵,分析1999—2010年三镇LULC的时空变化特征;并通过空间自相性和景观连通性分析,研究近十年来三镇建设用地的空间聚集特征以及自然和农业景观空间连通性的变化,分析城市扩张对三镇自然和农业景观格局和稳定性的影响。最后,采用定量和定性相结合的方法,分析三镇自然和农业景观变化的驱动力。结果表明,1999—2010年三镇经历了剧烈的LUCC过程,建设用地、林地和草地面积大幅增加,伴随的是农业用地和水域面积的急剧减少。各种土地利用类型之间都存在着相互转移,特别是农业用地向建设用地、林地和草地,以及林地向建设用地转移明显。新增建设用地大多通过侵占原有建设用地周边的农业用地和林地,而实现"成片蔓延式"扩张;并造成了三镇自然和农业景观连通性的急剧下降,危及到该区域生态系统结构的完整性和功能的持续性。社会经济发展、土地利用规划、公共政策等共同决定着三镇LUCC的结构、规模和空间分布,是三镇自然和农业景观格局演变的主要驱动力。  相似文献   

6.
基于LUCC的城市生态安全研究进展   总被引:11,自引:4,他引:11  
张浩  马蔚纯  HO Hon Hing 《生态学报》2007,27(5):2109-2117
近代工业革命以来特别是二战以后,世界范围内城市化发展迅速,受城市化驱动的土地利用/覆盖变化(Land use/cover change,LUCC)及其环境影响越来越突出,不仅对城市生态安全产生了危胁,甚至在区域和全球尺度上影响生态系统的结构与功能,成为当今地球生态系统平衡与人类社会可持续发展的研究热点。尽管LUCC与城市生态安全态势有密切联系,然而目前研究中对土地利用变化的驱动机制较为侧重,涉及LUCC对城市生态安全影响的研究文献仍很缺乏。从城市生态安全的概念辨析入手,评述了国内外LUCC与城市生态安全响应研究的进展,将相关研究分为两个阶段:即定性和(半)定量研究阶段。指出了现有研究在理论体系与研究方法在指导实践中的不足之处,即:(1)基于LUCC城市尺度的生态安全研究的理论体系尚不成熟,目前的研究多未结合研究区域LUCC的动态特征对城市生态安全状态进行评价,因而也难以应用于指导城市生态建设实践;(2)目前的城市土地利用的生态影响实例研究中仍很缺乏采用数学模型、地理信息系统(GIS)、环境影响评价(EIA)、生态风险评价技术(ERA)及政策仿真等手段进行动态化的、多场景(Multi-Scenarios)模拟分析的综合运用,也缺乏对这些研究方法在实践中的应用的比较研究;(3)缺乏从土地利用动态监测、驱动力机制、生态响应等方面进行区域生态安全演变及调控的综合研究,现实指导意义有限。在上述工作的基础上,探讨了此研究领域未来的发展方向,即:(1)实现不同研究尺度的紧密结合;(2)多种研究方法的集成运用;(3)基于多学科知识体系的评价方法与指标体系的明细化与合理化。  相似文献   

7.
在节肢动物中,昆虫纲是一个为数最多的动物群,它在国民经济与人类生活方面具有巨大的意义在研究昆虫时,必须:(1)使学生认识昆虫在自然界中的广泛分布情形,它们类型的多样性,已观察到的昆虫的构造和行为与其生活条件的统一.(2)说明昆虫与环节动物性状的类似点,指山昆虫和环节动物(蠕形动物的一门)的亲缘关系.(3)与前面已学习到的动物类群相比较,说明昆虫有更高度的组织化和其行为的复杂性.(4)说明害虫(说明它们发育的各个不同时期)和有害昆虫生物学方面的知识对于组织防治他们  相似文献   

8.
人类基因组结构变异   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
何永蜀  张闻  杨照青 《遗传》2009,31(8):771-778
基因组结构变异通常是指基因组内大于1 kb的DNA片段缺失、插入、重复、倒位、易位以及DNA拷贝数目变化(CNVs)。人类基因组结构变异涉及数千片段不连续的基因组区域, 含数百万DNA碱基对, 可含数个基因及调控序列, 多种基因功能因此缺失或改变, 导致机体表型变化、疾病易感性改变或发生疾病。对基因组结构变异的研究, 有助于用动态的观点全面分析基因组遗传变异得到整合的基因型, 理解结构变异的潜在医学作用及机体整体功能的复杂性。文章从人类基因组结构变异的类型、研究方法, 对个体表型、疾病及生物进化的影响等方面综合阐述人类基因组结构变异的最新研究进展。  相似文献   

9.
基于黄河三角洲自然保护区1992年、2000年和2010年三期遥感图像,分析近20年黄河三角洲自然保护区土地利用/覆被变化(LUCC)情况。结果表明,在1992~2010年间,黄河三角洲自然保护区内同种土地覆被类型的空间分布较一致,均以海域、滩涂和旱地为主,但同种土地覆盖类型的比重均发生不同程度的变化。总体上,旱地、河渠、水库、居民地和其他用地类型的变化程度不明显,但年际间有波动变化;草地面积虽持续减少,但总体变化不明显;灌木面积总体变化也不明显,但年际间波动较大;芦苇面积呈减少趋势,尤其是1992~2000年间,大量芦苇覆被地转化为旱地类型;养殖塘面积增加明显,近20年间增加约6.24×10~3 hm~2,主要由滩涂、柽柳、碱蓬等开发形成;海域面积变化剧烈,海域转化为滩涂是造成海域面积减少的主要原因。黄河三角洲自然保护区LUCC改变了自然保护区的生态系统结构,降低了自然保护区的生态服务功能。造成黄河三角洲LUCC的原因既有自然因素,也有人为因素,但在该区LUCC的驱动力主要为人类活动。  相似文献   

10.
张浚茂  臧传富 《生态学报》2019,39(24):9339-9350
土地利用/覆被变化作为影响全球环境变化的重要因素,是人类活动最直接的反映,其驱动力分析能够很好地揭示人类活动对土地资源的影响机制。运用ArcGIS空间分析和SPSS主成分分析等方法,从整个东南诸河流域片区的尺度上,研究了包含中国台湾地区在内的1990—2015年间的土地利用时空变化特征,并探究其主要驱动机制。研究结果为:(1)全流域各土地类型面积占比为:林地耕地草地城乡建设用地水域未利用土地,林地与耕地的空间分布特征均为"北聚南散,北多南少",城乡建设用地集中分布在经济较为发达的台湾海峡两岸沿海地区以及流域大陆北部靠近长江三角洲的地区。(2)全流域土地类型的面积变化量为:城乡建设用地耕地草地林地水域未利用土地。流域土地利用综合动态度为0.68%,整体用地类型转化程度先降低再增加,并以城乡建设用地和耕地为主要变化类型。流域南部各市的土地利用变化较北部剧烈,台湾地区主要土地利用变化类型为耕地和城乡建设用地。(3)大陆地区城乡建设用地变化的主要驱动力为人口数量及结构、城市化和社会经济发展,台湾地区在此基础上增加了社会工农产业结构调整因素。大陆耕地变化的主要驱动力为人口数量及结构、城市化水平和社会工农产业结构,社会工农产业结构和农业生产水平是台湾地区耕地变化的主要驱动力。本研究为东南诸河流域土地资源规划管理提供科学依据,为自然流域尺度的土地利用变化及其驱动机制研究提供可靠实例。  相似文献   

11.
The ecosystem services (ES) concept has emerged and spread widely recently, to enhance the importance of preserving ecosystems through global change in order to maintain their benefits for human well-being. Numerous studies consider various dimensions of the interactions between ecosystems and land use via ES, but integrated research addressing the complete feedback loop between biodiversity, ES and land use has remained mostly theoretical. Few studies consider feedbacks from ecosystems to land use systems through ES, exploring how ES are taken into account in land management decisions. To fill this gap, we carried out a role-playing game to explore how ES cognition mediates feedbacks from environmental change on farmers'' behaviors in a mountain grassland system. On a close to real landscape game board, farmers were faced with changes in ES under climatic and socio-economic scenarios and prompted to plan for the future and to take land management decisions as they deemed necessary. The outcomes of role-playing game were complemented with additional agronomic and ecological data from interviews and fieldwork. The effects of changes in ES on decision were mainly direct, i.e. not affecting knowledge and values, when they constituted situations with which farmers were accustomed. For example, a reduction of forage quantity following droughts led farmers to shift from mowing to grazing. Sometimes, ES cognitions were affected by ES changes or by external factors, leading to an indirect feedback. This happened when fertilization was stopped after farmers learned that it was inefficient in a drought context. Farmers'' behaviors did not always reflect their attitudes towards ES because other factors including topographic constraints, social value of farming or farmer individual and household characteristics also influenced land-management decisions. Those results demonstrated the interest to take into account the complete feedback loop between ES and land management decisions to favor more sustainable ES management.  相似文献   

12.
Engineering research and development contributes to the advance of sustainable agriculture both through innovative methods to manage and control processes, and through quantitative understanding of the operation of practical agricultural systems using decision models. This paper describes how an engineering approach, drawing on mathematical models of systems and processes, contributes new methods that support decision making at all levels from strategy and planning to tactics and real-time control. The ability to describe the system or process by a simple and robust mathematical model is critical, and the outputs range from guidance to policy makers on strategic decisions relating to land use, through intelligent decision support to farmers and on to real-time engineering control of specific processes. Precision in decision making leads to decreased use of inputs, less environmental emissions and enhanced profitability-all essential to sustainable systems.  相似文献   

13.
We review agricultural impacts on biodiversity and the potential of conservation agriculture in developing productive and environment-friendly cropping systems. We then analyse experiences from two African landscapes of global importance for conservation: the Mid Zambezi Valley in Southern Africa and the periphery of the “W-Arly-Penjari” complex in West Africa. In both areas, expansion of cotton farming, considered as one of the most polluting forms of agriculture in the world, drives major land use change and loss of biodiversity. In both areas, various forms of conservation agriculture have been developed and tested. We highlight the potential benefit of conservation agriculture in controlling negative environmental effects traditionally associated with agriculture and reducing the need for land conversion through increased biophysical resource use efficiency, turning agriculture from a threat to an opportunity for conservation. Finally, we raise a number of issues that constitute challenges for the widespread adoption of these technologies by resource-poor farmers, and formulate recommendations for the development, evaluation and diffusion of conservation agriculture technologies for smallholders in semi-arid Africa.  相似文献   

14.
《Ecological Complexity》2007,4(3):113-127
Landscape ecology and complex adaptive systems (CAS) research provide numerous examples of systems with complex non-linear feedbacks, but our understanding of these systems is severely limited by a lack of conceptual frameworks built on these foundations. Here, we develop a conceptual framework by combining CAS organisation with landscape structure, functioning and change. The resulting framework, ‘complex adaptive landscapes’ (CAL), explicitly captures the reciprocal feedbacks and non-linear nature of interactions between components within and between system levels, and the consequent possibility of multiple functional states (alternate systems functioning). The CAL framework highlights six core tenets that describe landscape complexity and dynamics. CAL provides examples of how the complex ecohydrological interactions at finer-scale hillslope levels manifest changes to broader landscape levels, as well as multi-temporal feedbacks and change (days to decades). Understanding the specific feedback and non-linear responses of different components of the landscape, such as plant functional types, are of paramount importance for adequately designing monitoring and analytical frameworks for adaptive natural resource management. The CAL framework allows us to better understand the scale of ecohydrological functions within the landscape, and how substituted component types and their spatial and temporal configuration may cause dysfunctional states to arise as a result of human land use.  相似文献   

15.
基于参与性调查的农户对退耕政策及生态环境的认知与响应   总被引:33,自引:4,他引:29  
连纲  郭旭东  傅伯杰  王静  何挺 《生态学报》2005,25(7):1741-1747
采用参与性农户评估方法(PRA)对黄土丘陵区107户农户进行了分层随机抽样调查,并根据研究区内地形等条件将所调查农户分为旱地农户和川水地农户两组,就目前农户对退耕还林还草政策的态度及农户对生态环境的意识及行为的异同进行分析比较。尝试从农户行为角度研究区域发展问题,并基于对农户行为的分析,对区域相关政策制定、实施以及生态环境建设等提出相关建议。研究表明:研究区农户对于土地依赖性较大,旱地农户表现尤为突出,大多数农户对于退耕持支持态度。农户进行的相关水土保护措施,很大程度上并不是农户经过决策后有意识的自觉行为,而是农户为了保证基本农业生产,采取的相应的对策所产生的效应。在土地管理及水土保护措施方面,除了相关的种植措施外,旱地农户更多倾向于通过工程措施来获取好的回报,而川水地农户更多注重于现有土地质量的管护,来进一步提高现有耕地的质量。农户对于环境重要性的认识较为明确,川水地农户认识要比旱地农户更充分一些。与10a前相比,近80%的农户认为当地的生态环境有所好转,然而近45%的农户在生产活动过程中根本不考虑对生态环境的影响,两组农户之间差异不大。超过55%的农户认为生态环境恶化首要原因是气候的影响,干旱是关键因子,其次是过度放牧(24.5%)和水土流失(22.5%)等,两组农户对于生态环境恶化原因的认识具有较大的差别,旱地农户认为生态环境的恶化主要原因是干旱和水土流失,而川水地农户认为生态环境的恶化主要原因是干旱和过度放牧。  相似文献   

16.
Aim Land use intensity has been recognized as one of the major determinants of native species declines. The re‐expansion of species previously constrained by habitat degradation has been rarely investigated. Here, we use site occupancy models incorporating imperfect detection to identify the land use drivers of the re‐expansion of the Eurasian otter (Lutra lutra). Location Czech Republic. Methods We applied multi‐season occupancy models to otter presence–non‐detection data collected in three national surveys (1992, 2000, 2006) at 552 sites (11.2 × 12 km grid cells). Model parameters included site occupancy, colonization and extinction probabilities, and detection probability at a sub‐site level. We modelled changes in occupancy over time as a function of agricultural, urban and industrial land use and change in the extent of agricultural land use. Results Under the best fitting model, occupancy was estimated to be 34.6% in 1992, 51.3% in 2000 and 83.7% in 2006. Detection probability was neither perfect nor constant. Occupancy probability in 1992 was negatively related to land use gradients. Colonization was more likely to occur where a reduction in agricultural land was larger. Variation in extinction and colonization rates along land use gradients resulted in increased occupancy in industrial and especially urban landscapes. Conversely, occupancy remained almost unchanged along agricultural gradients. Main conclusions Dynamics of otter expansion were strongly associated with the two main patterns of the rapid environmental transition that has taken place in the Czech Republic since the early 1990s. Results show that a reduction in intensive agricultural land use led to an increase in otter distribution, providing evidence of the impact of agricultural land use on stream ecosystems. Moreover, otters recolonized urban and industrial landscapes, probably as a result of extensive reduction in water pollution from point sources. Our results suggest that active conservation of otter populations should focus on restoration of freshwater habitat at large scales, especially in agricultural landscapes.  相似文献   

17.
Climate and land‐use change jointly affect the future of biodiversity. Yet, biodiversity scenarios have so far concentrated on climatic effects because forecasts of land use are rarely available at appropriate spatial and thematic scales. Agent‐based models (ABMs) represent a potentially powerful but little explored tool for establishing thematically and spatially fine‐grained land‐use scenarios. Here, we use an ABM parameterized for 1,329 agents, mostly farmers, in a Central European model region, and simulate the changes to land‐use patterns resulting from their response to three scenarios of changing socio‐economic conditions and three scenarios of climate change until the mid of the century. Subsequently, we use species distribution models to, first, analyse relationships between the realized niches of 832 plant species and climatic gradients or land‐use types, respectively, and, second, to project consequent changes in potential regional ranges of these species as triggered by changes in both the altered land‐use patterns and the changing climate. We find that both drivers determine the realized niches of the studied plants, with land use having a stronger effect than any single climatic variable in the model. Nevertheless, the plants' future distributions appear much more responsive to climate than to land‐use changes because alternative future socio‐economic backgrounds have only modest impact on land‐use decisions in the model region. However, relative effects of climate and land‐use changes on biodiversity may differ drastically in other regions, especially where landscapes are still dominated by natural or semi‐natural habitat. We conclude that agent‐based modelling of land use is able to provide scenarios at scales relevant to individual species distribution and suggest that coupling ABMs with models of species' range change should be intensified to provide more realistic biodiversity forecasts.  相似文献   

18.
景观生态学的学科前沿与发展战略   总被引:68,自引:7,他引:61  
肖笃宁  李秀珍 《生态学报》2003,23(8):1615-1621
根据美国景观生态学2001年年会关于景观生态学的关键议题和研究领域特别专题的讨论,综合16位国际知名专家所发表的关于深化理论、整合协调和方法改进等方面的意见,深入论述了景观生态学的6项关键议题和10个优先研究领域。包括通过景观镶嵌体的生态流,土地利用和土地覆被变化的过程、机制,非线性动态和景观复杂性,尺度转换方法论的发展,景观指标与生态过程,人类活动与景观生态,景观格局的优化,景观保育与可持续性,资料获取与准确性评价。并对构建中国景观生态学的理论框架提出了初步的想法,即发展以格局——过程关系为中心的生态空间理论,以人类活动有序化为中心的景观生态建设理论,以发挥景观多重价值为中心的景观规划理论。  相似文献   

19.
Agriculture is important to New Zealand’s economy. Like other primary producers, New Zealand strives to increase agricultural output while maintaining environmental integrity. Utilising modelling to explore the economic, environmental and land use impacts of policy is critical to understand the likely effects on the sector. Key deficiencies within existing land use and land cover change models are the lack of heterogeneity in farmers and their behaviour, the role that social networks play in information transfer, and the abstraction of the global and regional economic aspects within local-scale approaches. To resolve these issues we developed the Agent-based Rural Land Use New Zealand model. The model utilises a partial equilibrium economic model and an agent-based decision-making framework to explore how the cumulative effects of individual farmer’s decisions affect farm conversion and the resulting land use at a catchment scale. The model is intended to assist in the development of policy to shape agricultural land use intensification in New Zealand. We illustrate the model, by modelling the impact of a greenhouse gas price on farm-level land use, net revenue, and environmental indicators such as nutrient losses and soil erosion for key enterprises in the Hurunui and Waiau catchments of North Canterbury in New Zealand. Key results from the model show that farm net revenue is estimated to increase over time regardless of the greenhouse gas price. Net greenhouse gas emissions are estimated to decline over time, even under a no GHG price baseline, due to an expansion of forestry on low productivity land. Higher GHG prices provide a greater net reduction of emissions. While social and geographic network effects have minimal impact on net revenue and environmental outputs for the catchment, they do have an effect on the spatial arrangement of land use and in particular the clustering of enterprises.  相似文献   

20.
梁友嘉  刘丽珺 《生态学报》2020,40(24):9252-9259
社会-生态系统(SES)模拟模型是景观格局分析和决策的有效工具,能表征景观格局变化的社会-生态效应及景观决策的复杂反馈机制。文献综述了森林-农业景观格局的SES模型方法进展发现:(1)多数模型对景观过程与社会经济决策的反馈关系分析不足;(2)应集成多种情景模拟和景观效应分析方法,完善现有SES模型的理论方法基础;(3)通过集成格局优化模型和自主体模型会有效改进SES模型功能,具体途径包括:集成情景-生态效应的景观格局模拟方法、完善景观决策的理论基础、加强集成模型的不确定性分析、降低模型复杂性和综合定性-定量数据等。研究结果有助于理解多尺度森林-农业景观格局在社会-生态系统中的重要作用,能更好地支持跨学科集成模型开发与应用。  相似文献   

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