广东省南雄,和平银杏的物候特征及其与气候因子的关系

对广东省南雄、和平两地银杏（ＧｉｎｋｇｏｂｉｌｏｂａＬ．）的物候特征进行了观测和分析,探讨了南雄银杏花期及果实成熟期与气候因子的定量关系。研究表明,影响南雄银杏花期的主要气候因子是当年２月份的平均气温,影响果实成熟期的主要气候因子是花期至成熟期的积温。     

澳门5种植物叶变色盛期对气候因子的响应

叶变色盛期是植物生长季结束时的重要物候指标。为探究澳门地区气候因子对植物叶变色盛期的影响,利用3个固定物候监测样地2012-2018年的物候资料和气象数据,对5种野生植物叶变色盛期的年际变化及其对前期各种气候因子的响应进行了研究。结果表明,不同物种叶变色盛期不同,集中在12月的有山乌桕（Sapium discolor）、野漆（Toxicodendron succedaneum）和天料木（Homalium cochinchinenense）,假苹婆（Sterculia lanceolata）的叶变色盛期在5月,秤星树（Ilex asprella）集中在1月。不同样地共有种叶变色盛期不同,大潭山样地秤星树的叶变色盛期显著早于九澳山样地,松山样地假苹婆的叶变色盛期显著早于大潭山样地。叶变色盛期与春夏季温度的变化呈正相关,与秋冬季的呈负相关。叶变色盛期与冬、春季降水量的变化呈正相关,与夏、秋季的呈负相关。相对湿度与植物的叶变色盛期亦有显著相关性。温度是影响这5种植物叶变色盛期最主要的气候因子。     

气候因子对东北羊草草原羊草群落产量影响的分析

根据羊草［Ａｎｅｕｒｏｌｅｐｉｄｉｕｍ ｃｈｉｎｅｎｓｅ （Ｔｒｉｎ．） Ｋｅｎｇ］群落地上部产量的１３ 年定位观测资料,应用关联分析方法对羊草群落产量与主要气候因子动态的相互关系进行了探讨。分析结果表明,Σ７—８ 月降雨量、Σ６—８ 月降雨量／Σ６—８ 月温度和Σ４—７ 月日照对羊草群落产量的关联度,分别为０．４７、０．４１ 和０．３５。水分是羊草群落产量的主要限制因子,其次是水热因子的配合。并应用多元回归模型和周期方差分析方法的结合,对羊草群落产量进行了模拟,模拟率达９０％ 以上     

动态物候模型发展及其在全球变化研究中的应用

物候模型可以通过环境因子预测植物物候期,是植物物候学一个重要内容。其中,试图反映生物过程的动态物候模型往往预测比较准确,因此这类物候模型有助于探讨植物在全球变化中的响应。本文把动态物候模型分为3大类,温度物候模型、冷激物候模型和其它物候模型,阐述了每个模型的基本原理和假设,重点论述了常见的温度物候模型.提出物候模型的真实性和广泛性还需要进一步提高,并介绍了温度物候模型在全球变化中运用的几个代表案例,指出目前的物候模型研究刚刚起步,还有许多方面需要进一步深入和开拓。     

新疆野杏开花物候与花器官对海拔的响应

新疆野杏(Prunus armeniaca Lam.)是天山野果林的优势种,具有重要的生态与资源价值。野果林的生境条件与其分布及生长密切相关。为了明确新疆野杏在不同海拔下的开花物候与花器官变化规律,于2021年3月—4月,选择新疆新源县吐尔根杏花沟野杏林为研究区,在野杏集中分布的1000—1500m的山地,由低到高划分Ⅰ—Ⅴ级海拔梯度设置样地,监测环境条件,对野杏群体开花物候期与花器官发育特征进行调查。结果表明：(1)新疆野杏群体开花物候期历时32d左右,各海拔梯度最长相差2d,第Ⅰ级与第Ⅱ级海拔的开花物候期差异不明显,其他海拔梯度间均存在显著差异,开花最晚的第Ⅴ级比最早的第Ⅰ级晚9d,但群体开花期长4d,海拔梯度与开花物候期呈显著正相关,而温度与开花物候期呈显著负相关;(2)新疆野杏的花萼长度和宽度、子房高度和宽度均是第Ⅱ级海拔的最大;花冠直径、花瓣纵径和横径均是第Ⅰ级的最大,花药长度和宽度均是第Ⅳ级的最大;花柱长度是第Ⅴ级的最大。海拔与花的外部器官、雌蕊呈显著负相关,与雄蕊呈显著正相关;光照强度与花的外部器官、雌蕊呈显著负相关;(3)新疆野杏开花期气候因子,第Ⅳ级、第Ⅴ级与第Ⅰ级存...     

植物物候对气候变化的响应

植物物候的变化可以直观地反映某些气候变化,尤其是气候变暖.植物生长节律的变化引起植物与环境关系的改变.生态系统的物质循环（如水和碳的循环）等过程将随物候而改变.不同种类植物物候对气候变化的响应的差异,会使植物间和动植物间的竞争与依赖关系也发生深刻的变化.目前欧洲、美洲、亚洲等许多地区均有关于春季植物物候提前,秋季物候推迟,使植物的生长季延长,从而提示气候变暖的趋势.植物物候的模拟模型构成生态系统生产力模型的重要部分.     

河南林州植物物候变化特征及其原因分析

根据河南省林州市1987年至2004年的物候和气象资料,运用一元线性回归法和相关分析法分析了林州市近20年来植物物候的变化特征及其对气候变化的响应。结果表明,近20年来,林州地区的毛白杨(Populus tomentosa Carr.)、刺槐(Robinia hispida Linn.)、梧桐(Firmiana simplex W.F.Wight)和白梨(Pyrus bretschneideri Rehd.)等木本植物的春季物候期提前,秋季物候期变化不一致,生长期延长;车前(Plantago asiatica Linn.)、藜(Chenopodium album Linn.)和苍耳(Xanthium sibiricum Patr.)等草本植物的春季物候期变化不一致,秋季物候期均提前,生长期缩短。木本植物春季物候变化受冬末春初气温变化的影响最大、日照次之、降水最小,秋季物候期对气候变化基本没有响应;草本植物的物候期主要受气温影响,降水能促进草本植物开花。木本植物的春季物候变化可作为反映气候变化的代用指标。     

利用控制实验研究植物物候对气候变化的响应综述

物候是植物在长期适应环境过程中形成的生长发育节点。长时间地面物候观测数据表明,近50年全球乔木、灌木、草本植物的春季物候期受温度升高、降水与辐射变化等影响,以每10年2 d到10 d的速率提前。但因植物物候响应气候因子的机制仍不清楚,导致对未来气候变化情景下的植物物候变化预测存在较大的不确定性。在此背景下,控制实验成为探究气候因子对植物物候影响机制的重要手段。综述了物候控制实验中不同气候因子（温度、水分、光照等）的控制方法。总结了目前为止控制实验在植物物候对气候因子响应方面得到的重要结论,发现植物春季物候期（展叶、开花等）主要受冷激、驱动温度与光周期的影响,秋季物候期（叶变色和落叶）主要受低温、短日照与水分胁迫的影响。提出未来物候控制实验应重点解决木本植物在秋季进入休眠的时间点确定、低温和短日照对木本植物秋季物候的交互作用量化、草本植物春秋季物候的影响因子识别等科学问题。     

植物物候对城市热岛响应的研究进展

城市热岛引起的局地小气候改变对生态系统格局、过程及功能的影响加剧。植物物候是检测这种影响的敏感且易观测的生物指示器,其对城市热岛的响应研究成为城市生态学及全球变化科学关注的热点。本文系统综述近年来相关研究成果,指出物候地面观测、模型模拟及遥感监测是获取城市植物物候的主要途径,联合公众并充分结合照片、多分辨率影像等可丰富物候资料获取;由于城市热岛的影响,城市春季物候早于周围乡村地区,但对于驱动机制仍没有定论;随着城市增温,城市春季物候提前,秋季物候延后,但如何定量区分致使城市增温的热岛效应与气候增暖的影响成为难点;同时,植物功能型、外来种等生物因素及地理区位因素对植物物候响应产生影响。为此,提出未来应抽丝剥茧去除干扰因素,加强植物物候响应机理的研究。     

高寒草甸植物群落生长发育特征与气候因子的关系

为合理利用高寒草甸资源,探讨近年来气候变化对高寒草甸的影响,以青海省甘德县高寒草甸为例,基于牧业气象站1976-2006年的气象资料和1994-2006年的牧草观测资料,分析了草地植被地上生物量、高度、盖度和物候期等群落特征以及当地气温、降雨等气象因素的年际变化趋势,采用典型相关分析法和逐步回归分析法对草地植物群落特征变化与气象因子的关系进行了研究,综合分析了影响植被生长状况的关键因子,结果表明：（1）青藏高原高寒草甸总体呈年均气温和平均地温上升、年降水量下降的"暖干化"趋势,牧草盖度高度增大,产量减少,整体观测水平下的牧草物候期推迟。（2）牧草的高度、盖度及产量对不同气候因子的响应程度不同。牧草高度与盖度对温度因子的变化更敏感,牧草产量对水分因子的变化更敏感。平均地温和相对湿度越高,牧草高度越高,产量越多。（3）不同牧草的物候期受不同气象因子的影响,变化趋势也不相同。从整体水平上看,牧草物候期对温度因子更敏感,温度越高,物候期越提前。     

河北省草本植物物候特征及其对气候变暖的响应

以1981—2006年河北省8个国家农业气象观测站的草本植物物候观测资料和47个气象站的地面观测资料为基础,运用EOF和REOF等统计学方法,研究了河北省草本植物物候期的变化特征及其对气候变暖的响应。结果表明:河北省草本植物展叶始期总体呈提前趋势,其中东部沿海平原提前趋势最大,中南部平原次之,西北部山区最小;黄枯始期主要表现出推迟趋势,生长季长度以延长趋势为主;春季气温对展叶始期的影响显著,河北省春季气温上升1℃,草本植物展叶始期提前4.1d;各站点生长季倾向率与年均温倾向率呈正相关,即年均温升幅大的站点,生长季延长的幅度也较大;草本植物物候变化特征及其对气候变暖的响应与木本植物基本一致,研究结果对丰富河北省物候与气候变化关系研究具有一定意义。     

民勤荒漠区不同生活型植物物候响应气候变暖的差异

运用1974年以来民勤荒漠区植物物候观测资料和气象观测资料,将22种植物分别按生长类型划分为乔木、灌木和草本植物3种生活型,再按更新芽着生部位将22种植物划分为高位芽植物、地上芽植物和地面芽植物植物3种生活型,分析了按这2种方法划分的不同生活型植物物候响应气候变化的差异.结果表明:1)不论以哪种方法划分的植物生活型,春季物候响应气温变化的敏感程度均大干秋季;2)按生长类型划分的3种生活型植物之间的物候变化差异较按更新芽着生部位划分的3种生活型植物之间的物候变化差异大,主要表现为乔木和灌木的物候差异较大;3)当地植物的生长期长度、乔木的春季物候提前幅度和高位芽植物的春季物候提前幅度大干其他文献报导;4)更新芽着生部位越高,春季物候响应当月和当年气温变暖越敏感,表明在地面以上、乔木高度以内,距地面越高气温对春季物候的影响越显著.     

Community and ecosystem responses to recent climate change

There is ample evidence for ecological responses to recent climate change. Most studies to date have concentrated on the effects of climate change on individuals and species, with particular emphasis on the effects on phenology and physiology of organisms as well as changes in the distribution and range shifts of species. However, responses by individual species to climate change are not isolated; they are connected through interactions with others at the same or adjacent trophic levels. Also from this more complex perspective, recent case studies have emphasized evidence on the effects of climate change on biotic interactions and ecosystem services. This review highlights the ‘knowns’ but also ‘unknowns’ resulting from recent climate impact studies and reveals limitations of (linear) extrapolations from recent climate-induced responses of species to expected trends and magnitudes of future climate change. Hence, there is need not only to continue to focus on the impacts of climate change on the actors in ecological networks but also and more intensively to focus on the linkages between them, and to acknowledge that biotic interactions and feedback processes lead to highly complex, nonlinear and sometimes abrupt responses.     

Phenological response to climate change in China: a meta‐analysis

The change in the phenology of plants or animals reflects the response of living systems to climate change. Numerous studies have reported a consistent earlier spring phenophases in many parts of middle and high latitudes reflecting increasing temperatures with the exception of China. A systematic analysis of Chinese phenological response could complement the assessment of climate change impact for the whole Northern Hemisphere. Here, we analyze 1263 phenological time series (1960–2011, with 20+ years data) of 112 species extracted from 48 studies across 145 sites in China. Taxonomic groups include trees, shrubs, herbs, birds, amphibians and insects. Results demonstrate that 90.8% of the spring/summer phenophases time series show earlier trends and 69.0% of the autumn phenophases records show later trends. For spring/summer phenophases, the mean advance across all the taxonomic groups was 2.75 days decade^?1 ranging between 2.11 and 6.11 days decade^?1 for insects and amphibians, respectively. Herbs and amphibians show significantly stronger advancement than trees, shrubs and insect. The response of phenophases of different taxonomic groups in autumn is more complex: trees, shrubs, herbs and insects show a delay between 1.93 and 4.84 days decade^?1, while other groups reveal an advancement ranging from 1.10 to 2.11 days decade^?1. For woody plants (including trees and shrubs), the stronger shifts toward earlier spring/summer were detected from the data series starting from more recent decades (1980s–2000s). The geographic factors (latitude, longitude and altitude) could only explain 9% and 3% of the overall variance in spring/summer and autumn phenological trends, respectively. The rate of change in spring/summer phenophase of woody plants (1960s–2000s) generally matches measured local warming across 49 sites in China (R = ?0.33, P < 0.05).     

Phenological responses to temperature of an annual and a perennial Lesquerella species

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The annual Lesquerella fendleri, native to the south-western desert of United States and Mexico, and the perennial L. mendocina, native to Argentina, may have potential as new crops for cold-arid environments. The introduction of a new crop requires an understanding of environmental influences on growth and development, particularly temperature, which has been recognized as the main factor affecting the rate of development in crops. The objective of this study was to examine differences in the phenology of L. fendleri and L. mendocina and in the response to temperature in both vegetative and reproductive phases. METHODS: Plants of each species were grown at a range of constant temperatures under controlled conditions and developmental responses were analysed and quantified. KEY RESULTS: The rate of development of L. fendleri increased linearly with temperature in the phase from emergence (EM) to floral bud appearance (FBA) over the range 9-20 degrees C, and for the phase from FBA to first flower open (FL) over the range 9-24 degrees C. In contrast, the rate of development of L. mendocina was insensitive to temperature during the phase EM to FBA. In the phase FBA to FL, L. mendocina had a lower sensitivity to temperature than L. fendleri. In addition, L. fendleri exhibited a quantitative response to supra-optimal temperatures (reducing rate of development with further increases in temperature) whereas L. mendocina showed a qualitative response, with development ceasing to progress at temperatures above the optimum. CONCLUSIONS: This differential behaviour at high temperatures could explain the biennial habit found for L. mendocina sown during late spring under field conditions, whereas it behaves as an annual when sown in autumn-winter. The possibility is discussed of using this information for establishing the coincidence of critical stages with environmental conditions that can limit potential and actual yield through agronomic practices.     

Phenological plasticity is a poor predictor of subalpine plant population performance following experimental climate change

Phenological shifts, changes in the seasonal timing of life cycle events, are among the best documented responses of species to climate change. However, the consequences of these phenological shifts for population dynamics remain unclear. Population growth could be enhanced if species that advance their phenology benefit from longer growing seasons and gain a pre-emptive advantage in resource competition. However, it might also be reduced if phenological advances increase exposure to stresses, such as herbivores and, in colder climates, harsh abiotic conditions early in the growing season. We exposed subalpine grasslands to ~3 K of warming by transplanting intact turfs from 2000 m to 1400 m elevation in the eastern Swiss Alps, with turfs transplanted within the 2000 m site acting as a control. In the first growing season after transplantation, we recorded species’ flowering phenology at both elevations. We also measured species’ cover change for three consecutive years as a measure of plant performance. We used models to estimate species’ phenological plasticity (the response of flowering time to the change in climate) and analysed its relationship with cover changes following climate change. The phenological plasticity of the 18 species in our study varied widely but was unrelated to their changes in cover. Moreover, early- and late-flowering species did not differ in their cover response to warming, nor in the relationship between cover changes and phenological plasticity. These results were replicated in a similar transplant experiment within the same subalpine community, established one year earlier and using larger turfs. We discuss the various ecological processes that can be affected by phenological shifts, and argue why the population-level consequences of these shifts are likely to be species- and context-specific. Our results highlight the importance of testing assumptions about how warming-induced changes in phenotypic traits, like phenology, impact population dynamics.     

A generalized, bioclimatic index to predict foliar phenology in response to climate

The phenological state of vegetation significantly affects exchanges of heat, mass, and momentum between the Earth's surface and the atmosphere. Although current patterns can be estimated from satellites, we lack the ability to predict future trends in response to climate change. We searched the literature for a common set of variables that might be combined into an index to quantify the greenness of vegetation throughout the year. We selected as variables: daylength (photoperiod), evaporative demand (vapor pressure deficit), and suboptimal (minimum) temperatures. For each variable we set threshold limits, within which the relative phenological performance of the vegetation was assumed to vary from inactive (0) to unconstrained (1). A combined Growing Season Index (GSI) was derived as the product of the three indices. Ten‐day mean GSI values for nine widely dispersed ecosystems showed good agreement (r>0.8) with the satellite‐derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). We also tested the model at a temperate deciduous forest by comparing model estimates with average field observations of leaf flush and leaf coloration. The mean absolute error of predictions at this site was 3 days for average leaf flush dates and 2 days for leaf coloration dates. Finally, we used this model to produce a global map that distinguishes major differences in regional phenological controls. The model appears sufficiently robust to reconstruct historical variation as well as to forecast future phenological responses to changing climatic conditions.     

Phenological plasticity will not help all species adapt to climate change

Concerns are rising about the capacity of species to adapt quickly enough to climate change. In long‐lived organisms such as trees, genetic adaptation is slow, and how much phenotypic plasticity can help them cope with climate change remains largely unknown. Here, we assess whether, where and when phenological plasticity is and will be adaptive in three major European tree species. We use a process‐based species distribution model, parameterized with extensive ecological data, and manipulate plasticity to suppress phenological variations due to interannual, geographical and trend climate variability, under current and projected climatic conditions. We show that phenological plasticity is not always adaptive and mostly affects fitness at the margins of the species' distribution and climatic niche. Under current climatic conditions, phenological plasticity constrains the northern range limit of oak and beech and the southern range limit of pine. Under future climatic conditions, phenological plasticity becomes strongly adaptive towards the trailing edges of beech and oak, but severely constrains the range and niche of pine. Our results call for caution when interpreting geographical variation in trait means as adaptive, and strongly point towards species distribution models explicitly taking phenotypic plasticity into account when forecasting species distribution under climate change scenarios.     

Non-climatic thermal adaptation: implications for species' responses to climate warming

There is considerable interest in understanding how ectothermic animals may physiologically and behaviourally buffer the effects of climate warming. Much less consideration is being given to how organisms might adapt to non-climatic heat sources in ways that could confound predictions for responses of species and communities to climate warming. Although adaptation to non-climatic heat sources (solar and geothermal) seems likely in some marine species, climate warming predictions for marine ectotherms are largely based on adaptation to climatically relevant heat sources (air or surface sea water temperature). Here, we show that non-climatic solar heating underlies thermal resistance adaptation in a rocky–eulittoral-fringe snail. Comparisons of the maximum temperatures of the air, the snail''s body and the rock substratum with solar irradiance and physiological performance show that the highest body temperature is primarily controlled by solar heating and re-radiation, and that the snail''s upper lethal temperature exceeds the highest climatically relevant regional air temperature by approximately 22°C. Non-climatic thermal adaptation probably features widely among marine and terrestrial ectotherms and because it could enable species to tolerate climatic rises in air temperature, it deserves more consideration in general and for inclusion into climate warming models.     

森林凋落物分解及其对全球气候变化的响应

凋落物分解是重要的森林生态系统过程之一,受到气候、凋落物质量、土壤生物群落等生物和非生物因素的综合调控．迄今,有关不同森林生态系统和不同树种地上部分的凋落物动态、凋落物分解过程中的养分释放动态、生物和非生物因素对凋落物分解的影响等研究报道较多,但对地下凋落物的分解研究相对较少．近年来,森林凋落物分解对以大气CO2浓度增加和温度升高为主要特征的全球变化的响应逐步受到重视,但其研究结果仍具有很多不确定性．因此,未来凋落物生态研究的重点应是凋落物分解对土壤有机碳固定的贡献、地上／地下凋落物的物理、化学和生物学过程及其对各种生态因子（例如冻融、干湿交替）及交互作用的响应、凋落物特别是地下凋落物分解对全球气候变化的响应机制等方面．