Estimation of Growth Norms from Incomplete Longitudinal Data

Longitudinal studies are rarely complete due to attrition, mistimed visits and observations missing at random. When the data are missing at random it is possible to estimate the primary location parameters of interest by constructing a modification of Zellner's (1962) seemingly unrelated regression estimator. Such a procedure is developed in this paper and is applied to a longitudinal study of coronary risk factors in children. The method consists of two stages in which the covariance matrix is estimated at the first stage. Using the estimated covariance matrix a generalized least squares estimator of the regression parameter vector is then determined at the second stage. Limitations of the procedure are also discussed.     

纵向研究妊娠期妇女的阴道微生态状况

目的分析妊娠期妇女阴道微生态状况的纵向变化。方法选择健康无症状单胎妊娠期妇女50例,分别于孕早期（10.2±2.1）周、孕中期（24.6±3.7）周、孕晚期（33.2±3.4）周,取其阴道分泌物,进行pH、H2O2含量检测及细菌培养,并经革兰染色后在油镜下观察,进行阴道微生态（阴道菌群的密集度、多样性、优势菌、炎症反应状况等）状况评价。结果 （1）50例孕妇中,孕早期38例（76%）阴道微生态正常,其中31例（81.58%）整个孕期维持阴道微生态正常,7例（18.42%）孕妇于孕中期或孕晚期转变为阴道微生态失调;12例（24%）孕早期阴道微生态失调,其中6例（50%）于孕中期或孕晚期转变为阴道微生态正常。（2）无症状性细菌性阴道病随着孕周增加部分可自然消退40%（2/5）。（3）H2O2阳性、阴道pH低者易从阴道微生态失调转为阴道微生态正常。结论妊娠期阴道微生态是动态变化的,部分细菌性阴道炎可自然消退,H2O2阳性及低阴道pH为维持正常阴道微生态的重要因素。     

Tracking: Concepts,methods and tools

Tracking can be defined as the tendency of an individual, or a collection of individuals, to maintain a particular course of growth over time relative to other individuals. A measure of tracking based on Cohen's kappa statistic and the tracking indices proposed by Foulkes-Davis and McMahan are considered. Applications, including significance testing, are made to a study of the growth of Guatemalan school children whose stature was measured longitudinally malan school children whose stature was measured longitudinally from 7 to 12 years of age. User-friendly programs for computing these indices are described and made available to interested readers. Supported by USPHS Research Grant DE-08730-03 from the National Institute of Dental Research, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892 USA.     

芜湖市284名小学生生长发育的追踪研究

本文报道了1992年10月— 1997年10月对芜湖市284名 6—11岁汉族小学生生长发育的追踪调查结果。调查指标为身高、体重、胸围、脉搏和肺活量。对形态发育指数进行了分析。分析了男女间的差异。并与汉族 1985和1986年均值和日本人数据进行了比较。对当前儿童少年生长发育加速趋势也进行了讨论。     

儿童身高生长追踪研究

以北京市106名儿童为样本 ,为研究各年龄生长速度的集中趋势、变异状况以及与生长速度有关的参数 ,追踪观察这些儿童自6、7岁至 18岁时共12年的身高变化 ,并做有关参数分析。报告了各年龄组身高生长速度的均值及标准差 ,该组儿童身高生长突增开始年龄 (男10.73±1 .12岁 ,女 9.00± 1.18岁 )及速度 (男4.51± 0.65cm/年 ,女 4.95± 0.79cm/年 ) ;身高生长高峰发生年龄 (男 1 3.0 7±1.08岁 ,女11.32± 1.32岁 )及速度高峰值 (男10 .01± 1.59cm/年 ,女8.13± 1.03cm/年 ) ;以及生长突增结束年龄 (男16.18± 1.02岁 ,女 13.96± 1.09岁 )。分析了最终身高与生长突增有关指标的相关关系。     

The effect of miss-specified baseline characteristics on inference for longitudinal trends in linear mixed models

The main advantage of longitudinal studies is that they can distinguish changes over time within individuals (longitudinal effects) from differences among subjects at the start of the study (baseline characteristics, cross-sectional effects). Often, especially in observational studies, longitudinal trends are studied after correction for many potentially important baseline differences between subjects. We show that, in the context of linear mixed models, inference for longitudinal trends is in general biased if a wrong model for the baseline characteristics is used. However, we will argue that this bias is small in most practical situations and completely vanishes in the special case of a growth curve model for complete balanced data. In the latter case, inference for longitudinal trends is completely independent of additional baseline covariates that might have been omitted from the model.     

How ecological indicators construction reveals social changes—The case of lakes and rivers in France

Social and scientific factors are deeply enmeshed in each other within the development and the use of ecological indicators (EI). Yet low research has assessed which factors contribute to selecting ecological indicators on the long-term. This article proposes to study the historical construction of EI by examining ecological, political, and social background of specific places where EI were developed, in France on lakes and rivers. Our major findings in France were that ecological indicators were never optimised for the present market or political arena. Instead EI development was typically recycling previous tools that were elaborated for other purposes by environmentally committed outsiders, without regular funding. We found that regular funding for monitoring an EI was only provided when it matched an institution's goal. Beyond the geographically limited relevance of the case studies, these results therefore improve the theoretical framework we deploy when constructing or relying on indicators.     

Working with living krill - the people and the places

The fascination of Antarctic scientists with Antarctic krill and their capabilities has a long and varied history, and prompted many scientists to maintain and manipulate krill under laboratory conditions. Starting in the Discovery era with Mackintosh at the King Edward Point labs on South Georgia, 1930, scientists have collected krill from sailing vessels, small boats, inflatable zodiacs and large ice-breaking vessels. Krill have been maintained in small and large jars, deep rectangular tanks, large round tanks and in flow-through and recycling systems. They have been maintained both on board research vessels and in laboratories, in flowing seawater systems at ambient conditions and in temperature-controlled environmental rooms. A few researchers have transported living krill back to their home laboratories, for example tropical laboratories in Japan (Murano) and Australia (Ikeda), temperate laboratories (Nicol) in Australia, a northern European laboratory in Germany (Marschall) and a sunny maritime laboratory in California (Ross and Quetin). The goals have been varied: short-term experiments to understand in situ physiological rates, long-term experiments to test the effects of manipulations or controlled changes in environmental conditions, and behavioral responses. We take you on a brief historical tour as we trace the lineage of modern day research on living Antarctic krill.     

Working with living krill – the people and the places

The fascination of Antarctic scientists with Antarctic krill and their capabilities has a long and varied history, and prompted many scientists to maintain and manipulate krill under laboratory conditions. Starting in the Discovery era with Mackintosh at the King Edward Point labs on South Georgia, 1930, scientists have collected krill from sailing vessels, small boats, inflatable zodiacs and large ice-breaking vessels. Krill have been maintained in small and large jars, deep rectangular tanks, large round tanks and in flow-through and recycling systems. They have been maintained both on board research vessels and in laboratories, in flowing seawater systems at ambient conditions and in temperature-controlled environmental rooms. A few researchers have transported living krill back to their home laboratories, for example tropical laboratories in Japan (Murano) and Australia (Ikeda), temperate laboratories (Nicol) in Australia, a northern European laboratory in Germany (Marschall) and a sunny maritime laboratory in California (Ross and Quetin). The goals have been varied: short-term experiments to understand in situ physiological rates, long-term experiments to test the effects of manipulations or controlled changes in environmental conditions, and behavioral responses. We take you on a brief historical tour as we trace the lineage of modern day research on living Antarctic krill.     

芜湖市478名中学生生长发育的追踪研究

本文报道了 1 997年 9月—1 999年 9月对芜湖市第九中学 478名(男 2 4 5人 ,女 2 33人 )汉族中学生生长发育 3年追踪测量结果。调查指标为身高、体重、胸围和月经初潮年龄。分析了维尔维克指数 ,比较了男女间的差异并与芜湖市 1 986年数据进行了比较 ,对差异的可能原因进行了分析 ,并对当前青少年生长发育加速和性成熟提前趋势进行了讨论。     

Longitudinal growth of head circumference in Punjabi infants in Chandigarh (India)

One hundred and fifty four (86 male and 68 female) Punjabi infants residing in Chandigarh (India) were longitudinally measured for head circumference at monthly age intervals during first year of life. The general pattern of growth of head circumference was characterised by initial sharp rise followed by slow gain during second half of infancy. Beyond birth male infants, possessed higher and statistically significant mean values than their female counterparts. The pattern-wise similarity between growth curves plotted for Punjabi and Western infants, may be attributed to protective effects of breast feeding. Head circumference velocity showed rapid deceleration immediately after birth up to about 4 months, thereafter, it declined slowly. Sex differences in monthly growth rates were found to be statistically significant (p<0.05) at a few of the age intervals during first year of life.     

Host-specific performance and host use in the kleptoparasitic marine snail<Emphasis Type="Italic"> Trichotropis cancellata</Emphasis>

Generalist parasites may disproportionately use certain hosts because of different benefits associated with each host species. I measured the growth rate of the marine snail Trichotropis cancellata, a facultative kleptoparasite that can suspension feed and steal food, on different hosts to determine the relative nutritional benefits of each host. The variation in tentacle (feeding structure) area among the hosts studied had the potential to provide parasitic snails with different amounts of nutrition for growth. In field experiments, suspension-feeding snails isolated from potential hosts grew at a similar rate to snails on brachiopods and significantly more slowly than snails on the following polychaete worms: Serpula columbiana (Serpulidae), Pseudopotamilla ocellata (Sabellidae), Schizobranchia insignis (Sabellidae), and Eudistylia vancouveri (Sabellidae). However, choice among worm hosts affected snail growth rates only in the fall, when phytoplankton levels are low. At this time, snails parasitizing the sabellids Schizobranchia and Eudistylia grew more quickly than snails on Serpula. In the spring and summer, with high levels of phytoplankton, Trichotropis grew at similar rates on all worm species tested. Trichotropis spent approximately the same time stealing food from each worm host species, >50% of the time the worms had their tentacles extended (the difference among hosts was not significant). This finding demonstrates that the similarity of snail growth rates on different worm species is not due to the snails compensating for poor hosts (worms that provide food at a slower rate) by spending more time stealing food. Snails in choice experiments preferred live Serpula to empty Serpula tubes, indicating that at least some of the cue(s) snails use to identify hosts are derived from living host tissues. In choice racks containing live Serpula and live Schizobranchia, snails did not choose one host worm significantly more often than the other. Because Trichotropis grows faster on sabellids than serpulids in the fall, I predicted that snails in nature would infect sabellids more often than other species. However, snails were usually distributed randomly among host species. In the few cases where the snails showed a significant preference among host species, proportionally more snails were found on serpulids than on sabellids or sabellarids. This study is the first to quantify under natural conditions the growth benefits of a kleptoparasite across the range of possible hosts, and implies that factors other than growth rate influence host choice specificity in the marine kleptoparasite T. cancellata.     

内蒙古学者对蜘蛛的研究

蛛形纲蜘蛛目动物越来越受到当今动物学家的关注,从上世纪80年代开始,内蒙古学者对蜘蛛分类及区系方面进行了大量的研究,取得了不少成果,但是至今不曾有人对他们的研究成果进行过全面的总结。本文整理和分析了该地区学者30多年来发表的有关蜘蛛方面的40篇文献,介绍相关研究成果,试图给出一个全面的图景。     

Semiparametric regression analysis on longitudinal pattern of recurrent gap times

In longitudinal studies, individual subject may experience recurrent events of the same type over a relatively long period of time. The longitudinal pattern of gaps between successive recurrent events is often of great research interest. In this article, the probability structure of the recurrent gap times is first explored in the presence of censoring. According to the discovered structure, we introduce the stratified proportional reverse-time hazards models with unspecified baseline functions to accommodate individual heterogeneity, when the longitudinal pattern parameter is of main interest. Inference procedures are proposed and studied by way of proper riskset construction. The proposed methodology is demonstrated by the Monte Carlo simulations and an application to a well-known Denmark schizophrenia cohort study data set.