北京市居民食物消费碳足迹

碳足迹作为一种评价碳排放影响的全新测度方法,已被用来衡量人类活动对大气环境和气候变化的影响。食物是人类的首要消费品,其消费的碳足迹反应维持一个区域人口的基本食物需求的碳排放以及对气候变化的影响。在碳足迹理论和模型的基础上,根据北京市食物的供应和消费现状情况,利用生命周期法(Life cycle analysis LCA),计算和分析了北京市居民食物消费的碳足迹。得到北京市居民食消费碳足迹为476.8×104t,约占北京市总碳足迹的6%,人均碳足迹为310.0kgCO2/人,占北京市家庭消费碳排放的23.3%,只占北京市能源消费人均碳排放量的5.96%,反映了居民食物消费对全球气候变化造成的影响有限。食物消费碳足迹最大的为粮食,其次为瓜果蔬菜豆类,总共占到65%以上,而在食物生命周期过程中,食物的再加工炊事过程碳排放最大,超过50%,合理减少食物加工炊事过程中碳排放将是减少食物消费碳排放的重要途径之一。其次为化肥农药施用,占到23.23%,减少食物生产过程中化肥农药使用,提高化肥农药的使用效率,或者进行生态农业尽量不使用化肥农药,北京市每年可减少135.1×104t CO2排放,人均87.84kgCO2/人,是有效的减排途径之一。     

基于碳足迹研究的中国地区工业低碳转型——以山东省为例

行业的低碳发展是工业低碳转型的目标,以工业部门为对象,应用脱钩效应和面板模型分析行业能源消费的碳足迹,对深入研究地区工业低碳转型具有重要现实意义。以山东省为例,分析工业能源消费碳足迹的1997年至2012年样本数据,将工业部门分为高耗能行业、其他行业、战略性新兴行业,展开研究,结果表明:(1)自20世纪90年末代开始节能降耗,山东省工业呈现强负"脱钩"、强"脱钩"、扩张负"脱钩"和弱"脱钩"交替发生,表明对工业节能降耗调控波动大,不利于工业部门均衡有序发展;(2)高耗能行业是能耗大户,高耗能行业与工业在绝大部分年份的脱钩状态相同,表明高耗能行业主导工业总体脱钩状态,是节能减排的主要对象;随着节能降耗的深入,相关政策趋紧,碳足迹边际成本不断升高,应关注锁定效应大的火电行业和碳足迹边际成本高的化学工业;(3)其他行业包含行业多,但总体能耗水平不高,随着节能减排的开展和行业持续发展,能耗将增加,必将承担更多的节能减排,需要关注锁定效应强的金属制品业发展,推动碳生产力系数高的食品饮料业发展;(4)战略性新兴行业碳锁定效应最弱、碳足迹边际成本最低和碳生产力系数最高,是国家大力倡导发展的行业;由于基数低,对工业碳排放态势影响极其有限,应大力推动碳锁定效应弱的新一代信息技术产业、碳足迹边际成本低的新材料行业、碳生产力系数高的节能环保业和新材料行业。     

基于LEAP的厦门市节能与温室气体减排潜力情景分析

城市是人类社会经济活动的中心,聚集了世界一半以上的人口。在城市发生的温室气体排放量占全球排放总量的75%左右,因此在城市这个尺度上研究温室气体减排意义重大。从城市这个尺度出发,以厦门市为实际研究案例,应用LEAP模型进行节能减排政策情景分析,定量分析评价城市节能减排潜力,并详细分析各种控制情景和各部门的节能减排贡献率。研究结果显示:在综合控制情景下,厦门能源消费总量年均增长率、万元地区生产总值能耗和温室气体排放总量年均增长率都有所下降;清洁燃料替代措施节能减排效果最好,工业部门节能减排潜力最大;优化能源使用结构蕴藏巨大减排潜力。     

丽江市家庭能耗碳排放特征及影响因素

现代社会中人类活动对碳排放的影响日益显著.家庭作为人类社会的基本单元,其消费活动产生的碳排放是全社会碳排放的重要组成部分.通过对丽江市农村和市区家庭生活用能的调查数据进行分析,发现农村家庭生活用能以木柴为主,沼气和电为辅;市区家庭的生活用能以电为主,其次是液化气和蜂窝煤.从碳排放构成来看,农村地区木柴消费为家庭能源碳排放的主要来源,占总碳排的83.6％;市区电力消费为家庭能源碳排放的主要来源,占总碳排的88.4％.农村地区家庭的碳排放远高于市区家庭,主要原因是木柴的碳排放因子(1.87 kg CO2/kg)远高于电能的边际排放因子(0.7134 kg CO2·kW-1·h-1).从各影响因素与家庭主要能源消费碳排放的回归结果来看,在农村地区,家庭规模、家庭收入、教育水平均对家庭木柴消费碳排放有显著的影响,但影响方向和程度有一定的差别;在市区,年龄结构、教育水平、家庭规模、住房面积均会不同程度增加家庭电能消费碳排放.建议政府在完善“家电下乡”政策、增加农村家庭收入、加强农村居民教育等方面加大投入力度,以减少丽江市整体的家庭能耗碳排放.     

广州市代表性家庭的居民生活污水排放特征

针对目前城市生活污水排放量大、但居民排放底数不清的问题,选择广州市代表性家庭开展居民生活污水的定期调查,采用全天候全面收集、观测方法,定量分析广州城市居民的生活污水排放系数及特征.结果表明:城市居民人均日用水123.10 L,排出污水112.43 L.在居民日常生活排污中,洗衣水是最大的废水来源之一,而洗头水占比重最小.季节变化对居民用水量有一定影响,秋冬季节的日均用水及排水最要大于春夏季;家庭不同人群组成也对排水量有一定的影响,成年女性的生活污水排水量要高于成年男性和未成年人.     

旅游风景区旅游交通系统碳足迹评估——以南岳衡山为例

随着全国各地旅游业的蓬勃发展,旅游风景区内碳排放总量不断攀升,严重影响了旅游业的可持续发展。选择南岳衡山旅游风景区为典型案例区,运用生命周期评价理论,构建了南岳风景区旅游交通系统碳足迹计算模型。结果表明:①从总量来看,不同类型交通方式的碳足迹情况相差甚远。公路旅游交通对旅游景区的环境威胁最大,碳足迹总量是索道旅游交通的2.6倍,人行道旅游交通的46.1倍;②从阶段构成来看,公路和索道旅游交通系统运营使用阶段碳足迹占整个生命周期的大部分,所占比率分别为79%和96%.而人行道旅游交通系统中建造施工和运营后期阶段能源消耗比较大;③从来源构成来看,在使用期内公路旅游交通的碳足迹比重最大,约占碳足迹总量的71%,其次是索道旅游交通占27%,人行道旅游交通仅占2%。研究结果有利于实现旅游风景区低碳旅游发展目标,为旅游风景区节能减排提供理论支撑。     

基于碳足迹的传统农业系统环境影响评价——以青田稻鱼共生系统为例

现代农业在带来粮食高产的同时也产生许多生态环境问题,这促使人们再次把目光转向传统农业系统。一些传统农业系统不仅具有突出的经济、社会和文化价值,还具有多种重要的生态功能,如温室气体减排。然而,已有研究缺乏对传统农业系统整个生命周期的固碳减排能力的测算及其环境影响的评价。为此,基于农户调研数据,运用生命周期评价法对青田稻鱼共生系统的碳足迹进行了测算,并与当地水稻单作系统进行比较。研究发现:(1)青田稻鱼共生系统和水稻单作系统碳足迹分别为6266.7 kgCO_2-eq/hm~2和7520.0 kgCO_2-eq/hm~2,单位产值碳足迹分别为0.12 kgCO_2-eq/元和0.21 kgCO_2-eq/元。与水稻单作系统相比,稻鱼共生系统排放的温室气体更少,环境影响更小,生态和经济效益更高。(2)农业生产过程中积累的CH_4是碳足迹的最主要来源,农业生产资料投入中的化肥是碳足迹的的第二大来源。农业生产资料投入中的饲料则是稻鱼共生系统碳足迹的另一重要来源。通过碳足迹的方法对青田稻鱼共生系统的环境影响进行量化,不仅丰富了碳足迹在实际应用中的适用类型,对于其他传统农业系统的环境影响评价也具有借鉴意义。     

基于收入和消费差异的中国城镇居民碳足迹研究

随着我国城镇化的加快和人民生活水平的提高,居民消费碳足迹越来越受到重视。综述国内外城镇居民消费碳足迹的基础上;并以投入产出法为基础,深入研究中国1997年和2010年中国城镇居民消费碳足迹的特征。结果表明:2010年城镇居民直接碳足迹是1997年城镇居民的2倍。城镇居民能源利用向着更清洁的低碳消费转变,另一方面也会引发产业部门更大的碳排放量。与1997年相比,2010年城镇居民消费随着收入水平提高,生存型消费碳排放比例逐步下降,发展型和享受型消费碳排放比例则逐渐升高。中等收入水平居民是未来城镇居民碳排放产生的主体,应该根据他们的消费特征制定政策实施重点监管。     

区域旅游业碳排放和旅游消费碳足迹研究述评

全球气候变化是当今世界面临的最富挑战性的问题之一,旅游业是世界第一大产业,其碳排放(碳足迹)的测度和控制对全球减排目标的实现具有重大意义。对旅游业碳排放和旅游消费碳足迹相关领域的研究成果进行了深入梳理,探讨已有研究存在的不足之处和薄弱环节,并为进一步的研究指明方向。国内外关于旅游业碳排放和旅游消费碳足迹的研究已有较好基础,但已有研究的核算结果缺乏不确定性分析,信度、效度难以确定,旅游业和旅游消费的碳强度和生态效率尚未厘清,其原因在于,已有研究在概念内涵和外延、系统边界、核算口径、研究方法等方面还存在一些争议和值得探讨的领域。进一步的研究方向应有3个方面发展:明确界定概念内涵和外延、统一系统边界和核算口径以及构建旅游业碳排放和旅游消费碳足迹测度的方法体系。     

住区形态变迁与居民通勤能源消费的关系

快速城市化和城市扩张引发了住区形态的变迁,但形态变迁与居民通勤能源消费关系还不明确,如何通过城市的可持续公共管理政策来控制城市住区形态变迁过程下通勤能源消费及其温室气体排放有着重要意义.以厦门为例,通过土地利用与交通耦合模型TRANUS的情景分析研究了住区形态的变迁对人口、工作以及土地消费空间分布的影响,进而分析了不同情景下通勤能源消费和温室气体排放的水平.结果表明:基准情景下交通出行早高峰能源消费总量为54.35 tce,CO2排放为119.12 t;住区形态变迁情景下,通勤能耗和CO2排放同比基准情景均增加12％;通过适当的土地利用、交通和经济政策的实施,通勤能源消费与CO2排放同比基准情景减少7％,说明城市公共政策能够有效地控制住区形态变迁背景下通勤能源消费和温室气体排放的增长.     

Sensitivity of household transmission to household contact structure and size

Objective

Study the influence of household contact structure on the spread of an influenza-like illness. Examine whether changes to in-home care giving arrangements can significantly affect the household transmission counts.

Method

We simulate two different behaviors for the symptomatic person; either s/he remains at home in contact with everyone else in the household or s/he remains at home in contact with only the primary caregiver in the household. The two different cases are referred to as full mixing and single caregiver, respectively.

Results

The results show that the household’s cumulative transmission count is lower in case of a single caregiver configuration than in the full mixing case. The household transmissions vary almost linearly with the household size in both single caregiver and full mixing cases. However the difference in household transmissions due to the difference in household structure grows with the household size especially in case of moderate flu.

Conclusions

These results suggest that details about human behavior and household structure do matter in epidemiological models. The policy of home isolation of the sick has significant effect on the household transmission count depending upon the household size.     

Allergy to miscellaneous household arthropods

Of the various arthropods, humans have the greatest contact with mites and cockroaches, and as a result, allergies to these two groups have been the most frequently reported. Changes in lifestyle and living environment have encouraged the growth of arthropods other than mites and cockroaches, and consequently, human exposure to antigens derived from the new arthropods has increased. Although systematic approaches to and immunobiochemical studies of these arthropods are relatively sparse compared with those of mites and cockroaches, recent reports have shown that many species of household arthropods can elicit IgE-mediated reactions via inhalation, biting, or stinging. In this chapter, we review the other arthropods that can induce allergic reaction to human beings. Where the information exists, the frequency of sensitivity and clinical manifestation, and the characterization of the allergens are also reviewed. Virtually all species of arthropods may be sources of allergens that can sensitize and induce IgE-mediated allergic reactions in humans.     

Empirical approaches to household organization

This issue of Human Ecologyis devoted to studies of household organization, originally presented at an invited session of the American Anthropological Association annual meetings in New Orleans in 1990. These papers share an empirical orientation and an interest in demographic processes and economic change, particularly in rural and non-Western societies, including !Kung foragers and Herero agro-pastoralists of Botswana, Ariaal and Rendille pastoralists of Kenya, Gainj horticulturalists of highland New Guinea, and a Euro-Caribbean populaiton of St. Barthélemy, West Indies. These papers demonstrate both the vitality of household studies and the utility of empirical approaches in understanding household formation, continuity, and adaptation to social, economic, and political change.     

Modeling rendille household herd composition

Previous analysis of Rendille household herd composition revealed a transition from camel to cattle ownership for sedentary impoverished Rendille pastoralists of northern Kenya. In an attempt to delineate determinants of livestock holdings, logistic regression analysis of 112 household herds from the Rendille settlement of Korr, Marsabit District, Kenya was undertaken. Results indicated that household wealth, measured in present livestock holdings, past drought losses, and livestock sales, formed better predictors of cattle ownership than did household characteristics pertaining to labor supply, wage earners, age-set membership, and birth order of household head. These results are discussed in light of pastoral strategies designed to minimize risk.     

Contesting the value of household property

Working households have never owned so much, but the value of their property—especially in the wake of the recent economic crisis, which has priced people out of their homes and devalued their pension savings—is unstable. Liberal economic thought promotes private property as a self-evident vehicle of investment for the future. In contrast, anthropology highlights the social foundations of property, while value theory foregrounds the exigencies of accumulation. Drawing on the latters’ sensitivities and on my fieldwork in Israel on property divisions upon divorce, I examine contested meanings and uses of household property to argue that financialization, a new regime of accumulation that places property values in flux, amplifies tensions in economic liberalism, thereby exposing its ideological underpinnings.     

Effective degree household network disease model

An ordinary differential equation (ODE) epidemiological model for the spread of a disease that confers immunity, such as influenza, is introduced incorporating both network topology and households. Since most individuals of a susceptible population are members of a household, including the household structure as an aspect of the contact network in the population is of significant interest. Epidemic curves derived from the model are compared with those from stochastic simulations, and shown to be in excellent agreement. Expressions for disease threshold parameters of the ODE model are derived analytically and interpreted in terms of the household structure. It is shown that the inclusion of households can slow down or speed up the disease dynamics, depending on the variance of the inter-household degree distribution. This model illustrates how households (clusters) can affect disease dynamics in a complicated way.     

Contact inactivation of orthopoxviruses by household disinfectants

AIMS: The aim of this study is to identify common household disinfectants that combine significant activity against the type orthopoxvirus, vaccinia virus with minimal impact in terms of potential toxicity and/or damage to household or personal items. METHODS AND RESULTS: Laboratory scale experiments assessed common disinfectants containing anionic and nonionic detergents, oxygen-based bleach, potassium peroxomonosulfate, chloroxylenol or halogenated phenols. Disinfectants were assessed for their ability to inactivate the virus on contact or after a short incubation period in the presence and absence of foetal bovine serum as a potential interferant. Significant differences were observed ranging from negligible effect of detergents to complete inactivation on contact with chloroxylenol. CONCLUSIONS: At least one chloroxylenol-based household disinfectant is available, which inactivates vaccinia virus on contact. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY: In the event of a release or major outbreak of a pathogenic orthopoxvirus there is likely to be significant public demand for disinfectants with activity against these viruses. The identification of common household disinfectants with such activity obviates any requirement to stockpile or distribute laboratory/industrial disinfectants for this purpose.     

Degradation of household biowaste in reactors.

Household derived biowaste was degraded by biological methods. The system involves the combined method of low-solids (up to 10% w/v of total solids (TS)) anaerobic digestion and aerobic degradation for the recovery of energy (biogas) and the production of fine humus-like material which can be used as a soil amender or a substrate for further thermal treatment (pyrolysis, gasification). The performance of batch and continuous processes carried out in bioreactors (stirred tank reactor, air-lift) of working volume 6 and 18 dm(3), at different temperatures (25-42 degrees C) was monitored by reduction of TS, volatile solids, chemical oxygen demand, total organic carbon, C/N in time. The application of continuous process with recirculation (33%) caused that for residence time of 8-16 h the obtained degree of organic load reduction was similar to that obtained after 72-96 h of the batch process. The experimental data of batch aerobic degradation was also subjected to kinetic analysis. The sequence of the two processes: aerobic and anaerobic or anaerobic and aerobic showed that the degree of organic load reduction was similar in both cases, while the amount of produced biogas was four times higher when the first stage was anaerobic. The final product after dewatering was subjected to pyrolysis and gasification. The gases obtained were characterised by a high heat of combustion of about 11-15 MJ Nm(-3).