Time-varying-response smoothing

Cubic smoothing splines with a fixed-period response are used widely in producing “expected” growth curves for ring-width and density data in dendroclimatology. A simple modification to the procedure which generates these splines enables the use of a smoothing spline with a user-specified, time-varying flexibility and hence time-varying-response characteristics. The revised procedure is presented here, along with different examples of its application in the context of Regional Curve Standardisation (RCS). The ability to generate a smoothing spline with time-dependent flexibility may have wider application in tree-ring studies.     

Detecting long‐term growth trends using tree rings: a critical evaluation of methods

Tree‐ring analysis is often used to assess long‐term trends in tree growth. A variety of growth‐trend detection methods (GDMs) exist to disentangle age/size trends in growth from long‐term growth changes. However, these detrending methods strongly differ in approach, with possible implications for their output. Here, we critically evaluate the consistency, sensitivity, reliability and accuracy of four most widely used GDMs: conservative detrending (CD) applies mathematical functions to correct for decreasing ring widths with age; basal area correction (BAC) transforms diameter into basal area growth; regional curve standardization (RCS) detrends individual tree‐ring series using average age/size trends; and size class isolation (SCI) calculates growth trends within separate size classes. First, we evaluated whether these GDMs produce consistent results applied to an empirical tree‐ring data set of Melia azedarach, a tropical tree species from Thailand. Three GDMs yielded similar results – a growth decline over time – but the widely used CD method did not detect any change. Second, we assessed the sensitivity (probability of correct growth‐trend detection), reliability (100% minus probability of detecting false trends) and accuracy (whether the strength of imposed trends is correctly detected) of these GDMs, by applying them to simulated growth trajectories with different imposed trends: no trend, strong trends (?6% and +6% change per decade) and weak trends (?2%, +2%). All methods except CD, showed high sensitivity, reliability and accuracy to detect strong imposed trends. However, these were considerably lower in the weak or no‐trend scenarios. BAC showed good sensitivity and accuracy, but low reliability, indicating uncertainty of trend detection using this method. Our study reveals that the choice of GDM influences results of growth‐trend studies. We recommend applying multiple methods when analysing trends and encourage performing sensitivity and reliability analysis. Finally, we recommend SCI and RCS, as these methods showed highest reliability to detect long‐term growth trends.     

Carabids of differently aged reforested pinewoods and a natural pine forest in a historically modified landscape

We studied the responses of carabid beetles to Pinus sylvestris ageing in four plantations aged 2–3, 10–12, 40–45 and 80 years, and one mature natural pine forest – in NW Spain. In 2003, a total of 16,866 carabid individuals (50 species) were collected using pitfall traps. Overall carabid abundance and species richness differed significantly among the five age classes with the highest values occurring in the youngest age class. The carabid assemblages of the initial stages of the ageing sequence differed considerably from the later stages that were relatively similar to each other – a consequence of differences in species dominance at specific age classes. Yet, the carabid assemblage of the 80-year-old stage did not approach that of the natural pine forest, but, unexpectedly, the 40–45-year-old age class did. Canopy cover and soil pH were the main environmental variables that affected the carabid distribution. We also detected species-level responses to the ageing process, with open habitat species more abundantly collected at the youngest stages and forest specialists at the older stages. We conclude that carabid beetles responded predictably to the pine plantation ageing process, and that although pine forests in NW Spain do not seem to provide habitat for unique species, they act as secondary habitats for forest specialist species.     

The efficacy of the extraovular “Prostaglandin-Impact” in provoking first trimester abortion

In good agreement with earlier findings (1–8) legal abortion had been induced successfully with Csapo's method of “Prostaglandin Impact” (PGI) in 44 out of 50 sedated patients. They were 25±1.1 years of age, 11.3±0.2 weeks pregnant, para 1.1±0.2. Only a PGI (10 mg PG F2α) was delivered into the extraovular space. In 44 women, this single PGI provoked 40% progesterone (P)-withdrawal in 3 hours (P < 0.001) and 64% P-withdrawal (P < 0.001) in 15.3±0.9 hours, when the patients aborted. The remaining 6 women, whose P-withdrawal was only 14% at 3 hours without continuation during 24 hours, failed to abort. Thus in PG-induced abortions the regulatory significance of rapid and continued P-withdrawal (1–8) had been verified.The side effects were mild, transient and acceptable. The “Abortion Score” was 86. There were no serious complaints or complications during the study and followup. Since even in the 6 cases of failure the cervix dilated sufficiently to allow curettage (without surgical dilatation), the therapeutic benefits of the single PGI technique should be further examined in those services, where constant medical supervision (for determining the necessity and timing of repeated PGI) is not available.     

Effects of Season,Needle Age,and Elevated Atmospheric CO2 on Chlorophyll Fluorescence Parameters and Needle Nitrogen Concentration in Scots Pine (Pinus sylvestris)

Six-year-old Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) seedlings were grown in open top chambers (OTCs) at ambient (AC) or elevated (ambient + 400 µmol mol^–1; EC) CO₂ concentration for three years (1996–1998). Chlorophyll (Chl) a fluorescence of current and one-year-old needles was measured in the field at two-weekly intervals in the period July–October 1998. In addition, Chl, carbon (C), and nitrogen (N) concentrations in both needle age classes were determined monthly during the same period. Chl fluorescence parameters were not significantly affected by EC, suggesting there was no response of the light reactions and the photochemical efficiency of photosystem 2. Chl concentrations were not significantly different but a reduced N concentration was observed in needles of EC treatment. Significant differences between needle age classes were observed for all parameters, but were most apparent under EC and toward the end of the growing season, possibly due to an acclimation process. As a result, significant interactions between CO₂ treatment, needle age class, and season were found. This study emphasizes the importance of repeated measures including different leaf/needle age classes to assess the photosynthetic response of trees under EC.     

A preliminary reconstruction (A.D. 1635–2000) of spring precipitation using oak tree rings in the western Black Sea region of Turkey

Tree-ring data for Turkey are crucial to the understanding of the climatological effect of drought and rainfall from one era to the next. To this end, the present study reconstructed precipitation patterns in the western Black Sea region of Turkey. Tree-ring widths of oak trees were used to reconstruct March–June precipitation patterns for the years A.D. 1635–2000. According to the findings, during the past four centuries drought events in this region persisted for no more than 2 years, and extreme dry and wet events occurred generally in 1-year intervals. Historical records of droughts in Anatolia and neighboring countries corroborate the data furnished by tree-ring widths to indicate that major droughts and famine events occurred in 1725, 1757, 1887, 1890–1891, 1893–1894 and 1927–1928.     

Characterization of antioxidant systems, oxidation status and lipids in brain of wild-caught size-class distributed Aristeus antennatus (Risso, 1816) Crustacea, Decapoda

The objectives of the study were to characterize the enzymic antioxidant system (free radical scavenging enzymes such as catalase, superoxide dismutase, glutathione peroxidases, glutathione transferase and glutathione reductase), dietary antioxidants (vitamin E), the oxidation status (malondialdehyde (MDA) levels and the fluorescence intensity of lipid-soluble fluorescent products (LSFP)) and lipid composition (lipid classes and polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) as pro-oxidants) in neural tissues from males and females of wild-caught size-class distributed blue and red marine shrimp Aristeus antennatus (Risso, 1816), trawled off the south coast of Spain. Moreover, the mechanisms that may result in the deposition of age-pigments in relation to the physiological age of this species in its natural environment were investigated. Three different size classes were defined for males and four for females, and differences were observed for the different variables measured between sexes. The proportion of polar lipids (primarily phosphatidylcholine, phosphatidylethanolamine and phosphatidylserine) predominated over that of neutral lipids, increasing significantly in males but decreasing in females. However, cerebrosides increased significantly from size–age class I to III in males but no significant differences were observed in females. The fatty acid composition showed increases in monounsaturated fatty acids (particularly 18:1 and 24:1 isomers) and dimethyl acetals, but decreases in PUFA (primarily 22:6(n-3)) with increasing size–age in both sexes. The concentration of MDA (nmol g⁻¹ brain) did not present any marked trend with size–age in both sexes. In contrast, fluorescence intensity showed increasing trends in both sexes with increasing size–age, when expressed as % fluorescence brain⁻¹ (λ_ex/em 350–445 nm and λ_ex/em 400–455). However, when expressed as % fluorescence mg⁻¹ brain total lipid, only males presented an upward trend with size–age (λ_ex/em 400–455). The concentration of vitamin E (ng mg⁻¹ brain) did not show significant differences between different size–age classes within the same sex and showed a molar ratio of one molecule of vitamin E per approximately 200 molecules of PUFA in brain membranes. The antioxidant enzyme activities showed clearer patterns with increasing size–age in males than in females, with catalase and glutathione transferase presenting downward trends and superoxide dismutase and total glutathione peroxidase showing upward trends. The fluorescence analysis of brain LSFP was not a useful tool to separate the population into different size–age classes, although the different patterns encountered between sexes for the variables measured points to males as better subjects for this type of study.     

The effect of host size on the sex ratio of Syngaster lepidus, a parasitoid of Eucalyptus longhorned borers (Phoracantha spp.)

The solitary larval ectoparasitoid, Syngaster lepidus Brullé, parasitizes the cryptic larvae of two wood-boring beetles, Phoracantha recurva Newman and Phoracantha semipunctata F. The objective of this study was to determine how the female parasitoids allocated the sex of progeny when presented with larval hosts of uniform size classes. Host size was directly correlated with age of the Phoracantha larval hosts. Groups of Phoracantha larvae of a single age class (2-, 3-, 4-, or 5-week-old) were exposed to parasitoids, and sex ratios of the resulting parasitoid progeny from each host age class were determined. A significant relationship was observed among the sizes of P. recurva and P. semipunctata hosts and the sex ratio of emerging parasitoids. Parasitized 2-week-old beetle larvae of both Phoracantha spp. produced only male S. lepidus progeny, whereas older larval hosts produced increasing proportions of female parasitoids (up to 80% females from 5-week-old hosts). Two-week-old Phoracantha larvae of both species produced fewer parasitoids than host larvae 3–5-week-old. The size of parasitoid progeny consistently increased with host larval age (size), and female parasitoids were larger than males across all host size classes. Male S. lepidus developed in approximately 25 days from 2-week-old hosts, and 19–21 days in 3–5-week-old hosts. Female S. lepidus developed in 22–25 days, with developmental time increasing with host size.     

Forest soil respiration across three climatically distinct chronosequences in Oregon

To assess the relative influence of edaphoclimatic gradients and stand replacing disturbance on the soil respiration of Oregon forests, we measured annual soil respiration at 36 independent forest plots arranged as three replicates of four age classes in each of three climatically distinct forest types. Annual soil respiration for the year 2001 was computed by combining periodic chamber measurements with continuous soil temperature measurements, which were used along with site-specific temperature response curves to interpolate daily soil respiration between dates of direct measurement. Results indicate significant forest type, age, and type × age interaction effects on annual soil respiration. Average annual soil respiration was 1100–1600, 1500–2100, and 500–900 g C m⁻² yr⁻¹ for mesic spruce, montane Douglas-fir, and semi-arid pine forests respectively. Age related trends in annual soil respiration varied between forest types. The variation in annual soil respiration attributable to the climatic differences between forest types was 48%(CV). Once weighted by the age class distribution for each forest type, the variation in annual soil respiration attributable to stand replacing disturbance was 15%(CV). Sensitivity analysis suggests that the regional variation in annual soil respiration is most dependent on summer base rates (i.e. soil respiration normalized to a common temperature) and much less dependent on the site-specific temperature response curves (to which annual rates are relatively insensitive) and soil degree-days (which vary only 10% among plots).     

Physical Education and Blood Lipid Concentrations in Children: The LOOK Randomized Cluster Trial

Background and Objectives

Elevated blood lipids during childhood are predictive of dyslipidemia in adults. Although obese and inactive children have elevated values, any potentially protective role of elementary school physical education is unknown. Our objective was to determine the effect of a modern elementary school physical education (PE) program on the blood lipid concentrations in community-based children.

Methods

In this cluster-randomized controlled trial, 708 healthy children (8.1±0.3 years, 367 boys) in 29 schools were allocated to either a 4-year intervention program of specialist-taught PE (13 schools) or to a control group of the currently practiced PE conducted by generalist classroom teachers. Fasting blood lipids were measured at ages 8, 10, and 12 years and intervention and control class activities were recorded.

Results

Intervention classes included more fitness work and more moderate and vigorous physical activity than control classes (both p<0.001). With no group differences at baseline, the percentage of 12 year-old boys and girls with elevated low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C, >3.36mmol.L⁻¹,130 mg/dL) was lower in the intervention than control group (14% vs. 23%, p = 0.02). There was also an intervention effect on mean LDL-C across all boys (reduction of 9.6% for intervention v 2.8% control, p = 0.02), but not girls (p = 0.2). The intervention effect on total cholesterol mirrored LDL-C, but there were no detectable 4-year intervention effects on high-density lipoprotein cholesterol or triglycerides.

Conclusions

The PE program delivered by specialist teachers over four years in elementary school reduced the incidence of elevated LDL-C in boys and girls, and provides a means by which early preventative practices can be offered to all children.

Trial Registration

Australia New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry ANZRN12612000027819 https://www.anzctr.org.au/Trial/Registration/TrialReview.aspx?id=347799.     

A new method for measuring growth and age in the precious red coral<Emphasis Type="Italic"> Corallium rubrum</Emphasis> (L.)

A new technique for aging red coral Corallium rubrum (L.) colonies based on staining the organic matrix found in the axial calcareous skeleton is presented and validated. This method provided clear-cut images of growth rings of red coral. To demonstrate their annual periodicity, two approaches have been used: (i) applying this technique to adult colonies of known age (more than 20 years old), and (ii) labeling colonies with calcein and allowing them to grow for 1 year. Results provided evidence of the annual periodicity of growth rings. This new method assesses colony age with an underestimate of true age by 3–4 years. The difference between estimated age and actual age could be attributed to the phase of initial growth during which rings are not formed. Colonies from different sites, depths, and habitats (n=33) were analyzed yielding preliminary data on longevity and mean growth rates in red coral. Colonies from shallow habitats (15–62 m) examined here with basal diameter of about 7 mm were at least 30–40 years old. Mean growth rate of basal diameter was 0.35±0.15 mm year^–1. Comparison with previous aging methods used for red coral resulted in considerable differences in estimations of age (about 10 years greater in this study) and growth rates (about four times lower). The application of this method to red coral will provide key data as a basis for developing management and conservation plans for this valuable species.Communicated by: H.R. Lasker     

Summer temperature dependency of larch budmoth outbreaks revealed by Alpine tree-ring isotope chronologies

Larch budmoth (LBM, Zeiraphera diniana Gn.) outbreaks cause discernable physical alteration of cell growth in tree rings of host subalpine larch (Larix decidua Mill.) in the European Alps. However, it is not clear if these outbreaks also impact isotopic signatures in tree-ring cellulose, thereby masking climatic signals. We compared LBM outbreak events in stable carbon and oxygen isotope chronologies of larch and their corresponding tree-ring widths from two high-elevation sites (1800–2200 m a.s.l.) in the Swiss Alps for the period AD 1900–2004 against isotope data obtained from non-host spruce (Picea abies). At each site, two age classes of tree individuals (150–250 and 450–550 years old) were sampled. Inclusion of the latter age class enabled one chronology to be extended back to AD 1650, and a comparison with long-term monthly resolved temperature data. Within the constraints of this local study, we found that: (1) isotopic ratios in tree rings of larch provide a strong and consistent climatic signal of temperature; (2) at all sites the isotope signatures were not disturbed by LBM outbreaks, as shown, for example, by exceptionally high significant correlations between non-host spruce and host larch chronologies; (3) below-average July to August temperatures and LBM defoliation events have been coupled for more than three centuries. Dampening of Alps-wide LBM cyclicity since the 1980s and the coincidence of recently absent cool summers in the European Alps reinforce the assumption of a strong coherence between summer temperatures and LBM defoliation events. Our results demonstrate that stable isotopes in tree-ring cellulose of larch are an excellent climate proxy enabling the analysis of climate-driven changes of LBM cycles in the long term.     

The “interleukin 1 receptor antagonist” is a partial agonist of prostaglandin synthesis by human decidual cells

In many systems the interleukin-1 receptor antagonist opposes the effects of interleukin-1β. We considered that it might block interleukin-1β-stimulated prostaglandin production from human decidual cells. Very high levels of interleukin-1 receptor antagonist (>1000 pg/ml) had limited inhibitory effects on IL-1β-stimulated PGE2 synthesis, and lower levels of antagonist (<1000 pg/ml) increased the effects of IL-1β. Low concentrations of the antagonist alone (1–100 pg/ml) increased basal PGE2 production, whereas higher levels (10–100 ng/ml) had less effect. It seems, therefore, that in human decidua the “antagonist” is more accurately described as a partial agonist. It has been suggested that the IL-1 receptor antagonist could be used to inhibit decidual prostaglandin synthesis and thereby prevent preterm labor, but this report shows that caution should be exercised before using the receptor antagonist.     

Diet overlaps and feeding relationships between the year classes in the yellow perch (Perca flavescens)

Synopsis A comparative study of the diets of five year classes of perch in Lake Opinicon showed Year class 0 to be mainly Cladocera feeders, the Year class 11 to take a diversified range of insect larvae, whereas from Year class V onwards Anisoptera nymphs, decapods, and fish dominated the diet. Sizes of the dominant food items changed strikingly with growth, prey weights of 0.1, 0.5–1.0, and 100–250 mg predominating in these three age groupings. There were marked month to month changes in types and proportions of different prey consumed.Overall and month to month feeding overlaps between consecutive year classes were considerable, most values ranging from 0.68–1.0 by the Levins formula. However, diet overlap dropped sharply with increasing age gap.Month to month dietary changes and year class differences were interpreted relative to benthic invertebrate abundance cycles. Months of increased diet overlap were characteristically those when favored prey types peaked, thereby simultaneously attracting several year classes to them. Hence increased diet. overlap is not necessarily an indicator of increased intraspecific competition.Habitat differences between the year classes of perch in Lake Opinicon were partial and concerned mainly the smaller, and larger, fish relative to those in the middle size range.     

“Advanced Voice Function Assessment”—Goals and activities of COST Action 2103

The COST Action 2103 “Advanced Voice Function Assessment” is a joint initiative of speech processing teams (engineers and physicists) and the European Laryngological Research Group (ELRG) (laryngologists/phoniatricians). The Action officially started in December 2006, and is running till the end of 2010. 17 European countries are involved. A main objective is a better understanding of the relationship between biomechanical changes at the level of the vocal folds – as induced by pathology and tissue reaction to strain – and alterations of the acoustical voice signal. This needs to result in developing accurate, objective and clinically useful methods of investigation of voice quality in patients, and of strategies for preventing occupational voice disorders in professional speakers. Modelling is an essential tool in this process.     

The effect of end-point adjustments on smoothing splines used for tree-ring standardization

The cubic smoothing spline has been a popular method for detrending tree-ring data since the 1980s. The common implementation of this procedure (e.g., ARSTAN, dplR) uses a unique method for determining the smoothing parameter that is widely known as the %n criterion. However, this smoothing parameter selection method carries the assumption that end point effects are ignorable. In this paper, we complete the mathematical derivation and show how the original method differs from the complete version, both in the interpretation of the smoothing parameter and in the spline fit. Frequency response curves (FRC) demonstrate how the smoothing parameter is affected by the original assumption. For example, the FRC results indicate that a tree core of 250-year length has a 14% difference in the cut-off frequency when looking at the 67%n criterion. The FRC analysis shows that the existing approach produces a more flexible fit than anticipated, i.e., it is removing more variance than previously thought. For example, a 67%n spline under the existing approach corresponds to a 53%n spline fit. By using both simulated tree-core sequences and a dataset from a Midwest forest, we discuss which conditions result in greater differences between the spline fits and which conditions will have small differences. Tree-core sequences that have more curvature, such as a large-amplitude growth release, will lead to greater differences. Finally, we provide approximations to the end-point effect procedure. For example, using an 83%n criterion under the original approach produces a spline fit approximating the 67%n fit under the complete approach. These approximations could be easily implemented within existing programs like ARSTAN.     

Age and growth estimates of the bull shark,Carcharhinus leucas,from the northern Gulf of Mexico

Synopsis Length at age and growth rates for 59 bull sharks, Carcharhinus leucas, collected from the northern Gulf of Mexico were estimated from the band patterns formed seasonally in the vertebral centra. The combined age at length data for both sexes were applied to a von Bertalanffy growth model producing parameter estimates of L = 285 cm TL, K = .076, t₀ = –3.0 yr. Lengths at age for males and females were similar except that males did not attain as great a length as females. Growth was apparently slow and varied among individuals, but in general, was estimated to be 15–20 cm yr^–1 for the first five years, 10 cm yr^–1 for years 6–10, 5–7 cm yr^–1 for years 11–16, and less than 4–5 cm yr^–1 thereafter. Males mature at 210–220 cm TL or 14–15 yr of age; females mature at>225 cm TL or 18+ yr of age. The largest male (245 cm TL) was 21.3 yr old; the largest female (268 cm TL) was 24.2 yr old.     

Extension of the Swiss Lateglacial tree-ring chronologies

Fossil wood finds reveal a high resolution paleoclimatic proxy record of Lateglacial and Early Holocene. Eighty-one buried fossil pine stumps have been excavated on the construction site (Gaenziloo) of the A4-highway tunnel through Uetliberg near Zurich (Switzerland). The trees were buried during their lifetime by loamy alluvia washed down from the upper part of the slopes. The stumps have remained well preserved for more than 13,500 years. The cross sections of the trunks were analyzed dendrochronologically. The sections were dated by ¹⁴C, and ¹⁴C age vs. ring number were obtained from decadal sample segments.Three floating chronologies were built. They cover a time span of 428 years in the Mid-Allerød (GAEALLCH_A), 561 years in the Late-Allerød (GAEALLCH_D) and 212 years in the Younger Dryas (GAEYD_A). Visual synchronization, t-values, percentages of parallel variation (‘Gleichlaeufigkeit’) and radiocarbon wiggle matching (¹⁴C age determinations on a decadal scale) as well as a check by the program Cofecha support the validity of the resulting chronologies.The two Allerød-chronologies from Gaenziloo were linked with two chronologies from Daettnau (DAEALCH_1 and DAEALCH_2) published by Kaiser, K.F. (1993. Beiträge zur Klimageschichte vom Hochglazial bis ins frühe Holozän, rekonstruiert mit Jahrringen und Molluskenschalen aus verschiedenen Vereisungsgebieten. Ziegler Druck- und Verlags-AG, Winterthur. 206pp). They extend the existing floating Swiss chronology in the Late-Allerød by a total of 186 years. Unfortunately independent chronology GAEYD_A does not overlap with the actual absolute chronology developed by the tree-ring laboratory of the University of Hohenheim (Friedrich, M. et al., 2004. The 12,460 year Hohenheim oak and pine tree-ring chronology from Central Europe – A unique annual record for radiocarbon calibration and paleo-environment reconstructions. Radiocarbon 46(3), 1111–22.).