辽宁中部城市群城市非点源污染负荷评估

过去几十年我国经历了快速城市化过程,这使得不透水面大幅度增加,导致地表径流和洪峰流量增加,进入水体的污染物增多。城市非点源污染已成为河流水体恶化、生态系统退化的重要原因。在快速城市化过程中,城市群已成为城市化发展的新阶段。位于同一流域的各城市所产生的城市非点源污染导致城市群流域水环境问题越来越突出,成为制约城市群流域可持续发展的关键因素之一。现有的关于城市非点源的研究多集中于城市内部小尺度,对城市群大尺度的研究亟需发展。以位于浑河太子河流域的辽宁中部城市群为例,在沈阳市不同功能区和不同下垫面进行降雨径流采样,基于事件平均浓度（Event Mean Concentration, EMC）法和SWMM（Storm Water Management Model）模型相结合的方式,定量评估城市群流域城市非点源污染负荷。研究结果表明：路面径流中城市非点源污染物浓度、负荷量及其单位面积负荷要高于屋面径流和透水面径流。辽宁中部城市群TP、TN、COD、TSS的年均城市非点源污染负荷分别为265.52、852.89、2249.71、192496.74 t/a,重金属Cd、Ni、Pb、Cr、Cu、Zn的年均城市非点源污染负荷分别为347.99、9932.62、25861.29、28360.41、36068.30、138840.42 kg/a。沈阳市城市非点源污染负荷最高,但其单位面积负荷最低。本研究基于更为精细的城市下垫面划分,综合考虑城市功能区划、下垫面类型和降雨强度,更为准确的评估了辽宁中部城市群流域的城市非点源污染负荷。该研究能够为高度城市化流域城市非点源污染防控和水环境综合治理提供科学依据。     

基于径流路径的分布式面源污染模型研发与应用进展

精准刻画地表径流的路径及其所携带的面源污染物随径流的输移过程是准确估算面源污染入水体量、污染关键源区辨识和高效防控的关键,在我国以小农户种植为主、景观特征复杂的地理条件下尤为重要。鉴于目前常用的面源污染模型大都起源于国外,往往对径流路径的空间差异性及污染物陆面输移过程进行概化,介绍了一个基于径流路径的分布式面源污染模型(STEM-NPS)及其研发与应用进展。阐述了该模型的研发背景、模型原理和结构,说明了STEM-NPS模型对地表径流汇流及其所携带的污染物输移过程的精细化表达方法;介绍了该模型在不同地理环境及尺度的应用进展,展示了其在地块尺度的面源污染关键源区辨识,关键过程和关键影响因素解析及面源污染监管决策支持等方面的功能;探讨了STEM-NPS模型与其他常用模型的异同,并结合生态学研究和面源污染精准防控的需求,提出模型的应用前景及进一步发展的方向。     

农业非点源污染关键源区识别方法研究进展

在农业非点源污染研究中,识别污染发生的关键源区非常重要.在介绍输出系数法、污染指数法和非点源污染模型法等主要农业非点源污染关键源区识别方法的基础上,分析了输出系数取值、污染指数因子权重分级以及非点源模型法参数获取等方面存在问题,并从野外观测、现有不同识别方法的结合、多角度识别方法的研究以及新技术的应用与集成等方面对未来关键源区识别研究进行了展望,以期为农业非点源污染评价与控制提供借鉴.     

Vertical Variation of Nonpoint Source Pollutants in the Three Gorges Reservoir Region

Nonpoint source (NPS) pollution is considered the main reason for water deterioration, but there has been no attempt to incorporate vertical variations of NPS pollution into watershed management, especially in mountainous areas. In this study, the vertical variations of pollutant yields were explored in the Three Gorges Reservoir Region (TGRR) and the relationships between topographic attributes and pollutant yields were established. Based on our results, the pollutant yields decreased significantly from low altitude to median altitude and leveled off rapidly from median altitude to high altitude, indicating logarithmic relationships between pollutant yields and altitudes. The pollutant yields peaked at an altitude of 200–500 m, where agricultural land and gentle slopes (0–8°) are concentrated. Unlike the horizontal distributions, these vertical variations were not always related to precipitation patterns but did vary obviously with land uses and slopes. This paper also indicates that altitude data and proportions of land use could be a reliable estimate of NPS yields at different altitudes, with significant implications for land use planning and watershed management.     

基于增强回归树的流域非点源污染影响因子分析

地表水的非点源污染在点源污染不断得到控制的前提下已经成为水环境污染的首要问题.非点源污染影响因子的复杂性及不确定性一直是流域非点源污染研究的重点和难点.本文利用SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool)模型,以辽河子流域汎河流域为例,模拟了2003—2012年的非点源污染状况,对其空间分布状况进行了分析,并应用增强回归树的方法定量分析各种影响因子(坡度、土地利用类型、高程和土壤类型)对该流域非点源污染的贡献率.结果表明: 在汎河流域,非点源污染呈现较高的空间异质性,其中总氮的空间分布差异较大,总磷的空间分布差异较小.坡度因子与载体泥沙、总氮和总磷均呈极显著正相关关系(P<0.01),对泥沙和总磷有显著影响,其贡献率分别为46.5%、38.2%;土地利用因子对载体泥沙、总磷的负荷量有重要影响,其贡献率分别达到27.2%、35.3%;高程较低、坡度较缓的耕地地区易产生较高的总磷负荷量;褐色土壤最易流失总磷,而草甸土易流失总磷,且易受泥沙侵蚀.本研究利用增强回归树模型克服了流域非点源污染影响因子的复杂性,可加深对非点源污染产生机制的理解.     

Development and application of watershed-scale indicator to quantify non-point source P losses in semi-humid and semi-arid watershed,China

Quantifying non-point source (NPS) phosphorus (P) pollution loads is essential for watershed nutrients management. This study intended to develop a NPS P indicator which (1) was suitable in semi-humid and semi-arid watersheds of Northern China; (2) integrated the key NPS P loss factors and constructed them in a simple and physically understandable way and (3) kept P loss forms distinctively separate. An inverse distance-based delivery ratio was proposed to count for the P delivery efficiency from source to watercourses. We applied this P indicator in Luan River Watershed (LRW) of northern China under typical hydrological years and seasons. Results demonstrated that this NPS P indicator predicted reasonable NPS TP loads using simple methods and readily obtainable inputs. The sub-watersheds located in the south of LRW were recognized as the high risk areas of NPS P loss to Panjiakou reservoir. The upland and paddy fields near the river channels were particularly posing high risk and thus should be treated with prioritized management practices such as soil conservation and recommended fertilization. Rainfall-runoff related variables rather than P source variables explained more of the spatial variation in NPS P load and percentages. Using this tool could give policy makers insight into the component and location of NPS P pollution that needs to be the focus of policy at watershed scales before sophisticated studies were conducted in smaller scales.     

Periphyton response to simulated nonpoint source pollution: local over regional control

We investigated functional and structural responses of periphyton communities to simulated nonpoint source (NPS) pollution over a 2-year period. Periphyton communities were examined in three unique but hydrologically connected habitats in the lower Muskegon River: river, wetland, and lake. Our study addressed several major questions: (1) what are the effects of nonpoint source pollutants on periphyton structure and function, (2) to what degree do environmental conditions, including the pollutant delivery system and hydrologic conditions, affect periphyton response, and (3) do periphyton communities show synchronous responses to nonpoint source pollution? Nutrients were added over a 21-day period in each of the four seasons over 2 years. The effect of road salt on metabolism was evaluated in the winter and spring seasons in the river habitat only. In general, the periphyton community showed complex responses to the NPS amendments, but there was little evidence of nutrient limitation in this system based on community structure, biomass accrual, metabolism, or alkaline phosphatase activity. This result was unexpected given the relatively low ambient concentrations of phosphorus. We discuss the possibilities that nutrient delivery was ineffective or that herbivory and/or irradiance might have constrained periphyton growth, but ultimately conclude that our results suggest that periphyton communities in the lower Muskegon River watershed were (1) nutrient-replete, (2) tolerant of short-term salt additions, and (3) influenced more by local conditions (habitat) than by regional (watershed) factors. In systems where nonpoint source pollutant delivery is diffuse and hydrologic residence time is short, the influence of nonpoint source pollutants on periphyton may be either modest or too difficult to detect using traditional endpoints.     

Simulation of watershed hydrology and stream water quality under land use and climate change scenarios in Teshio River watershed,northern Japan

Quantitative prediction of environmental impacts of land-use and climate change scenarios in a watershed can serve as a basis for developing sound watershed management schemes. Water quantity and quality are key environmental indicators which are sensitive to various external perturbations. The aim of this study is to evaluate the impacts of land-use and climate changes on water quantity and quality at watershed scale and to understand relationships between hydrologic components and water quality at that scale under different climate and land-use scenarios. We developed an approach for modeling and examining impacts of land-use and climate change scenarios on the water and nutrient cycles. We used an empirical land-use change model (Conversion of Land Use and its Effects, CLUE) and a watershed hydrology and nutrient model (Soil and Water Assessment Tool, SWAT) for the Teshio River watershed in northern Hokkaido, Japan. Predicted future land-use change (from paddy field to farmland) under baseline climate conditions reduced loads of sediment, total nitrogen (N) and total phosphorous (P) from the watershed to the river. This was attributable to higher nutrient uptake by crops and less nutrient mineralization by microbes, reduced nutrient leaching from soil, and lower water yields on farmland. The climate changes (precipitation and temperature) were projected to have greater impact in increasing surface runoff, lateral flow, groundwater discharge and water yield than would land-use change. Surface runoff especially decreased in April and May and increased in March and September with rising temperature. Under the climate change scenarios, the sediment and nutrient loads increased during the snowmelt and rainy seasons, while N and P uptakes by crops increased during the period when fertilizer is normally applied (May through August). The sediment and nutrient loads also increased with increasing winter rainfall because of warming in that season. Organic nutrient mineralization and nutrient leaching increased as well under climate change scenarios. Therefore, we predicted annual water yield, sediment and nutrient loads to increase under climate change scenarios. The sediment and nutrient loads were mainly supplied from agricultural land under land use in each climate change scenario, suggesting that riparian zones and adequate fertilizer management would be a potential mitigation strategy for reducing these negative impacts of land-use and climate changes on water quality. The proposed approach provides a useful source of information for assessing the consequences of hydrology processes and water quality in future land-use and climate change scenarios.     

Detection of sensitive soil properties related to non-point phosphorus pollution by integrated models of SEDD and PLOAD

Effectively identifying soil properties in relation to non-point source (NPS) phosphorus pollution is important for NPS pollution management. Previous studies have focused on particulate P loads in relation to agricultural non-point source pollution. In areas undergoing rapid urbanization, dissolved P loads may be important with respect to conditions of surface infiltration and rainfall runoff. The present study developed an integrated model for the analysis of both dissolved P and particulate P loads, applied to the Meiliang Bay watershed, Taihu Lake, China. The results showed that NPS P loads up to 15 kg/km² were present, with particulate P loads up to 13 kg/km². The highest loads were concentrated in the southeastern region of the watershed. Although particle P was the main contributor to NPS P loads state, the contribution of dissolved P was significant, especially in sub-basins with significant amount of artificial land cover. The integration of dissolved P and particulate P loads provided more accurate evaluation of NPS P pollution. NPS P loads were found to correspond to specific soil properties. Soil organic matter and total nitrogen were shown to influence dissolved P loads, while total phosphorus and soil particle composition proportion were more closely related to particulate P loads.     

基于模型的农业非点源污染最佳管理措施效率评估研究进展

随着点源污染的逐步控制,农业非点源污染已成为世界范围内关注的热点,由于其特有的时空异质性特点导致对其进行有效控制较为困难,最佳管理措施(BMPs,Best Management Practices)是实现流域农业非点源污染控制的有效手段,对拟实施的BMPs效率进行评估是实施流域非点源污染BMPs配置的前提。通过模型模拟的方法可对拟采用的不同措施的削减效率及经济成本进行评估以获取最具成本-效益的BMPs空间配置方案,为措施有效选择提供依据。通过对多种模型在工程型和管理型BMPs评估方面的研究进行论述表明,通常概念化模型多用于对污染源控制类措施进行评估,而机制类模型则可用于对不同时空尺度下的过程控制类BMPs进行评估;措施效率发挥的时间滞后性及模型模拟不确定性是模型模拟过程中需要重点考虑的问题,可通过增加野外监测点数量、监测频率、优化监测点位置并选择合适的评估指标以降低模型评估BMPs过程中滞后效应的影响;此外BMPs实施时间与空间位置的不匹配、时空尺度异质性、污染物形态及生态系统服务功能转换风险均需在BMPs评估过程中加以考虑。模型模拟是BMPs效率评估(包括非点源污染关键源区的时空识别)、污染物迁移转化以及成本效益分析的有效工具,同时对于流域非点源污染管理控制及BMPs实施利益相关者有效参与问题的分析也具有重要意义。     

基于非点源污染控制的景观格局优化方法与原则

对目前国内外较为常用的基于非点源污染控制的景观格局优化方法及其设计原则进行了系统的评述 ,以促进其推广应用并提高其污染控制效果。还通过分析这些方法在我国的应用前景 ,强调了探索适合我国国情的景观格局优化方法对于控制非点源污染的重要意义。     

生态系统减轻水环境磷素非点源污染服务及价值——以雅砻江二滩水库为例

以ArcGIS9.2为平台,构建了生态系统减轻集水区出口受纳水体非点源污染服务物质量和价值量评估模型。包括模拟集水区范围,根据各种土地利用/覆被类型的污染物质输出及过滤污染能力系数,沿汇流路径,模拟集水区内每个栅格像元被植被移除而未进入水环境的污染物质量空间分布特征。价值量模型结合期望水质标准和净化污染物的边际成本进行计算。以磷素作为指示污染物,在二滩水库的集水区进行了模型的运用。结果表明:二滩水库集水区南部的河道附近是水文敏感区。其中盐源县腹地的农作区、西昌市与冕宁县,以及集水区最北端的称多县、中部的甘孜县等部分地区是是磷素关键污染源区。2000年被集水区生态系统过滤移除而未进入水环境的磷素污染物质总量达到978.90t.a-1,占关键污染源区指数总量的81.88%。林地生态系统服务价值贡献率最高。2000年集水区生态系统对于减轻其出口受纳水体磷素非点源污染服务的总价值为1370.18万元。     

土地利用变化情景下浑河-太子河流域的非点源污染模拟

近年来非点源污染已经成为水污染的主要来源,对非点源污染发生机理和控制方法的研究有着重要的科学和现实意义.为了研究不同土地利用方式对非点源污染的影响,本文基于土地利用变化模型CLUE-S模拟了城市规划、历史趋势和生态保护3个预案下浑河-太子河流域土地利用未来变化.应用SWAT模型对非点源污染进行了模拟研究,并结合实测数据对模拟结果进行了评价.结合两个模型研究了3个土地利用预案下非点源污染对土地利用和景观格局变化的响应.结果表明: SWAT模型在浑河-太子河流域模拟精度较高,该模型在研究区具有适用性.城市规划和历史趋势预案下非点源污染负荷不断增加,城市规划方案下最高,生态保护预案下非点源污染负荷呈不断下降趋势.不同土地利用和景观格局对非点源污染有一定的影响,科学合理的生态建设能够有效减少非点源污染负荷.研究结果可以为流域的非点源污染研究提供案例,为非点源污染防治和最佳管理措施的制定提供科学依据,为相关政策制定提供参考.     

基于AnnAGNPS模型的三峡库区秭归县非点源污染输出评价

非点源(NPS)污染已成为全球关注的环境问题。由于NPS特点、实验手段和监测数据的局限,其研究多采用数学模型进行时间和空间模拟。模型模拟提供了一种成本低效率高的手段来评定区域非点源污染。选择连续农业非点源污染AnnAGNPS(Annualized AGricultural Non-Point Source)模型,构建该模型数据库,模拟秭归县黑沟、兰陵溪、杉木溪等3条典型流域和县域径流、泥沙和营养物质的输出。结果表明：AnnAGNPS模型对3条典型流域的径流模拟能力高于对泥沙和养分的模拟,径流模拟误差均在可接受范围之内,说明模型中采用的径流预测(SCS曲线)法对研究区的地理气候条件是适用的;对3条典型流域泥沙输出模拟误差较高,对氮磷等养分输出模拟的误差最高,通过调整RUSLE和HUSLE等子模型的输入参数来减小泥沙模拟误差;对小型降雨径流事件,模型泥沙、养分模拟误差有偏大趋势,对较大降雨径流事件,模型泥沙和养分模拟误差有偏小趋势;2006年秭归县县域模型模拟的地表径流量为363 mm,泥沙输出为19.6 t/hm2,总氮输出为122 kg/hm2,总磷输出为28 kg/hm2,有机碳输出为581 kg/hm2,模拟结果与相关文献研究和政府统计数据较为相符;AnnAGNPS模型对NPS污染物输出模拟具有一定的不确定性,但作为一个较好的高级农业流域管理工具,该模型可以在三峡库区地理气候条件下使用。     

农业政策环境扩展模型在我国农业面源污染研究中的应用

我国的面源污染问题逐渐受到政府和科学界的重视,然而面源污染是一个复杂的系统过程,涉及多种因素和多个过程。面源(NPS)污染模型作为解决面源污染相关问题的研究和管理工具,在进行面源污染总量估算和严重程度评价、污染物流失路径和影响因素分析、治理策略制定等方面都有重要的作用。在我国,虽然针对面源污染模型进行了大量相关研究,既包含对基于国外模型的应用与验证,也包含基于观测数据自主研发的模型,但仍然存在模型应用和验证案例不足、已有的模型应用同中国面源污染特征结合不足、模型发展同面源污染机理研究结合不足等问题,而农业政策环境扩展(APEX)模型在应对这些问题上具有一定的优势。结合我国面源污染模型相关研究存在的问题、APEX模型模块和研究进展进行了介绍,对APEX模型在我国面源污染相关问题的研究中涉及的畜禽养殖、复杂耕作系统、特定BMP和水稻田的模拟等相关问题的应用前景进行了探讨,以期能够促进我国农业面源污染模型的发展。     

广东省水质现状及驱动因素

水质现状评估及其驱动因素分析是实现水生态保护、水资源利用和水污染治理的关键,对于水生态系统的可持续发展具有重要意义。以广东省七大流域为研究区,基于2019-2020年间的溶解氧（DO）、透明度（SDD）、悬浮物（SPM）、叶绿素a （Chla）、氨氮（NH₃N）、总氮（TN）、总磷（TP）7个指标的水质监测数据,综合运用单因子指数法（SI）和综合水质指数（WQI）评价方法,分丰水期（N=66）和枯水期（N=54）评估研究区的水质现状,并探讨水质参数与地形、气象、社会经济和土地覆被类型等驱动因素之间的相关关系。SI评估结果显示广东七大流域主要以工业污水、农业面源等造成的Chla和TN浓度超标、部分水体富营养化严重为主,同时伴有溶解氧浓度偏低的问题;WQI评估结果显示研究区有57%以上的采样点属于中等以下水质。Chla、SPM、NH₃N和TP浓度具有显著的季节和驱动因素差异：丰水期的Chla和TP浓度低于枯水期,但SPM和NH₃N浓度高于枯水期。枯水期DO、TN和WQI的显著性影响因子为丰水期的1/3左右;这种季节差异可能是流域内降雨、营养盐负荷和土地覆被类型导致的复杂地表径流及面源污染所致。珠江三角洲河网区、粤西诸河、韩江下游以及粤东诸河练江流域的水质问题突出。未来水生态系统的可持续发展研究可以借助长时间序列、多频次、高分辨率的遥感监测手段和多种数值模拟方法以及常规水质评估模型,探讨气候变化、河岸带产业结构和流域土地利用方式对面源污染的影响,以进一步厘清降雨强度、三产结构和土地利用方式转变对区域水质变化的影响。     

A dynamic water quality index model based on functional data analysis

A water quality index (WQI) incorporates two shortcomings in the dynamic assessment of water quality, namely: (1) the sampling time series must be identical for each indicator and no missing data should occur, and (2) stationary weights cannot represent the changes in the pollutant importance. To solve these problems, the present study introduces the functional data analysis method into WQI research and establishes a dynamic WQI (D-WQI) model. D-WQI is a generalization of the conventional WQI. In the D-WQI model, the changes of water quality and pollutant importance are represented in the form of dynamic functional curves. The generation methods of the concentration curves, sub-index curves, dynamic weight curves, and WQI curves are discussed. As an illustration, the D-WQI model is applied in the water quality assessment of the Changjiang River in Sanjiangying in 2012. Result shows that the river can be classified as II (good) throughout the year, which can satisfy the requirement of the Chinese South-to-North Water Diversion Project.     

两类水质综合评价方法的特点及其在河流水环境管理中的作用

河流水质恶化已成为严峻的环境问题,针对河流开展水质综合评价对河流水环境管理具有重要意义。依据不同的评价目标,选择合理的综合评价的评估标准成为河流水质评价中重要的问题之一。通过基于期望值和阈值的水质健康综合评估法(ETI)和水质质量指数(WQI)两种水质综合评价方法对"引滦入津"工程重要水源地伊逊河水质进行评价,结果显示:1)伊逊河水质ETI评估结果为良好等级,WQI评估结果为一般等级;2)伊逊河采样点水质在ETI评价中分布于4个等级,WQI仅分布于2个等级;3)伊逊河自上游至下游水质显著降低,特别是ETI评估中由优秀等级转变为差等级;4)ETI和WQI评估结果显示极显著相关性(R=0.951,P0.01);5)通过逐步多元回归,ETI评估结果的主导因子是DO、EC、SS、BOD_5和TP(P0.05),WQI评估结果的主导因子是DO、SS、BOD_5、TP、TN和NH_3-N(P0.05)。进一步分析表明伊逊河水质恶化与其流域内土地利用情况密切相关。在河流水环境管理中,ETI作为一种水质相对值评估方法,能更好体现流域内水质差异的区分度,便于管理者迅速定位流域内亟需治理的河流或河段,同时能够根据河流自身特征制定管理目标,可作为河流管理绩效评估的有效手段;而WQI作为一种水质绝对值评估方法,更适用于河流水质时间变化评估,对河流经长期治理后的管理效果评价起到重要作用。     

面源污染最佳管理措施多目标协同优化配置研究进展

随着点源污染逐渐得到有效控制,面源污染逐渐成为我国多数地区影响水环境质量安全的主要因素。推广实施最佳管理措施(Best Management Practices, BMPs)被认为是控制面源污染的有效途径。受到区域种植制度、耕作方式、政策以及经济成本等因素的影响,导致流域尺度配置BMPs存在一定的困难,特别是随着流域空间尺度的变化,会进一步加大BMPs配置难度,使得BMPs的配置工作变为了一项多目标决策优化问题,即如何在有限的成本投入下,实现水环境质量改善的目标。需要在不同空间尺度下对流域BMPs进行多目标协同优化配置。从面源污染关键源区识别、BMPs削减效率评估以及BMPs多目标协同优化模拟3个方面对面源污染BMPs多目标协同优化配置研究进行了综述。结果表明:1)包含地块尺度和流域尺度的多尺度模型耦合系统的构建,将是实现关键源区精准识别的有效途径;2)BMPs削减效率对水质改善响应的滞后性、不确定性、时空异质性、污染物形态转换风险等均是今后BMPs削减效率评估中需要重点解决的关键问题;3)建立流域污染物负荷削减量与水质改善之间的非线性响应关系,并以此为基础将BMPs组合数据库、成本数据库以及基于进化算法的的优化配置方案进行耦合,进而构建多目标决策支持系统,以获取BMPs空间优化配置方案以及多目标成本-效益最优曲线。     

Application of modified water quality indices as indicators to assess the spatial and temporal trends of water quality in the Dongjiang River

The Dongjiang River plays an important role in southern China, as a source for irrigation and potable water of Hongkong and the other parts of the Pearl River Delta (PRD). The water quality index (WQI) was calculated to assess the spatial and temporal variability and identify the classification of water quality in the river. In order to simplify the procedure and reduce the analytical costs of the water quality evaluation, a modified WQI (defined as WQI_min) was introduced based on Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and correlations analyses of the water parameters detected in dry and wet seasons during 2011–2012. Compared with the previous index, similar spatial changing trend and classification of the water quality were obtained by WQI_min, which was composed of pH, temperature, total suspended solid, NH₄⁺-N, and NO₃⁻-N. The results showed an excellent water quality in the tributary site near the reservoir, a good water quality in the upstream of the river, and medium water quality in the downstream of the river, which suggested that the urban wastewater originated from increasing population size and industry development in the downstream mainly led to the deterioration of water quality along the river. Moreover, WQI_min could more adequately reflect the seasonal changes of water quality which was slightly worse in dry season than wet season. Our results also suggest that continuous monitoring should be conducted to prevent pollution from industry and anthropogenic activities.