基于遥感总初级生产力的天山-塔里木绿洲地区生态系统脆弱性研究

生态系统的脆弱性是全球气候变化与可持续发展研究的核心问题，测定与评价脆弱性对认识生态系统的结构与功能至关重要。天山-塔里木绿洲地区包含着山地、荒漠和绿洲等多种类型的生态系统，存在着多个不同生态类型的交界过渡区。为定量评价该地区生态脆弱性，以植被总初级生产力这一生态系统重要的功能性指标为基础，对该地区生态系统脆弱性进行了计算和分级（不脆弱、轻度脆弱、中度脆弱、重度脆弱和极度脆弱），并对研究区生态系统脆弱性的空间分布特征及其与环境因子的关系进行了分析与讨论。结果表明：（1）研究区生态系统脆弱性总体上表现出明显的空间分化格局，以中度和重度脆弱为主，极度脆弱的地区主要分布在南部的塔里木绿洲。（2）生态系统脆弱等级大体上随着区域内多年平均温度的升高而升高。受地表水灌溉的影响，生态系统脆弱性与降水量间并无明显趋势性规律。（3）研究区的生态系统脆弱等级随着区域内的平均海拔以及平均坡度的升高都呈现下降的趋势。受自然条件恶劣、过度放牧以及农田过度开垦的影响，目前该地区总体呈现脆弱性严重的状态。研究表明该地区应积极开展生态治理工作，合理规划生态功能关键区，保护好现有草原和湿地等易开垦地区，划定绿洲开发范围的"红线"，限制农田的开垦，协调好塔里木河流域的水资源分配。研究为使用卫星遥感数据研究生态系统脆弱性提供了方法上的参考，为可持续发展和生态治理提供了科学依据。     

基于GIS的长江口海域生态系统脆弱性综合评价

气候变化、富营养化、生境破碎等是全球普遍面临的生态问题,科学评估生态系统外部压力及其弹性力,对生态系统管理和生态修复具有重要的指导意义。使用空间主成分分析(SPCA)和层次分析法(AHP)构建评价指标体系,结合地理信息系统软件,对长江口海域生态环境脆弱性进行综合评价,并根据生态环境脆弱性指数(EVI)值,将研究区生态环境脆弱性分为5级:微度脆弱(0.5)、轻度脆弱(0.5—0.8)、中度脆弱(0.8—1.0)、重度脆弱(1.0—1.2)、极度脆弱(1.2—1.5)。结果表明:空间尺度上,长江口口门内生态环境脆弱度最高,生态环境脆弱度从口门内向口门外呈显著的降低趋势,近五年,口门内极度脆弱区空间分布南移;评估区域内,约2000 km~2的极度脆弱区发生了转变,极度脆弱区、重度脆弱区面积占比分别下降了7%和5%,长江口海域生态环境脆弱性明显好转。总体上,近年来大量陆源污染物输入以及生态系统结构变化,是导致长江口生态环境脆弱度较高的重要因素。     

农业生态系统脆弱性评价方法

开展农业生态系统脆弱性评价是减缓气候、环境变化带来不利影响的重要环节.虽然近10年对不同的生态系统已经开展了一些脆弱性的评估研究,但尚未形成统一和公认的方法.本文以典型的农业生态脆弱区北方农牧交错带为研究对象,在分析影响其农业生态系统脆弱性主要因素基础上,选取了4类共17项指标构建了农业生态系统气候脆弱性评价指标体系.通过层次分析法确定了指标权重,并采用模糊评判原理,得出农业生态系统的气候脆弱性的综合定量评价方法.     

基于海岛生态脆弱性模拟的朱家尖岛空间管控对策

近10年来,桥隧连陆型海岛数量快速增长,这类工程的建设改善了海岛的交通可达性,使得海岛旅游人口快速增长,实现了海岛经济的快速发展.而旅游人口的快速增加和海岛土地利用结构的变化,使得海岛生态脆弱性增加.为实现海岛生态系统的科学管理,科学评价和预测海岛生态系统脆弱性变化趋势及敏感区域,制定不同区域的生态系统管理方式显得尤为迫切.本研究构建了海岛生态脆弱性评价模型,评估了朱家尖岛生态脆弱性现状,以2015年作为基期模拟未来20年旅游人口和土地利用变化,以及未来20年的海岛生态脆弱性变化,在此基础上分析脆弱性变化的敏感区域,并提出相应的管理措施.结果表明:朱家尖岛目前的生态系统处于良好状态,中度和重度脆弱性面积相对较小.随着朱家尖岛旅游人口增加和岛陆开发强度的增强,海岛生态系统趋于脆弱,其中,高脆弱性面积增加,低脆弱性面积减少.针对脆弱性评估的结果结合敏感性分析,将朱家尖岛划分为禁止开发区、限制开发区和有条件开发区,以实现精细化管理.     

青藏高原高寒生态区生态系统脆弱性时空变化及驱动机制分析

全球气候变化和人类活动胁迫下,青藏高原高寒生态区的脆弱生态系统正在发生深刻变化。研究在充分考虑研究区生态环境本底特征(高寒、冻融侵蚀、盐渍化、水力侵蚀强烈)的基础上,引入了极端气候事件因子(极端高温、极端低温、极端降水)和人类活动干扰因子构建了青藏高原高寒区生态系统脆弱性评价体系,进而对研究区近13年的生态系统脆弱性时空变化格局及其驱动机制进行了分析。研究结果表明:青藏高原高寒生态区的生态系统脆弱性总体上属于中度脆弱状态,其空间分布格局自东南向西北呈现递增趋势;2000—2013年,青藏高原高寒生态区总体的生态系统脆弱性表现为先增加后减小的趋势;生态系统脆弱性时空变化分异格局与地形、气候(气温、降水等)、人口密度存在显著地相关性。相关研究成果可以为青藏高原脆弱生态环境的保护和修复提供决策支持。     

基于潜在植被的中国陆地生态系统对气候变化的脆弱性定量评价

 陆地生态系统对气候变化的响应及其脆弱性评价研究是当前全球变化领域的重要内容之一。该研究在生态系统过程模型的基础上，耦合了潜在 植被对气候变化的动态响应，模拟气候变化对潜在植被分布格局和生态系统主要功能的影响，以潜在植被的变化次数和变化方 向定义植被分布 对气候变化的敏感性和适应性，以生态系统功能特征量的年际变率及其变化趋势定义生态系统功能对气候变化的敏感性和适应性，进而对生态 系统的脆弱性进行定量评价，分析不同气候条件下我国陆地生态系统的脆弱性分布格局及其区域特点。结果表明，我国自然生态系统气候脆弱 性的总体特点为南低北高、东低西高，气候变化将会增加系统的脆弱性。采用政府间气候变化委员会排放情景特别报告国内和区域资源情景， 即IPCC-SRES-A2气候情景进行的预测模拟表明，到21世纪末我国不脆弱的生态系统比例将减少22%左右，高度脆弱和极度脆弱的生态系统所占的 比例较当前气候条件下分别减少1.3%和0.4%。气候变化对我国陆地生态系统的脆弱性分布格局影响不大。不同气候条件下，高度脆弱和极度脆 弱的自然生态系统主要分布在我国内蒙古、东北和西北等地区的生态过渡带上及荒漠-草地生态系统中。总体而言，华南及西南大部分地区的生 态系统脆弱性将随气候变化而有所增加，而华北及东北地区则有所减小。     

海平面上升影响下长江口滨海湿地脆弱性评价

研究滨海湿地对气候变化的响应,评估气候变化对其影响,并提出切实可行的应对策略,是保障海岸带生态系统安全的重要前提.本研究以长江口滨海湿地为对象,采用"源-途径-受体-影响"模型和IPCC脆弱性定义分析了气候变化引起的海平面上升对滨海湿地生态系统的主要影响.构建了基于海平面上升速率、地面沉降速率、生境高程、生境淹水阈值和沉积速率为指标的脆弱性评价指标体系.在GIS平台上量化各脆弱性指标,计算脆弱性指数并分级,建立了海平面上升影响下滨海湿地生态系统脆弱性的定量空间评估方法,实现了在不同海平面上升情景(近30年长江口沿海平均海平面上升速率和IPCC排放情景特别报告中的A1F1情景)和时间尺度(2030和2050年)下,长江口滨海湿地生态系统脆弱性的定量空间评价.结果表明:在近30年长江口平均海平面上升速率(0.26 cm·a-1)情景下,至2030年,研究区轻度脆弱和中度脆弱的滨海湿地分别占6.6%和0.1%;至2050年,轻度脆弱和中度脆弱的滨海湿地分别占9.8%和0.2%.在A1F1(0.59 cm·a-1)情景下,至2030年,轻度脆弱和中度脆弱的滨海湿地面积比例分别为9.0%和0.1%;至2050年,轻度脆弱、中度脆弱和高度脆弱的面积比例分别为9.5%、1.0%和0.3%.     

海平面上升影响下广西钦州湾红树林脆弱性评价

全球气候变化所导致的海平面上升等现象对海岸带产生显著影响。红树林是生长在热带、亚热带沿海潮间带的生态系统,对海平面上升极为敏感。以广西钦州湾红树林生态系统为对象,采用SPRC(Source-Pathway-Receptor-Consequence)评估模式分析了气候变化所导致的海平面上升对红树林生态系统的主要影响。构建了以海平面上升速率、地面沉降/抬升速率、生境高程、日均淹水时间、潮滩坡度和沉积速率为指标的脆弱性评价体系。在GIS平台上量化各脆弱性指标,计算脆弱性指数并分级,建立了定量评价红树林生态系统脆弱性方法,实现了在不同海平面上升情景(近40年来广西海平面平均上升速率、IPCC预测的B1和A1FI情景)和时间尺度下(2030年、2050和2100年),广西钦州湾红树林生态系统脆弱性的定量空间评价。研究结果表明,在近40年广西海平面平均上升速率与B1情景下,钦州湾红树林在各评估时段表现为不脆弱。而在A1FI情景下,至2050年研究区域41.3%红树林为低脆弱,至2100年增加至69.8%。研究采用的SPRC评估模型、脆弱性评价指标体系和定量空间评估方法能够客观定量评价气候变化所导致的海平面上升影响下红树林生态系统脆弱性,可为制定切实可行的应对措施和保障海岸带生态系统安全提供科学依据。     

珊瑚礁生态脆弱性评价--以泰国思仓岛为例

珊瑚礁生态系统受到环境变化、人类活动等各种因素的严重威胁,保护珊瑚礁生态系统是目前全球海洋生态保护的热点,对珊瑚礁开展定量的生态脆弱性评估能够为保护管理对策的制定提供重要科学依据。本研究选取泰国思仓岛作为研究区域,结合空间分析技术建立了具有通用性的珊瑚礁生态脆弱性评估方法。基于ESA模型构建了珊瑚礁生态脆弱性综合指数和评价指标体系,系统分析了思仓岛珊瑚礁脆弱性的来源、构成,并直观展现了脆弱性的区域空间分布。结果表明:思仓岛研究区东北侧的珊瑚礁生态脆弱性大于西南侧,当地珊瑚礁的关键影响因子分别为驳船排污、港口码头、水体透明度等。根据脆弱性评价的结果,提出了当地珊瑚礁保护与修复的空间分区管理对策。本研究为印度-太平洋区系珊瑚礁生态脆弱性评价提供了可行的示例,也为中国的珊瑚礁可持续管理研究提供了借鉴和参照。     

基于植被生产力的西南地区生态系统脆弱性特征

中国西南地区是全球生物多样性保护的重要地区之一.在全球气候变化背景下,该地区生态系统呈现出脆弱性增加的趋势.本研究基于生态系统总初级生产力(GPP),根据IPCC有关脆弱性的概念,计算西南地区生态系统的脆弱性,并分析了该区脆弱等级的空间分布格局,以及生态系统脆弱性与降水、温度、海拔、坡度和植被类型等因子间的相关性.结果表明: 西南地区生态系统脆弱性呈现由东南向西北逐渐增强的趋势,区域内多数地区为轻度、中度脆弱区(二者共占69%).脆弱等级随着区域内年平均降水量、多年平均温度的增加而减少,随着区域内海拔、坡度的增加而增加.西南喀斯特山区和西北山地农牧交错区呈现较高的脆弱性,更容易受气候变化或其他外界扰动的影响.针叶林、灌丛和草地的脆弱性相对较高,未来可能更容易受到气候变化的影响.     

生态系统的脆弱性与退化生态系统

生态系统的脆弱性是一个含义广泛的概念,是生态系统内固有的特性,脆弱性只能在干扰的状态下才显现出来．而干扰（包括自然干扰和人为干扰）又是引起退化生态系统的原因,种类的入侵和消亡、种类组成的变化、生态系统的多样性和稳定性、生产力、生态位的分化及生态系统小环境变化则是研究退化生态系统形成和恢复的重要内容,本文探讨脆弱性与退化生态系统诸方面的关系以及在植被恢复上的应用．     

Contributions of Quaternary palaeoecology to nature conservation

Abstract. Quaternary palaeoecology has traditionally been associated with the reconstruction of past biota and past environments over long time periods such as the Holocene period. Recent methodological developments and conceptual advances have resulted in an ‘applied palaeoecology’ that can address specific ecological and environmental questions over the last 100-200 yr, the time span of primary interest to nature conservationists. The contributions of palaeoecology to the assessment of naturalness of ecosystems, to the assessment of the fragility of ecosystems, to the assessment of the conservation status of rare species, and to the development of a factual basis for attempts at ecosystem enhancement and restoration are discussed, with reference to palaeoecological studies in Scotland, England, southwest Ireland, and Sweden. Palaeoecological results indicate that few, if any, vegetation types in western Europe are natural. Palaeoecology can provide unique insights into the fragility of ecosystems in response to human activity and other biotic factors such as grazing and to acidification. Palaeoecology can contribute basic information required for understanding the causes of recent decline of taxa such as the natterjack toad, aquatic macrophytes, and arcticalpine plants. Palaeoecology is often the only source of baseline data about past ecosystem composition and function that are essential for any realistic attempts at ecosystem restoration or enhancement.     

国家公园陆地自然生态系统完整性与原真性评价方法探索: 以钱江源国家公园体制试点为例

中国建立国家公园的目的是保护自然生态系统的完整性和原真性, 促进生物多样性保护。国家公园的完整性和原真性评价是国家公园的布局规划、边界范围确定以及功能区划等研究的前提条件。为了评估国家公园自然生态系统完整性和原真性状态, 本文基于陆地自然生态系统的结构和功能, 通过指标筛选、专家咨询、指标量化和建立综合评价模型, 构建了陆地自然生态系统完整性与原真性的评价指标体系及其量化评价方法。该评价方法包括5个自然生态系统完整性指标、5个自然生态系统原真性指标和2个综合评价指标。以浙江省钱江源国家公园体制试点为例, 本文初步评估了其生态系统完整性与原真性状态, 并对评价结果进行了分级。按照本研究的评价方法, 钱江源国家公园体制试点的自然生态系统完整性评价结果为52.83%, 评价等级为较差; 自然生态系统原真性评价结果为87.06%, 评价等级为好。钱江源国家公园体制试点有待关注和提升的指标有保护区域完整性指数(27.00%)和旗舰种适宜生境完整性指数(53.04%)。最后, 本文结合研究区域评价结果对生态系统完整性和原真性领域应关注的问题进行了讨论。该自然生态系统完整性和原真性评价方法可提供一种评价指标覆盖较全面、数据易获取, 且评价结果易被决策者和管理者理解的评价思路。     

The biodiversity‐dependent ecosystem service debt

Habitat destruction is driving biodiversity loss in remaining ecosystems, and ecosystem functioning and services often directly depend on biodiversity. Thus, biodiversity loss is likely creating an ecosystem service debt: a gradual loss of biodiversity‐dependent benefits that people obtain from remaining fragments of natural ecosystems. Here, we develop an approach for quantifying ecosystem service debts, and illustrate its use to estimate how one anthropogenic driver, habitat destruction, could indirectly diminish one ecosystem service, carbon storage, by creating an extinction debt. We estimate that c. 2–21 Pg C could be gradually emitted globally in remaining ecosystem fragments because of plant species loss caused by nearby habitat destruction. The wide range for this estimate reflects substantial uncertainties in how many plant species will be lost, how much species loss will impact ecosystem functioning and whether plant species loss will decrease soil carbon. Our exploratory analysis suggests that biodiversity‐dependent ecosystem service debts can be globally substantial, even when locally small, if they occur diffusely across vast areas of remaining ecosystems. There is substantial value in conserving not only the quantity (area), but also the quality (biodiversity) of natural ecosystems for the sustainable provision of ecosystem services.     

青藏高原国家公园群生态系统完整性与原真性评估框架

青藏高原具有全球独特的自然生态和人文生态系统，生态系统完整性与原真性极高，建设国家公园群是青藏高原整体性保护重要生态系统完整性与原真性的重要手段。遵循"内涵界定-框架梳理-框架构建"的研究思路，科学界定国家公园生态系统完整性和原真性内涵并建立概念模型，通过梳理国家公园生态系统完整性评估的主要框架，在对区域自然生态和社会人文系统科学考察的基础上，分析区域生态系统完整性与原真性保护与监管需求，从生境质量、生物群落、生态系统服务、自然条件与灾害、人类活动、人文景观6个方面构建青藏高原国家公园群潜在建设区生态系统完整性与原真性评估框架，以期为未来国家公园群建设与管理提供基础支撑。针对目前国家公园管理存在的主要问题，提出未来评估应用需充分体现国家公园复合生态系统和"群"的特征，并建立生态系统完整性与原真性监测体系，从而更全面的服务于青藏高原国家公园群生态系统完整性与原真性保护。     

Structural complexity analysis for industrial ecosystems: A case study on LuBei industrial ecosystem in China

Natural ecosystems and human societies have evolved in many diverse ways and they are both complex systems. Our learning from the structure complexity of natural ecosystems can help us to redesign the structure of industrial system. Thus the materials and energy efficiency of industrial systems can be improved well to achieve the sustainable goals. In this paper, Structural Analysis Method for Industrial Ecosystems (SAMIE) is introduced and applied in the analysis of the structure complexity and efficiency of the industrial ecosystems. The industrial ecosystem is analyzed based on the industrial species’ classification, which is analogous to the natural ecosystem. A set of indicators are developed to evaluate the industrial system, in order to explore the problems of structural complexity, identify the limiting factors of industrial ecosystem evolution, and strengthen the capacity of adaptation and self-organization. A case study on LuBei industrial ecosystem in China has been selected to apply the SAMIE approach.     

Do experiments exploring plant diversity–ecosystem functioning relationships inform how biodiversity loss impacts natural ecosystems?

An enormous recent research effort focused on how plant biodiversity (notably species richness) influences ecosystem functioning, usually through experiments in which diversity is varied through random draws of species from a species pool. Such experiments are increasingly used to predict how species losses influence ecosystem functioning in ‘real’ ecosystems. However, this assumes that comparisons of experimental communities with low vs high species richness are analogous to comparisons of natural communities from which species either have or have not been lost. I explore the validity of this assumption, and highlight difficulties in using such experiments to draw conclusions about the ecosystem consequences of biodiversity loss in natural systems. Notably, these experiments do not mimic what happens in real ecosystems either when local extinctions occur or when species losses are offset by gains of new species. Despite limitations, this single experimental approach for studying how biodiversity loss affects ecosystems has often been advocated and implemented at the expense of other approaches; this limits understanding of how natural ecosystems respond to biodiversity loss. I conclude that a broader spectrum of approaches, and more explicit consideration of how species losses and gains operate in concert to influence ecosystems, will help progress this field.     

Linking Water Quality and Quantity in Environmental Flow Assessment in Deteriorated Ecosystems: A Food Web View

Most rivers worldwide are highly regulated by anthropogenic activities through flow regulation and water pollution. Environmental flow regulation is used to reduce the effects of anthropogenic activities on aquatic ecosystems. Formulating flow alteration–ecological response relationships is a key factor in environmental flow assessment. Traditional environmental flow models are characterized by natural relationships between flow regimes and ecosystem factors. However, food webs are often altered from natural states, which disturb environmental flow assessment in such ecosystems. In ecosystems deteriorated by heavy anthropogenic activities, the effects of environmental flow regulation on species are difficult to assess with current modeling approaches. Environmental flow management compels the development of tools that link flow regimes and food webs in an ecosystem. Food web approaches are more suitable for the task because they are more adaptive for disordered multiple species in a food web deteriorated by anthropogenic activities. This paper presents a global method of environmental flow assessment in deteriorated aquatic ecosystems. Linkages between flow regimes and food web dynamics are modeled by incorporating multiple species into an ecosystem to explore ecosystem-based environmental flow management. The approach allows scientists and water resources managers to analyze environmental flows in deteriorated ecosystems in an ecosystem-based way.     

基于生态系统演变机理的生态系统脆弱性、适应性与突变理论

随着气候变化影响广度与深度的增加,生态系统脆弱性、适应性与突变理论逐渐被广泛应用到生态学研究领域中,探讨和评估各类生态系统对气候变化的敏感性、脆弱性和适应性,可谋求更好的方式来应对气候变化对区域生态系统带来的深远影响,服务于国家生态系统可持续管理及生态安全建设.虽然相关研究已获取许多进展,区分了气候敏感区和某些生态系统...     

Ecosystem Nutrient Use Efficiency, Productivity, and Nutrient Accrual in Model Tropical Communities

Ecosystem nutrient use efficiency–the ratio of net primary productivity to soil nutrient supply–is an integrative measure of ecosystem functioning. High productivity and nutrient retention in natural systems are frequently attributed to high species diversity, even though some single-species systems can be highly productive and effective at resource capture. We investigated the effects of both individual species and life-form diversity on ecosystem nutrient use efficiency using model tropical ecosystems comprised of monocultures of three tree species and polycultures in which each of the tree species was coplanted with species of two additional life forms. Tree species significantly influenced nutrient use efficiency by whole ecosystems in monocultures; however, in polycultures, the additional life forms interacted with the influence exerted by the dominant tree. Furthermore, the presence of the additional life forms significantly increased nutrient uptake and uptake efficiency, but in only two of the three systems and 2 of the 4 years of the study period. These results indicate that the effect of life-form diversity on ecosystem functioning is not constant and that there may be temporal shifts in the influence exerted by different components of the community. Furthermore, although species (and life forms) exerted considerable influence on ecosystem nutrient use efficiency, this efficiency was most closely related to soil nutrient availability. These findings demonstrate that ecosystem nutrient use efficiency is an outcome not only of the characteristics of the species or life forms that comprise the system but also of factors that affect soil nutrient supply. The results argue against the simple upward scaling of nutrient use efficiency from leaves and plants to ecosystems. Received 29 March 2000; accepted 27 April 2001.