孕中期超声联合无创产前基因筛查在检出染色体异常胎儿中的应用价值

摘要 目的：孕中期超声联合无创产前基因筛查（NIPT）在染色体异常胎儿检出中的应用价值。方法：选取2019年8月～2021年12月在石家庄市妇幼保健院产前检查的2000例孕中期孕妇,均接受超声检查和NIPT筛查。以羊水穿刺或引产后高通量测序结果为金标准,四格表法分析孕中期超声联合NIPT在染色体异常胎儿检出中的应用价值。结果：2000例孕中期孕妇中,超声检查共检出软指标异常37例,结构指标异常30例。NIPT筛查检出高风险孕妇17例,其中21-三体综合征11例、18-三体综合征6例。超声软指标和结构指标联合NIPT诊断胎儿染色体异常的灵敏度、特异度、阳性预测值、阴性预测值、漏诊率、误诊率、准确率分别为95.00%、99.95%、95.00%、99.95%、5.00%、0.05%、99.90%。结论：联合孕中期超声和NIPT可提高检出高风险染色体异常胎儿的灵敏度,降低漏诊率,对于早发现染色体异常胎儿具有重要价值,进而提高生育质量。     

Trisomy recurrence: a reconsideration based on North American data

Few reliable data exist concerning the recurrence risk for individual trisomies or the risk for recurrence of trisomy for a different chromosome. We collected records from two sources: (1) prenatal diagnoses performed at the Hopital Sainte-Justine in Montreal and (2) karyotype analyses performed at Genzyme. Using the standardized morbidity ratio (SMR), we compared the observed number of trisomies at prenatal diagnosis with the expected numbers, given maternal age-specific rates (by single year). SMRs were calculated both for recurrence of the same trisomy (homotrisomy) and of a different trisomy (heterotrisomy). After all cases with an index trisomy 21 were combined, the SMR for homotrisomy was 2.4 (90% CI 1.6-3.4; P=.0005). For women with both the index trisomy and subsequent prenatal diagnosis at age <30 years, the SMR was 8.0; it was 2.1 for women with both pregnancies at age >/=30 years. For the other index viable trisomies (13, 18, XXX, and XXY) combined, the SMR for homotrisomy was 2.5 (90% CI 0.7-8.0). For heterotrisomy, the SMR after an index trisomy 21 was 2.3 (90% CI 1.5-3.8, P=.0007); the SMR did not vary with maternal age at the first trisomy. When all cases with index viable trisomies were combined, the SMR for heterotrisomy was 1.6 (90% CI 1.1-2.4; P=.04). For prenatal diagnoses following a nonviable trisomy diagnosed in a spontaneous abortion (from Genzyme data only), the SMR for a viable trisomy was 1.8 (90% CI 1.1-3.0; P=.04). The significantly increased risk for heterotrisomy supports the hypothesis that some women have a risk for nondisjunction higher than do others of the same age.     

Prenatal diagnosis using fetal cells from the maternal circulation.

All current methods of fetal karyotyping are invasive and carry a definite, albeit small, procedure-related risk. Because of this and testing costs, only women older than 35 years who have a greater risk for fetal aneuploidy are currently offered prenatal testing. But this detects only 20% to 25% of fetuses with Down syndrome. It would be a tremendous advance to find a noninvasive technique for prenatal diagnosis that carries no procedure-related risk and could be offered to all pregnant women. We describe a possible technique for noninvasive prenatal diagnosis that aims to identify fetal cells in the peripheral maternal circulation and successfully garner them for prenatal testing. Early attempts at fetal karyotyping were hampered by inaccurate diagnostic methods and cumbersome cell-counting techniques. Today, improved capabilities of identifying and enriching for fetal cells, coupled with sensitive methods of analysis such as the polymerase chain reaction, bring renewed enthusiasm to this task. Many technical issues, as well as serious questions regarding the test''s utility, still exist, however, and must be explored and answered before the capture of fetal cells in the maternal circulation translates into reality for noninvasive prenatal diagnosis.     

Decision analysis of prenatal testing for chromosomal disorders: what do the preferences of pregnant women tell us?

Current guidelines recommend offering invasive testing for chromosomal disorders only to women who are aged 35 or older, or who are at similarly elevated risk (as determined by maternal serum and/or ultrasonographic screening). We conducted a decision analysis, using preference scores obtained from pregnant women, to determine whether current guidelines maximize the health-related quality of life of these women. If only miscarriage and chromosomal abnormalities are considered, the expected value of testing exceeds that of not testing for women 30 years of age or older. However, if a comprehensive range of relevant testing outcomes is considered, testing offers a higher expected value than not testing, regardless of age. Furthermore, patient preferences for specific testing outcomes play a much more substantial role in determining the course of action with the highest expected value than does the probability of any of the possible testing outcomes. The current age- and risk-based guideline for prenatal diagnosis does not maximize expected value and fails to appropriately consider individual patient preferences. For counseling purposes, how an individual values the presence and timing of fetal chromosomal information should be carefully understood.     

Non-Invasive Prenatal Chromosomal Aneuploidy Testing - Clinical Experience: 100,000 Clinical Samples

Objective

As the first laboratory to offer massively parallel sequencing-based noninvasive prenatal testing (NIPT) for fetal aneuploidies, Sequenom Laboratories has been able to collect the largest clinical population experience data to date, including >100,000 clinical samples from all 50 U.S. states and 13 other countries. The objective of this study is to give a robust clinical picture of the current laboratory performance of the MaterniT21 PLUS LDT.

Study Design

The study includes plasma samples collected from patients with high-risk pregnancies in our CLIA–licensed, CAP-accredited laboratory between August 2012 to June 2013. Samples were assessed for trisomies 13, 18, 21 and for the presence of chromosome Y-specific DNA. Sample data and ad hoc outcome information provided by the clinician was compiled and reviewed to determine the characteristics of this patient population, as well as estimate the assay performance in a clinical setting.

Results

NIPT patients most commonly undergo testing at an average of 15 weeks, 3 days gestation; and average 35.1 years of age. The average turnaround time is 4.54 business days and an overall 1.3% not reportable rate. The positivity rate for Trisomy 21 was 1.51%, followed by 0.45% and 0.21% rate for Trisomies 18 and 13, respectively. NIPT positivity rates are similar to previous large clinical studies of aneuploidy in women of maternal age ≥35 undergoing amniocentesis. In this population 3519 patients had multifetal gestations (3.5%) with 2.61% yielding a positive NIPT result.

Conclusion

NIPT has been commercially offered for just over 2 years and the clinical use by patients and clinicians has increased significantly. The risks associated with invasive testing have been substantially reduced by providing another assessment of aneuploidy status in high-risk patients. The accuracy and NIPT assay positivity rate are as predicted by clinical validations and the test demonstrates improvement in the current standard of care.     

Causes of low utilization of amniocentesis by women of advanced maternal age

Abstract

The objectives of this study were to determine current usage of amniocentesis by women of advanced maternal age in a southwestern Ohio county and to determine potential usage levels by surveying women not utilizing the procedure to understand their reasons. For women age 35 and older giving birth in Hamilton County, Ohio, the estimated percentage using amniocentesis was 3.9 in 1978, 7.6 in 1979, and 13.3 in 1980. Approximately comparable statewide utilization rates were 7.0, 11.5, and 17.2 respectively. A telephone survey during the summer of 1980 of 81 Hamilton County women age 35 and older recently giving birth to a normal baby found four main reasons why they did not utilize amniocentesis: (1) they did not feel at an increased risk (29.6 per cent); (2) they had never heard of the test (24.7 per cent); (3) they were opposed to abortion (21.0 per cent); and (4) no one suggested they have the test done (19.8 per cent). Their physicians reported that 81 per cent of these women had received prenatal counseling. Thus, of those counseled, over two‐thirds apparently missed at least one essential message of the counseling they were presumably provided. These findings, coupled with 47.7 per cent of women who knew about amniocentesis saying they would most likely use it if they became pregnant again and their physician recommended it, indicate that utilization of prenatal diagnosis by at least 50 per cent of women age 35 and older is likely with greater public education and greater support of the procedure by obstetricians.     

新诊断标准下妊娠期糖尿病高危因素研究

目的:调查新诊断标准下国内妊娠期糖尿病(Gestational diabetes mellitus GDM)的发病情况,分析影响GDM发生的高危因素,为新标准下国内GDM孕妇临床早期管理、诊断和干预提供理论依据。方法:对2011年1月至2011年9月我院接受产前建卡检查的所有孕妇1152例进行临床资料的收集及回顾性研究,排除孕前糖尿病患者16例,采用GDM诊断新标准进行"一步法"诊断,收集包括年龄、孕产次、体质指数(body mass index BMI)、糖尿病家族史、多囊卵巢综合征等13种影响GDM发生的危险因素,并综合分析。结果:新标准下GDM检出率为10.39%(118/1136)2)单因素分析结果发现年龄≥35岁(X2=10.2814,P=0.0013)、肥胖(孕前BMI≥28kg/m2()X2=36.2384,P<0.0001)、多囊卵巢综合征(X2=20.6725,P<0.0001)、糖尿病家族史(X2=7.8783,P=0.0050)在GDM组与非GDM组有统计学差异,多因素逐步Logistic回归分析肥胖(OR=7.546 95%CI=2.356~20.129 P=0.0002)、多囊卵巢综合征(OR=6.342 95%CI=1.783~16.329,P=0.0019)、年龄(OR=3.021 95%CI=0.983~6.459 P=0.0108)、糖尿病家族史(OR=2.43895%CI=0.612~5.231 P=0.0256)为GDM的高危因素。结论:新标准下报告GDM检出率为10.39%。肥胖、多囊卵巢综合征、年龄、糖尿病家族史为影响GDM发生的高危因素。加强GDM筛查并对具有高危因素的妊娠期妇女早期诊断,早期干预、早期管理可改善妊娠结局,提高人口素质。     

Down syndrome: interaction between culture, demography, and biology in determining the prevalence of a genetic trait

The incidence of Down syndrome (DS) at conception is highly dependent upon the maternal age distribution and age-specific pregnancy rates. Live-birth prevalence of DS reflects these factors and fetal deaths. Since the introduction of prenatal diagnosis in the early 1970s, the role of fetal deaths in the equation has increased. Between 1920 and the early 1980s, DS live-birth prevalence decreased in many populations due to declining fertility rates, particularly among older women. In the late-1970s the trend reversed, as the median age of populations and birth rates among older women steadily increased. This paper illustrates these interactions using data we have analyzed for New York State (NYS) and comparative data obtained from the literature. Between 1983 and 1997 DS live-birth prevalence in NYS remained stable at about 9.9 per 10,000 live births. The number of prenatal tests performed increased by 158%, and the number of DS fetuses detected prenatally more than quadrupled. Fertility rates of women aged 35-49 continued to increase. The proportion of DS cases born to these older mothers increased from 23% in 1985 to 43% in 1997. We estimated that without prenatal diagnosis, DS live-birth prevalence would have been 17.0 per 10,000 live births by 1995. Cultural factors influence demographic trends, birthing technologies, physician practices, and women's decision-making regarding prenatal screening and diagnosis for DS.     

Applying high‐throughput sequencing to identify and evaluate foetal chromosomal deletion and duplication

The present study aimed to estimate the clinical performance of non‐invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) based on high‐throughput sequencing method for the detection of foetal chromosomal deletions and duplications. A total of 6348 pregnant women receiving NIPT using high‐throughput sequencing method were included in our study. They all conceived naturally, without twins, triplets or multiple births. Individuals showing abnormalities in NIPT received invasive ultrasound‐guided amniocentesis for chromosomal karyotype and microarray analysis at 18‐24 weeks of pregnancy. Detection results of foetal chromosomal deletions and duplications were compared between high‐throughput sequencing method and chromosomal karyotype and microarray analysis. Thirty‐eight individuals were identified to show 51 chromosomal deletions/duplications via high‐throughput sequencing method. In subsequent chromosomal karyotype and microarray analysis, 34 subchromosomal deletions/duplications were identified in 26 pregnant women. The observed deletions and duplications ranged from 1.05 to 17.98 Mb. Detection accuracy for these deletions and duplications was 66.7%. Twenty‐one deletions and duplications were found to be correlated with the known abnormalities. NIPT based on high‐throughput sequencing technique is able to identify foetal chromosomal deletions and duplications, but its sensitivity and specificity were not explored. Further progress should be made to reduce false‐positive results.     

妊娠合并恶性肿瘤疾病的诊疗探讨

目的:探讨妊娠合并恶性肿瘤在诊治过程中的临床表现,探讨其对妊娠结局的影响及预后.方法:回顾性查阅2005年至2011年9月于我院住院治疗患者病历,收集妊娠合并恶性肿瘤疾病患者10例在入院诊断、治疗经过中的相关资料.结果:10例患者中9例在终止妊娠前确诊,3例孕妇死亡,5例在随访中,2例失访;10例胎儿中有生机儿5例,其中1例放弃,在可随访的3例新生儿生存状态良好.结论:妊娠合并恶性肿瘤疾病的临床确诊及及时治疗对妊娠结局会造成影响,妊娠结局与肿瘤分期及孕周相关,应在产前进行常见恶性肿瘤疾病的筛查,早期发现,早期干预.     

Periodic health examination, 1996 update: 1. Prenatal screening for and diagnosis of Down syndrome. Canadian Task Force on the Periodic Health Examination.

OBJECTIVE: To make recommendations to physicians providing prenatal care on (1) whether prenatal screening for and diagnosis of Down syndrome (DS) is advisable and (2) alternative screening and diagnosis manoeuvres. OPTIONS: "Triple-marker" screening of maternal serum levels of alpha-fetoprotein, human chorionic gonadotropin and unconjugated estriol; fetal ultrasonographic examination; amniocentesis; and chorionic villus sampling (CVS). OUTCOMES: Accuracy of detection of DS in fetuses, and risks to the mother, including psychologic distress, and to the fetus from the screening and diagnostic interventions. EVIDENCE: A MEDLINE search for relevant articles published from Jan. 1, 1966, to Mar. 31, 1994, with the use of MeSH terms "Down syndrome," "prenatal diagnosis," "screening," "prevention," "amniocentesis," "chorionic villus sampling," "ultrasonography," "anxiety," "depression" and "psychological stress" and a manual search of bibliographies, recent issues of key journals and Current Contents. VALUES: The evidence-based methods and values of the Canadian Task Force on the Periodic Health Examination were used. A high value was placed on providing pregnant women with the opportunity to determine whether they are carrying a fetus with DS and to make choices concerning the termination of the pregnancy. The economic issues involved are complex and were not considered. BENEFITS, HARMS AND COSTS: Triple-marker screening identifies an estimated 58% of fetuses with DS, but it has an estimated rate of true-positive results of 0.1% and of false-positive results of 3.7% (given a risk cut-off of one chance in 190 of DS). These rates vary with maternal age and the risk cut-off chosen. Women with a known risk of having a fetus with DS (e.g., those who have had a previous child with DS) may benefit from a reduction in anxiety after confirmation that their fetus does not have DS. Screening allows women at low risk of having a child with DS to detect fetuses with the syndrome, but may cause psychologic distress if there is a false-positive screening test result. Up to 20% of women with positive results of screening tests may decline to undergo a subsequent amniocentesis. Amniocentesis and CVS are very accurate in diagnosing DS in fetuses and have a very low rate of serious complications for the mother. Amniocentesis is associated with a 1.7% rate of fetal loss when it is performed after 16 weeks'' gestation, whereas the rate among controls is 0.7% (for a difference of 1%, 95% confidence interval 0.3% to 1.5%). CVS entails a greater risk of fetal loss than amniocentesis (odds ratio 1.32, 95% confidence interval 1.11 to 1.57). There is little evidence from controlled trials of significant associations between amniocentesis or CVS and neonatal morbidity or malformations; however, samples have been too small to show differences in rare outcomes. Results from some case-control studies suggest that CVS increases the risk of transverse limb deficiency. Costs were not considered because they are beyond the scope of this review. RECOMMENDATIONS: There is fair evidence to offer triple-marker screening through a comprehensive program to pregnant women under 35 years of age (grade B recommendation). Women given detailed information about serum-marker screening show more satisfaction with the screening than those not given this information. There is fair evidence to offer amniocentesis or CVS to pregnant women 35 years of age and older and to women with a history of a fetus with DS or of a chromosome 21 anomaly (grade B recommendation). Information on the limitations and advantages of each procedure should be offered. Triple-marker screening may be offered as an alternative to CVS or amniocentesis to pregnant women over 35. VALIDATION: Recommendations concerning prenatal diagnosis are similar to those of the US Preventive Services Task Force, the Society of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists of Canada, the Canadian College of Medical Geneticists and the Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth Group. No previous specific recommendations concerning triple-maker screening exist. SPONSORS: These guidelines were developed and endorsed by the Canadian Task Force on the Periodic Health Examination, which is funded by Health Canada and the National Health Research and Development Program.     

Non-invasive prenatal diagnosis by massively parallel sequencing of maternal plasma DNA

The presence of foetal DNA in the plasma of pregnant women has opened up new possibilities for non-invasive prenatal diagnosis. The use of circulating foetal DNA for the non-invasive prenatal detection of foetal chromosomal aneuploidies is challenging as foetal DNA represents a minor fraction of maternal plasma DNA. In 2007, it was shown that single molecule counting methods would allow the detection of the presence of a trisomic foetus, as long as enough molecules were counted. With the advent of massively parallel sequencing, millions or billions of DNA molecules can be readily counted. Using massively parallel sequencing, foetal trisomies 21, 13 and 18 have been detected from maternal plasma. Recently, large-scale clinical studies have validated the robustness of this approach for the prenatal detection of foetal chromosomal aneuploidies. A proof-of-concept study has also shown that a genome-wide genetic and mutational map of a foetus can be constructed from the maternal plasma DNA sequencing data. These developments suggest that the analysis of foetal DNA in maternal plasma would play an increasingly important role in future obstetrics practice. It is thus a priority that the ethical, social and legal issues regarding this technology be systematically studied.     

Preventing the birth of infants with Down's syndrome: a cost-benefit analysis.

The costs and economical benefits of providing routine prenatal diagnosis of Down''s syndrome with termination of affected pregnancies in older pregnant women in the west of Scotland were examined. The potential economic benefits would be greater than the costs for women aged 40 and over, probably about equal to costs for those aged 35 and over, but less than costs if the service were extended to women under 35.     

Variability in predicted rates of Down syndrome associated with elevated maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein levels in older women.

Quantitative predictions of rates of Down syndrome offspring as a function of maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (MSAFP) values and of maternal age were reviewed. Comparisons were made of 35-year-equivalent-risk values by maternal age, that is, MSAFP values (at various maternal ages) that predict the risk (of a Down syndrome offspring) equivalent to that of an average 35-year-old woman irrespective of knowledge of MSAFP. This boundary was chosen because MSAFP values that predict a greater risk than this point for younger women or a lower risk for older women are likely in many jurisdictions to alter a decision about amniocentesis that would be reached without knowledge of MSAFP. There were marked differences among available studies in these 35-year-equivalent-risk values for older women. For instance, for age 41, the values among studies vary from 1.5 MoM to 2.1 MoM and the predicted proportion of 41-year-old women likely to be affected clinically by MSAFP determinations by the above criterion is 4.4%-18%, depending on which rate schedule is used. At age 39, the variation is 1.1 to 1.9 MoM or 7.1% to 38%. Possible explanations for the variation include sampling fluctuation. Relatively few data on Down syndrome have been used to calculate the parameters of the gaussian distributions used by the studies reviewed. It is suggested that great caution be used before employing published rate schedules for genetic counseling of older women, at least until sufficient data are collected and the nature of the discrepancies among studies is clarified.     

Contribution of ultrasonographic examination to the prenatal detection of trisomy 21: experience from 19 European registers

The objective of this study was to evaluate the contribution of ultrasound scanning to the prenatal detection of trisomy 21 in a large unselected European population. Data from 19 congenital malformation registers in 11 European countries were included. The prenatal ultrasound screening programs in the countries ranged from no routine screening to three ultrasound investigations per patient. Routine serum screening was offered in four of the 11 countries and routine screening on the basis of maternal age amniocentesis in all. The results show that overall 53% of cases of trisomy 21 were detected prenatally with a range from 3% in Lithuania to 88% in Paris. Ninety-eight percent of women whose babies were diagnosed before 24 weeks gestation chose to terminate the pregnancy. Centres/countries that offer serum screening do not have a significantly higher detection rate of trisomy 21 when compared to those that offer maternal age amniocentesis and anomaly scanning only. Fifty percent of trisomy 21 cases were born to women aged 35 years or more. In conclusions, second trimester ultrasound plays an important role in the prenatal diagnosis of trisomy 21. Of those cases prenatally diagnosed, 64% of cases in women <35 years and 36% of those in women >or=35 years were detected because of an ultrasound finding. Ultrasound soft markers accounted for 84% of the scan diagnoses. There is evidence of increasing maternal age across Europe with 50% of cases of trisomy 21 born to women aged 35 years or more.     

Noninvasive Prenatal Molecular Karyotyping from Maternal Plasma

Fetal DNA is present in the plasma of pregnant women. Massively parallel sequencing of maternal plasma DNA has been used to detect fetal trisomies 21, 18, 13 and selected sex chromosomal aneuploidies noninvasively. Case reports describing the detection of fetal microdeletions from maternal plasma using massively parallel sequencing have been reported. However, these previous reports were either polymorphism-dependent or used statistical analyses which were confined to one or a small number of selected parts of the genome. In this report, we reported a procedure for performing noninvasive prenatal karyotyping at 3 Mb resolution across the whole genome through the massively parallel sequencing of maternal plasma DNA. This method has been used to analyze the plasma obtained from 6 cases. In three cases, fetal microdeletions have been detected successfully from maternal plasma. In two cases, fetal microduplications have been detected successfully from maternal plasma. In the remaining case, the plasma DNA sequencing result was consistent with the pregnant mother being a carrier of a microduplication. Simulation analyses were performed for determining the number of plasma DNA molecules that would need to be sequenced and aligned for enhancing the diagnostic resolution of noninvasive prenatal karyotyping to 2 Mb and 1 Mb. In conclusion, noninvasive prenatal molecular karyotyping from maternal plasma by massively parallel sequencing is feasible and would enhance the diagnostic spectrum of noninvasive prenatal testing.     

Use of prenatal diagnostic procedures in pregnancies affected with birth defects, Hawaii, 1986-2002

BACKGROUND: Information on the utilization of prenatal ultrasound (US), amniocentesis (AC), and chorionic villus sampling (CVS) in pregnancies affected by birth defects in the United States is limited. The intent of this study was to report on the utilization of these procedures in Hawaii. METHODS: Cases were all infants and fetuses of any pregnancy outcome with birth defects, included in a Hawaii birth defects registry, and delivered during 1986-2002. The rates of prenatal US, AC/CVS, and prenatal diagnosis were calculated. RESULTS: Prenatal US was performed in 76% of the cases and AC/CVS in 14% of the cases. Prenatal diagnosis of a birth defect was made in 16% of the cases. The prenatal US, AC/CVS, and prenatal diagnosis rates in 1998-2002 were 1.5, 1.5, and 1.7 times the rates in 1986-1991, respectively. Among all birth defects, the AC/CVS rate for women aged <35 years was 7% and for women aged > or =35 years was 48%. Among chromosomal abnormalities, the AC/CVS rate for women aged <35 years was 36% and for women aged > or =35 years was 66%. CONCLUSIONS: Only a fraction of the Hawaii birth defects cases was prenatally diagnosed. The rates for prenatal US, AC/CVS, and prenatal diagnosis among pregnancies affected by birth defects were higher in 1998-2002 than in 1986-1991. AC/CVS rates were lower for maternal age <35 years.     

Model-Based Analysis of Costs and Outcomes of Non-Invasive Prenatal Testing for Down’s Syndrome Using Cell Free Fetal DNA in the UK National Health Service

Background

Non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) for Down’s syndrome (DS) using cell free fetal DNA in maternal blood has the potential to dramatically alter the way prenatal screening and diagnosis is delivered. Before NIPT can be implemented into routine practice, information is required on its costs and benefits. We investigated the costs and outcomes of NIPT for DS as contingent testing and as first-line testing compared with the current DS screening programme in the UK National Health Service.

Methods

We used a pre-existing model to evaluate the costs and outcomes associated with NIPT compared with the current DS screening programme. The analysis was based on a hypothetical screening population of 10,000 pregnant women. Model inputs were taken from published sources. The main outcome measures were number of DS cases detected, number of procedure-related miscarriages and total cost.

Results

At a screening risk cut-off of 1∶150 NIPT as contingent testing detects slightly fewer DS cases, has fewer procedure-related miscarriages, and costs the same as current DS screening (around UK£280,000) at a cost of £500 per NIPT. As first-line testing NIPT detects more DS cases, has fewer procedure-related miscarriages, and is more expensive than current screening at a cost of £50 per NIPT. When NIPT uptake increases, NIPT detects more DS cases with a small increase in procedure-related miscarriages and costs.

Conclusions

NIPT is currently available in the private sector in the UK at a price of £400-£900. If the NHS cost was at the lower end of this range then at a screening risk cut-off of 1∶150 NIPT as contingent testing would be cost neutral or cost saving compared with current DS screening. As first-line testing NIPT is likely to produce more favourable outcomes but at greater cost. Further research is needed to evaluate NIPT under real world conditions.     

Prevalence of congenital anomalies at birth among offspring of women at risk for a genetic disorder and with a normal second-trimester ultrasound.

The goal of this study was to determine the prevalence and the nature of congenital anomalies found at birth in offspring of women who had a normal second-trimester ultrasound and/or amniocentesis. Two groups of women were studied in our prenatal diagnosis clinic between 1991-1997. Group 1 consisted of pregnant women who had an amniocentesis for advanced maternal age (AMA), or for familial chromosomal or monogenic disorders. Group 2 consisted of pregnant women attending the prenatal diagnosis clinic and who had no indication for amniocentesis. Those with an abnormal ultrasound and/or amniocentesis were excluded. At the time of delivery, a questionnaire was sent pertaining to perinatal complications and the anomalies detected during the neonatal period. From a total of 15, 370 questionnaires sent from 1991-1997, 10,823 (group 1, n = 8,877; group 2, n = 1,946) were returned (overall response rate, 70.4%). Mean maternal age was 36 years in group 1 and 29 years in group 2. The prevalence of perinatal complications was similar in the two groups. In each group, the prevalence of all unforeseen anomalies was 2.9%. In group 1, the distribution of those anomalies was: major anomalies, 67.7%; minor anomalies, 23.9%; and multiple congenital anomalies (MCA), 8.3%. In group 2, the distribution was: major anomalies, 70.7%; minor anomalies, 24.1%; and MCA, 5.2%. In patients at risk for a genetic disease and consulting in a prenatal diagnosis clinic, the prevalence of all anomalies diagnosed at birth was 2.9%, even if the second-trimester ultrasound and amniocentesis results were normal. Therefore, it is important to inform those couples of this remaining risk.     

Changes in maternal age distribution and their possible impact on demand for prenatal diagnostic services

Between 1977 and 1985 there was a 65% increase in births to women aged 35 or more in England and Wales, but only a 15% increase in all births. Two factors of roughly equal importance were responsible for this differential increase. Firstly, the proportion of older women (35-44) among all women of reproductive age (15-44) increased from 28% in 1977 to 31% in 1985; and, secondly, in the same period the fertility rate for women aged 35-39 increased from 18·2 to 24·1 per 1000 and for women aged 40-44 from 4·1 to 4·6 per 1000.The increased fertility rate among older women is not due to an extension of the reproductive period but to a delay in childbearing. This delay was seen in women married only once and also in those who had remarried.As prenatal diagnosis for the exclusion of chromosome abnormalities is customarily offered to older mothers the increased numbers of women aged 35 or more and their increased fertility rate have important implications for the provision of obstetric and laboratory services. There were 51 859 live births to women aged 35 and over in 1985; the projected figure for 2001 is 85 000. If the use of prenatal diagnosis continues to increase facilities for about 70 000 prenatal cytogenetic analyses will be needed in 2001.