Long-term trends and variation in <Superscript>137</Superscript>Cs activity concentrations in brown trout (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Salmo trutta</Emphasis>) from Øvre Heimdalsvatn,a Norwegian subalpine lake

The Norwegian mountain lake, Øvre Heimdalsvatn, received major fallout from the Chernobyl accident in the spring of 1986. Activity concentrations of ¹³⁷Cs have been monitored annually in the brown trout (Salmo trutta) population of the lake over a 22-year period since 1986. The activity concentrations of ¹³⁷Cs in brown trout have declined over the period, although in recent years there has been little or no reduction in activity concentrations. Throughout the period, there has been considerable individual variation in ¹³⁷Cs activity concentrations. Within a single year, fish weight was the most significant factor affecting activity concentrations of ¹³⁷Cs in individual fish, although sex and age·weight were significant explanatory variables. The “size effect” was not significant during the initial period after fallout and in some recent years. During the first years after fallout, the ecological half-life of ¹³⁷Cs in brown trout was 3–4 years, but during the last decade this has increased significantly and has approached the physical half-life of 30 years for ¹³⁷Cs, suggesting a dynamic equilibrium between catchments inputs, possible remobilisation from lake sediments and lake outputs of ¹³⁷Cs.     

Radioactivity in mushrooms from selected locations in the Bohemian Forest,Czech Republic

¹³⁷Cs is one of the most important radionuclides released in the course of atmospheric nuclear weapon tests and during accidents in nuclear power plants such as that in Chernobyl, Ukraine, or Fukushima, Japan. The aim of this study was to compare ¹³⁷Cs and ⁴⁰K concentrations in particular species of mushrooms from selected locations in the Bohemian Forest (Czech: ?umava), Czech Republic, where a considerable contamination from the Chernobyl accident had been measured in 1986. Samples were collected between June and October 2014. Activities of ¹³⁷Cs and ⁴⁰K per dry mass were measured by means of a semiconductor gamma spectrometer. The ¹³⁷Cs values measured range from below detection limit to 4300?±?20 Bq kg^?1, in the case of ⁴⁰K from 910?±?80 to 4300?±?230 Bq kg^?1. Differences were found between individual locations, due to uneven precipitation in the course of the movement of the radioactive cloud after the Chernobyl accident. There are, however, also differences between individual species of mushrooms from identical locations, which inter alia result from different characteristics of the soil and depths of mycelia. The values measured are compared with established limits and exposures from other radiation sources present in the environment. In general, it can be stated that the values measured are relatively low and the effects on the health of the population are negligible compared to other sources of ionizing radiation.     

Relations between resuspension and the content of 137Cs in freshwater fish in some Swedish lakes

In many Swedish lakes, the fallout of ¹³⁷Cs from the Chernobyl accident in April 1986 has largely accumulated in the sediments. The availability and transfer of deposited ¹³⁷Cs to biota is influenced by factors such as resuspension. The frequency of resuspension and the ¹³⁷Cs-content of different fish species was studied in three shallow lakes in Uppland, central Sweden, and in one deeper lake in northern Sweden. Resuspension was measured by the use of sediment traps. Sedimentation rates measured from the traps in the shallower lakes were 5–10 times higher than normal for this type of lake, indicating that resuspension was an important factor. The decrease of the ¹³⁷Cs-content in muscle tissue of pike, perch and roach was slow in each of the shallow lakes. ¹³⁷Cs decreased by about 30% over a period of 2 years in the shallowest lake (maximum depth 4 m), whereas ¹³⁷Cs decreased by 50% in the deeper lakes (maximum depth 10 m). The slower rates of decline of ¹³⁷Cs in biota from the shallow lakes, are probably a function of sediment dynamics (mainly influenced by lake morphometry, wind direction and strength). They may be influenced, also, by bioavailability of resuspended sediment material. In the deepest northern lake, much of the ¹³⁷Cs-containing material collected in the sediment traps originated from the catchment area. Resuspension was minimal, and the high activity of ¹³⁷Cs in the sediment had no effect on content or decline of ¹³⁷Cs in lake fish.     

Radiometric dating for recent lake sediments on the Tibetan Plateau

We present radiometric data from nine lakes across the Tibetan Plateau, and compare their reliability in relation to recent research. Unsupported ²¹⁰Pb profiles show, except for one particular lake, non-exponential decline of ²¹⁰Pb activity with sediment depth. Stratigraphic dates based on global atmospheric nuclear weapons maximum fallout of ¹³⁷Cs (1963) support the use of the constant rate of ²¹⁰Pb supply (CRS) model in four of the dated cores. The discrepancy in the others is likely due to recent increased input of catchment-derived ²¹⁰Pb. ²¹⁰Pb dates in this study suggest that post depositional diffusion of ¹³⁷Cs activity has been significant. The practice of assigning early 1950s dates (start of global atmospheric thermonuclear testing) to lake sediment sequences on the Tibetan Plateau should be used with caution. ¹³⁷Cs profiles from Tibetan lake sediment cores and their geographical distribution suggest that ¹³⁷Cs derived from the 1986 Chernobyl accident or atmospheric testing in China was not sufficient to form a significant peak effective for dating.     

Deposition and transport of radionuclides within an upland drainage basin in mid-Wales

The deposition of radiocaesium from nuclear weapons testing and the Chernobyl accident upon the Llyn Llygad Rheidol catchment in mid-Wales is described. Inventories of soil cores from the catchment support estimates of total atmospheric fallout. The mean inventory of weapons testing ¹³⁷Cs in lake sediment cores is broadly similar to that in soil cores. The inventory of Chernobyl fallout in sediment cores is significantly lower and raises questions concerning the residence time of ¹³⁷Cs in the catchment soils and lake waters. ¹³⁷Cs and ²⁴¹Am activities in a sediment core record the 1963 peak of fallout from nuclear weapons testing. The association of the peak activities of ¹³⁷Cs and ²⁴¹Am in the sediments with the falloot maximum is confirmed by ²¹⁰Pb dating. The ²¹⁰Pb dates also reveal a significant increase in sediment accumulation rates over the past 20 years.     

The role of vegetation in the regulation of fluxes of technogenic radionuclides at different stages after radioactive fallout

In the remote period after the radioactive fallout in the Chernobyl accident, the biological cycle of ¹³⁷Cs in pine forests of the northern forest-steppe zone and in those of Bryanskoe Polesye become essentially different. In the cleaner northern zone with dark-gray forest soil, the ¹³⁷Cs flux to the soil with litterfall exceeds its influx to the vegetation by a factor of 5; i.e., the ¹³⁷Cs cycle differs from that of stable K, the descending flux being still dominant. In the more contaminated Bryanskoe Polesye zone with podzolic illuvial-iron sandy soil, the annual ¹³⁷Cs influx to above-ground vegetation via root uptake exceeds its return to the soil with litterfall, i.e., the ¹³⁷Cs cycle approaches the biological cycle of stable K.     

Doses from external irradiation and ingestion of 134Cs, 137Cs and 90Sr of the population of Belarus accumulated over 35 years after the Chernobyl accident

This study considers the exposure of the population of the most contaminated Gomel and Mogilev Oblasts in Belarus to prolonged sources of irradiation resulting from the Chernobyl accident. Dose reconstruction methods were developed and applied in this study to estimate the red bone-marrow doses (RBMs) from (i) external irradiation from gamma-emitting radionuclides deposited on the ground and (ii) ¹³⁴Cs, ¹³⁷Cs and ⁹⁰Sr ingestion with locally produced foodstuffs. The mean population-weighted RBM doses accumulated during 35 years after the Chernobyl accident were 12 and 5.7 mGy for adult residents in Gomel and Mogilev Oblasts, respectively, while doses for youngest age groups were 20–40% lower. The highest mean area-specific RBM doses for adults accumulated in 1986–2021 were 63, 56 and 46 mGy in Narovlya, Vetka and Korma raions in Gomel Oblast, respectively. For most areas, external irradiation was the predominant pathway of exposure (60–70% from the total dose), except for areas with an extremely high aggregated ¹³⁷Cs soil to cow’s milk transfer coefficient (≥?5.0 Bq L^?1 per kBq m^?2), where the contribution of ¹³⁴Cs and ¹³⁷Cs ingestion to the total RBM dose was more than 70%. The contribution of ⁹⁰Sr intake to the total RBM dose did not exceed 4% for adults and 10% for newborns in most raion in Gomel and Mogilev Oblasts. The validity of the doses estimated in this study was assessed by comparison with doses obtained from measurements by thermoluminescence dosimeters and whole-body counters done in 1987–2015. The methodology developed in this study can be used to calculate doses to target organs other than RBM such as thyroid and breast doses. The age-dependent and population-weighted doses estimated in this study are useful for ecological epidemiological studies, for projection of radiation risk, and for justification of analytical epidemiological studies in populations exposed to Chernobyl fallout.

     

Fallout from the Chernobyl accident and overall cancer incidence in Finland

Aim: We studied whether incidence of all cancer sites combined was associated with the radiation exposure due to fallout from the Chernobyl accident in Finland. An emphasis was on the first decade after the accident to assess the suggested “promotion effect”. Methods: The segment of Finnish population with a stable residence in the first post-Chernobyl year (2 million people) was studied. The analyses were based on a 250 m × 250 m grid squares covering all of Finland and all cancer cases except cancers of the breast, prostate and lung. Cancer incidence in four exposure areas (based on first-year dose due to external exposure <0.1 mSv, 0.1–1.3, 0.3–0.5, or ≥0.5 mSv) was compared before the Chernobyl accident (1981–1985) and after it (1988–2007) taking into account cancer incidence trends for a longer period prior to the accident (since 1966). Results: There were no systematic differences in the cancer incidence in relation to radiation exposure in any calendar period, or any subgroup by sex or age at accident. Conclusion: The current large and comprehensive cohort analysis of the relatively low levels of the Chernobyl fallout in Finland did not observe a cancer promotion effect.     

A radioecological model for thyroid dose reconstruction of the Belarus population following the Chernobyl accident

A radioecological model was developed to estimate thyroid exposures of the Belarus population following the Chernobyl accident. The input of the model includes an extensive data set of the ¹³⁷Cs activity per unit area deposited during the Chernobyl accident, the rainfall data for different regions of Belarus, the ¹³¹I/¹³⁷Cs ratio in the deposit and the start of the grazing period in Belarus in April/May 1986. The output of the model is the age-dependent thyroid exposure due to the intake of ¹³¹I with fresh milk. Age-dependent average thyroid doses were assessed for selected regions of Belarus. The maximum thyroid doses were estimated for the inhabitants of Gomel oblast where the highest deposition was observed among the regions considered here. The lowest doses were estimated for Vitebsk oblast with the lowest level of depositions. The mean exposures for the oblasts of Grodno, Minsk, Mogilev and Brest were very similar. The results were compared with estimations of thyroid exposure that were based on ¹³¹I measurements in human thyroids, and they are in good agreement. The model may be used for the assessment of thyroid doses in Belarus for areas where no ¹³¹I measurements are available.     

241Am dating of lake sediments

²⁴¹Am derived from decay of fallout ²⁴¹Pu is now frequently detected in analyses of lake sediments by low-background gamma assay, and offers an alternative to weapons test ¹³⁷Cs in dating recent sediments at those sites where the ¹³⁷Cs record has been degraded by post-depositional mobility or obliterated by Chernobyl fallout. Calculations of the in-growth of ²⁴¹Am from ²⁴¹Pu indicate a nominal distribution broadly similar to that of ¹³⁷Cs, with the maximum ²⁴¹Am activity occuring in fallout dating from 1963. Results from a number of sites suggest that ²⁴¹Am is significantly less mobile in lake sediments than ¹³⁷Cs, and that its distribution in cores reflects more closely the fallout record. Since further decay of existing weapons debris will increase ²⁴¹Am concentrations by about 24% over the next 40 years, ²⁴¹Am is likely to play an increasingly important role in assessing the validity of ²¹⁰Pb dates at sites with varying sediment accumulation rates.     

Radiocaesium variability within sheep flocks: determination of 137Cs intake in free-ranging sheep

A study is described in which ¹³⁷Cs intake by free-ranging sheep was estimated at two farms in the area of west Cumbria (northwest England) which received some of the highest amounts of fallout from the Chernobyl accident within the United Kingdom. The faecal excretion of ¹³⁷Cs was estimated from faecal ¹³⁷Cs activity concentrations and the use of intraruminal controlled release devices containing Cr₂O₃ to determine faecal dry matter output. The intake of ¹³⁷Cs was estimated by assuming an apparent absorption coefficient appropriate to the herbage grazed. The methodology has the advantage that sampling of herbage representative of that ingested by study animals is not required. Caesium-137 dietary intake explained >60% of the observed variability in the ¹³⁷Cs activity concentration determined in the muscle of sheep. Resultant transfer coefficient (F _f ) values to describe the transfer of ¹³⁷Cs from the diet to muscle were in agreement with previously reported values. At one farm, there was a positive correlation between the ¹³⁷Cs activity concentration in muscle and F _f whilst at the other farm there was a negative correlation between F _f and ¹³⁷Cs dietary intake. Potential reasons for these observations are discussed. Received: 6 April 2000 / Accepted: 25 May 2000     

Risk of acute childhood leukaemia in Sweden after the Chernobyl reactor accident. Swedish Child Leukaemia Group.

OBJECTIVE--To evaluate the risk of acute childhood leukaemia in areas of Sweden contaminated after the Chernobyl reactor accident in April 1986. DESIGN--Population based study of childhood leukaemia diagnosed during 1980-92. SETTING--Coordinates for places of residence of all 1.6 million children aged 0-15 years; aerial mapped areas of Sweden heavily contaminated after the Chernobyl accident. SUBJECTS--888 children aged 0-15 years with acute leukaemia diagnosed in Sweden during 1980-92, identified with place of birth and residence at diagnosis. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Risk of leukaemia in areas contaminated after the Chernobyl accident compared with the rest of Sweden and in the same areas before the accident. RESULTS--During six and a half years of follow up after the accident the odds ratio for acute leukaemia was 0.9 (95% confidence interval 0.6 to 1.4) in highly contaminated areas (> or = 10 kBq/m2) compared with the same areas before the accident. For the subgroup acute lymphoblastic leukaemia in children aged under 5 years at diagnosis the odds ratio was 1.5 (0.8 to 2.6). For all cases diagnosed after May 1986 in highly contaminated areas compared with areas of low contamination the odds ratio was 0.9 (0.7 to 1.3). For acute lymphoblastic leukaemia in children aged under 5 years at diagnosis the odds ratio was 1.2 (0.8 to 1.9) in highly contaminated areas compared with areas of low contamination. Dose-response analysis showed no correlation between the degree of contamination and the incidence of childhood leukaemia. CONCLUSION--There has been no significant increase in the incidence of acute childhood leukaemia in areas of Sweden contaminated after the Chernobyl reactor accident.     

Reconstruction of local fallout composition and gamma-ray exposure in a village contaminated by the first USSR nuclear test in the Semipalatinsk nuclear test site in Kazakhstan

After the disintegration of the USSR in end of 1991, it became possible for foreign scientists to visit Kazakhstan, in order to investigate the radiological consequences of nuclear explosions that had been conducted at the Semipalatinsk nuclear test site (SNTS). Since the first visit in 1994, our group has been continuing expeditions for soil sampling at various areas around SNTS. The current level of local fallout at SNTS was studied through γ-spectrometry for ¹³⁷Cs as well as α-spectrometry for ^239,240Pu. Average values of soil inventory from wide areas around SNTS were 3,500 and 3,700 Bq m^?2 for ¹³⁷Cs and ^239,240Pu, respectively, as of January 1, 2000. The average level of ¹³⁷Cs is comparable to that in Japan due to global fallout, while the level of ^239,240Pu is several tens of times larger than that in Japan. Areas of strong contamination were found along the trajectories of radioactive fallout, information on which was declassified after the collapse of the USSR. Our recent efforts of soil sampling were concentrated on the area around the Dolon village heavily affected by the radioactive plume from the first USSR atomic bomb test in 1949 and located 110 km east from ground zero of the explosion. Using soil inventory data, retrospective dosimetry was attempted by reconstructing γ-ray exposure from fission product nuclides deposited on the ground. Adopting representative parameters for the initial ¹³⁷Cs deposition (13 kBq m^?2), the refractory/volatile deposition ratio (3.8) and the plume arrival time after explosion (2.5 h), an absorbed dose in air of 600 mGy was obtained for the 1-year cumulative dose in Dolon village, due to the first bomb test in 1949. Considering possible ranges of the parameters, 350 and 910 mGy were estimated for high and low cases of γ-ray dose in air, respectively. It was encouraging that the deduced value was consistent with other estimations using thermal luminescence and archived monitoring data. The present method can be applied to other settlements affected by local fallout from SNTS.     

Natural and Chernobyl-caused radioactivity in mushrooms,mosses and soil-samples of defined biotops in SW Bavaria

Summary Different mushrooms, mosses and corresponding soil samples have been collected mainly from two sites in the alpine region of southwestern Bavaria. At the end of the growthseason, September 1986, gamma spectroscopic analysis showed that the moss-, mould, and needle-layer contained considerably more ¹³⁴Cs and ¹³⁷Cs activity per unit fresh weight than eight different species of mushroom. These two isotopes were carried into the biotop mainly as a consequence of the Chernobyl accident. ¹³¹J could not be found any more in the samples ca. 5–6 months after the catastrophe. The activity of the cesium isotopes decreased with increasing soil depth. In the mushrooms the activity was relatively high in Xerocomus badius and surprisingly low in Boletus edulis; samples of the latter and of Cantharellus cibarius collected in September 1985 (before the accident) and kept deep frozen contained almost identical amounts of ¹³⁷Cs as those collected from August to October 1986. Mushrooms contained considerably more of the natural isotope ⁴⁰K than the needlelayers and the soil samples in the neighbourhood. In all mushrooms except Xerocomus badius the activity of ⁴⁰K was generally higher than the ¹³⁷Cs activity. The results indicate that except Xerocomus badius the analyzed mushrooms do not actively take up Cs from the soil, in contrast to K.     

Regularities of changes in 137Cs content in milk in the long term after the Chernobyl nuclear reactor accident

Regularities of changes in 137Cs content in cattle milk in the long term after the Chernobyl accident have been analyzed. Contamination levels of haylands and pastures, soil properties, specific features of agricultural production and time after the fallout play a crucial role in 137Cs concentration changes in animal products. Trends have been studied that reflect the influence of these factors and their significance assessed. The half-life periods of 137Cs decay in milk vary over the period of 1994 to 2000 between 7.1 and 14.8 years and approach similar periods calculated for the long term after global radioactive fallout from nuclear weapons tests.     

A long-term study of catchment inputs of <Superscript>137</Superscript>Cs to a subalpine lake in the form of allochthonous terrestrial plant material

The input of allochthonous plant material, largely terrestrial in origin, during the spring spate is a major source of primary production for montane lake ecosystems such as Øvre Heimdalsvatn and is readily incorporated into the food chain leading to fish. The transport from the lake catchment of allochthonous plant material contaminated with Chernobyl ¹³⁷Cs in 1986 was investigated from 1989 to 2008. ¹³⁷Cs activity concentrations were determined for both total samples before sorting and for the separate components in the two main tributary streams, Brurskardbekken and Lektorbekken, as well as the outflow river, Hinøgla. The total samples showed a similar long-term decline at all sites, although ¹³⁷Cs activity concentrations were generally somewhat higher in Hinøgla compared to the tributary streams. For the total samples, ecological half-lives were in the region of 4–5 years. However, there were major differences between components. The ¹³⁷Cs activity content of most components, including mosses, leaves of willow and woody material, decreased significantly over time. Lichens and juniper declined, but the relationship was not significant, while leaves of mountain birch and dwarf birch showed no obvious trend over the 20-year period.     

Measurement of resuspended aerosol in the Chernobyl area

Size distribution measurements of particulate radionuclides were performed at two sites in the Chernobyl 30-km exclusion zone using several cascade impactors. The results obtained in the period September 1986 till June 1993 were discussed with regard to the general assumption of a log-normal activity size distribution in inhalation dose assessment. At Zapolie (a site 14 km from the Chernobyl reactor) a bimodal distribution was observed in 91% of all measured distributions. In most cases the medians were about 4 µm and in the range 20–30 µm. According to soil granulometric data this finding was explained by superimposing two processes: local resuspension and advective transport of radioactive aerosol from highly contaminated territories. The mean air concentration showed an increasing proportion of inhalable particles over the years since the accident. In 1993 the inhalable fraction was about 48% of the total concentration. At Pripyat, a site situated within a highly contaminated area, unimodal types of size distributions were predominant with the median diameters in the range 5–10 µm for ¹³⁷Cs. For the three nuclides ¹³⁷Cs, ¹⁴⁴Ce and ¹⁰⁶Ru, very similar types of distribution were observed. Apparently, the radioactive aerosol was of fuel origin. During a forest fire at a distance of 17 km, the majority of the radioactivity was associated with submicrometer particles with median diameters in the range 0.28–0.50 µm.     

Radioactive cesium accumulation in seaweeds by the Fukushima 1 Nuclear Power Plant accident—two years’ monitoring at Iwaki and its vicinity

Accumulations of radionuclides in marine macroalgae (seaweeds) resulting from the Fukushima 1 Nuclear Power Plant (F1NPP) accident in March 2011 have been monitored for two years using high-purity germanium detectors. Algal specimens were collected seasonally by snorkeling at Nagasaki, Iwaki, Fukushima Prefecture (Pref.), Japan, ca. 50 km perimeter from the F1NPP. Additional collections were done at Soma, Hironocho, Hisanohama and Shioyazaki in Fukushima Pref. as well as at Chiba Pref. and Hyogo Pref. as controls. In May 2011, specimens of most macroalgal species showed ¹³⁷Cs levels greater than 3,000 Bq kg^?1 at Shioyazaki and Nagasaki. The highest ¹³⁷Cs level recorded 7371.20 ± 173.95 Bq kg^?1 in Undaria pinnatifida (Harvey) Suringar on 2 May 2011, whereas seawater collected at the same time at Shioyazaki and Nagasaki measured 8.41 ± 3.21 and 9.74 ± 3.43 Bq L^?1, respectively. The concentration factor of marine macroalgae was estimated to be ca. 8–50, depending on taxa and considering a weight ratio of wet/dry samples of ca. 10. ¹³⁷Cs level declined remarkably during the following 5–6 months. In contrast, the ¹³⁷Cs level remained rather stable during the following 12–16 months, and maintained the range of 10–110 Bq kg^?1. Contamination was still detectable in many samples in March 2013, 24 months after the most significant pollution.     

Monte-Carlo prediction of changes in areas of west Cumbria requiring restrictions on sheep following the Chernobyl accident

Following the 1986 Chernobyl accident radiocaesium levels in sheep meat in some upland areas of the United Kingdom were above the national intervention limit. West Cumbria was one of these areas and restrictions are currently still in place. In addition to deposition from the Chernobyl accident, Cumbria has been subject to radiocaesium deposition from atmospheric nuclear weapons tests, the 1957 Windscale accident and routine releases from the Sellafield nuclear reprocessing plant. A Monte-Carlo approach has been used to try to predict areas in west Cumbria where radiocaesium activity concentrations in lamb meat would require the imposition of restrictions at different times after the Chernobyl accident. The approach models the transfer of radiocaesium from soil to vegetation, based upon soil organic matter, and from vegetation to lamb meat. Spatial inputs are soil organic matter and total post-Chernobyl (137)Cs and (134)Cs deposition; a ratio of Chernobyl (137)Cs to (134)Cs deposition has been used to differentiate Chernobyl and pre-Chernobyl (137)Cs deposition. Comparisons of predicted radiocaesium transfer from soil-vegetation and the spatial variation in lamb (137)Cs activity concentrations are good and predicted restricted areas with time after Chernobyl compare well to the restricted areas set by UK government. We predict that restrictions may be required until 2024 and that in some areas the contribution of pre-Chernobyl (137)Cs to predicted lamb radiocaesium activity concentrations is significant, such that restrictions may only have been required until 1994 as a consequence of Chernobyl radiocaesium deposition alone. This work represents a novel implementation of a spatial radioecological model using a Monte-Carlo approach.     

Thyroid dose and thyroid cancer incidence after the Chernobyl accident: assessments for the Zhytomyr region (Ukraine)

In the Zhytomyr region, about 52 000 measurements of the ¹³¹I activity in thyroids were performed. On the basis of these measurements, individual doses have been assessed for the people monitored and age-dependent average doses have been estimated for those settlements with more than 11 direct measurements. In order to estimate the pattern of thyroid exposure in the Zhytomyr region, these doses have been interpolated or extrapolated to population groups who were not monitored during May–June 1986. For this purpose, a model has been developed based on a correlation between thyroid dose estimates with the ¹³⁷Cs deposition and the co-ordinates of the settlements relative to Chernobyl. Collective doses of people who were born in the years 1968 to 1986 were calculated. The radiation-induced thyroid cancer incidence in the period 1991 to 1995 was assessed by subtracting the spontaneous incidence from the observed incidence. The result is considerably lower than that observed in longer periods after external exposures. Possible reasons for this difference are discussed. Received: 17 January 1997 / Accepted in revised form: 2 October 1997