毛乌素沙地参考作物蒸散量变化特征与成因分析

根据毛乌素沙地典型站点近60年(1955—2014年)逐日气象数据,利用Penman-Monteith公式计算毛乌素沙地各气象站点参考作物蒸散量(reference crop evapotranspiration,ET_0)及研究区域内整体ET_0。Mann-Kendall趋势检验法和Arc GIS的协同克里格插值法用于分析ET_0时空变化特征,同时,利用敏感性分析方法对ET_0的变化成因进行分析。结果表明:(1)近60年毛乌素沙地ET_0多年平均值为1048.81mm,年际变化呈现缓慢上升趋势。年内变化夏季最高,冬季最低。区域内ET_0空间分布整体呈现自西向东递减趋势。(2)ET_0年变化对风速的敏感程度最大,日照时数和气温次之,相对湿度最小。春、秋两季ET_0变化对日照时数最为敏感;夏、冬两季ET_0变化对相对湿度最为敏感。空间分布上,毛乌素沙地东南部地区为气温敏感系数高值区,西北部地区为相对湿度和日照时数敏感系数高值区,南部为风速敏感系数高值区。(3)通过计算气象因子对ET_0变化的贡献量得出,气温是影响毛乌素沙地ET_0年变化的主导因子。夏季ET_0变化的主导因子是风速;春、秋、冬三季主导因子是气温。空间分布上,毛乌素沙地西南部地区ET_0变化的主导因子为风速,东部地区主导因子为气温。     

中国西北潜在蒸散时空演变特征及其定量化成因

潜在蒸散是区域干湿状况评价、作物需水量估算和水资源合理规划的关键因子。基于FAO推荐的Penman-Monteith公式和126个台站1961—2009年逐日气象观测资料估算西北干旱半干旱区的潜在蒸散量ET0,并对其空间分布特征进行了讨论。通过非参数化Sen趋势分析法和M-K统计检验法方法分析潜在蒸散的时间演变规律,并定量探讨了西北地区影响ET0变化的主导因素。结果表明:49 a来,西北地区ET0的年平均值约为980.63 mm,其中夏季的值最大,冬季的值最小。年平均ET0的大值区位于西北日照时数的高值中心,低值区主要位于海拔高,气温低的山区。西北地形和气候的多样性导致多年平均潜在蒸散的变化及其原因具有明显的时空差异。ET0的变化主要归因于风速和气温,而相对湿度和日照时数的作用较小。由于风速的负贡献超过气温的正贡献,导致年平均ET0整体上呈下降趋势。四季中,春冬两季的ET0缓慢上升,冬季的变化率是春季的两倍;夏秋两季的ET0有所下降,但只有夏季的变化趋势显著。春、夏、秋三季ET0变化的首要主导因子是风速,而冬季的首要主导因子是气温。空间上,西风带气候区ET0降低主要归因于风速的减小,陕南地区ET0下降主要归因于日照时数的减少,其它地区ET0上升的主要原因是气温的增加。     

亚热带岩溶区典型常绿和落叶树种的蒸腾特征及其对环境因子的响应

植物蒸腾是水循环的重要组成部分,为了解亚热带岩溶区树木的蒸腾耗水情况,探究气候和水文地质条件对植物蒸腾的影响,运用Granier热耗散探针技术,对亚热带岩溶区次生林内的常绿树种女贞(L.lucidum)和落叶树种刺槐(R.pseudoacacia)的树干液流进行了连续监测,并同步监测了气象因子及土壤含水率(SMC),探讨在不同时间尺度下两种生活型树种的蒸腾特征及其对环境因子的响应。结果表明：(1)在季节尺度下,影响两树种整树蒸腾量(ET)的主要因子为太阳辐射强度(Rs)、气温(T)和水汽压亏缺(VPD);女贞蒸腾量(ET_L)表现为夏季(1.29 kg/h)>春季(0.57 kg/h)>冬季(0.15 kg/h)>秋季(0.13 kg/h),刺槐蒸腾量(ET_R)表现为夏季(0.90 kg/h)>春季(0.31 kg/h)>秋季(0.16 kg/h)>冬季(0.04 kg/h)。(2)在日尺度下,晴天两树种ET呈现出明显的单峰日变化,且主要影响因子均为T、VPD和Rs;但由于常绿和落叶树种的生理特征差异,降雨时...     

Host-ectoparasite associations; the role of host traits,season and habitat on parasitism interactions of the rodents of northeastern Iran

Rodents play a significant role as reservoirs of zoonotic diseases. Nevertheless, in general their ectoparasite assemblage and host-ectoparasite associations are poorly known. This study intended to provide new insights into the relationships between ectoparasites and rodents in northeastern Iran. Rodents were captured using live traps during the years 2016–2020, and their ectoparasites were collected. Parasitological indices such as infestation rate, prevalence and mean intensity of infestation were analyzed. A total of 284 rodents, belonging to 17 species, were trapped and found to be infested by 178 ectoparasites from five orders Siphonaptera, Phthiraptera, Ixodida, Mesostigmata and Trombidiformes. The overall infestation rate was 50.3%. The flea Nosopsyllus fasciatus and the louse Polyplax asiatica dominated among all fleas and lice, respectively. Haemaphysalis punctata and Haemolaelaps sp. were recorded as the most abundant tick and mite, respectively. Nosopsyllus fasciatus exhibited low and Polyplax asiatica moderate host specificity. Approximately 64.2% of ectoparasites shared more than one host, and others were singletons. Seasonal fluctuations were found in the occurrence of ectoparasite; fleas and lice were more abundant in spring and winter, respectively. Ticks demonstrated high abundance in spring and summer and mites were more common in autumn. The overall prevalence of ectoparasite on male rodents was greater than that on females (56.4% vs. 44.4%), while similar mean intensities were detected for both sexes. This study extends the knowledge on the distribution, seasonality and host choice of four main groups of ectoparasites in association with rodents. Further studies are needed to provide deep insight into how relationships and interactions between ectoparasite and rodents are formed, and how they can be applied in epidemiology.     

基于全球气候模式集合的鄱阳湖流域未来潜在蒸散量及其干旱效应研究

鄱阳湖流域近年来旱涝灾害频发,原有的水量平衡被打破。因此,开展鄱阳湖地区潜在蒸散量及干旱效应研究具有重要意义。潜在蒸散量（Reference Evapotranspiration,ET₀）是评价区域水资源配置和计算干旱指数的重要指标。以我国的鄱阳湖流域为研究区,依托统计降尺度模型,基于站点观测数据、气候模式数据以及美国环境中心再分析数据,运用遗传算法构建多模式集合,模拟未来情景下流域潜在蒸散量和干旱指数（Drought Index,DI）时空演变特征。结果表明：基于遗传算法构建的模式集合较单一气候模式或等权模式集合,模拟性能佳;RCP4.5、8.5情景下流域ET₀均呈上升趋势,ET₀变化的第一主周期分别为20年和4年,流域ET₀未来空间变化特征表现为东高西低;RCP8.5情景下,鄱阳湖流域DI在年际上呈显著上升趋势,9-11月是干旱风险防范的关键时期;流域年DI变化的主周期为8年,流域的中东部地区将是未来干旱风险防范的重点区域。本研究为认识区域尺度下气候变化对潜在蒸散量的影响提供借鉴,同时为政府部门科学应对鄱阳湖流域未来时期可能出现的旱情提供的决策支持。     

Influence of Exogenous Triiodothyronine (T<Subscript>3</Subscript>) on Fecal Shedding of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Escherichia coli</Emphasis> O157 in Cattle

Fecal prevalence of Escherichia coli O157 in ruminants is highest in the summer months and decreases to low or undetectable levels in the winter. We hypothesize that the seasonal variation of this pathogen is a result of physiological responses within the host animal to changing day length. The thyroid is an endocrine gland known to respond to changing day length. Two experiments were conducted to determine if a hyperthyroid status would initiate fecal shedding of E. coli O157 in cattle during the winter when shedding is virtually nonexistent (winter experiment) or influence cattle actively shedding E. coli O157 (summer experiment). Yearling cattle were group-penned under dry-lot conditions, adjusted to a high concentrate ration, and randomly assigned to treatment: control (1 mL corn oil injected s.c. daily) or triiodothyronine (T₃; 1.5 mg suspended in corn oil injected s.c daily). Cattle were individually processed daily for collection of fecal and blood samples. Treatment with exogenous T₃ produced a significant change in serum thyroid hormone concentrations indicative of a hyperthyroid status in both experiments. No differences (P>0.10) were observed in fecal shedding of E. coli O157 in the winter experiment. In the summer experiment, fecal shedding of E. coli O157 was decreased (P=0.05) by administration of T₃ during the treatment period (days 1–10), tended to be lower (P=0.08) during the following 7-day period of no treatment, and was lower (P=0.01) when examined across the entire experimental period. Results of this research indicate that the thyroid or its hormones may be involved in the seasonal shedding patterns of E. coli O157 in cattle.     

Variation in the diet composition of a generalist predator, the red fox, in relation to season and density of main prey

Diet composition of a generalist predator, the red fox (Vulpes vulpes) in relation to season (winter or summer) and abundance of multi-annually cyclic voles was studied in western Finland from 1983 to 1995. The proportion of scats (PS; a total of 58 scats) including each food category was calculated for each prey group. Microtus voles (the field vole M. agrestis and the sibling vole M. rossiaemeridionalis) were the main prey group of foxes (PS = 0.55) and they frequently occurred in the scats both in the winter and summer (PSs 0.50 and 0.62, respectively). There was a positive correlation between the PSs of Microtus voles in the winter diet of foxes and the density indices of these voles in the previous autumn. Other microtine rodents (the bank vole Clethrionomys glareolus, the water vole Arvicola terrestris and the muskrat Ondatra zibethicus) were consumed more in winter than in summer. The unusually high small mustelid predation by red foxes (PS = approx. 0.10) in our study area gives qualitative support for the hypothesis on the limiting impact of mammalian predators on least weasel and stoat populations. None of the important prey groups was preyed upon more at low than at high densities of main prey (Microtus voles). This is consistent with the notion that red foxes are generalist predators that tend to opportunistically subsist on many prey groups. Among these prey groups, particularly hares and birds (including grouse), were frequently used as food by foxes.     

Winter blooming ofArtemisia. A 2-year survey in murcia (Spain)

This paper presents a 2-year survey ofArtemisia airborne pollen concentrations in Murcia. An importantArtemisia blooming taking place in winter is confirmed in Murcia (SE Spain). This phenomenon could explain the incidence of winter pollinosis in Murcia. On the other hand, for the first time, three consecutive pollen seasons ofArtemisia, corresponding to three different species (A. campestris, A. herba-alba andA. barrelieri) have been noted. Mathematical analyses show the relations between pollen concentrations ofArtemisia in summer and autumn, and precipitation occurring 6–8 weeks before. Blooming outsets seem to be related to cumulative percentage of isolation from 1 March. Meteorological factors do not seem to influence pollen concentration in any significant way once pollination has begun.     

淮河流域蒸散发时空变化与归因分析

蒸散发（Evapotranspiration,ET）是联结土壤-植被-大气过程的纽带,对理解地表水热平衡至关重要。因此,量化分析ET时空变化特征、揭示其主要控制因子对区域用水管理和农业生产十分重要。利用遥感数据和气象数据,基于BEPS模型估算了1981-2019年的淮河流域ET,分析了该区域ET时空分布特征,并通过敏感度系数和贡献率方法对该区域的ET多年变化特征进行了归因分析,最后借助数值实验方法深入探究影响特湿润年（2003年）ET较低的主要原因。结果表明：（1）1981-2019年淮河流域多年平均ET为549.83 mm,其中夏季ET占全年ET的比值达到47.63%;1981年以来区域ET整体呈极显著上升趋势（4.41 mm/a,P<0.01）;季节上,除冬季外,其他三个季节的ET增幅均呈显著性增加（P<0.05）,四季增幅速率大小依次为：夏季>春季>秋季>冬季;空间上,中东部和南部ET较高,重心模型显示ET高值区域呈显著的由北向南的移动趋势;（2）归因分析结果表明,淮河流域ET对气温变化最敏感,其次为相对湿度、太阳总辐射、叶面积指数（LAI）和降水,但ET对LAI的正敏感性逐渐增强导致LAI的显著升高对流域ET年际变化贡献最大（44.5%）,其次是气温的升高（25.93%）;同时,LAI是春、夏、秋三季ET变化的主导因素,气温是冬季ET变化的主导因素;（3）数值实验显示高相对湿度是引起特湿润年（2003年）ET明显偏低的最主要因素,这与导致长时间序列ET变化的原因不同。因此,建议今后加强极端气候条件下ET变化的归因分析,为更有效地应对全球气候变化提供决策服务。研究结果能够为认识淮河流域环境变化对水循环影响及合理分配区域水资源提供科学参考。     

Infection of red foxes with Echinococcus multilocularis in western Switzerland

In the Jura mountains, Plateau and Alps of western Switzerland important variations in the prevalence of Echinococcus multilocularis infection in red foxes were observed between geographical areas from 1990 to 1995. The Jura mountains and the Plateau had higher mean prevalence levels than the Alps with 30.6, 32.4 and 18.8%, respectively. The highest rate was recorded in the Plateau in the canton of Fribourg with a prevalence of 52.3%. The prevalence of E. multilocularis infection in foxes in the alpine canton of Valais was the lowest (7.1%). Juvenile foxes were found to be more susceptible to E. multilocularis than adults. Adult foxes were less heavily infected in summer and autumn, while the prevalence in juveniles (less than 1 year old) increased between the spring and winter, when they are more than 6 months old. The retrospective data relate to the beginning of the 1990s, since when a drastic prevalence increase of E. multilocularis infection in foxes has occurred in several regions of Europe. Nevertheless, the study is a major contribution to the epidemiological situation of E. multilocularis in central Europe, in that it contains valuable information on spatial distribution and seasonal differences in different age groups of foxes.     

Seasonal variations in basal metabolic rate, lower critical temperature and responses to temporary starvation in the arctic fox (Alopex lagopus) from Svalbard

Metabolic rates of four resting, post-absorptive male adult summer- and winter-adapted captive arctic foxes (Alopex lagopus) were recorded. Basal metabolic rates (BMR) varied seasonally with a 36% increase from winter to summer, while body mass was reduced by 17% in the same period. The lower critical temperature (T _1c) of the winter-adapted arctic fox was estimated to −7°C, whereas T _lc during summer was 5°C. The similarity of these values, which are much higher than hitherto assumed (e.g. Scholander et al. 1950b), is mainly due to a significantly (P<0.05) lower BMR in winter than in summer. Body core (stomach) temperature was stable, even at ambient temperatures as low as −45°C, but showed a significant (P<0.05) seasonal variation, being lower in winter (39.3±0.33°C) than in summer (39.8±0.16°C). The thermal conductivity of arctic fox fur was the same during both seasons, whereas the thermal conductance in winter was lower than in summer. This was reflected in an increase in fur thickness of 140% from summer to winter, and in a reduced metabolic response to ambient temperatures below T _lc in winter. Another four arctic foxes were exposed to three periods of forced starvation, each lasting 8 days during winter, when body mass is in decline. No significant reduction in mass specific BMR was observed during the exposure to starvation, and respiratory quotient was unchanged at 0.73±0.02 during the first 5 days, but dropped significantly (P<0.05) to 0.69±0.03 at day 7. Locomotor activity and body core (intraperitoneal) temperature was unaltered throughout the starvation period, but body mass was reduced by 18.5±2.1% during these periods. Upon re-feeding, locomotor activity was significantly (P<0.05) reduced for about 6 days. Energy intake was almost doubled, but stabilised at normal levels after 11 days. Body mass increased, but not to the level before the starvation episodes. Instead, body mass increased until it reached the reduced body mass of ad libitum fed control animals. This indicates that body mass in the arctic fox is regulated according to a seasonally changing set point.     

The role of vole populations in prevalence of the parasite (Echinococcus multilocularis) in foxes

Effects of population fluctuation of the gray-sided vole(Clethrionomys rufocanus) on the prevalence (infection rates) of the parasiteEchinococcus multilocularis in red fox(Vulpes vulpes) populations was investigated from 1985 to 1992 in eastern Hokkaido (Abashiri, Nemuro, and Kushiro area), Japan. This parasite needs two hosts to complete its life cycle; the gray-sided vole as its intermediate host and the red fox as its final host. We found that: (1) Infection rates in foxes depended on the current-year abundance of voles in all three study areas, particularly in Abashiri. (2) In addition to this direct density-dependence, delayed density-dependence between the infection rate and the prior-year abundance of voles was detected in Nemuro and in Kushiro. (3) The regional differences in density-dependence pattern were related to regional differences in the winter food habits of red foxes: in Abashiri the proportion of voles in the fox’s diet greatly decreases in winter, while the proportion remains high in winter in Nemuro and in Kushiro, probably because of shallower snowpack. These results suggest that infection rates in foxes in Abashiri were less influenced by the prior-year prevalence, since the infection cycle might be interrupted in winter, when voles became less important in fox’s diet. In contrast, the state of the prevalence may carry over from year to year in Nemuro and in Kushiro, because red foxes continue to eat a considerable amount of voles throughout year. The regionally contrasted results for the relationship between infection rate in foxes and vole abundance were parallel to the regional difference in fluctuation pattern of vole populations, which are highly variable in Abashiri area, but less variable in Kushiro-Nemuro area. Drastic change in vole populations appears to affect the host-parasite system.     

Potential Effects of Environmental Conditions on Prairie Dog Flea Development and Implications for Sylvatic Plague Epizootics

Fleas are common ectoparasites of vertebrates worldwide and vectors of many pathogens causing disease, such as sylvatic plague in prairie dog colonies. Development of fleas is regulated by environmental conditions, especially temperature and relative humidity. Development rates are typically slower at low temperatures and faster at high temperatures, which are bounded by lower and upper thresholds where development is reduced. Prairie dogs and their associated fleas (mostly Oropsylla spp) live in burrows that moderate outside environmental conditions, remaining cooler in summer and warmer in winter. We found burrow microclimates were characterized by stable daily temperatures and high relative humidity, with temperatures increasing from spring through summer. We previously showed temperature increases corresponded with increasing off-host flea abundance. To evaluate how changes in temperature could affect future prairie dog flea development and abundance, we used development rates of O. montana (a species related to prairie dog fleas), determined how prairie dog burrow microclimates are affected by ambient weather, and combined these results to develop a predictive model. Our model predicts burrow temperatures and flea development rates will increase during the twenty-first century, potentially leading to higher flea abundance and an increased probability of plague epizootics if Y. pestis is present.

     

Detection of Rickettsia spp. and Bartonella spp. in Ctenocephalides felis fleas from free‐ranging crab‐eating foxes (Cerdocyon thous)

Fleas are insects with a worldwide distribution that have been implicated in the transmission of several pathogens. The present study aimed to investigate the presence of Rickettsia spp. (Rickettsiales: Rickettsiaceae) and Bartonella spp. (Rhizobiales: Bartonellaceae) in fleas from free‐ranging crab‐eating foxes Cerdocyon thous (Linnaeus, 1766) (Carnivora: Canidae) from Rio Grande do Sul, southern Brazil. Fleas were collected manually from animals and used for the molecular detection of Rickettsia spp. and Bartonella spp. Twenty‐nine C. thous were sampled in six municipalities. Four foxes were parasitized by 10 fleas, all of which were identified as Ctenocephalides felis (Bouché, 1935) (Siphonaptera: Pulicidae). DNA from Rickettsia felis Bouyer et al., 2001 and Rickettsia asembonensis Maina et al., 2016 were found in three and eight fleas, respectively. In four fleas, DNA of Bartonella sp. was identified. Phylogenetic analysis grouped Bartonella sp. together with other genotypes previously reported in C. felis worldwide. The scenario described in the present study highlights a Neotropical canid parasitized by the invasive cosmopolitan cat flea, which in turn, is carrying potentially invasive vector‐borne microorganisms. These findings suggest that C. felis is adapted to wild hosts in wilderness areas in southern Brazil, hypothetically exposing the Neotropical fauna to unknown ecological and health disturbances.     

The potential role of swift foxes (Vulpes velox) and their fleas in plague outbreaks in prairie dogs

Swift foxes (Vulpes velox) have been proposed as potential carriers of fleas infected with the bacterium Yersinia pestis between areas of epizootics in black-tailed prairie dogs (Cynomys ludovicianus). We examined antibody prevalence rates of a population of swift foxes in Colorado, USA, and used polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assays to examine their flea biota for evidence of Y. pestis. Fifteen of 61 (24%) captured foxes were seropositive, and antibody prevalence was spatially correlated with epizootic plague activity in prairie dog colonies in the year of, and previous to, the study. Foxes commonly harbored the flea Pulex simulans, though none of the fleas was positive for Y. pestis.     

华北低丘山地人工林蒸散的季节变化及环境影响要素

蒸散（ET）是生态系统水分平衡和能量平衡的重要组分,中国人工林对区域水分循环及平衡发挥着重要作用。本文基于2007—2008年涡度相关观测资料,分析了华北低丘山地近30年生栓皮栎-刺槐-侧柏人工林生态系统蒸散的变化特征及其环境影响要素。结果表明,2007—2008年实验区气候较常年偏暖、偏旱。ET表现出单峰季节变化特征,秋冬季节较低,春夏季节（4—9月）蒸散旺盛。全年最高值出现在每年5月份,日峰值出现于午后13时左右。2007—2008年平均蒸散量为546.1 mm,降水量为354.1 mm,夏季（7—8月）和冬季（12—1月）的日蒸散量分别为2.19 mm/d和0.44 mm/d。温度是驱动ET季节变化的主要环境因子,饱和差也是影响蒸散季节变化的重要环境要素。土壤含水量对ET季节变化的影响并不显著,有近1/3日数的土壤含水量为0.16—0.18 m3/m3,期间日蒸散量平均值为1.0 mm/d。年蒸散量均高于降水量,蒸散量高于降水量的部分来自深层土壤水分的供给。     

A preliminary study on the seasonal body temperature rhythms of the captive mountain hare (Lepus timidus)

The mountain hare (Lepus timidus) is a year-round active herbivore adapted to survive the boreal winter. Captive mountain hares (N = 4) were implanted with intraabdominal thermosensitive loggers to record their core body temperature (T_b) for a year and during food deprivation (8–48 h) in summer and winter. The average T_b was 38.7 ± 0.01 °C in summer and 38.3 ± 0.01 °C in winter. The yearly T_b correlated positively with the ambient temperature. The 24-h T_b was the highest from late scotophase to early photophase in summer and winter and the lowest during middle-late photophase in summer or during early-middle scotophase in winter. The range of the 24-h oscillations in T_b increased in three animals in winter. Food deprivation did not induce hypothermia in summer or winter. These preliminary data suggest that the mountain hare can spare a modest amount of energy with the wintertime reduction in T_b.     

Seasonal fluctuations of the airborne pollen spectrum in Murcia (SE Spain)

During six consecutive years (1993–1998), aBurkard volumetric pollen trap was continuouslyoperated to sample pollen from the air of thecity of Murcia. The aim of the study was toelucidate the spectra of airborne pollen andthe variations during the year, and toelaborate a pollen calendar. This time spanincludes the end of the period with severedrought from 1990–1995, which particularly affected the south-eastern region of Spain.The total sum of daily average pollenconcentrations amounted to 148,645 pollen grainsbelonging to 93 different taxa. A daily averageof 74 pollen grains/m³ and 11 taxa wererecorded, with maxima of 1157 and 27respectively. The total pollen amountregistered in a year correlated with yearlyrainfall, but there was no relation with meanannual temperature. As for annual fluctuations,there seemed to be no influence by totalrainfall or temperature. Spring and winter werethe seasons with the highest pollen counts andpollen diversity.From the 93 identified taxa, 36 are included inthe pollen calendar. Noteworthy findings are:(i) the presence of Thymelaeaceae,Robinia, Betula, Castanea,Zygophyllum, Caryophyllaceae andCannabis, (ii) a long pollen season ofChenopodiaceae/Amaranthaceae, Urticaceae,Poaceae, Arecaceae and Plantago, (iii)the occurrence of summer, autumn and winterflowering of Artemisia, (iv) the lateappearance of Corylus pollen, and (v) theminor presence of Casuarina pollen duringthe mid winter and late spring.     

退耕还林背景下黄土高原蒸散量时空演变特征及归因

受气候变化和人类活动影响,近几十年黄土高原地表环境和水碳通量发生显著变化,对区域水资源和生态系统格局产生深刻影响。基于植被界面过程(VIP)遥感蒸散发模型,对退耕还林(草)工程实施以来黄土高原蒸散量(ET)时空变化格局进行模拟研究,揭示了近20年黄土高原水碳通量时空演变特征及其原因。结果表明:(1) 2000-2019年黄土高原ET总体呈显著上升趋势(P < 0.05),倾向率为3.77 mm/a,其中黄河中游黄土丘陵沟壑区ET增长最为显著,而陕西关中平原东部、宁夏银川平原南部等农业区则呈显著下降趋势,倾向率为-5.68 mm/a;(2) 气候变量和归一化植被指数(NDVI)对ET显著上升区的区域平均贡献分别为14.7%和78.6%(其中人类活动贡献为70.5%),而对ET显著下降区的区域平均贡献分别为-58.4%和-31.5%(其中人类活动贡献为-31.6%),表明人类活动和气候变化分别主导了ET显著上升区和ET显著下降区的蒸散变化;(3) 在气候变化主导区域,气温和降水量分别为能量受限区和水分受限区ET增加的主导气象因子,而气溶胶浓度升高导致的日照时数和地表风速下降对作物碳同化和蒸腾具有显著的抑制作用,成为农业区ET下降的主导气象因子。     

"蒸发悖论"在秦岭南北地区的探讨

潜在蒸散量(ET0)是大气蒸发的估计值,已经广泛应用于灌溉管理和无实测蒸发资料地区的估算.分析ET0的时空变化是研究水资源对气候变化响应的基础工作,同时对于农业水资源的优化利用也具有重要意义.根据秦岭南北47个气象站1960-2011年逐日数据,利用FAO Penman-Monteith公式计算出各站的潜在蒸散量(ET0),研究了气温、降水与ET0之间的长期变化趋势关系,对导致ET0下降的主要原因进行了讨论,着重对秦岭南北地区是否存在“蒸发悖论”进行验证.结果表明:(1)秦岭南北整体气温经历了先降后升的变化过程,1993年为突变年份,1960-1993年的降温速率和1994-2011年的升温速率均表现出由南向北递减的规律,1960-2011年整体升温速率由北向南递减.(2)1979年和1993年是ET0变化的转折点,以1979和1993为界ET0经历了“升—降—降”的变化阶段.1960-1979年仅汉水流域和巴巫谷地存在“蒸发悖论”现象,1980-1993、1994-2011和1960-2011年3个时段区域整体和各子区均发现了“蒸发悖论”现象.秋季后18a和52a整体以及冬季前34a和52a整体均存在“蒸发悖论”现象,冬季最为明显.(3)近52年整体降水表现出不显著的下降趋势,相较于年尺度,夏季降水与ET0逆向变化趋势更为明显.(4)年尺度上,太阳辐射(日照时数)下降引起的潜热通量减少是造成ET0下降即“蒸发悖论”现象的主要原因.季节尺度,春季ET0下降的主导因素为风速,其它季节均为太阳辐射(日照时数).