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1. North American freshwater mussels have been subjected to multiple stressors in recent decades that have contributed to declines in the status and distribution of many species. However, considerable uncertainty exists regarding the relative influence of these factors on observed population declines. 2. We used an occupancy modelling approach to quantify relationships between mussel species occurrence and various site‐ and catchment‐level factors, including land cover, stream size, the occurrence of drought and reach isolation due to impoundment for 21 mussel species native to the lower Flint River Basin, Georgia, U.S.A. 3. Our modelling approach accounted for potential biases associated with both incomplete detection and misidentification of species, which are frequently not accommodated as sources of bias in freshwater mussel studies. 4. Modelling results suggested that mussel species were, on average, four times less likely to be present following severe drought, but the negative effects of drought declined rapidly with increasing stream size. Similarly, mussel species were 15 times less likely to occupy small streams that were isolated from mainstem tributaries by impoundments. 5. This study provides insight into the effects of natural and anthropogenic factors on freshwater mussel species. Our findings add to a growing body of literature aimed at improving understanding of the predominant factors influencing freshwater mussel populations and fostering the development of more informed and effective conservation strategies.  相似文献   

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Environmental DNA (eDNA) metabarcoding is increasingly used to study the present and past biodiversity. eDNA analyses often rely on amplification of very small quantities or degraded DNA. To avoid missing detection of taxa that are actually present (false negatives), multiple extractions and amplifications of the same samples are often performed. However, the level of replication needed for reliable estimates of the presence/absence patterns remains an unaddressed topic. Furthermore, degraded DNA and PCR/sequencing errors might produce false positives. We used simulations and empirical data to evaluate the level of replication required for accurate detection of targeted taxa in different contexts and to assess the performance of methods used to reduce the risk of false detections. Furthermore, we evaluated whether statistical approaches developed to estimate occupancy in the presence of observational errors can successfully estimate true prevalence, detection probability and false‐positive rates. Replications reduced the rate of false negatives; the optimal level of replication was strongly dependent on the detection probability of taxa. Occupancy models successfully estimated true prevalence, detection probability and false‐positive rates, but their performance increased with the number of replicates. At least eight PCR replicates should be performed if detection probability is not high, such as in ancient DNA studies. Multiple DNA extractions from the same sample yielded consistent results; in some cases, collecting multiple samples from the same locality allowed detecting more species. The optimal level of replication for accurate species detection strongly varies among studies and could be explicitly estimated to improve the reliability of results.  相似文献   

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Social monogamy has traditionally been suggested to be maintained because of weak sexual selection on male partner acquisition. However, the ubiquitous incidence of extra-pair paternity suggests that sexual selection can be strong in monogamous systems, although studies partitioning variance in male reproductive success have come to mixed conclusions. Here, we use detailed field data to examine variance in male reproductive success and its implications for the maintenance of sociality in a population of the socially monogamous lizard Egernia whitii. We show that both within-pair and, to a lesser extent, extra-pair partner acquisition contribute to the variance in male reproductive success, resulting in considerable opportunity for sexual selection. Despite this, levels of multiple mating are lower in Egernia compared to other reptiles, suggesting that male partner acquisition is constrained. We suggest that this constraint may be a result of strong territoriality combined with sexual conflict over multiple mating generated by costs of extra-pair paternity to females as a result of facultative male care. This has the potential to limit sexual selection by reducing variance in male reproductive success and therefore contribute to the maintenance of complex social organization.  相似文献   

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For a species to be able to respond to environmental change, it must either succeed in following its optimal environmental conditions or in persisting under suboptimal conditions, but we know very little about what controls these capacities. We parameterized species distribution models (SDMs) for 135 plant species from the Algerian steppes. We interpreted low false‐positive rates as reflecting a high capacity to follow optimal environmental conditions and high false‐negative rates as a high capacity to persist under suboptimal environmental conditions. We also measured functional traits in the field and built a unique plant trait database for the North‐African steppe. For both perennial and annual species, we explored how these two capacities can be explained by species traits and whether relevant trait values reflect species strategies or biases in SDMs. We found low false‐positive rates in species with small seeds, flowers attracting specialist pollinators, and specialized distributions (among annuals and perennials), low root:shoot ratios, wide root‐systems, and large leaves (perennials only) (R2 = .52–58). We found high false‐negative rates in species with marginal environmental distribution (among annuals and perennials), small seeds, relatively deep roots, and specialized distributions (annuals) or large leaves, wide root‐systems, and monocarpic life cycle (perennials) (R2 = .38 for annuals and 0.65 for perennials). Overall, relevant traits are rarely indicative of the possible biases of SDMs, but rather reflect the species' reproductive strategy, dispersal ability, stress tolerance, and pollination strategies. Our results suggest that wide undirected dispersal in annual species and efficient resource acquisition in perennial species favor both capacities, whereas short life spans in perennial species favor persistence in suboptimal environmental conditions and flowers attracting specialist pollinators in perennial and annual species favor following optimal environmental conditions. Species that neither follow nor persist will be at risk under future environmental change.  相似文献   

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目的:确立一种判断Ames试验假阳性的可靠方法。方法:在Ames平皿掺入试验中发现经受试物处理的TA97和TA1535的菌落数相比溶媒对照组明显增加,为了证实其是因为受试物致突变性导致的回变菌落数增加还是由受试物毒性导致的菌落数增加,对分别经受试物和阳性对照物处理的Ames菌落进行增菌培养后接种于无组氨酸的培养基上,观察比较细菌的生长情况。结果:经受试物处理的菌株不能生长在无组氨酸的培养基中,而经阳性对照物处理的菌株则可以生长在无组氨酸的培养基上,说明经受试物处理的菌株没有发生突变。结论:此方法能可靠地验证菌株是否为突变菌株,由本研究可以发现经受试物处理的菌株没有发生突变,Ames平皿掺入试验中所观察到的菌落数增加是由于受试物毒性造成的假阳性。  相似文献   

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Conservation of biological communities requires accurate estimates of abundance for multiple species. Recent advances in estimating abundance of multiple species, such as Bayesian multispecies N‐mixture models, account for multiple sources of variation, including detection error. However, false‐positive errors (misidentification or double counts), which are prevalent in multispecies data sets, remain largely unaddressed. The dependent‐double observer (DDO) method is an emerging method that both accounts for detection error and is suggested to reduce the occurrence of false positives because it relies on two observers working collaboratively to identify individuals. To date, the DDO method has not been combined with advantages of multispecies N‐mixture models. Here, we derive an extension of a multispecies N‐mixture model using the DDO survey method to create a multispecies dependent double‐observer abundance model (MDAM). The MDAM uses a hierarchical framework to account for biological and observational processes in a statistically consistent framework while using the accurate observation data from the DDO survey method. We demonstrate that the MDAM accurately estimates abundance of multiple species with simulated and real multispecies data sets. Simulations showed that the model provides both precise and accurate abundance estimates, with average credible interval coverage across 100 repeated simulations of 94.5% for abundance estimates and 92.5% for detection estimates. In addition, 92.2% of abundance estimates had a mean absolute percent error between 0% and 20%, with a mean of 7.7%. We present the MDAM as an important step forward in expanding the applicability of the DDO method to a multispecies setting. Previous implementation of the DDO method suggests the MDAM can be applied to a broad array of biological communities. We suggest that researchers interested in assessing biological communities consider the MDAM as a tool for deriving accurate, multispecies abundance estimates.  相似文献   

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To effectively manage multiple biological invasions, information on their distributions must be generated rapidly and over large spatial scales. Using public surveys in a false‐positive occupancy framework, we reliably estimate the distributions of three synanthropic invasive species on the Andaman Islands.  相似文献   

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In this article, we consider the probabilistic identification of amino acid positions that evolve under positive selection as a multiple hypothesis testing problem. The null hypothesis "H0,s: site s evolves under a negative selection or under a neutral process of evolution" is tested at each codon site of the alignment of homologous coding sequences. Standard hypothesis testing is based on the control of the expected proportion of falsely rejected null hypotheses or type-I error rate. As the number of tests increases, however, the power of an individual test may become unacceptably low. Recent advances in statistics have shown that the false discovery rate--in this case, the expected proportion of sites that do not evolve under positive selection among those that are estimated to evolve under this selection regime--is a quantity that can be controlled. Keeping the proportion of false positives low among the significant results generally leads to an increase in power. In this article, we show that controlling the false detection rate is relevant when searching for positively selected sites. We also compare this new approach to traditional methods using extensive simulations.  相似文献   

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Lee BY  Hur TY  Jung YH  Kim H 《Animal genetics》2012,43(4):438-441
Bovine leucocyte antigen (encoded by BoLA) has been widely studied to identify the association with many traits related to immunity. Exon2 of BoLA-DRB3 is extremely polymorphic, and more than 100 alleles have been identified. We investigated polymorphisms of BoLA-DRB3.2 in Korean native cattle and Holstein populations using a next generation sequencer of the GS-FLX Titanium system. We found 38 alleles including 11 new alleles (BoLA-DRB3*1303, *4702, *7101, *7501, *7201, *7301, *7601, *1104, *7701, *7401 and *50021) in Hanwoo, and nine alleles including one new allele (BoLA-DRB3*7601) in Holstein. The 454 sequencing method is a promising alternative technology for high throughput genotyping of BoLA-DRB3.2 because of its technical advantages that allow it to overcome the disadvantages of sequence-based typing methods.  相似文献   

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通过重复第三方实验室的评价方法,分析自主研发的金黄色葡萄球菌和单增李斯特菌溶液快检试剂盒出现假阴性和假阳性的原因.实验验证得出,金黄色葡萄球菌试剂盒测试中出现的假阴性问题可能是试剂在运输、储存以及实验过程中操作不当造成活性降低所引起,可以通过对试剂进行小管分装、干粉化等方式防止试剂活性降低.单增李斯特菌试剂盒果冻阴性对...  相似文献   

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The confounding variables that can potentially lead to a misinterpretation of FTIR spectroscopy of exfoliated cervical cells is described. A detailed account of the spectral effects of the following variables in FTIR spectroscopic screening of exfoliated cervical cells is presented: polymorphs; Cell degradation; and impurities such as endocervical columnar cells, metaplastic cells, cervical mucus, red cells, and debris. The interpretation of the spectra of exfoliated cervical cells must be done with subtraction analysis, which includes these factors. This is essential to prevent unacceptable false-positive rates. The above techniques are subsequently applied to two clinic populations: a dysplasia clinic in follow-up patients with negative cytology and two general gynecology clinics with patients with negative cytology. In the dysplasia clinic group 250 sequential patients with negative smears were tested. Thirty had false-positive smears as defined by the IR spectroscopy using the above methodology. Twenty of those patients subsequently had one follow-up and six had a positive abnormal smear. In the community clinic group 656 sequential patients were examined who had negative smears, of which 27 had false-positive FTIR spectra.  相似文献   

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BackgroundNon-invasive prenatal screening (NIPS) is a highly sensitive and specific screening test to detect fetal chromosomal abnormalities. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate the NIPS as an effective method for prenatal detection of aneuploidies in both high-risk and low-risk pregnancies.MethodsIn current study, we performed NIPS in 32,394 pregnancies, out of which results were available in 32,361 (99.9%) of them. Illumina sequencing was performed for NIPS screening. Hypothesis Z test was used to classify fetal autosomal aneuploidy of T21, T18, and T13. Karyotyping was performed to determine the true negative and true positive NIPS results.ResultsAmong the 32,361 confirmed samples, 164 cases had positive results and 32197 cases had negative results. Of these positive cases, 116 cases were trisomy 21, 34 cases were trisomy 18 and 14 cases were trisomy 13. No false negative results were found in this cohort. The overall sensitivity and specificity were 100% and 99.91%, respectively. There was no significant difference in test performance between the 7,316 high-risk and 25,045 low-risk pregnancies, (sensitivity, 100% vs 100% (P>0.05); specificity, 99.96% vs 99.95% (P > 0.05)). Factors contributing to false-positive results included fetal copy number variants (CNVs), fetal mosaicism and typically producing Z scores between 3 and 4. Moreover, we analyzed NIPS wholegenome sequencing to investigate the Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNPs) associations with drug response or risk of disease. As compare to the 1000g East Asian genome data, the results revealed a significant difference in 7,285,418 SNPs variants of Shanxi pregnant women including 19,293 clinvar recorded variants and 7,266,125 non-clinvar recorded.ConclusionsOur findings showed that NIPS was an effective assay that may be applied as routine screening for fetal trisomies in the prenatal setting. In addition, this study also provides an accurate assessment of significant differences in 7,285,418 SNPs variants in Shanxi pregnant women that were previously unavailable to clinicians in Shanxi population.  相似文献   

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There is increasing interest in studying the molecular mechanisms of recent adaptations caused by positive selection in the genomics era. Such endeavors to detect recent positive selection, however, have been severely handicapped by false positives due to the confounding impact of demography and the population structure. To reduce false positives, it is critical to conduct a functional analysis to identify the true candidate genes/mutations from those that are filtered through neutrality tests. However, the extremely high cost of such functional analysis may restrict studies within a small number of model species. In particular, when the false positive rate of neutrality tests is high, the efficiency of the functional analysis will also be very low. Therefore, although the recent improvements have been made in the (joint) inference of demography and selection, our ultimate goal, which is to understand the mechanism of adaptation generally in a wide variety of natural populations, may not be achieved using the currently available approaches. More attention should thus be spent on the development of more reliable tests that could not only free themselves from the confounding impact of demography and the population structure but also have reasonable power to detect selection.  相似文献   

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PCR是一种简单、迅速、灵敏的检测方法,但假阳性与假阴性却影响了它在常规应用中的准确性。本研究利用竞争性PCR解决无标记Xa21转基因水稻PCR检测中的假阳性与假阴性问题。标记基因潮霉素基因(Hygromycin phosphotransferase,hpt)的竞争模板是外加的日本晴hpt转基因植株基因组DNA,抗白叶枯病基因Xa21的竞争模板是待测水稻内源的位于第11染色体上的Xa21同源基因序列。利用这一方法对双右边界T-DNA载体转化产生的转基因T1代植株进行分析,可以有效地减少或排除假阳性或假阴性样品,选出真正的转基因阳性植株。与常规PCR相比竞争性PCR提高了无标记Xa21转基因植株筛选的准确性。对获得的无标记Xa21转基因植株进行白叶枯抗病鉴定与潮霉素抗性鉴定证实了该方法的可靠性。  相似文献   

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In this paper, we aim to focus on false positive results in the evaluation of thyroid aspirations, covering cystic, inflammatory, follicular and oncocytic lesions, papillary carcinoma, and medullary carcinoma of thyroid. The recently described entity noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary‐like nuclear features is also discussed detailing the impact of its introduction on the sensitivity and specificity of thyroid FNA, as well as the use of molecular tests for diagnostics. Medicolegal issues in relation to current practice in English law are also described.  相似文献   

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Despite many studies of how male characteristics affect paternity in predominantly monogamous birds, relatively little attention has been given to the traits of females that may influence extra‐pair paternity (EPP). However, the occurrence of EPP may be the result of behavioural interactions in which both male and female traits are important for determining the outcome. If EPP is driven mainly by female choice of extra‐pair sires, older, more experienced or larger females would be better able to evade mate guarding tactics and more capable of selecting extra‐pair mates and resisting unwanted suitors. This would be especially noticeable in females paired with unattractive mates. On the other hand, if EPP is driven mainly by male pursuit, we should expect that young, inexperienced or small females would be more exposed to coercive male approaches independently of social mate traits. In a study of an Iberian population of the pied flycatcher Ficedula hypoleuca, we found that EPP affected 38% of the broods and 17% of the nestlings. These values are relatively high, allowing a relatively large number of affected within‐pair mates to be included. We found that EPP is related to both female and male traits although not to any interaction between male and female traits. EPP was higher at nests tended by both younger and short‐winged females and by browner males. Older females may be more experienced and dominant while long‐winged females may be faster fliers, these traits enabling them to avoid extra‐pair copulations, while brown males are less aggressive towards male intruders. In our study population, EPP appears to be caused by male pursuit, which in some cases may overwhelm female attempts to avoid extra‐pair copulations and their social partner's ability to prevent them.  相似文献   

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Till now, multivariate reference regions have played only a marginal role in the practice of clinical chemistry and laboratory medicine. The major reason for this fact is that such regions are traditionally determined by means of concentration ellipsoids of multidimensional Gaussian distributions yielding reference limits which do not allow statements about possible outlyingness of measurements taken in specific diagnostic tests from a given patient or subject. As a promising way around this difficulty we propose to construct multivariate reference regions as p-dimensional rectangles or (in the one-sided case) rectangular half-spaces whose edges determine univariate percentile ranges of the same probability content in each marginal distribution. In a first step, the corresponding notion of a quantile of a p-dimensional probability distribution of any type and shape is made mathematically precise. Subsequently, both parametric and nonparametric procedures of estimating such a quantile are described. Furthermore, results on sample-size calculation for reference-centile studies based on the proposed definition of multivariate quantiles are presented generalizing the approach of Jennen-Steinmetz and Wellek.  相似文献   

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