Mortality of employees of the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority, 1946-1979.

An analysis was conducted of 3373 deaths among 39 546 people employed by the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority between 1946 and 1979, the population having been followed up for an average of 16 years. Overall the death rates were below those prevailing in England and Wales but consistent with those expected in a normal workforce. At ages 15-74 years the standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were 74 for deaths from all causes and 79 for deaths from all cancers. Mortality from only four causes was above the national average--namely, testicular cancer (SMR 153; 10 deaths), leukaemia (SMR 123; 35 deaths), thyroid cancer (SMR 122; three deaths), non-Hodgkin''s lymphoma (SMR 107; 20 deaths)--but in none was the increase significant at the 5% level. Half of the authority''s employees were recorded as having been monitored for exposure to radiation, their collective recorded exposure being 660 Sv (65 954 rem). Among these prostatic cancer was the only condition with a clearly increased mortality in relation to exposure. Of the 19 men who had a radiation record and died from prostatic cancer at ages 15-74 years, nine had been monitored for several different sources of exposure to radiation. The standardised mortality ratios were 889 (six deaths) in employees monitored for contamination by tritium, 254 (nine deaths) in those monitored for contamination by other radionuclides, and 385 (nine deaths) in those with dosimeter readings totalling more than 50 mSv (5 rem); but the same nine subjects tended to account for each of these significantly raised ratios. Because multiple exposures were common and other relevant information was not available the reason for the increased mortality from prostatic cancer in this population could not be determined and requires further investigation. Excess mortality rates of 2.2 and 12.5 deaths per million person years per 10 mSv (1 rem) were estimated for leukaemia and all cancers, respectively. The confidence limits around these estimates were wide, included zero, and made it unlikely that the International Commission on Radiological Protection''s cancer risk coefficients were underestimated by more than 15-fold. Thus despite this being the largest British workforce whose mortality has been reported in relation to low level ionising radiation exposure, even larger populations will need to be followed up over longer periods before narrower ranges of risk estimates can be derived.     

Osteogenesis imperfecta: the audiological phenotype lacks correlation with the genotype

Background

Neurofibromatosis 1 (NF1), a common autosomal dominant disorder, was shown in one study to be associated with a 15-year decrease in life expectancy. However, data on mortality in NF1 are limited. Our aim was to evaluate mortality in a large retrospective cohort of NF1 patients seen in France between 1980 and 2006.

Methods

Consecutive NF1 patients referred to the National French Referral Center for Neurofibromatoses were included. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) with its 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated as the ratio of observed over expected numbers of deaths. We studied factors associated with death and causes of death.

Results

Between 1980 and 2006, 1895 NF1 patients were seen. Median follow-up was 6.8 years (range, 0.4-20.6). Vital status was available for 1226 (65%) patients, of whom 1159 (94.5%) survived and 67 (5.5%) died. Overall mortality was significantly increased in the NF1 cohort (SMR, 2.02; CI, 1.6-2.6; P < 10^-4). The excess mortality occurred among patients aged 10 to 20 years (SMR, 5.2; CI, 2.6-9.3; P < 10^-4) and 20 to 40 years (SMR, 4.1; 2.8-5.8; P < 10^-4). Significant excess mortality was found in both males and females. In the 10-20 year age group, females had a significant increase in mortality compared to males (SMR, 12.6; CI, 5.7-23.9; and SMR, 1.8; CI, 0.2-6.4; respectively). The cause of death was available for 58 (86.6%) patients; malignant nerve sheath tumor was the main cause of death (60%).

Conclusions

We found significantly increased SMRs indicating excess mortality in NF1 patients compared to the general population. The definitive diagnosis of NF1 in all patients is a strength of our study, and the high rate of death related to malignant transformation is consistent with previous work. The retrospective design and hospital-based recruitment are limitations of our study. Mortality was significantly increased in NF1 patients aged 10 to 40 years and tended to be higher in females than in males.     

Mortality after cerebral angiography with or without radioactive Thorotrast: an international cohort of 3,143 two-year survivors.

There are few studies on the long-term sequelae of radionuclides ingested or injected into the human body. Patients exposed to radioactive Thorotrast in the 1930s through the early 1950s provide a singular opportunity, since the administration of this radiographic contrast agent resulted in continuous exposure to alpha particles throughout life at a low dose rate. We evaluated cause-specific mortality among an international cohort of 3,143 patients injected during cerebral angiography with either Thorotrast (n = 1,736) or a similar but nonradioactive agent (n = 1,407) and who survived 2 or more years. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) for Thorotrast and comparison patients were calculated, and relative risks (RR), adjusted for population, age and sex, were obtained by multivariate statistical modeling. Most patients were followed until death, with only 94 (5.4%) of the Thorotrast patients known to be alive at the closure of the study. All-cause mortality (n = 1,599 deaths) was significantly elevated among Thorotrast subjects [RR 1.7; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.5-1.8]. Significantly increased relative risks were found for several categories, including cancer (RR 2.8), benign and unspecified tumors (RR 1.5), benign blood diseases (RR 7.1), and benign liver disorders (RR 6.5). Nonsignificant increases were seen for respiratory disease (RR 1.4) and other types of digestive disease (RR 1.6). The relative risk due to all causes increased steadily after angiography to reach a threefold RR at 40 or more years (P < 0.001). Excess cancer deaths were observed for each decade after Thorotrast injection, even after 50 years (SMR 8.6; P < 0.05). Increasing cumulative dose of radiation was directly associated with death due to all causes combined, cancer, respiratory disease, benign liver disease, and other types of digestive disease. Our study confirms the relationship between Thorotrast and increased mortality due to cancer, benign liver disease, and benign hematological disease, and suggests a possible relationship with respiratory disorders and other types of digestive disease. The cumulative excess risk of cancer death remained high up to 50 years after injection with >20 ml Thorotrast and approached 50%.     

Non-fasting serum triglyceride concentration and mortality from coronary heart disease and any cause in middle aged Norwegian women.

OBJECTIVE--To study the association between non-fasting serum triglyceride concentrations and mortality in women from coronary and cardiovascular disease and all causes. DESIGN--Follow up by ambulatory teams of men and women who underwent cardiovascular screening for a mean of 14.6 years. SETTING--National health screening service in Norway. SUBJECTS--25,058 men and 24,535 women aged 35-49 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE--Predictive value of non-fasting serum triglyceride concentrations. RESULTS--At initial screening total serum cholesterol concentration, serum triglyceride concentration, blood pressure, height, and weight were measured, and self reported information about smoking habits, physical activity, and time since last meal were recorded. During subsequent follow up 108 women died from coronary heart disease, 238 from cardiovascular diseases, and 931 from all causes. In women mortality increased steadily with increasing triglyceride concentration for all three causes of death. With the proportional hazards model and adjustment for age, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol concentration, time since last meal, and number of cigarettes a day the relative risk between triglyceride concentration > or = 3.5 mmol/l and < 1.5 mmol/l was 4.7 (95% confidence interval 2.5 to 8.9) for deaths from coronary heart disease, 3.0 (1.9 to 4.8) for deaths from cardiovascular disease, 2.3 (1.8 to 2.9) for total deaths in all women. CONCLUSIONS--A raised non-fasting concentration of triglycerides is an independent risk factor for mortality from coronary heart disease, cardiovascular disease, and any cause mortality among middle aged Norwegian women in contrast to what is seen in men.     

Mortality and cancer incidence in males with Y polysomy in Britain: a cohort study

The mortality and cancer incidence risks among males with Y polysomy are unknown because there have been no large long-term cohort studies carried out of such men. We conducted a cohort study of 667 men diagnosed with the abnormality in Britain since 1959 to compare their mortality and cancer incidence rates with those of the general population. Sixty deaths occurred during follow-up to December 2005, twice the number expected from general population rates (standardised mortality ratio (SMR) = 2.0 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.5–2.6)). Significantly raised mortality was observed for diseases of the nervous system (SMR = 7.0, 95% CI: 2.3–16.4), circulatory system (SMR = 2.1, 95% CI: 1.3–3.2), respiratory system (SMR = 4.0, 95% CI: 1.8–7.5), genitourinary system (SMR = 10.2, 95% CI: 1.2–36.9), and congenital anomalies (SMR = 11.9, 95% CI: 3.2–30.5). Four of the five nervous system deaths were from epilepsy, the risk of death from this condition being more than 20-fold raised. The rates of cancer incidence and mortality among these men was not significantly different from those in the general population. This study provides evidence that mortality rates from several specific causes are raised among men with Y polysomy. The use of these data in genetic counselling should be cautious particularly for cases of Y polysomy that are detected prenatally. Further investigations are required to confirm these findings and to elucidate the possible role of genes on the Y chromosome in the aetiology of these causes of death.     

Mortality after long-term exposure to radioactive Thorotrast: a forty-year follow-up survey in Sweden

To evaluate temporal patterns of cause-specific mortality after long-term exposure to the alpha-particle-emitting contrast medium Thorotrast, we investigated a cohort consisting of 693 Swedish patients with neurological disorders who received Thorotrast during cerebral angiography, with follow-up ending in 1993. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated as the ratio of observed cases in the cohort to expected cases in the general population. Persons exposed to Thorotrast had significant excesses of all causes of death (SMR = 2.8; 95% CI 2.5-3.0), with similar increases noted for men and women. The largest risks were observed for deaths from hematological causes (SMR = 16.4; n = 8), cerebrovascular diseases (SMR = 10.1; n = 18), gastrointestinal disorders including liver cirrhosis (SMR = 5.2; n = 36), and tumors (SMR = 4.7; n = 187). There was a significant decrease in SMR with time since injection for cerebrovascular and circulatory diseases, indicative of the impact of underlying neurological disorders. In contrast, the SMR increased significantly with time for tumors and gastrointestinal diseases, suggestive of a detrimental effect of cumulative radiation dose. A significant dose-response relationship was found for all causes of death and malignant tumors among all age groups, and since SMR increased with time for the latter category, this is consistent with an effect of cumulative radiation exposure on cancer development. However, the findings should be treated with caution, since selection bias may have influenced some of the results.     

Comparison of standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) obtained from use of reference populations based on a company-wide registry cohort to SMRs calculated against local and national rates

The DuPont Company has maintained a mortality registry for all active and pensioned U.S. employees since 1957. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) for each plant site in the U.S. can be calculated based on the comparison with the entire U.S. DuPont population or with a regional subset of DuPont employees. We compared the SMRs derived from a large, international cohort mortality study of chloroprene workers (IISRP study) with those derived from the entire DuPont Registry and appropriate subpopulations of the registry for two U.S. neoprene plants--Louisville (Kentucky) and Pontchartrain (Louisiana). SMRs from the IISRP study for the Louisville cohort based on national rates for all causes of death, all cancers, respiratory cancer, and liver cancer are higher than those based on local mortality rates. Both the national and local comparisons (several counties surrounding each plant) for all-cancer SMRs are lower than 1.0, the local comparison being statistically significantly reduced. In contrast, the SMRs based on the total U.S. DuPont worker mortality rates for all causes of death (1.13), all cancers (1.11), and respiratory cancers (1.37) are statistically significantly increased. The SMR for liver cancer (1.27), although elevated, is not statistically significant. SMRs based on DuPont Region 1 were closer to 1.0, and the SMR for all cancers was no longer significant. Stratification of the Louisville subcohort of males using the same cumulative exposure categories used in the IISRP study yielded SMRs calculated against DuPont Region 1 that were generally higher than those calculated against U.S. and local rates. Only the third exposure category showed SMRs statistically significantly above 1.0 for all cancers and for cancer of bronchus, trachea, and lung. However, there does not appear to be an exposure-response trend. The SMRs from the IISRP study for the Pontchartrain cohort based on national rates are higher than those based on local rates for all causes of death, but all are less than 1.0. The all-cause SMRs for both local and national comparisons are significantly reduced. There were no deaths from liver cancers observed in this cohort. Comparisons of the Pontchartrain cohort against the total U.S. DuPont worker mortality rates resulted in higher SMRs for all causes of death (0.98), all cancers (1.03), and respiratory cancer (1.08), but none were statistically significant. SMRs based on DuPont Region 2 showed very little change from those based on the total registry. The use of reference rates based on regional workers in the same large company produces SMRs lower than those based on the entire company population (regional socio-cultural effects) but higher than those based on geographically closer local general populations (healthy worker effect). The healthy worker effect is seen in cancer mortality rates as well as in other chronic diseases.     

Long-term mortality in a cohort of severely obese persons in Italy

Few large studies on Northern European or US populations reported on mortality of severely obese individuals (BMI > or = 40 kg/m(2)). We studied a historical cohort in Italy to compare its mortality with previous findings, to investigate its relationship with BMI in the >40 range, and to provide evidence useful for clinical decision-making on treatment. The cohort comprised 4,837 persons with a BMI > or =40 kg/m(2) and aged > or =18 at first consultation, referred to six centers for obesity treatment between 1975 and 1996. After exclusion of persons with missing personal identification data or those untraceable, 4,498 (972 men, 3,526 women) remained for analyses. We calculated standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and carried out Cox proportional hazards modeling. General mortality (484 deaths: 153 men, 331 women) was in excess, with SMRs (95% confidence intervals) of 2.78 (2.36-3.26) for men and 2.10 (1.88-2.34) for women. Excess mortality (i) was observed in all BMI categories, except among women weighing 40-42.4 kg/m(2); (ii) increased with increasing BMI; (iii) increased less among persons recruited in recent calendar periods; (iv) was inversely related to age attained at follow-up; and (v) was due to cardiovascular and respiratory diseases and violent deaths but not malignant neoplasms. Excess mortality was similar to that observed in Northern European and US cohorts. Its steady increase with BMI levels > or =40 suggests that benefits proportional to weight reduction are expected and that even limited control may be beneficial. The smaller excess among persons recruited most recently might reflect better treatment.     

Changing temporal trends in non-AIDS cancer mortality among people diagnosed with AIDS: San Francisco,California, 1996–2013

BackgroundAntiretroviral therapy (ART) has reduced AIDS-defining cancer (ADC) mortality, but its effect on non-AIDS-defining cancer (NADC) mortality is unclear. To help inform cancer prevention and screening, we evaluated trends in NADC mortality among people with AIDS (PWA) in the ART era.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study analyzed AIDS surveillance data, including causes of death from death certificates, for PWA in San Francisco who died in 1996–2013. Proportional mortality ratios (PMRs), and year, age, race, sex-adjusted standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated for 1996–1999, 2000–2005, and 2006–2013, corresponding to advances in ART.ResultsThe study included 5822 deceased PWA of whom 90% were male and 68% were aged 35–54 at time of death. Over time, the PMRs significantly decreased for ADCs (2.6%, 1.4%, 1.2%) and increased for NADCs (4.3%, 7.0%, 12.3%). For all years combined (1996–2013) and compared to the California population, significantly elevated SMRs were observed for these cancers: all NADCs combined (2.1), anal (58.4), Hodgkin lymphoma (10.5), liver (5.2), lung/larynx (3.0), rectal (5.2), and tongue (4.7). Over time, the SMRs for liver cancer (SMR 19.8, 11.2, 5.0) significantly decreased while the SMRs remained significantly elevated over population levels for anal (SMR 123, 48.2, 45.5), liver (SMR 19.8, 11.2, 5.0), and lung/larynx cancer (SMR 5.3, 4.7, 3.6).ConclusionA decline in ADC PMRs and increase in NADC PMRs represent a shift in the cancer burden, likely due to ART use. Moreover, given their elevated SMRs, anal, liver, and lung/larynx cancer remain targets for improved cancer prevention, screening, and treatment.     

Updated mortality analysis of radiation workers at Rocketdyne (Atomics International), 1948-2008

Updated analyses of mortality data are presented on 46,970 workers employed 1948-1999 at Rocketdyne (Atomics International). Overall, 5,801 workers were involved in radiation activities, including 2,232 who were monitored for intakes of radionuclides, and 41,169 workers were engaged in rocket testing or other non-radiation activities. The worker population is unique in that lifetime occupational doses from all places of employment were sought, updated and incorporated into the analyses. Further, radiation doses from intakes of 14 different radionuclides were calculated for 16 organs or tissues using biokinetic models of the International Commission on Radiation Protection (ICRP). Because only negligible exposures were received by the 247 workers monitored for radiation activities after 1999, the mean dose from external radiation remained essentially the same at 13.5 mSv (maximum 1 Sv) as reported previously, as did the mean lung dose from external and internal radiation combined at 19.0 mSv (maximum 3.6 Sv). An additional 9 years of follow-up, from December 31,1999 through 2008, increased the person-years of observation for the radiation workers by 21.7% to 196,674 (mean 33.9 years) and the number of cancer deaths by 50% to 684. Analyses included external comparisons with the general population and the computation of standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and internal comparisons using proportional hazards models and the computation of relative risks (RRs). A low SMR for all causes of death (SMR 0.82; 95% CI 0.78-0.85) continued to indicate that the Rocketdyne radiation workers were healthier than the general population and were less likely to die. The SMRs for all cancers taken together (SMR 0.88; 95% CI 0.81-0.95), lung cancer (SMR 0.87; 95% CI 0.76-1.00) and leukemia other than chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) (SMR 1.04; 95% 0.67-1.53) were not significantly elevated. Cox regression analyses revealed no significant dose-response trends for any cancer. For all cancers excluding leukemia, the RR at 100 mSv was estimated as 0.98 (95% CI 0.82-1.17), and for all leukemia other than CLL it was 1.06 (95% CI 0.50-2.23). Uranium was the primary radionuclide contributing to internal exposures, but no significant increases in lung and kidney disease were seen. The extended follow-up reinforces the findings in the previous study in failing to observe a detectable increase in cancer deaths associated with radiation, but strong conclusions still cannot be drawn because of small numbers and relatively low career doses. Larger combined studies of early workers in the United States using similar methodologies are warranted to refine and clarify radiation risks after protracted exposures.     

High serum insulin-like growth factor binding protein-1 is associated with increased cardiovascular mortality in elderly men.

Insulin-like growth factor binding protein-1 (IGFBP-1) has been implicated in the development of cardiovascular disease, but it is not known whether IGFBP-1 is related to cardiovascular mortality. We examined the relation of circulating IGFBP-1 to death from coronary heart disease, cardiovascular disease, and all causes in a cohort study consisting of 622 men aged 65 - 84 years, at baseline in 1984. Fasting serum IGFBP-1 and other risk factors were measured in 1984 and 1989. Cardiovascular events for those who died between 1984 and 1995 were analyzed, and cardiovascular diagnoses were coded centrally according to standardized procedures. Of the 622 men, 358 died between 1984 and 1995; 160 deaths were due to cardiovascular causes, 113 of which were coronary deaths. High fasting serum IGFBP-1 concentration (> 75 percentile) in 1984 was associated with increased five-year total mortality (OR 2.05, 95 % CI 1.41 - 2.99; p < 0.0002), cardiovascular mortality (OR 2.20, 95 % CI 1.37 - 3.50; p < 0.0009) and coronary heart disease mortality (OR 2.29, 95 % CI 1.35 - 3.88; p < 0.002). After adjustment for age, high serum IGFBP-1 concentrations still carried an increased risk of total mortality due to (OR 1.73, 95 % CI 1.16 - 2.59; p < 0.007), cardiovascular (OR 1.91 95 % CI 1.18 - 3.09; p < 0.008) and coronary heart disease (OR 2.02. 95 % CI 1.18 - 3.47; p < 0.01). In conclusion, high fasting serum IGFBP-1 is related to increased five-year total and cardiovascular mortality in elderly men.     

A Nationwide Cohort Study of Mortality Risk and Long-Term Prognosis in Infective Endocarditis in Sweden

Objectives: Infective endocarditis (IE) remains a serious disease with substantial mortality. In this study we investigated the incidence of IE, as well as its associated short and long term mortality rates.

Methods

The IE cases were identified in the Swedish national inpatient register using ICD-10 codes, and then linked to the population register in order to identify deaths in the cohort. Crude mortality rates among IE patients were obtained for different time intervals. These rates were directly standardized using sex- and age-matched mortality in the general population.

Results

The cohort consisted of 7603 individuals and 7817 episodes of IE during 1997–2007. The 30 days all-cause crude mortality rate was 10.4% and the standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was 33.7 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 31.0–36.6). Excluding the first year of follow-up, the long term mortality (1–5 years) showed an increased SMR of 2.2 (95% CI: 2.0–2.3) compared to the general population. Significantly higher SMR was found for cases of IE younger than 65 years of age with a 1–5 year SMR of 6.3, and intravenous drug-users with a SMR of 19.1. Native valve IE cases, in which surgery was performed had lower crude mortality rates and Mantel-Haenzel odds ratios of less than one compared to those with medical therapy alone during 30-day and 5-years follow-up.

Conclusions

The 30-days crude mortality rate for IE was 10.4% and long-term relative mortality risk remains increased even up to 5 years of follow-up, therefore a close monitoring of these patients would be of value.     

Excess mortality rate during adulthood among Danish adoptees

Background and objective

Adoption studies have been used to disentangle the influence of genes from shared familial environment on various traits and disease risks. However, both the factors leading to adoption and living as an adoptee may bias the studies with regard to the relative influence of genes and environment compared to the general population. The aim was to investigate whether the cohort of domestic adoptees used for these studies in Denmark is similar to the general population with respect to all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality rates.

Methods

13,111 adoptees born in Denmark in 1917, or later, and adopted in 1924 to 1947 were compared to all Danes from the same birth cohorts using standardized mortality ratios (SMR). The 12,729 adoptees alive in 1970 were similarly compared to all Danes using SMR as well as cause-specific SMR.

Results

The excess in all-cause mortality before age 65 years in adoptees was estimated to be 1.30 (95% CI 1.26–1.35). Significant excess mortality before age 65 years was also observed for infections, vascular deaths, cancer, alcohol-related deaths and suicide. Analyses including deaths after age 65 generally showed slightly less excess in mortality, but the excess was significant for all-cause mortality, cancer, alcohol-related deaths and suicides.

Conclusion

Adoptees have an increased all-cause mortality compared to the general population. All major specific causes of death contributed, and the highest excess is seen for alcohol-related deaths.     

Rising mortality from cryptogenic fibrosing alveolitis.

OBJECTIVE--To determine the pattern of mortality ascribed to cryptogenic fibrosing alveolitis and to identify factors that might be important in the aetiology of the disease; and to assess the validity of death certification of the disease. DESIGN--A retrospective examination of mortality ascribed to cryptogenic fibrosing alveolitis in England and Wales between 1979 and 1988 with analysis, by multiple logistic regression, of independent effects of age, sex, region of residence, and social class as indicated by occupation on data for 1979-87; also a retrospective review of hospital records of patients certified as having died of cryptogenic fibrosing alveolitis in Nottingham and of the certified cause of death of patients known to have had the disease. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Time trends in mortality nationally; effects on mortality of age, sex, and region of residence; validity of death certification in Nottingham. RESULTS--The annual number of deaths ascribed to cryptogenic fibrosing alveolitis doubled from 336 in 1979 to 702 in 1988, the increase occurring mainly at ages over 65. Mortality standardised for age for both sexes likewise increased steadily over the period. Deaths due to cryptogenic fibrosing alveolitis were commoner in men (odds ratio 2.24, 95% confidence interval 2.11 to 2.33) and increased substantially with age, being 7.84 (7.24 to 8.49) times higher in subjects aged much greater than 75 than those aged 45-64. Odds ratios of death due to cryptogenic fibrosing alveolitis adjusted for age and sex were increased in the traditionally industrialised central areas of England and Wales (p less than 0.02, maximum odds ratio between regions 1.25), but no significant increase in odds of death was found for manual occupations. Of 23 people whose deaths were registered in Nottingham as having been due to cryptogenic fibrosing alveolitis, 19 were ascertained from clinical records to have had the disease. Only 17 of 45 patients known to have had cryptogenic fibrosing alveolitis in life were recorded as having died from the disease. CONCLUSIONS--The diagnostic accuracy of death certification of cryptogenic fibrosing alveolitis is high, but the number of deaths recorded as being due to the disease may underestimate the number of patients dying with the disease by up to half. Mortality due to the disease is increasing, and the male predominance and regional differences in mortality suggest that environmental factors are important in its aetiology.     

Cancer incidence and mortality in populations living near uranium milling and mining operations in grants, New Mexico, 1950-2004

In a previous cohort study of workers engaged in uranium milling and mining activities near Grants, Cibola County, New Mexico, we found lung cancer mortality to be significantly increased among underground miners. Uranium mining took place from early in the 1950s to 1990, and the Grants Uranium Mill operated from 1958-1990. The present study evaluates cancer mortality during 1950-2004 and cancer incidence during 1982-2004 among county residents. Standardized mortality (SMR) and incidence (SIR) ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were computed, with observed numbers of cancer deaths and cases compared to expected values based on New Mexico cancer rates. The total numbers of cancer deaths and incident cancers were close to that expected (SMR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.07; SIR 0.97, 95% CI 0.92-1.02). Lung cancer mortality and incidence were significantly increased among men (SMR 1.11, 95% CI 1.02-1.21; SIR 1.40, 95% CI 1.18-1.64) but not women (SMR 0.97, 95% CI 0.85-1.10; SIR 1.01, 95% CI 0.78-1.29). Similarly, among the population of the three census tracts near the Grants Uranium Mill, lung cancer mortality was significantly elevated among men (SMR 1.57; 95% CI 1.21-1.99) but not women (SMR 1.12; 95% CI 0.75-1.61). Except for an elevation in mortality for stomach cancer among women (SMR 1.30; 95% CI 1.03-1.63), which declined over the 55-year observation period, no significant increases in SMRs or SIRs for 22 other cancers were found. Although etiological inferences cannot be drawn from these ecological data, the excesses of lung cancer among men seem likely to be due to previously reported risks among underground miners from exposure to radon gas and its decay products. Smoking, socioeconomic factors or ethnicity may also have contributed to the lung cancer excesses observed in our study. The stomach cancer increase was highest before the uranium mill began operation and then decreased to normal levels. With the exception of male lung cancer, this study provides no clear or consistent evidence that the operation of uranium mills and mines adversely affected cancer incidence or mortality of county residents.     

Organisational downsizing,sickness absence,and mortality: 10-town prospective cohort study

Objective To examine whether downsizing, the reduction of personnel in organisations, is a predictor of increased sickness absence and mortality among employees.Design Prospective cohort study over 7.5 years of employees grouped into categories on the basis of reductions of personnel in their occupation and workplace: no downsizing (< 8% reduction), minor downsizing (8-18%), and major downsizing (> 18%).Setting Four towns in Finland.Participants 5909 male and 16 521 female municipal employees, aged 19-62 years, who kept their jobs.Main outcome measures Annual sickness absence rate based on employers'' records before and after downsizing by employment contract; all cause and cause specific mortality obtained from the national mortality register.Results Major downsizing was associated with an increase in sickness absence (P for trend < 0.001) in permanent employees but not in temporary employees. The extent of downsizing was also associated with cardiovascular deaths (P for trend < 0.01) but not with deaths from other causes. Cardiovascular mortality was 2.0 (95% confidence interval 1.0 to 3.9) times higher after major downsizing than after no downsizing. Splitting the follow up period into two halves showed a 5.1 (1.4 to 19.3) times increase in cardiovascular mortality for major downsizing during the first four years after downsizing. The corresponding hazard ratio was 1.4 (0.6 to 3.1) during the second half of follow up.Conclusion Organisational downsizing may increase sickness absence and the risk of death from cardiovascular disease in employees who keep their jobs.     

Long-Term Exposure to Silica Dust and Risk of Total and Cause-Specific Mortality in Chinese Workers: A Cohort Study

Background

Human exposure to silica dust is very common in both working and living environments. However, the potential long-term health effects have not been well established across different exposure situations.

Methods and Findings

We studied 74,040 workers who worked at 29 metal mines and pottery factories in China for 1 y or more between January 1, 1960, and December 31, 1974, with follow-up until December 31, 2003 (median follow-up of 33 y). We estimated the cumulative silica dust exposure (CDE) for each worker by linking work history to a job–exposure matrix. We calculated standardized mortality ratios for underlying causes of death based on Chinese national mortality rates. Hazard ratios (HRs) for selected causes of death associated with CDE were estimated using the Cox proportional hazards model. The population attributable risks were estimated based on the prevalence of workers with silica dust exposure and HRs. The number of deaths attributable to silica dust exposure among Chinese workers was then calculated using the population attributable risk and the national mortality rate. We observed 19,516 deaths during 2,306,428 person-years of follow-up. Mortality from all causes was higher among workers exposed to silica dust than among non-exposed workers (993 versus 551 per 100,000 person-years). We observed significant positive exposure–response relationships between CDE (measured in milligrams/cubic meter–years, i.e., the sum of silica dust concentrations multiplied by the years of silica exposure) and mortality from all causes (HR 1.026, 95% confidence interval 1.023–1.029), respiratory diseases (1.069, 1.064–1.074), respiratory tuberculosis (1.065, 1.059–1.071), and cardiovascular disease (1.031, 1.025–1.036). Significantly elevated standardized mortality ratios were observed for all causes (1.06, 95% confidence interval 1.01–1.11), ischemic heart disease (1.65, 1.35–1.99), and pneumoconiosis (11.01, 7.67–14.95) among workers exposed to respirable silica concentrations equal to or lower than 0.1 mg/m³. After adjustment for potential confounders, including smoking, silica dust exposure accounted for 15.2% of all deaths in this study. We estimated that 4.2% of deaths (231,104 cases) among Chinese workers were attributable to silica dust exposure. The limitations of this study included a lack of data on dietary patterns and leisure time physical activity, possible underestimation of silica dust exposure for individuals who worked at the mines/factories before 1950, and a small number of deaths (4.3%) where the cause of death was based on oral reports from relatives.

Conclusions

Long-term silica dust exposure was associated with substantially increased mortality among Chinese workers. The increased risk was observed not only for deaths due to respiratory diseases and lung cancer, but also for deaths due to cardiovascular disease. Please see later in the article for the Editors'' Summary     

SMR analysis of historical follow-up studies with missing death certificates

The evaluation of epidemiological follow-up studies is frequently based on a comparison of the number O of deaths observed in the cohort from a specified cause with the expected number E calculated from person years in the cohort and mortality rates from a reference population. The ratio SMR = 100 x O/E is called the standardized mortality ratio (SMR). While person years can easily be calculated from the cohort and reference rates are generally available from the national statistical offices or the World Health Organization (WHO), problems can arise with the accessibility of the causes of death of the deceased study participants. However, the information that a person has died may be available, e.g., from population registers. In this paper, a statistical model for this situation is developed to derive a maximum likelihood (ML) estimator for the true (but unknown) number O* of deaths from a specified cause, which uses the known number O of deaths from this cause and the proportion p of all known causes of death among all decreased participants. It is shown that the standardized mortality ratio SMR* based on this estimated number is just SMR* = SMR/p. Easily computable confidence limits can be obtained by dividing the usual confidence limits of the SMR by the opposite limit of the proportion p. However, the confidence level alpha has to be adjusted appropriately.     

Trends in schistosomiasis-related mortality in Brazil, 2000–2011

Schistosomiasis is an important public health problem, with high morbidity and mortality in endemic countries. We analysed the epidemiological characteristics and time trends of schistosomiasis-related mortality in Brazil. We performed a nationwide study based on official mortality data obtained from the Brazilian Mortality Information System. We included all deaths in Brazil between 2000 and 2011, in which schistosomiasis was mentioned on the death certificate as an underlying or associated cause of death (multiple causes of death). We calculated crude and age-adjusted mortality rates (per 100,000 inhabitants), and proportional mortality rates. Trends over time were assessed using joinpoint regression models. Over the 12-year study period, 12,491,280 deaths were recorded in Brazil. Schistosomiasis was mentioned in 8,756 deaths, including in 6,319 (72.2%) as an underlying cause and in 2,437 (27.8%) as an associated cause. The average annual age-adjusted mortality rate was 0.49 deaths/100,000 inhabitants (95% confidence interval: 0.46–0.52) and proportional mortality rate was 0.070% (95% confidence interval: 0.069–0.072). Males (0.53 deaths/100,000 inhabitants), those aged ⩾70 years (3.41 deaths/100,000 inhabitants), those of brown race/colour (0.44 deaths/100,000 inhabitants), and residents in the Northeast region of Brazil (1.19 deaths/100,000 inhabitants) had the highest schistosomiasis-related death rates. Age-adjusted mortality rates showed a significant decrease at a national level (Annual Percent Change: −2.8%; 95% confidence interval: −4.2 to −2.4) during the studied period. We observed decreasing mortality rates in the Northeast (Annual Percent Change: −2.5%; 95% confidence interval: −4.2 to −0.8), Southeast (Annual Percent Change: −2.2%; 95% confidence interval: −3.6 to −0.9), and Central-West (Annual Percent Change: −7.9%; 95% confidence interval: −11.3 to −4.3) regions, while the rates remained stable in the North and South regions. Despite the reduced mortality, schistosomiasis is still a neglected cause of death in Brazil, with considerable regional differences. Sustainable control measures should focus on increased coverage, and intensified and tailored control measures, to prevent the occurrence of severe forms of schistosomiasis and associated deaths.