父母及个人行为对学龄前儿童超重和肥胖的影响

目的：探讨学龄前儿童超重和肥胖的现状及其影响因素。方法：从青岛市幼儿园招募年龄在3-6 岁儿童参与本调查,通过健 康体格检查和问卷调查两部分进行。其中体格检查包括身高和体重的测量,问卷调查内容包括父母的相关变量以及儿童个人饮 食行为等因素。其中1080 份为完整有效数据。结果：学龄前儿童超重和肥胖人数分别占总数的18.80%和8.98%。男孩的超重和 肥胖率（31.8%）高于女生（23.8%）。父亲和母亲的超重和肥胖均与儿童超重和肥胖存在关联性(P<0.05)。较长屏幕时间、快速进食 是超重和肥胖的危险因素(P<0.05),而增加体力活动时间为保护因素（P<0.05）。偏爱肉类也是与超重/ 肥胖相关的因素(P<0.05）。 结论：孩子个性习惯和父母均与学龄前儿童超重和肥胖相关,学龄前儿童超重和肥胖问题仍然是一个重要的公共卫生问题。     

学龄前儿童超重肥胖的调查和影响因素分析

目的：调查北京市学龄前儿童超重肥胖流行现状并分析其影响因素,为制定防制策略提供科学依据。方法：选择842例3~5岁健康查体的学龄前儿童为研究对象,测量身高、体重并计算体质量指数（BMI）。向儿童主要养护人进行问卷调查,获得母亲孕期、儿童早期喂养、身体活动和行为习惯、家庭情况和膳食情况等与儿童超重肥胖的相关信息。以儿童是否超重肥胖为因变量,影响儿童超重肥胖的23个因素为自变量,进行单因素和多因素Logistic 回归分析。结果：学龄前儿童超重率为10.69%、肥胖率为11.28%;多因素Logistic回归分析显示,孕期增重、出生6月内喂养方式、屏幕暴露时长、谷薯类食物食用频率4个变量差异有统计学意义（P＜0.05）,孕期增重过多、出生6月内人工喂养、每日屏幕暴露时长≥1 h、每周食用谷薯类食物是儿童超重肥胖的危险因素。结论：北京市学龄前儿童超重肥胖率处于较高水平,儿童超重肥胖受多种因素的共同影响。     

通过简单临床观察构建胸痛患者冠心病预测模型过程中的风险因素分析

目的:在具有胸痛症状的患者中构建冠心病预测模型.方法:选取疑诊冠心痛的胸痛患者7981例,分为典型心绞痛组3636例、非典型心绞痛组3420例和非心绞痛性胸痛组925例,行冠状动脉造影最终确诊.对相关临床因素进行logistic多元回归分析并对危险因素进行组合得出危险积分.研究三组人群最终经冠脉造影确诊冠心病的正确诊断率结果:(1 )30-49岁至≥70岁典型心绞痛组、非典型心绞痛组、非心绞痛性胸痛组3组男性冠心病比例分别增加26.9％、36.3％及38.4％,3组女性分别33.5％、41.0％及43.3％,典型心绞痛、非典型心绞痛及非心绞痛性胸痛患者比例逐渐增加.(2)青年至老年典型心绞痛组、非典型心绞痛组及非心绞痛性胸痛组3组低危组冠心病发病率分别增加41.6％、增加57.3％及增加39.9％,高危组分别由增加15.8％、增加6.7％及增加33.3％.典型心绞痛组、非典型心绞痛组及非心绞痛性胸痛组3组危险积分由1分至6分冠心病发病率分别增加45.3％、52.6％及54.4％.(3)冠心痛预测价值排序:在典型心绞痛分组中,男、女及不考虑性别情况预测值由78.5％至53.0％、64.4％至24.3％及72.5％至39.5％;在非典型心绞痛分组中,男、女及不考虑性别情况预测值由71.8％至37.0％、53.6％至27.8％及64.2％至32.9％;在非心绞痛性胸痛分组中,男、女及不考虑性别情况预测值由64.1％至50.0％、51.4％至35.0％及58.8％至43.2％.结论:随着年龄增加,胸痛症状越来越不典型.同一性别及胸痛特征分组中,同一危险分层及胸痛特征分组中,年龄增加冠心病可能性增加.同一性别及年龄段分组中,中年低危及高危,青年高危情况,胸痛症状越不典型冠心病可能性越小.同一危险积分分组中,胸痛症状越不典型则冠心病可能性越小.同一年龄段及胸痛特征分组中,男性冠心病概率大于女性,高危比低危人群冠心病可能性增加.同一胸痛特征分组中,危险积分得分越高冠心病可能性越大,年龄越小危险因素作用越突出.同一胸痛特征及异常心电图分组中,男性冠心病概率大于女性.24h动态心电图预测价值逐渐增大.同一性别及异常心电图分组中,胸痛症状越不典型,心电图预测价值越小.性别、年龄、胸痛症状、危险因素是冠心病的预测指标.简单观察的临床指标和冠心病发病率之间规律性明显,该模型对冠心病的预测具有有效性和可行性.     

某部机关中老年干部代谢综合征现况调查

目的:了解某部机关中老年干部代谢综合征(Metabolic syndrome,MS)的患病情况,为该类人群疾病的防治提供依据。方法:收集2013年4~5月年在解放军第309医院体检的452例某部机关中老年干部查体资料,按2007年《中国成人血脂异常防治指南》提出的代谢综合征诊断标准进行诊断,分析代谢综合征及代谢指标异常患病情况。结果:受检人群MS患病率11.73%,男性高于女性(P0.05)。年龄组患病率以60~69岁组最高(23.08%)。单项代谢异常检出率从高至低依次为血脂异常(41.15%)、超重和/肥胖(38.5%)、血压升高(25.0%)和血糖升高(9.73%)。不同年龄组代谢指标异常分布情况不同。代谢异常类型以血压升高+血脂升高+超重/肥胖模式人数最多。除MS外,仍有34.52%的人群存在1-2种代谢指标异常。结论:MS可防可控,应注重以胰岛素抵抗(Insulin Resistance,IR)为靶点的多危险因素综合治疗。     

特定人群超重及肥胖与相关疾病患病分析

目的：分析特定人群超重患病率,以及超重与高血压、糖尿病、血脂异常、脂肪肝等相关疾病的关系,为及早预防慢性非传染性疾病奠定基础。方法：对平房地区采取长效避孕措施的603名户籍农村已婚育龄妇女进行健康体检,按体重指数（BMI）分为正常组、超重组和肥胖组,比较各组间高血压、高血糖、高血脂、脂肪肝等相关疾病检出率的差异。结果：特定人群超重发病率及超重相关疾病检出率的差异均具有统计学意义（P〈0．01）。结论：平房地区特定人群超重及肥胖发病率未明显高于国内平均水平及全市水平。但超重及肥胖与高血压、糖尿病、血脂异常、脂肪肝等疾病存在较大相关关系,为了进一步降低心脑血管高危因素和死亡率。需采取早期、有效的措施控制超重和肥胖倾向。     

针对教职工诱发心电图改变的危险因素的应对策略

通过对918例某高校教职工体检异常心电图发生率及危险因素进行统计分析,结果显示某高校教职工心电图异常改变与年龄、体重、吸烟、高血压等密切相关。而通过行为方式的改变来可以达到控制、降低、消除危险因素的目的,降低心电图异常改变和心血管事件的发生率。本文主要是针对这些危险因素从行为方式上提出一些应对策略。     

新疆贫困地区维吾尔族农民肥胖与血脂异常相关性研究

肥胖及血脂异常研究很少涉及低收入地区。本研究分析了新疆低收入地区维吾尔族农民体质指数(BMI)、超重及肥胖与多种血脂分子异常的关系,探讨贫困地区筛查高危人群的适宜策略。在新疆喀什农村对3 286名年龄≥18岁个体(男1 585人,女1 701人) 进行问卷检查、体格检查及多项血脂分子的检测。数据采用Pearson相关性、ROC、Logistic回归等统计学分析。结果显示,在男女性中,随着BMI的增加,甘油三酯(TG)、总胆固醇(TC)、低密度脂蛋白胆固醇(LDLC)的血浓度呈现递增趋势（P<0.01）;男/女性TG、LDLC、TC血浓度均与BMI有显著相关性(P<0.01)。单项或多项血脂异常率均随BMI增加而上升;同一个体2个血脂指标同时异常的高危组合分别是TG+HDLC(高密度脂蛋白胆固醇)和TC+TG。Logistic联合多变量ROC曲线分析表明, 单项指标HDLC(AUC=089)在血脂异常诊断中的权重最高;而组合指标TG+HDLC(AUC=095)的权重高于其它任何组合。单因素Logistic回归分析发现,超重和肥胖是代谢综合征相关血脂指标TG、TC和HDLC异常的危险因素(P<0.05)。上述结果表明,在南疆农村贫困维吾尔族人群中,男女性超重与肥胖者均与血脂指标异常升高相关;HDLC、TG和 TC 任意两个指标同时异常,为血脂异常的高危状态。肥胖伴有“TG+HDLC”异常升高可能是血脂异常相关疾病的“集合危险因素”,在贫困地区具有临床筛查参考价值。     

新疆贫困地区维吾尔族农民肥胖与血脂异常相关性研究

肥胖及血脂异常研究很少涉及低收入地区。本研究分析了新疆低收入地区维吾尔族农民体质指数(BMI)、超重及肥胖与多种血脂分子异常的关系,探讨贫困地区筛查高危人群的适宜策略。在新疆喀什农村对3 286名年龄≥18岁个体(男1 585人,女1 701人) 进行问卷检查、体格检查及多项血脂分子的检测。数据采用Pearson相关性、ROC、Logistic回归等统计学分析。结果显示,在男女性中,随着BMI的增加,甘油三酯(TG)、总胆固醇(TC)、低密度脂蛋白胆固醇(LDLC)的血浓度呈现递增趋势（P<0.01）;男/女性TG、LDLC、TC血浓度均与BMI有显著相关性(P<0.01)。单项或多项血脂异常率均随BMI增加而上升;同一个体2个血脂指标同时异常的高危组合分别是TG+HDLC(高密度脂蛋白胆固醇)和TC+TG。Logistic联合多变量ROC曲线分析表明, 单项指标HDLC(AUC=089)在血脂异常诊断中的权重最高;而组合指标TG+HDLC(AUC=095)的权重高于其它任何组合。单因素Logistic回归分析发现,超重和肥胖是代谢综合征相关血脂指标TG、TC和HDLC异常的危险因素(P<0.05)。上述结果表明,在南疆农村贫困维吾尔族人群中,男女性超重与肥胖者均与血脂指标异常升高相关;HDLC、TG和 TC 任意两个指标同时异常,为血脂异常的高危状态。肥胖伴有“TG+HDLC”异常升高可能是血脂异常相关疾病的“集合危险因素”,在贫困地区具有临床筛查参考价值。     

中国九省（区）农民超重肥胖的变化趋势及人口经济因素的影响

目的：分析1991—2015年我国18~64岁成年农民超重肥胖的变化趋势,并探讨人口经济因素对其的影响。方法：利用“中国健康与营养调查”1991—2015年间9轮队列研究的基本信息、社会经济因素和体格测量数据,选择18~64岁职业为“农民、渔民或猎人（以下简称农民）”的成年人作为研究对象。采用《中国成人超重和肥胖症预防控制指南》中的体质指数（BMI）切点值判定肥胖程度。应用多因素Logistic模型分析人口经济因素对肥胖发生危险性的影响。结果：1991—2015年间,我国农民超重和肥胖率均呈逐渐上升趋势,超重率从11.42%上升至35.80%,肥胖率从1.37%上升至13.92%。多因素Logistics分析结果显示,女性超重肥胖危险性高于男性。随着年龄的增加,农民超重肥胖危险性明显增加,35~49岁、50~64岁年龄组肥胖危险性高于18~34岁年龄组。北方及中部地区农民超重肥胖危险性高于南方地区。高收入水平的农民超重肥胖危险性高于低收入水平的农民。高中及以上文化程度的农民超重肥胖危险性高于小学及以下组。结论：性别、年龄、收入水平、地理位置是农民超重肥胖的重要影响因素。建议根据分布特征,将优质资源集中到中部、北方地区,并加强对中老年人进行营养知识和健康生活方式的宣教。同时也要关注高收入地区及男性农民的超重肥胖问题。     

父母及个人行为对学龄前儿童超重和肥胖的影响（英文）

目的:探讨学龄前儿童超重和肥胖的现状及其影响因素。方法:从青岛市幼儿园招募年龄在3-6岁儿童参与本调查,通过健康体格检查和问卷调查两部分进行。其中体格检查包括身高和体重的测量,问卷调查内容包括父母的相关变量以及儿童个人饮食行为等因素。其中1080份为完整有效数据。结果:学龄前儿童超重和肥胖人数分别占总数的18.80%和8.98%。男孩的超重和肥胖率(31.8%)高于女生(23.8%)。父亲和母亲的超重和肥胖均与儿童超重和肥胖存在关联性(P0.05)。较长屏幕时间、快速进食是超重和肥胖的危险因素(P0.05),而增加体力活动时间为保护因素(P0.05)。偏爱肉类也是与超重/肥胖相关的因素(P0.05)。结论:孩子个性习惯和父母均与学龄前儿童超重和肥胖相关,学龄前儿童超重和肥胖问题仍然是一个重要的公共卫生问题。     

冠状动脉造影大致正常的胸痛患者临床分析

摘要 目的：探讨有胸痛症状的冠状动脉造影大致正常的患者的临床特点及病因。方法：回顾性分析2019年1月至2021年5月我院收治的有胸痛症状疑诊为冠状动脉粥样硬化性心脏病并行冠状动脉造影的1283例患者,纳入其中冠状动脉造影提示冠状动脉大致正常的患者,比较冠状动脉造影结果大致正常者与冠状动脉造影存在异常的患者的人口学资料、危险因素等,并统计冠状动脉造影结果大致正常者的确定诊断并进行分析。结果：最终纳入91例疑诊为冠心病的冠状动脉造影大致正常的患者。与冠状动脉造影存在异常的1192例患者的相比,冠脉造影大致正常组中无危险因素者占20.1%,单一高危因素者占50.5%,显著高于冠脉造影异常组,而多重高危因素者占28.6%,显著低于冠脉造影异常组（P＜0.05）。91例疑诊为冠心病的冠状动脉造影大致正常的患者中心脏神经官能症及心律失常分别占45例（49.5％）及12例(13.2％)。结论：临床上很多疑诊为冠心病的胸痛患者的冠状动脉造影大致正常,这部分患者与冠状动脉异常的患者相比冠心病的危险因素更少,胸痛由其他原因引起,所以对这部分患者应强调应用无创的检查手段。     

Debate: at what level of coronary heart disease risk should a statin be prescribed?

3-Hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A reductase inhibitors (statins) are effective treatments for the primary and secondary prevention of coronary heart disease, but an outstanding issue is determining who should have such treatment. The benefit from treatment with statins appears to be proportional to the underlying risk of coronary heart disease and independent of the factors increasing risk. Most benefit will therefore be achieved by treating people at increased risk of coronary heart disease. Statins reduce coronary morbidity even when the risk of coronary heart disease is relatively low (6% over 10 years), but reduction in all-cause mortality, the true measure of safety has been shown only when the risk of a major coronary heart disease event is 15% over 10 years or greater. At this level of risk patients appear willing to take treatment to gain the benefit expected from statin treatment, and the cost effectiveness of statin treatment is within the range accepted for other treatments. The major impediments to the systematic introduction of statin treatment at this level of risk are the very high overall cost and the large workload in countries like Britain, where the population risk of coronary heart disease is high. For this reason, recent British guidelines correctly advise statin treatment for secondary prevention and primary prevention when the 10 year coronary heart disease risk is 30% or greater as the first priority, moving to a lower coronary heart disease threshold for primary prevention only when resources permit.     

Relation of low diastolic blood pressure to coronary heart disease death in presence of myocardial infarction: the Framingham Study.

OBJECTIVE--To examine the hypothesis that a J curve relation between blood pressure and death from coronary heart disease is confined to high risk subjects with myocardial infarction. DESIGN--Cohort longitudinal epidemiological study with biennial examinations since 1950. SETTING--Framingham, Massachusetts, USA. SUBJECTS--5209 subjects in the Framingham study cohort followed up by a person examination approach. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Coronary heart disease deaths and non-cardiovascular disease deaths in men and women with or without myocardial infarction relative to blood pressure. RESULTS--Among subjects without myocardial infarction non-cardiovascular disease deaths were twice to three times as common as coronary heart disease deaths. Furthermore, there was no significant relation between non-cardiovascular disease death and diastolic or systolic blood pressure. Also coronary heart disease deaths were linearly related to diastolic and systolic blood pressures. Among high risk patients (that is, people with myocardial infarction but free of congestive heart failure) death from coronary heart disease was more common than non-cardiovascular disease death. There was a significant U shaped relation between coronary heart disease death and diastolic blood pressure. Although there was an apparent U shaped relation between coronary heart disease death and systolic blood pressure, it did not attain statistical significance when controlling for age and change in systolic blood pressure from the pre-myocardial infarction level. None of the above conclusions changed when adjustments were made for risk factors such as serum cholesterol concentration, antihypertensive treatment, and left ventricular function. The U shaped relation between diastolic blood pressure and high risk subjects existed for both those given antihypertensive treatment and those not. CONCLUSIONS--These data suggest that an age and sex independent U curve relation exists for diastolic blood pressure and coronary heart disease deaths in patients with myocardial infarction but not for low risk subjects without myocardial infarction. The relation seems to be independent of left ventricular function and antihypertensive treatment.     

Risk factors and 25 year risk of coronary heart disease in a male population with a high incidence of the disease: the Finnish cohorts of the seven countries study.

OBJECTIVE--To assess the efficacy of high serum cholesterol concentration, raised blood pressure, and smoking as predictors of coronary heart disease. DESIGN--Prospective cohort study of middle aged men conducted over 25 years. SETTING--Finish components of an ongoing international study (seven countries study). PARTICIPANTS--1520 Men who at age 40-59 in 1959 were free of clinically evident heart disease. INTERVENTIONS--At each follow up visit a detailed medical examination including resting electrocardiography was performed, blood pressure and serum total cholesterol concentration were measured, and smoking was assessed. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS--825 Deaths (54% of participants) occurred during follow up, of which 335 were due to coronary heart disease. The hazard ratio for death from coronary heart disease with respect to risk factors at entry were: for serum cholesterol concentrations above 8.4 mmol/l v below 5.2 mmol/l, 2.68 (95% confidence interval 1.62 to 4.42); for systolic blood pressure in the highest quintile v that in the lowest quintile, 2.46 (1.72 to 3.50); and for smoking 10 or more cigarettes daily v never smoking, 1.95 (1.36 to 2.79). The hazard ratios with respect to cholesterol concentrations and blood pressure remained constant during follow up but the ratio with respect to smoking diminished, mainly owing to men giving up the habit. The estimated conditional probability of a 50 year old man dying of coronary heart disease in the next 25 years ranged from 12% among those with the most favourable risk factor profile to 75% among those with the least favourable profile. CONCLUSIONS--High risk factor levels (as determined in this study) in middle aged men may greatly increase the absolute probability of death from coronary heart disease when the period of study is relevant to the human life span.     

Cardiac Autonomic Neuropathy,Estimated Cardiovascular Risk,and Circadian Blood Pressure Pattern in Diabetes Mellitus

This study was designed to investigate potential factors involved in the disruption of the circadian blood pressure (BP) pattern in diabetes mellitus, as well as the relation between BP, cardiac autonomic neuropathy, and estimated cardiovascular risk. We studied 101 diabetic patients (58% with type 2 diabetes; 59% men), age 21–65 yrs, evaluated by 48 h BP monitoring. We performed three autonomic tests in a single session: deep breathing, Valsalva maneuver, and standing up from a seated position. Patients were classified according to the number of abnormal tests and their 10 yr risk of coronary heart disease or stroke. The prevalence of non-dipping 24 h patterning ranged from 47.6% in type 1 to 42.4% in type 2 diabetes. The awake/asleep ratio of systolic BP (SBP) was comparable between patients with or without abnormal autonomic tests. Pulse pressure (PP) was significantly higher in patients with ≥1 abnormal autonomic test (p?<?0.001). Ambulatory SBP was significantly elevated in the group with higher risk of coronary heart disease (p?<?0.001). Patients with higher stroke-risk had higher SBP but lower diastolic BP, and thus an elevated ambulatory PP by 9 mmHg, compared to those with lower risk (p?<?0.001). Cardiac autonomic neuropathy is not the main causal-factor for the non-dipper BP pattern in diabetes mellitus. The most significant finding from this study is the high ambulatory PP found in patients with either cardiac autonomic dysfunction or high risk for coronary heart disease or stroke. After correcting for age, this elevated PP level emerged as the main cardiovascular risk factor in diabetes mellitus.     

How well can we predict coronary heart disease? Findings in the United Kingdom Heart Disease Prevention Project.

The probability of myocardial infarction developing over five years in a group of middle aged men was predicted with knowledge of their ages, blood pressures, cholesterol concentrations, and smoking habits as recorded in an initial screening examination. Although the top 15% of the risk distribution predicted 115 (32%) of the subsequent cases of myocardial infarction, there was a considerable overlap in predicted risk between those subjects who did and those who did not go on to develop a myocardial infarction. Of the subjects in the top 15% of risk, only 72 (7%) of those initially free of coronary heart disease and 43 (22%) of those initially with coronary heart disease actually developed a myocardial infarction over the subsequent five years. Thus, although a group of subjects at high risk can be identified, among whom will be a high proportion of potential victims of heart attack, many subjects will be wrongly classified. These findings may explain part of the difficulty in persuading patients of the potential benefits of reducing risks and highlight the need for research to improve the prediction of the development of coronary heart disease.     

女性冠心病患者的危险因素分析及与冠脉病变严重程度的关系

目的:了解女性冠心病患者的危险因素及与冠脉病变严重程度的关系。方法:随机选取本院2012年至2014年心血管科住院治疗的疑似冠心病女性患者150例,经冠脉造影确诊冠心病患者105例,非冠心病患者45例。对患者的临床资料和冠脉病变严重程度进行单因素和多因素分析。结果:冠心病患者高血压与糖尿病百分比、甘油三酯(TG)、总胆固醇(TC)、低密度脂蛋白(LDL-C)及纤维蛋白原水平均高于非冠心病患者,而高密度脂蛋白(HDL-C)和血红蛋白水平均低于非冠心病患者(P0.05);年龄、高血压与糖尿病百分比、血脂上升百分比(高TC、高TG、低HDL-C、高LDL-C)、高尿酸百分比和纤维蛋白原水平均随冠状动脉病变支数及Gensini积分的增加而增加(P0.05);多因素分析发现女性冠心病的影响因素分别为高LDL-C、糖尿病、低HDL-C、TG和高血压,其中高LDL-C的影响最为显著(P0.05)。结论:高血压、糖尿病史、血脂水平为女性冠心病的影响因素,其中高LDL-C的影响最显著,各影响因素均与冠脉病变程度紧密相关。     

冠心病患者冠脉支架术后发生再狭窄的危险因素回归分析

目的:探讨冠心病患者冠脉支架手术后发生再狭窄的危险因素,为提高临床治疗效果和改善预后提供指导。方法:回顾性分析2014年1月至2015年12月我院收治的226例行冠脉支架手术的冠心病患者临床病历资料,采用SPSS21.0分析冠脉再狭窄的发生情况及危险因素。结果:51例冠心病患者冠脉支架术后发生冠脉再狭窄(22.57%)。单因素分析显示,不同吸烟史、糖尿病史、脂蛋白a(Lp(a))水平、空腹血糖、尿素氮(BUN)、总胆红素、术前病变狭窄程度、植入支架支数、长度以及直径组冠心病患者的冠脉再狭窄发生率比较,差异有统计学意义(P0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析,吸烟史、糖尿病史、Lp(a)水平、术前病变狭窄程度、植入支架支数、长度是冠心病患者冠脉支架术后再狭窄发生的独立危险因素,OR分别为2.261、1.944、3.593、2.798、2.449、3.823,差异有统计学意义(P0.05),植入支架直径是冠脉再狭窄发生的保护因素,OR为0.261,差异有统计学意义(P0.05)。结论:冠脉植入支架的总长度、数量,术前病变的狭窄程度、Lp(a)水平、糖尿病以及吸烟是冠心病患者冠脉支架术后发生再狭窄的独立危险因素,临床应不断优化支架并根据再狭窄的危险因素采取针对性的防治措施。     

Post-hoc analysis on the CD14 C(-260)T promoter polymorphism and coronary heart disease

Functional C(-260)--> T polymorphism in the promoter of the CD14 gene has been reported to be associated with coronary heart disease (CHD). The functional role of the polymorphism, however, is still a matter of debate, since several studies have not proved its effect on clinical outcomes associated with atherosclerosis. Cardiovascular-related morbidity and mortality was assessed in a post-hoc approach four years after baseline characterization of patients (male/female n = 36/32) with angiographically proven coronary heart disease. CD14 C(-260)--> T promoter genotype was determined at baseline. Seventeen out of 20 CHD patients with non-lethal cardiovascular events carried at least one T-allele. CD14 T-260 allele carriers have a 3.59-fold (95 % confidence interval: 1.11-6.75) increased risk for non-lethal cardiovascular events (Kaplan-Meier plot: log rank test p = 0.029). All patients with lethal outcomes (n = 6) were also T-allele carriers. Multivariate logistic regression analysis among CHD patients including age, established risk factors and the C(-260)--> T polymorphism as covariates and non-lethal events as a dependent variable confirmed the independent prospective effect of the T-allele on cardiovascular outcomes in this subset. Further evidence is provided for the role of CD14 C(-260)--> T promoter polymorphism as a genetic susceptibility marker of atherosclerosis in patients with an advanced clinical course of the disease. Due to the small sample size and post-hoc character of the study large-scale prospective studies that monitor patients with proven CHD are needed to confirm these findings.     

“Unwarranted survivals” and “anomalous deaths” from coronary heart disease: prospective survey of general population

ObjectivesTo assess survival in people who are at apparent high risk who do not develop coronary heart disease (“unwarranted survivals”) and mortality in people at low risk who die from the disease (“anomalous deaths”) and the extent to which these outcomes are explained by other, less visible, risk factors.DesignProspective general population survey.SettingRenfrew and Paisley, Scotland.Participants6068 men aged 45-64 years at screening in 1972-6, allocated to “visible” risk groups on the basis of body mass index and smoking.ResultsVisible risk was a good predictor of mortality: 13% (45) of men at low risk and 45% (86) of men at high risk had died by age 70 years. Of these deaths, 12 (4%) and 44 (23%), respectively, were from coronary heart disease. In the group at low visible risk other less visible risk factors accounted for increased risk in 83% (10/12) of men who died from coronary heart disease and 29% (84/292) of men who survived. In the high risk group 81/107 who survived (76%) and 19/44 (43%) who died from coronary heart disease had lower risk after other factors were considered. Different risk factors modified risk (beyond smoking and body mass index) in the two groups. Among men at low visible risk, poor respiratory function, diabetes, previous coronary heart disease, and socioeconomic deprivation modified risk. Among men at high visible risk, height and cholesterol concentration modified risk.ConclusionsDifferences in survival between these extreme risk groups are dramatic. Health promotion messages would be more credible if they discussed anomalies and the limits of prediction of coronary disease at an individual level.

What is already known on this topic

People pay attention to visible risk factors, such as smoking and weight, in explaining or predicting coronary events but are aware that these behavioural risk factors fail to explain some early deaths from coronary heart disease (in those with “low risk” lifestyles) and long survival (in those with “high risk” lifestyles)Such violations to notions of coronary candidacy undermine people''s belief in the worth of modifying behavioural risk factors for coronary heart disease

What this study adds

Visible risk status was a good marker for other coronary risk factors at the extremes of the risk distributionMost men at low visible risk (slim, never smoked) who died prematurely from coronary heart disease had poorer risk profiles on other less visible risk factors; similarly, men at high visible risk (obese, heavy smokers) who survived often had more favourable profiles on other risk factors