试用灰色局势决策原理综合评价大豆新品种

根据灰色局势决策原理,利用目标赋权获得加权局势决策方法,对1996—1997年山东省大豆新品种区域试验结果进行分析,综合14个主要性状指标,排出各个品种的优劣,结果与生产实际一致。认为这是一种较全面、较合理的综合评价大豆品种优劣的方法。     

试用灰色局势决策原理综合评价大豆新品种

根据灰色局势决策原理,利用目标赋权获得加权局势决策方法,对1996—1997年山东省大豆新品种区域试验结果进行分析,综合14个主要性状指标,排出各个品种的优劣,结果与生产实际一致。认为这是一种较全面、较合理的综合评价大豆品种优劣的方法。     

灰色多目标局势决策在晋西北植树造林中的应用

采用灰色多目标局势决策方法确定了晋西北地区不同土地类型上的最佳造林树种．在梁峁坡地、阴沟坡地、阳沟坡地和河滩地上的最佳造林树种分别是柠条、油松、刺槐和杨树     

灰色局势决策应用于褐飞虱防治策略

试用灰色局势决策理论,研究了褐飞虱防治策略。在综合考虑产量、产值、经济效益目标下,最佳防治策略为三代主峰、四代主峰各防治1次,其次是三代防冶2次、四代防治2次。在1988～1990年褐飞虱防治中得到验证和推广,3年全县挽回稻谷损失共计28245kg,比常规防治节约资金1.674千万元。     

多假设成立的多agent合作决策

对复杂环境对象进行决策时,多agent合作可以融合各agent的知识经验,提高决策结果的可靠性,针对环境对象的辩识空间中多假设同时成立的决策问题,本文提出了一种基于证据理论的多agent合作决策算法,详细描述与分析了多agent合作决策的原理。为提高系统决策的可靠性,降低了合成计算的复杂度,在多agent合作决策系统中引入正确的训练案例进行学习。本文提出的算法应用于蔬菜的病害判别,实验结果验证了本文提出的多agent合作决策算法的有效性。     

基于模糊决策的临床科室主任绩效考核的研究

通过研究临床科室主任绩效考核指标,调动科室主任管理的积极性,增强科室员工质量管理意识和医疗安全意识,促进医院的发展。在分析传统临床科室绩效考核方法不足的基础上,结合模糊决策的概念,提出了一种基于模糊决策的临床科室主任综合评判方法。该方法充分利用了模糊逻辑中模糊决策的概念,对医院临床科室主任进行了模糊意见集中决策和模糊综合评判决策。最后通过具体的数值实验对该方法进行了性能分析,结果证明该方法具有良好的性能。     

茶树病虫害多媒体数据库的开发研究

本介绍了应用Ｖｉｓｕａｌ ｆｏｘｐｒｏ６．０语言、结合我我媒体技术开发茶树病虫害数据库的结果。该数据库包括：４２种茶树害虫和２１种茶树病害的鉴别、咨询知识库,主要病虫的测报、防治决策专家系统,常用农药知识库及系统维护等模块,是一种查询简便、计算的茶树病虫计算机决策系统。     

结核分枝杆菌rpoB基因突变的检测(简报)

结核病主要是由结核分枝杆菌(Mycobacterium tuberculosis)引起的一种慢性传染性疾病。利福平是结核病化疗方案中一个关键性的药物,它在结核病的短程化疗中起着重要的作用。但是,在我国结核菌对利福平的耐药发生率呈上升局势,而通过传统的依赖生物生长的药敏试验方法进行结核菌对利福平耐药性检测所需时间较长(4-8周),不能满足临床早期开展有效化疗的需要,所以迫切需要建     

棉田棉铃虫卵抽样技术比较

本文对棉田棉铃虫卵抽样技术从两方面进行了比较,一系估值抽样方面:文中应用了简单随机抽样、阶层抽样、阶层抽样序贯估值与零频率抽样四种方法,并以估值的可靠性、代表性误差与抽样时间消耗三个指标进行了综合比较,结果认为以阶层抽样最佳.另一系风险决策抽样:本文应用了未着卵株的序贯抽样、阶层抽样、零频率抽样三种方法进行了综合比较,结果认为序贯抽样最佳,但若与零频率抽样相结合就既可迅速地作出风险决策又可获得虫口密度的信息.     

辽宁省清原县森林资源结构及其空间优化配置

利用RS、GIS技术和多目标灰色局势决策方法,综合森林的经济效益指标(生物量、林分生产力)和生态效益指标(涵养水源量、固土量),对清原县现有森林类型进行空间优化配置.结果表明: 经优化配置后,清原县森林类型的结构比例发生了明显的变化,其中针叶林和阔叶林面积由43%、51%减少到23%、31%,针阔混交林面积由3%增加到43%,灌木林面积保持不变;森林生态系统生物量、林分生产力分别增加0.6%、2.1%,而涵养水源功能增加31.7%,固土功能基本保持不变,在保留较高木材生产效益的同时,可充分发挥涵养水源功能,实现森林生态系统经济效益和生态效益的最大化.     

Physiological correlates of individual differences in decision-making time during purposeful mental activity in humans

EEG correlates of individual differences in decision-making time were studied in subjects performing the task of memorizing and subsequently reproducing, on a monitor screen, a sequence of signals. Forty-six students were volunteers in the study, carried out with the use of an original computer-aided technique. Pioneering data on the individual specificity of physiological processes underlying human mental activity were obtained. Individual differences in EEG characteristics related to differences in the temporal parameters of the decision-making stage were found. In a situation directly preceding the activity, subjects characterized by a short decision-making time exhibited higher powers of the Δ (in the occipital, parietal, and central cortical areas) and θ-(in both the central and the right frontal and temporal areas) EEG rhythms. The subjects with a short decision-making time differed from those with a long decision-making time in a higher power of the θ rhythm in the right temporal area during memorization and an increased θ rhythm power in the frontal areas during reproduction of a signal sequence.     

Ecology of human settlements. An instrument for diagnosis-action: Environmental maps

Environmental maps consitute graphic means to diagnose a particular situation in a specific point on time. They portray not only the problematic aspects but also the potentialities of the area under concern. They are indeed important tools in the decision-making process. Geographer Institute for Applied Economics and Geography     

Challenges in End-of-Life Decisions in the Intensive Care Unit: An Ethical Perspective

When making end-of-life decisions in intensive care units (ICUs), different staff groups have different roles in the decision-making process and may not always assess the situation in the same way. The aim of this study was to examine the challenges Danish nurses, intensivists, and primary physicians experience with end-of-life decisions in ICUs and how these challenges affect the decision-making process. Interviews with nurses, intensivists, and primary physicians were conducted, and data is discussed from an ethical perspective. All three groups found that the main challenges were associated with interdisciplinary collaboration and future perspectives for the patient. Most of these challenges were connected with ethical issues. The challenges included different assessments of treatment potential, changes and postponements of withholding and withdrawing therapy orders, how and when to identify patients’ wishes, and suffering caused by the treatment. To improve end-of-life decision-making in the ICU, these challenges need to be addressed by interdisciplinary teams.     

Nurse participation in decisions regarding limitation of treatment.

A vast literature exists on the ethical aspects of decisions to limit life-sustaining treatments, and much of it deals with the way decisions ought to be made. Little is known, however, about how decisions are made in actual clinical practice. Empirical studies have not investigated the decision-making process directly and, with one exception, have only focused on physician practices. Through the use of a case, this paper examines the nature of hospital cancer nurses' involvement in the decision-making process. Three practice domains are identified: assisting patients to reach a truly autonomous choice, helping families to understand and to cope with the realities of the situation, and communicating with and encouraging open communication among all those involved. In addition, the potential value of the in-between position of the nurse is noted, and nurse responsibilities are summarized.     

Integrated Modeling and its Potential for Resolving Conflicts between Conservation and People in the Rangelands of East Africa

A major challenge for contemporary conservation policies and practices is formulating workable compromises between wildlife conservation and the people who live with wildlife. We strongly support the view that anthropology has a critical role to play in contributing to our understanding of human-environment interactions. The study of complex biophysical and human systems can be greatly assisted by appropriate simulation models that integrate what is known about ecological and human decision-making processes. We have developed an integrated modeling system for assessing scenarios in the Ngorongoro Conservation Area in northern Tanzania to modify the situation there to improve human welfare without compromising conservation value. We present the results of some scenarios that indicate that the current situation there is not sustainable, and that tough policy decisions need to be taken if household well-being of the pastoralists who live there is to be improved or even sustained.     

Social Influences in Sequential Decision Making

People often make decisions in a social environment. The present work examines social influence on people’s decisions in a sequential decision-making situation. In the first experimental study, we implemented an information cascade paradigm, illustrating that people infer information from decisions of others and use this information to make their own decisions. We followed a cognitive modeling approach to elicit the weight people give to social as compared to private individual information. The proposed social influence model shows that participants overweight their own private information relative to social information, contrary to the normative Bayesian account. In our second study, we embedded the abstract decision problem of Study 1 in a medical decision-making problem. We examined whether in a medical situation people also take others’ authority into account in addition to the information that their decisions convey. The social influence model illustrates that people weight social information differentially according to the authority of other decision makers. The influence of authority was strongest when an authority''s decision contrasted with private information. Both studies illustrate how the social environment provides sources of information that people integrate differently for their decisions.     

临床试验进展：临床数据与实验室质量管理规范

将临床研究数据用于临床日常规范及健康相关决策的制定对于改善全球医疗保健至关重要。汤森路透Cortellis 临床试验情报对临床试验数据的应用价值及各国临床实验室质量管理规范的实施情况进行了介绍,提供描绘临床图景关键元素和当前趋势的专家分析,从而指导临床开发决策。     

Evidence for social role in a dolphin social network

Social animals have to take into consideration the behaviour of conspecifics when making decisions to go by their daily lives. These decisions affect their fitness and there is therefore an evolutionary pressure to try making the right choices. In many instances individuals will make their own choices and the behaviour of the group will be a democratic integration of everyone’s decision. However, in some instances it can be advantageous to follow the choice of a few individuals in the group if they have more information regarding the situation that has arisen. Here I provide early evidence that decisions about shifts in activity states in a population of bottlenose dolphin follow such a decision-making process. This unshared consensus is mediated by a non-vocal signal, which can be communicated globally within the dolphin school. These signals are emitted by individuals that tend to have more information about the behaviour of potential competitors because of their position in the social network. I hypothesise that this decision-making process emerged from the social structure of the population and the need to maintain mixed-sex schools.     

Parental Moral Distress and Moral Schism in the Neonatal ICU

Ethical dilemmas in critical care may cause healthcare practitioners to experience moral distress: incoherence between what one believes to be best and what occurs. Given that paediatric decision-making typically involves parents, we propose that parents can also experience moral distress when faced with making value-laden decisions in the neonatal intensive care unit. We propose a new concept—that parents may experience “moral schism”—a genuine uncertainty regarding a value-based decision that is accompanied by emotional distress. Schism, unlike moral distress, is not caused by barriers to making and executing a decision that is deemed to be best by the decision-makers but rather an encounter of significant internal struggle. We explore factors that appear to contribute to both moral distress and “moral schism” for parents: the degree of available support, a sense of coherence of the situation, and a sense of responsibility. We propose that moral schism is an underappreciated concept that needs to be explicated and may be more prevalent than moral distress when exploring decision-making experiences for parents. We also suggest actions of healthcare providers that may help minimize parental “moral schism” and moral distress.     

Moral Hypocrisy on the Basis of Construal Level: To Be a Utilitarian Personal Decision Maker or to Be a Moral Advisor?

BackgroundPeople encounter various moral issues that involve making decisions for others by giving advice.ObjectiveThis study investigated the characteristics of providing suggestions for oneself versus providing suggestions for others in ethical decision-making and the differences between them based on Construal Level Theory (CLT).MethodsA total of 768 undergraduate students from three universities in China were randomly assigned to eight groups on the basis of a grid of two Construal Levels (self or others) by two different numbers of people saved (5 people or 15 people) by two problem situations (trolley problem vs. footbridge problem). The investigation examined participants’ decisions to opt to take action or refrain from action that would have the consequence of saving more people.ResultsThe main effects of Construal Level (F_{1, 752} = 6.46, p = .011), saving number (F_{1, 752} = 35.81, p < .001), and problem situation type (F_{1, 752} = 330.55, p < .001) were all significant. The interaction of the problem situation and saving number (F_{1, 752} = 1.01, p = .31), and social distance and saving number (F_{1, 752} = 0.85, p = .36), and interaction of the three independent factors (F_{1, 752} = 0.47, p = .49) were not significant. However, the interaction of social distance and problem situation (F_{1, 752} = 9.46, p = .002) was significant. Results indicated the participants utilized a component of utilitarian reasoning in the decision-making, and their behaviors appeared more utilitarian at low Construal Levels (CLs) compared to high.ConclusionCLs, saving numbers, and problem situation significantly affected moral decision-making and exhibited significant interaction. Making decisions for oneself (low-construal) rather than giving advice to others (high-construal) was one important factor that determined whether the people were utilitarian or not. Utilitarian considerations are more relevant in impersonal dilemmas.